Ricardo Balogh — OGILVIE

Ricardo BaloghSS Dunedin Blue Jays

Age 24 S/R 6'3" / 175 lbs A Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 76 proj PA

wRC+†68

AVG/OBP/SLG.214 / .276 / .328

PA76

HR1

K%27

BB%7

ISO115

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2019	17	ROK	DSL Astros	—	126	108	14	0	0	0	9	55	5	3	3	130	230	130	359		259	44	7	172	-10	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	17	ROK	DSL Astros	—	126	102	19	0	0	0	15	38	5	3	3	186	320	186	506		292	30	12	249	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	19	ROK	FCL Astros	—	145	139	17	2	1	1	4	70	1	2	2	122	153	173	325	50	232	48	3	144	-32	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	19	ROK	FCL Astros	—	145	135	25	4	1	2	8	48	1	2	2	185	236	274	510	89	267	33	6	231	35	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	20	ROK	FCL Astros Orange	—	191	181	36	3	2	0	7	74	0	3	1	199	229	238	466	39	327	39	4	207	17	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	20	ROK	FCL Astros Orange	—	191	177	49	5	3	0	11	50	0	3	1	277	319	339	658	62	377	26	6	293	83	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	21	A	Fayetteville Woodpeckers	—	346	319	64	9	2	5	21	128	2	3	0	201	254	288	543	88	311	37	6	243	44	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	21	A	Fayetteville Woodpeckers	—	346	307	74	12	3	6	33	93	2	3	0	241	319	358	677	117	321	27	10	304	91	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	A	Dunedin Blue Jays	—	51	45	9	3	0	0	6	16	0	0	0	200	294	267	561	67	310	31	12	237	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	A	Dunedin Blue Jays	—	51	44	9	3	0	0	7	12	0	0	0	205	314	273	586	68	281	24	14	278	71	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season
2026	24	MLB	TOR	—	76	70	14	3	0	1	5	21	1	1	0	200	263	286	549	86	284	28	7	274	68	-3	+0	+0	+1	+2	0.0
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	25	MLB	TOR	30%	131	120	27	5	1	3	9	35	1	2	1	225	285	358	643	133	285	27	7	283	75	-4	+0	+0	+1	+4	0.1
2028	26	MLB	TOR	44%	235	214	47	9	1	5	17	62	2	4	1	220	283	341	624	121	286	26	7	288	79	-6	+0	+0	+3	+7	0.4
2029	27	MLB	TOR	49%	299	271	61	11	2	7	23	78	3	5	1	225	293	358	651	133	286	26	8	290	80	-7	+1	+0	+3	+8	0.6
2030	28	MLB	TOR	51%	340	308	69	13	2	8	26	89	3	5	1	224	291	357	648	133	286	26	8	290	80	-8	+1	-1	+4	+10	0.6
2027	25	MLB	TOR	30%	39	36	7	1	0	1	3	10	0	1	0	194	256	306	562	111	286	26	8	277	70	-1	+0	+0	+0	+1	0.0
2028	26	MLB	TOR	44%	104	94	21	4	1	2	8	27	1	2	0	223	291	351	642	128	287	26	8	283	74	-3	+0	+0	+1	+3	0.1
2029	27	MLB	TOR	49%	146	133	30	6	1	3	11	38	1	2	1	226	290	353	643	128	287	26	8	284	76	-4	+0	+0	+2	+4	0.2
2030	28	MLB	TOR	51%	175	158	36	7	1	4	13	46	2	3	1	228	295	361	656	133	287	26	7	284	76	-5	+0	-0	+2	+5	0.2
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	464	421	94	18	3	10	35	121	4	8	2	223	289	352	641	128	287	26	8	283	75	-13	+1	-0	+5	+13	0.6
/ 162G	—			—	650	590	131	25	4	14	49	170	6	11	3	222	288	349	638	127	285	26	8	283	75	-18	+1	-1	+7	+18	0.8
Career	—			—	1940	1775	358	58	11	30	127	628	18	28	10	202	262	297	559	96	290	32	7	252	51	-107	+2	-1	+21	+55	-3.1
/ 162G	—			—	650	595	120	19	4	10	43	210	6	9	3	202	263	297	560	96	289	32	7	252	51	-36	+1	-0	+7	+18	-1.0

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2019	17	ROK	DSL Astros	—	126	102	19	0	0	0	15	38	5	3	3	186	320	186	506		292	30	12	249	49	-7	-1	—	—	+4	-0.4
2021	19	ROK	FCL Astros	—	145	135	25	4	1	2	8	48	1	2	2	185	236	274	510	89	267	33	6	231	35	-11	-0	—	—	+4	-0.7
2022	20	ROK	FCL Astros Orange	—	191	177	49	5	3	0	11	50	0	3	1	277	319	339	658	62	377	26	6	293	83	-4	+0	—	—	+5	0.2
2023	21	A	Fayetteville Woodpeckers	—	346	307	74	12	3	6	33	93	2	3	0	241	319	358	677	117	321	27	10	304	91	-4	+1	—	—	+10	0.7
2024	22	A	Dunedin Blue Jays	—	51	44	9	3	0	0	7	12	0	0	0	205	314	273	586	68	281	24	14	278	71	-2	+0	—	—	+1	-0.0

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Chad Moellerlast yr '09 career totals — 10 seasons, 1,524 PA	10	1,524	29	2	226	288	351	+19	+14	3.8	4.3
	/162	664	13	1	226	288	351	+8.5	+6.2	1.6	pk7: 5
#2Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	6	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.2	4.2
#2Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	/162	664	13	20	225	280	350	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#3Adam Rosaleslast yr '17 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,756 PA	9	1,756	47	16	227	293	367	+6	+8	3.0	3.5
	/162	664	18	6	227	293	367	+2.4	+3.0	1.1	pk7: 4
#4Guillermo Heredialast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,530 PA	6	1,530	25	6	231	311	345	+3	+17	3.5	3.5
	/162	664	11	3	231	311	345	+1.2	+7.6	1.5	pk7: 3
#5Einar Díazlast yr '05 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,763 PA	6	1,763	16	10	248	297	342	+5	+12	2.4	2.4
#5Einar Díazlast yr '05 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,763 PA	/162	664	6	4	248	297	342	+1.9	+4.7	0.9	pk7: 2
#6Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	7	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
#6Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	/162	664	9	2	230	279	335	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 3 projected seasons	3	541	12	9	224	286	354	+6	+9	0.8	0.8
	/162	664	15	11	224	286	354	+7.1	+11.1	1.0	pk7: 1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Ricardo Balogh (OGILVIE)	24	—	—	—	—	214/276/328	114	284	1	1	27%	7%	68	-0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Jeferson Morales 2023 · A	24	38→45	47→50	49→50	43	195/276/331	137	262	14	9	30%	7%	69	-0.4	215/289/349	134	277	13	9	26%	7%	79	+0.3	221/296/357	136	275	13	8	23%	7%	81	+0.2
✕Patrick Bailey 2023 · A	24	39→49	45	47→45	46	196/270/318	122	268	13	5	31%	9%	63	-0.9	229/290/349	120	305	12	5	27%	8%	79	+0.3	235/295/351	116	311	12	4	27%	7%	79	+0.2
✕Luis Santana 2023 · A	24	43	44→45	48→50	43	215/283/333	118	286	12	11	28%	7%	72	-0.2	206/263/326	120	268	13	7	28%	5%	62	-0.9	190/242/307	117	240	15	5	27%	4%	45	-1.1
✕Ben Johnson 2006 · A	24	43→44	48→55	48→45	43	218/278/366	147	267	16	5	25%	6%	79	+0.3	220/274/389	169	260	21	7	25%	5%	84	+0.6	218/268/392	174	248	24	7	23%	4%	80	+0.3
✕Rodney Choy Foo 2006 · A	24	48→45	43→50	50	44	231/292/351	120	314	9	10	28%	7%	79	+0.3	234/298/369	135	307	14	13	27%	8%	87	+0.8	232/300/373	141	296	16	14	26%	9%	90	+0.7
✕Cody Cipriano 2009 · A	24	40→48	45	55→45	46	199/274/329	130	265	11	12	28%	8%	67	-0.5	219/289/330	111	313	8	8	30%	8%	73	-0.1	224/298/330	106	321	7	7	30%	8%	75	+0.0
✕Jose Herrera 2021 · A	24	43	41→40	47→40	50	209/287/310	100	280	8	5	27%	10%	68	-0.5	214/287/309	95	287	9	5	27%	9%	66	-0.6	207/283/288	81	273	8	3	26%	9%	57	-0.6
✕Christopher Familia 2023 · A	23	39	45→55	47→45	45	200/277/324	124	256	13	8	27%	7%	68	-0.5	216/273/378	162	292	20	4	32%	6%	80	+0.4	212/264/396	184	278	26	0	33%	5%	76	+0.0
✕Adrian Del Castillo 2023 · A	23	36→43	44→50	52→40	42	187/249/306	120	252	12	7	30%	7%	51	-1.7	207/278/346	139	286	15	3	31%	8%	73	-0.1	222/289/402	180	281	22	1	28%	8%	91	+0.6
✕Sicnarf Loopstok 2017 · A	24	43→38	42→55	50	37	209/268/315	106	297	9	13	31%	5%	61	-1.0	220/290/388	168	304	21	9	33%	7%	90	+1.0	212/288/404	192	284	26	7	34%	8%	94	+0.8
✕Marcus Littlewood 2016 · AA	24	39	45	46→45	46	200/265/322	122	256	13	5	27%	8%	61	-1.0	214/269/324	110	289	10	5	28%	7%	63	-0.9	204/259/301	97	278	9	2	29%	7%	50	-0.8
✕Kaden Polcovich 2023 · AA	24	41	46→45	55	45	205/283/337	131	276	14	16	30%	8%	73	-0.1	203/285/327	124	281	12	18	30%	9%	72	-0.2	177/272/296	119	247	11	23	31%	10%	56	-0.5
✕Bradley Suttle 2010 · A	24	44→47	45→50	50→45	43	218/274/350	131	294	12	5	29%	7%	72	-0.2	212/265/345	133	318	13	7	35%	6%	67	-0.5	203/258/339	136	305	13	7	36%	6%	61	-0.7
✕Alex Isola 2021 · A	23	46→45	45→50	49→40	44	227/279/348	122	288	12	8	26%	6%	74	-0.1	217/284/369	152	276	20	4	28%	8%	82	+0.5	213/284/361	148	267	20	2	27%	8%	77	+0.1
✕Sean Jamieson 2013 · A	24	41→43	44→45	53→50	47	202/276/321	119	252	11	15	24%	8%	66	-0.6	223/280/337	114	297	10	10	27%	6%	71	-0.3	229/285/338	109	310	9	9	28%	6%	70	-0.2
✕John Hester 2008 · A	24	42	46→55	47→50	40	214/264/344	130	283	14	7	29%	6%	66	-0.6	237/278/387	150	311	14	9	27%	5%	83	+0.6	247/290/411	163	320	15	10	27%	5%	92	+0.6
✕Matthew Acosta 2022 · A	24	44	45	53→50	46	214/287/339	125	300	12	9	31%	9%	76	+0.0	205/272/318	113	301	11	13	33%	8%	63	-0.8	180/251/281	101	265	11	16	34%	8%	43	-1.4
✕Taylor Grzelakowski 2018 · A	24	43	41→45	50→30	42	210/261/306	96	282	8	8	28%	6%	55	-1.4	214/275/307	93	325	6	3	33%	7%	61	-1.0	207/272/296	89	313	6	1	33%	8%	55	-0.7
✕Luis Lara 2018 · A	23	46	44→45	51→45	48	225/284/349	124	272	11	6	21%	7%	76	+0.0	199/265/273	74	285	5	5	29%	8%	48	-1.9	153/232/170	17	231	0	2	31%	9%	5	-1.5
✕Carlos Narváez 2023 · A	24	36→45	46→50	46→45	45	182/272/307	125	283	14	6	38%	10%	62	-0.9	207/290/338	131	291	14	7	32%	9%	77	+0.1	212/294/349	136	285	16	6	29%	9%	79	+0.2