Ricardo Balogh — OGILVIE

Ricardo BaloghSS Dunedin Blue Jays

Age 24 S/R 6'3" / 175 lbs A HR +12%BB +4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036 peak 0.6 · 2029

wRC+†63

AVG/OBP/SLG.206 / .271 / .318

PA76

HR1

K%30

BB%7

MLB%0%

trajectory · 10 yrs

0.6peak

2029

Contract

ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031	Arb-3	$0.9M	+0.4	$2M	+$1.0M
2032	Ext / FA-deal	$0.9M	+0.3	$1M	+$0.5M
2033	Ext / FA-deal	$1.0M	+0.1	$0.5M	-$0.5M
2034	Ext / FA-deal	$0.2M	—	—	—
2035	Ext / FA-deal	$0.4M	—	—	—
2036	Ext / FA-deal	$0.6M	—	—	—
Totals		$4M		$-3M	-$7M

Why some years run red
On long-term deals the salary is locked in regardless of how the player ages. Late years are red whenever projected production drops below the AAV — that's expected, not a sign the deal is bad. The honest scorecard is the Net Surplus over the whole contract, not any single year.

Career Projections (MLE)

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2019	17	ROK	DSL Astros	126	108	14	0	0	0	9	55	5	3	3	.130	.230	.130	.359	.000	.259	44	7	.172	-10	-16	-1	+0	+1	+4	-1.2
2021	19	ROK	FCL Astros	145	139	17	2	1	1	4	71	1	2	2	.122	.153	.173	.325	.050	.235	49	3	.143	-32	-22	-0	+0	+2	+4	-1.7
2022	20	ROK	FCL Astros Orange	191	181	36	3	2	0	7	74	0	3	1	.199	.229	.238	.466	.039	.327	39	4	.207	17	-18	+0	+0	+2	+5	-1.1
2023	21	A	Fayetteville Woodpeckers	346	320	63	9	2	5	20	130	2	3	0	.197	.249	.284	.533	.087	.307	38	6	.238	40	-23	+1	+0	+4	+10	-0.9
2024	22	A	Dunedin Blue Jays	51	45	8	3	0	0	6	16	0	0	0	.178	.275	.244	.519	.067	.276	31	12	.230	34	-4	+0	+0	+1	+1	-0.2
▸ 2026 Season
2026	24	MLB	TOR	76	69	14	3	0	1	6	23	1	1	0	.203	.276	.290	.566	.087	.285	30	8	.268	63	-3	+0	+0	+1	+2	0.0
▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve
2027	25	MLB 10%	TOR	131	119	26	5	1	3	10	38	1	2	1	.218	.285	.353	.638	.134	.287	29	8	.280	73	-4	+0	+0	+1	+4	0.1
2028	26	MLB 25%	TOR	235	212	47	9	1	6	19	67	2	4	1	.222	.292	.358	.650	.137	.289	29	8	.288	79	-6	+0	+0	+3	+7	0.4
2029	27	MLB 42%	TOR	299	270	59	11	2	7	24	85	3	5	1	.219	.290	.352	.641	.133	.289	28	8	.290	80	-7	+1	+0	+3	+8	0.6
2030	28	MLB 52%	TOR	340	306	68	13	2	8	28	97	3	5	1	.222	.294	.356	.650	.134	.289	29	8	.290	80	-8	+1	-1	+4	+10	0.6
2031	29	MLB 63%	TOR	359	324	71	13	2	9	29	103	3	4	1	.219	.289	.355	.644	.136	.288	29	8	.287	78	-9	+0	-1	+4	+10	0.4
2032	30	MLB 72%	TOR	370	334	72	13	2	9	30	108	3	4	0	.216	.286	.347	.633	.132	.287	29	8	.284	76	-10	+1	-2	+4	+10	0.3
2033	31	MLB 81%	TOR	366	330	70	13	2	8	30	108	3	2	0	.212	.284	.336	.620	.124	.285	30	8	.281	73	-11	+0	-3	+4	+10	0.1
2034	32	MLB	TOR	354	319	67	12	2	8	29	106	3	1	0	.210	.282	.335	.617	.125	.283	30	8	.276	69	-12	+0	-4	+4	+10	-0.2
2035	33	MLB	TOR	328	295	61	11	2	7	27	101	3	0	0	.207	.280	.329	.609	.122	.282	31	8	.270	65	-13	+0	-4	+4	+9	-0.4
2036	34	MLB	TOR	287	260	52	9	1	6	23	91	2	0	0	.200	.270	.312	.582	.112	.280	32	8	.264	60	-13	+0	-5	+3	+8	-0.7
▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections)
Career	—			4004	3631	745	129	22	78	301	1273	35	39	11	.205	.272	.317	.590	.112	.289	32	8	.265	61	-178	+3	-20	+43	+113	-3.9
/ 162G	—			650	589	122	21	4	13	49	207	6	6	2	.207	.275	.323	.597	.115	.292	32	8	.265	61	-29	+0	-3	+7	+18	-0.6

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2019	17	ROK	DSL Astros	126	102	19	0	0	0	15	38	5	3	3	.186	.320	.186	.506	.000	.292	30	12	.249	49	-7	-1	—	—	+4	-0.4
2021	19	ROK	FCL Astros	145	135	25	4	1	2	8	48	1	2	2	.185	.236	.274	.510	.089	.267	33	6	.231	35	-11	-0	—	—	+4	-0.7
2022	20	ROK	FCL Astros Orange	191	177	49	5	3	0	11	50	0	3	1	.277	.319	.339	.658	.062	.377	26	6	.293	83	-4	+0	—	—	+5	0.2
2023	21	A	Fayetteville Woodpeckers	346	307	74	12	3	6	33	93	2	3	0	.241	.319	.358	.677	.117	.321	27	10	.304	91	-4	+1	—	—	+10	0.7
2024	22	A	Dunedin Blue Jays	51	44	9	3	0	0	7	12	0	0	0	.205	.314	.273	.586	.068	.281	24	14	.278	71	-2	+0	—	—	+1	-0.0

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Ricardo Balogh (OGILVIE)	24	—	—	—	—	.206/.271/.318	.112	.285	1	1	30%	7%	63	-0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Skye Bolt 2018 · A	24	40→39	42→50	46→50	40	.196/.254/.307	.111	.282	9	8	33%	7%	53	-1.5	.204/.266/.339	.135	.293	14	12	33%	7%	66	-0.6	.234/.302/.369	.135	.310	15	12	28%	8%	86	+0.3
✕Chase Simpson 2016 · A	24	40→36	43→50	51→45	44	.198/.264/.311	.113	.277	11	7	31%	8%	58	-1.2	.192/.256/.313	.121	.277	11	6	33%	7%	55	-1.4	.169/.235/.296	.126	.243	11	3	34%	7%	39	-1.0
✕Hutton Moyer 2016 · A	23	40→42	42→50	50	37	.197/.254/.306	.109	.276	9	7	31%	5%	53	-1.5	.206/.255/.336	.130	.302	14	12	35%	5%	61	-1.0	.195/.243/.331	.136	.288	16	15	37%	4%	51	-0.7
✕Chris Meyers 2023 · A	24	42→46	44→50	51→40	43	.212/.273/.333	.122	.278	12	9	28%	7%	67	-0.5	.228/.285/.377	.149	.300	18	5	29%	6%	85	+0.7	.226/.286/.378	.152	.294	19	3	29%	6%	82	+0.3
●Ryan Schimpf 2012 · A	24	38→39	46→60	51→45	40	.193/.263/.329	.136	.276	13	8	33%	7%	63	-0.9	.199/.276/.370	.171	.267	20	5	32%	8%	79	+0.3	.201/.284/.419	.218	.235	28	2	28%	9%	91	+0.9
✕Patrick Bailey 2023 · A	24	39→49	46→45	47→45	45	.199/.271/.326	.128	.273	14	6	31%	9%	66	-0.6	.223/.284/.340	.117	.298	12	5	28%	8%	74	-0.1	.229/.288/.338	.110	.303	11	4	27%	7%	75	-0.0
✕Adrian Del Castillo 2023 · A	23	36→45	43→55	52→40	41	.184/.246/.294	.110	.257	10	7	32%	7%	46	-2.0	.210/.280/.351	.141	.289	15	4	31%	8%	76	+0.0	.218/.292/.382	.164	.293	19	1	31%	9%	86	+0.5
✕James Free 2022 · A	24	42→44	40→50	48→30	43	.199/.268/.295	.096	.301	7	6	34%	8%	56	-1.3	.219/.274/.348	.129	.297	15	3	30%	6%	72	-0.2	.224/.278/.367	.143	.288	19	1	28%	6%	76	+0.0
✕David Sheaffer 2019 · A	24	37	42→55	52→40	39	.188/.235/.290	.102	.252	10	7	29%	5%	40	-2.4	.209/.253/.332	.123	.291	13	5	32%	5%	59	-1.1	.191/.236/.303	.112	.269	12	1	33%	5%	42	-0.7
✕Willie MacIver 2021 · A	24	37→35	43→45	49→55	37	.190/.236/.299	.109	.254	11	9	30%	4%	43	-2.2	.194/.260/.318	.124	.282	14	15	35%	7%	59	-1.1	.230/.309/.359	.129	.323	13	18	30%	8%	87	+0.4
✕Cody Cipriano 2009 · A	24	40→48	45	55→45	45	.200/.270/.330	.131	.263	12	11	28%	8%	66	-0.6	.219/.288/.332	.113	.309	9	8	30%	8%	73	-0.1	.225/.299/.333	.108	.319	8	7	29%	8%	76	+0.0
✕Jose Sermo 2014 · A	23	42→36	41→55	48→50	36	.204/.246/.303	.099	.294	8	11	33%	5%	47	-1.9	.207/.252/.314	.107	.321	10	10	37%	5%	53	-1.5	.190/.232/.328	.138	.324	15	10	45%	5%	48	-0.8
✕Nick Quintana 2022 · A	24	33→40	43→45	47→45	44	.172/.252/.279	.107	.245	11	6	33%	8%	46	-2.0	.191/.275/.301	.110	.267	11	5	30%	9%	61	-1.0	.177/.269/.279	.102	.246	10	3	30%	10%	50	-0.8
✕Christopher Familia 2023 · A	23	40	45→55	47→45	45	.204/.281/.326	.122	.262	13	8	27%	7%	70	-0.3	.219/.278/.391	.172	.284	22	4	30%	6%	85	+0.7	.215/.266/.411	.196	.270	28	0	32%	5%	81	+0.2
✕Dylan Neuse 2023 · A	24	37	39→40	49→50	44	.183/.260/.264	.081	.271	8	14	33%	9%	45	-2.1	.205/.286/.296	.091	.292	7	13	29%	9%	63	-0.8	.211/.301/.305	.094	.293	5	13	27%	10%	72	-0.1
✕Carson Blair 2014 · A	24	38	44→50	45→30	40	.187/.254/.308	.121	.292	11	6	38%	8%	53	-1.5	.202/.276/.338	.136	.333	13	4	40%	9%	70	-0.3	.191/.269/.325	.133	.318	14	1	41%	9%	62	-0.4
✕Blake Perkins 2022 · AA	25	38→48	44→50	52→55	44	.190/.262/.300	.110	.275	12	15	34%	8%	55	-1.4	.219/.299/.356	.137	.299	14	20	29%	10%	85	+0.7	.228/.311/.359	.130	.302	13	25	27%	10%	87	+0.5
✕Jeferson Morales 2023 · A	24	39→46	46→45	49→50	44	.197/.277/.329	.131	.260	14	9	29%	7%	69	-0.4	.215/.289/.346	.131	.275	13	9	25%	7%	78	+0.2	.223/.298/.355	.132	.277	12	8	23%	7%	81	+0.2
✕Taylor Grzelakowski 2018 · A	24	43	40→45	50→30	42	.211/.263/.307	.096	.286	8	8	28%	6%	56	-1.3	.215/.275/.312	.097	.328	7	3	34%	7%	62	-0.9	.204/.270/.296	.092	.311	6	1	34%	8%	54	-0.8
✕Grant Witherspoon 2021 · A	24	40→45	40→55	52→50	40	.196/.247/.290	.094	.271	8	12	30%	6%	44	-2.1	.219/.273/.373	.154	.297	19	13	32%	7%	78	+0.2	.216/.275/.377	.161	.291	21	14	32%	7%	77	+0.1

Contract

Career Projections (MLE) Show advanced cols

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Career Path Comps

Career Projections (MLE)