Homer Bush Jr.

CF Durham Bulls

Age 25 R/R 6'2" / 200 lbs AAA HR -6%H +4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034

Overview

AAAPROSPECTMiLBFA 2035

Scout OFP42ETA2029MLB%10%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	23	AATB	546	.301/.377/.360	0	57	80	—	.272/.332/.325
2026	24	AAATB	392	.234/.301/.329	5	38	52	—	.214/.269/.292
2027PROJ10% MLB	25	MLBTB	32	.210/.269/.272	0	2	53	-0.1
2028PROJ35% MLB	26	MLBTB	126	.214/.273/.287	1	9	58	-0.1
2029PROJ44% MLB	27	MLBTB	170	.215/.275/.291	2	12	60	-0.1

Next 3 projected WAR -0.3Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2034Service0.0First FA2035

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029Pre-Arb$0.8M2030Ext$0.8M2031Ext$0.9M2032Ext$3M2033Ext$5M2034Ext$7M

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 AAA

Speed88

K%26

Max EV25

BB%22

Whiff%17

Chase%12

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 -0 / P90 1, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 94%

CompsTyler Tolbert (age 25) · Terrance Gore (age 26) · Cam Eden (age 26)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+†53

AVG/OBP/SLG.210 / .269 / .272

PA32

HR0

K%31

BB%6

BABIP304

ISO34

MLB%10%

Value2027 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 44 / POW 30

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT44

scouting grade only

POWER30

scouting grade only

EYE40

scouting grade only

SPEED80

scouting grade only

DEFENSE64

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2029

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2034

First FA Year 2035

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	—	—	—
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$-0.3M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2023	21	AA	San Antonio Missions	—	29	28	12	1	0	0	1	2	0	1	1	429	448	464	913	36	462	7	3	412	139	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	21	A	Lake Elsinore Storm	—	105	85	21	5	0	1	12	15	5	11	1	247	373	341	714	94	286	14	11	325	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	21	ROK	ACL Padres	—	53	44	18	3	0	2	7	7	2	10	0	409	509	614	1.123	205	457	13	13	493	130	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	A+	Bowling Green Hot Rods	—	462	397	108	14	2	6	43	87	15	57	12	272	363	363	726	91	333	19	9	330	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	AA	Montgomery Biscuits	—	546	472	142	12	8	0	48	98	11	57	12	301	377	360	737	59	375	18	9	330	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	24	AAA	Durham Bulls	—	392	346	81	16	1	5	28	106	7	38	10	234	301	329	630	95	322	27	7	282	52	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2023	21	AA MLE	San Antonio Missions	—	29	28	12	1	0	0	1	2	0	1	1	429	448	464	913	36	441	7	3	373	139	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	21	A MLE	Lake Elsinore Storm	—	105	89	20	4	0	1	8	21	5	11	1	225	324	303	627	79	273	20	8	275	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	21	ROK MLE	ACL Padres	—	53	47	14	2	0	2	4	10	2	10	0	298	377	468	845	170	352	19	8	360	130	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	A+ MLE	Bowling Green Hot Rods	—	462	416	88	12	1	5	26	119	15	57	12	212	282	281	564	70	277	26	6	252	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	AA MLE	Montgomery Biscuits	—	546	489	133	12	7	0	33	118	11	57	12	272	332	325	657	53	341	22	6	287	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	24	AAA MLE	Durham Bulls	—	392	359	77	14	1	4	20	127	7	38	10	214	269	292	562	78	309	32	5	245	52	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	21	A MLE	3 teams	—	187	164	45	7	0	2	13	34	7	22	2	274	353	354	707	79	333	18	7	314	99	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	21	A RAW	3 teams	—	187	157	51	9	0	3	20	24	7	22	2	325	424	439	863	115	366	13	11	386	99	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	A+ MLE	Bowling Green Hot Rods	—	462	416	88	12	1	5	26	119	15	57	12	212	282	281	564	70	282	26	6	252	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	A+ RAW	Bowling Green Hot Rods	—	462	397	108	14	2	6	43	87	15	57	12	272	363	363	726	91	333	19	9	330	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	AA MLE	Montgomery Biscuits	—	546	489	133	12	7	0	33	118	11	57	12	272	332	325	657	53	354	22	6	287	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	AA RAW	Montgomery Biscuits	—	546	472	142	12	8	0	48	98	11	57	12	301	377	360	737	59	375	18	9	330	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	24	AAA MLE	Durham Bulls	—	392	359	77	14	1	4	20	127	7	38	10	214	269	292	562	78	319	32	5	245	52	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	24	AAA RAW	Durham Bulls	—	392	346	81	16	1	5	28	106	7	38	10	234	301	329	630	95	322	27	7	282	52	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	21	A MLE	3 teams	—	187	165	45	7	0	2	13	34	7	22	2	273	353	352	705	79	321	18	7	314	99	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	A+ MLE	Bowling Green Hot Rods	—	462	418	88	12	1	5	26	119	15	57	12	211	282	280	562	69	277	26	6	252	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	AA MLE	Montgomery Biscuits	—	546	497	133	12	7	0	33	118	11	57	12	268	332	320	652	52	341	22	6	287	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	24	AAA MLE	Durham Bulls	—	392	362	77	14	1	4	20	127	7	38	10	213	269	290	559	77	309	32	5	245	52	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	22	A+ MLE	Bowling Green Hot Rods	—	462	418	88	12	1	5	26	119	15	57	12	211	282	280	562	69	277	26	6	252	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	AA MLE	Montgomery Biscuits	—	546	497	133	12	7	0	33	118	11	57	12	268	332	320	652	52	341	22	6	287	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	24	AAA MLE	Durham Bulls	—	392	362	77	14	1	4	20	127	7	38	10	213	269	290	559	77	309	32	5	245	52	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	25	MLB MLE	TB	10%	380	349	72	11	2	2	21	116	7	27	6	207	266	269	535	62	300	31	6	246	53	-21	+3	+3	+1	+8	-0.3
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
2027	25	MLB CTX	TB	10%	32	29	6	1	0	0	2	10	1	2	1	210	269	272	540	61	304	31	6	248	53	-2	+0	+0	+0	+1	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	26	MLB MLE	TB	35%	364	334	70	10	2	3	21	109	6	25	6	211	271	286	556	74	300	30	6	254	58	-18	+3	+3	+1	+8	-0.3
2029	27	MLB MLE	TB	44%	387	355	75	11	2	4	23	115	6	27	6	212	272	289	562	77	299	30	6	256	60	-19	+3	+3	+1	+8	-0.3
2028	26	MLB CTX	TB	35%	126	116	25	4	1	1	7	38	2	9	2	214	273	287	561	73	304	30	6	256	58	-6	+1	+1	+0	+3	-0.1
2029	27	MLB CTX	TB	44%	170	155	34	5	1	2	10	51	3	12	3	215	275	291	566	76	303	30	6	258	60	-8	+1	+1	+1	+4	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	296	271	59	9	2	3	17	89	5	21	5	218	276	299	575	81	309	30	6	257	64	-14	+2	+3	+1	+6	-0.2
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	595	130	20	4	7	37	195	11	46	11	218	276	301	577	82	310	30	6	257	64	-32	+5	+6	+2	+14	-0.5
Career	—	MLE		—	2658	2411	549	75	15	20	154	719	57	248	53	228	290	296	586	68	314	27	6	263	64	-55	+8	+9	+4	+23	-1.1
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	590	134	18	4	5	38	176	14	61	13	227	290	297	587	69	312	27	6	263	64	-33	+5	+6	+2	+14	-0.7

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Jarrod Dysonlast yr '21 career totals — 12 seasons, 2,833 PA	4.3	2,833	21	266	244	314	332	+10	+50	11.8	11.6
/162	664	5	62	+2.4	+11.7	2.8	pk7: 11
#2Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	2.3	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.1	4.1
/162	664	13	20	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#3Tony Gwynn Jr.last yr '14 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,749 PA	2.6	1,749	7	77	239	310	313	+1	+35	4.1	4.1
/162	664	3	29	+0.5	+13.1	1.6	pk7: 4
#4Brian Hunter'94-'03 * career totals — 9 seasons, 3,659 PA	5.5	3,659	25	260	252*	300*	337*	+1	+13	2.0	3.6
/162	664	5	47	+0.2	+2.4	0.4	pk7: 5
#5Chuck Carr'90-'97 * career totals — 6 seasons, 1,914 PA	2.9	1,914	13	144	242*	306*	331*	+6	+20	2.6	2.6
/162	664	5	50	+2.1	+7.1	0.9	pk7: 3
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 1 projected seasons	0.5	329	3	23	212	269	287	+1	+6	-0.4	-0.2
/162	664	6	46	+2.4	+11.5	-0.8	pk7: 0
#6Joe Simpson'75-'83 * career totals — 5 seasons, 1,531 PA	2.3	1,531	9	45	237*	289*	336*	-9	+2	-2.3	-1.8
/162	664	4	20	-4.0	+1.1	-1.0	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Homer Bush Jr. (OGILVIE)	25	30→44	25→30	80	40	206/264/267	61	300	2	22	30%	6%	53	-1.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Tyler Tolbert 2023 · A	25	39→48	39→45	70→65	42	187/256/279	92	279	5	40	33%	8%	52	-2.2	215/270/311	96	297	7	40	28%	6%	64	-1.3	222/284/299	77	304	6	60	27%	6%	65	-0.6
✕Terrance Gore 2017 · AAA	26	48→42	33→30	67→70	43	223/274/261	38	297	2	54	24%	6%	54	-2.0	207/265/262	55	287	3	42	27%	6%	51	-2.3	194/257/241	47	277	1	52	28%	6%	41	-1.0
✕Cam Eden 2024 · AAA	26	47→51	40	65	41	217/291/308	91	326	8	46	33%	7%	72	-0.7	200/265/292	92	292	8	36	32%	7%	59	-1.7	171/235/258	88	246	7	40	32%	7%	38	-1.4
✕Billy Hamilton 2016 · MLB	25	49→59	39→40	69→70	46	233/278/318	85	279	6	61	19%	6%	68	-1.0	242/297/329	87	304	5	55	20%	7%	78	-0.3	242/301/327	85	311	4	55	22%	8%	78	-0.2
✕Nick Dalesandro 2023 · AA	26	47	36→30	62→65	41	219/272/283	64	315	4	40	30%	6%	58	-1.7	209/266/281	72	302	5	29	30%	7%	56	-1.9	176/240/217	41	263	1	38	31%	7%	30	-1.4
✕Luis Valdez 2024 · A	24	44→52	36→40	65→70	38	205/255/273	68	309	4	46	33%	6%	49	-2.4	195/240/263	68	311	3	41	36%	5%	41	-3.0	176/219/225	49	288	0	60	37%	5%	22	-1.1
✕Nick Heath 2020 · AAA	26	45→39	39→40	64→65	40	206/269/294	88	329	7	44	37%	8%	60	-1.6	201/268/306	105	329	9	35	38%	8%	63	-1.4	182/257/288	106	310	8	36	40%	8%	55	-0.9
✕David Hamilton 2023 · AA	25	43	43→50	69→70	45	211/272/324	113	278	10	47	27%	7%	68	-1.0	212/281/344	132	273	14	51	26%	8%	77	-0.3	227/287/350	124	282	13	56	24%	7%	81	-0.0
✕Rico Noel 2014 · AA	25	51→55	34→30	62→65	43	233/294/286	53	330	1	44	28%	7%	68	-1.0	218/279/274	56	310	2	41	28%	7%	59	-1.6	176/225/229	54	256	3	46	31%	4%	26	-1.0
✕Taylor Young 2024 · A	25	45→44	40→30	62→60	52	211/305/301	90	285	7	32	26%	10%	76	-0.4	208/285/280	72	282	4	32	26%	8%	63	-1.3	210/286/275	65	281	4	33	24%	8%	60	-1.3
✕Pedro Powell 2009 · AA	25	47→54	33→30	61→65	47	218/279/260	43	284	1	41	23%	7%	55	-1.9	220/271/279	59	293	2	30	24%	6%	57	-1.8	229/265/267	39	306	0	41	24%	4%	47	-1.2
✕Wes Rogers 2018 · A	24	49→51	39→40	63→65	44	231/285/326	96	301	6	39	24%	6%	74	-0.6	202/256/283	81	293	6	24	31%	6%	53	-2.1	178/232/242	65	266	5	20	33%	6%	33	-2.1
✕Steward Berroa 2023 · AA	24	40→50	44→45	68→65	46	196/273/316	120	283	10	46	33%	9%	68	-1.0	223/298/330	107	328	9	46	32%	9%	80	-0.2	227/306/323	96	332	8	52	31%	10%	79	-0.1
✕Jayce Easley 2024 · AA	24	40→46	36→30	59→65	51	188/283/254	65	263	4	33	27%	10%	58	-1.7	184/261/244	60	291	4	21	34%	9%	47	-2.6	134/214/150	16	239	0	29	40%	8%	7	-2.0
✕Jeremias Pineda 2016 · AAA	25	50→59	35→30	60→65	39	231/283/287	56	329	4	41	30%	5%	63	-1.3	227/284/281	54	347	2	37	32%	7%	62	-1.4	236/294/282	46	358	1	40	32%	7%	62	-0.9
✕Marland Williams 2006 · AA	25	42→40	42→45	62→60	39	205/250/309	104	286	9	32	31%	6%	56	-1.9	185/243/299	114	315	11	30	42%	7%	52	-2.2	157/222/270	113	285	12	34	47%	7%	35	-1.9
✕Seth Stephenson 2024 · A	23	50→51	38→40	64→65	39	227/300/312	85	327	4	39	30%	6%	77	-0.3	224/287/310	86	290	6	42	24%	5%	71	-0.8	221/282/302	82	280	6	50	22%	5%	64	-1.1
✕Johnathon Thomas 2024 · A	24	40	38→40	60→65	38	191/267/259	68	287	6	41	33%	6%	53	-2.1	186/245/255	69	281	4	34	34%	5%	42	-2.9	179/235/245	66	267	3	37	32%	4%	33	-1.9
✕John Andreoli 2015 · AA	25	51→58	36→45	63→60	49	234/305/302	67	313	2	35	24%	9%	75	-0.5	221/297/327	106	313	8	32	29%	9%	78	-0.3	212/294/333	120	304	10	33	31%	10%	76	-0.4
✕Mel Stocker 2008 · AA	27	48	38→40	67→65	45	223/276/315	92	275	3	35	20%	6%	67	-1.1	230/283/309	79	278	3	39	17%	6%	68	-1.0	232/286/302	70	277	1	46	16%	5%	65	-0.7

Homer Bush Jr.

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps