Ricardo Balogh — OGILVIE

Ricardo BaloghSS Dunedin Blue Jays

Age 24 S/R 6'3" / 175 lbs A Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 76 proj PA

wRC+†72

AVG/OBP/SLG.215 / .276 / .328

PA6

HR0

K%27

BB%7

ISO115

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$3M ctrl surplus

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.1	$0.3M	+$0.0M (cut)
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.1	$0.3M	+$0.0M (cut)
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	—	—	—
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.5M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2019	17	ROK	DSL Astros	—	126	102	19	0	0	0	15	38	5	3	3	186	320	186	506		292	30	12	249	54	-7	-1	—	—	+3	-0.5
2021	19	ROK	FCL Astros	—	145	135	25	4	1	2	8	48	1	2	2	185	236	274	510	89	267	33	6	231	43	-10	-0	—	—	+3	-0.7
2022	20	ROK	FCL Astros Orange	—	191	177	49	5	3	0	11	50	0	3	1	277	319	339	658	62	377	26	6	293	85	-3	+0	—	—	+4	0.1
2023	21	A	Fayetteville Woodpeckers	—	346	307	74	12	3	6	33	93	2	3	0	241	319	358	677	117	321	27	10	304	92	-3	+1	—	—	+7	0.5
2024	22	A	Dunedin Blue Jays	—	51	44	9	3	0	0	7	12	0	0	0	205	314	273	586	68	281	24	14	278	74	-2	+0	—	—	+1	-0.0
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2019	17	ROK MLE	DSL Astros	—	126	108	14	0	0	0	9	55	5	3	3	130	230	130	359		239	44	7	172	3	-15	-1	—	—	+3	-1.3
2021	19	ROK MLE	FCL Astros	—	145	138	17	2	1	1	5	70	1	2	2	123	160	174	334	51	220	48	3	146	-15	-20	-0	—	—	+3	-1.7
2022	20	ROK MLE	FCL Astros Orange	—	191	181	36	3	2	0	7	73	0	3	1	199	229	238	466	39	314	38	4	206	26	-17	+0	—	—	+4	-1.3
2023	21	A MLE	Fayetteville Woodpeckers	—	346	320	62	9	2	5	20	130	2	3	0	194	246	281	527	87	299	38	6	237	47	-22	+1	—	—	+7	-1.4
2024	22	A MLE	Dunedin Blue Jays	—	51	46	8	3	0	0	5	16	0	0	0	174	255	239	494	65	269	31	10	228	40	-4	+0	—	—	+1	-0.3
2019	17	ROK MLE	DSL Astros	—	126	108	14	0	0	0	9	55	5	3	3	130	230	130	359		259	44	7	172	3	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	17	ROK RAW	DSL Astros	—	126	102	19	0	0	0	15	38	5	3	3	186	320	186	506		292	30	12	249	3	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	19	ROK MLE	FCL Astros	—	145	138	17	2	1	1	5	70	1	2	2	123	160	174	334	51	235	48	3	146	-15	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	19	ROK RAW	FCL Astros	—	145	135	25	4	1	2	8	48	1	2	2	185	236	274	510	89	267	33	6	231	-15	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	20	ROK MLE	FCL Astros Orange	—	191	181	36	3	2	0	7	73	0	3	1	199	229	238	466	39	324	38	4	206	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	20	ROK RAW	FCL Astros Orange	—	191	177	49	5	3	0	11	50	0	3	1	277	319	339	658	62	377	26	6	293	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	21	A MLE	Fayetteville Woodpeckers	—	346	320	62	9	2	5	20	130	2	3	0	194	246	281	527	87	302	38	6	237	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	21	A RAW	Fayetteville Woodpeckers	—	346	307	74	12	3	6	33	93	2	3	0	241	319	358	677	117	321	27	10	304	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	A MLE	Dunedin Blue Jays	—	51	46	8	3	0	0	5	16	0	0	0	174	255	239	494	65	267	31	10	228	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	A RAW	Dunedin Blue Jays	—	51	44	9	3	0	0	7	12	0	0	0	205	314	273	586	68	281	24	14	278	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	17	ROK MLE	DSL Astros	—	126	111	14	0	0	0	9	55	5	3	3	126	230	126	356		239	44	7	172	3	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	19	ROK MLE	FCL Astros	—	145	138	17	2	1	1	5	70	1	2	2	123	160	174	334	51	220	48	3	146	-15	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	20	ROK MLE	FCL Astros Orange	—	191	182	36	3	2	0	7	73	0	3	1	198	229	236	465	38	314	38	4	206	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	21	A MLE	Fayetteville Woodpeckers	—	346	321	62	9	2	5	20	130	2	3	0	193	246	280	526	87	299	38	6	237	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	A MLE	Dunedin Blue Jays	—	51	46	8	3	0	0	5	16	0	0	0	174	255	239	494	65	269	31	10	228	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	21	A MLE	Fayetteville Woodpeckers	—	346	321	62	9	2	5	20	130	2	3	0	193	246	280	526	87	299	38	6	237	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	A MLE	Dunedin Blue Jays	—	51	46	8	3	0	0	5	16	0	0	0	174	255	239	494	65	269	31	10	228	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 season
2026	24	MLB MLE	TOR	0%	6	6	1	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	167	167	167	333		283	33	0	274	72	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	0.1
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	25	MLB MLE	TOR	30%	131	120	27	5	1	3	9	35	1	2	1	225	285	358	643	133	285	27	7	283	78	-3	+0	+0	+1	+3	0.1
2028	26	MLB MLE	TOR	44%	235	214	47	9	1	5	17	61	2	4	1	220	283	341	624	121	285	26	7	288	81	-5	+0	+0	+3	+5	0.3
2029	27	MLB MLE	TOR	49%	299	271	61	11	2	7	23	78	3	5	1	225	293	358	651	133	286	26	8	290	83	-6	+1	+0	+3	+6	0.4
2030	28	MLB MLE	TOR	51%	340	308	69	13	2	8	26	89	3	5	1	224	291	357	648	133	285	26	8	290	83	-7	+1	-1	+4	+7	0.4
2031	29	MLB MLE	TOR	51%	359	325	73	14	2	8	28	94	3	5	1	225	292	354	646	129	285	26	8	289	82	-8	+1	-1	+4	+8	0.3
2032	30	MLB MLE	TOR	51%	370	335	74	14	2	8	29	98	3	5	1	221	289	346	635	125	284	26	8	286	80	-9	+1	-2	+4	+8	0.2
2033	31	MLB MLE	TOR	51%	366	332	72	13	2	8	28	98	3	4	1	217	284	340	624	123	282	27	8	282	77	-10	+0	-3	+4	+8	-0.1
2027	25	MLB CTX	TOR	30%	39	36	7	1	0	1	3	10	0	1	0	194	256	306	562	111	286	26	8	277	78	-1	+0	+0	+0	+1	0.0
2028	26	MLB CTX	TOR	44%	104	94	21	4	1	2	8	27	1	2	0	223	291	351	642	128	287	26	8	283	81	-2	+0	+0	+1	+2	0.1
2029	27	MLB CTX	TOR	49%	146	133	30	6	1	3	11	38	1	2	1	226	290	353	643	128	287	26	8	284	83	-3	+0	+0	+2	+3	0.2
2030	28	MLB CTX	TOR	51%	175	158	36	7	1	4	13	46	2	3	1	228	295	361	656	133	287	26	7	284	83	-4	+0	-0	+2	+4	0.2
2031	29	MLB CTX	TOR	51%	185	167	37	7	1	4	14	49	2	3	1	222	290	347	637	126	286	26	8	283	82	-4	+0	-1	+2	+4	0.1
2032	30	MLB CTX	TOR	51%	190	171	38	7	1	4	15	50	2	2	1	222	293	345	638	123	285	26	8	280	80	-5	+0	-1	+2	+4	0.1
2033	31	MLB CTX	TOR	51%	188	170	37	7	1	4	14	50	2	2	1	218	285	341	626	124	283	27	7	277	77	-5	+0	-1	+2	+4	-0.0
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	1027	929	206	39	6	22	78	270	10	15	5	222	289	348	637	126	286	26	8	281	64	-24	+1	-4	+11	+22	0.7
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	588	131	25	4	14	49	171	6	9	3	223	289	350	640	128	287	26	8	281	64	-15	+1	-2	+7	+14	0.4
Career	—	MLE		—	2965	2704	561	96	17	53	206	899	26	41	13	207	270	314	584	107	287	30	7	263	64	-49	+3	-7	+23	+46	1.6
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	593	124	21	4	12	45	197	6	9	3	209	272	319	590	110	289	30	7	263	64	-15	+1	-2	+7	+14	0.5

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Ronny Cedenolast yr '13 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,783 PA	4.2	2,783	40	39	246	289	354	+28	+19	5.5	5.6
/162	664	10	9	+6.7	+4.5	1.3	pk7: 6
#2Chris Owingslast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,420 PA	3.6	2,420	35	78	239	286	365	+13	-0	3.7	4.5
/162	664	10	21	+3.6	-0.1	1.0	pk7: 5
#3Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	2.3	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.1	4.1
/162	664	13	20	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#4Adam Rosaleslast yr '17 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,756 PA	2.6	1,756	47	16	227	293	367	+6	+8	3.0	3.5
/162	664	18	6	+2.4	+3.0	1.1	pk7: 4
#5Guillermo Heredialast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,530 PA	2.3	1,530	25	6	231	311	345	+3	+17	3.5	3.5
/162	664	11	3	+1.2	+7.6	1.5	pk7: 3
#6Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	2.5	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
/162	664	9	2	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 4 projected seasons	1.7	1,104	25	16	223	286	352	+12	+12	1.7	1.7
/162	664	15	10	+7.1	+7.2	1.0	pk7: 2

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Ricardo Balogh (OGILVIE)	24	—	—	—	—	215/276/328	114	283	1	1	27%	7%	72	-0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Patrick Bailey 2023 · A	24	38→48	46→45	47→45	46	195/269/321	126	268	13	5	31%	9%	68	-1.0	226/287/344	118	301	12	5	27%	8%	78	-0.3	231/291/344	113	305	11	4	27%	7%	78	-0.2
✕Jeferson Morales 2023 · A	24	38→48	46→45	49→50	43	193/273/321	128	259	13	9	30%	7%	70	-0.9	215/289/341	126	276	12	9	25%	7%	79	-0.2	221/295/347	125	275	11	8	22%	7%	80	-0.1
✕Carlos Narváez 2023 · A	24	36→45	46→45	46→45	44	182/271/305	123	284	14	6	38%	10%	65	-1.2	206/290/331	125	292	13	7	32%	9%	78	-0.3	212/295/344	132	286	15	6	29%	9%	81	-0.0
✕Ben Johnson 2006 · A	24	43→44	48→55	48→45	43	218/278/366	147	267	16	5	25%	6%	81	-0.1	220/274/385	165	260	21	7	24%	5%	84	+0.2	217/267/384	167	247	22	7	23%	4%	80	-0.1
✕Andrew Navigato 2022 · AA	24	41→40	44→55	46→50	44	203/280/318	115	282	11	13	30%	8%	71	-0.8	217/276/370	153	271	17	14	26%	6%	81	-0.1	214/273/383	169	262	19	17	26%	6%	81	-0.1
✕Jake Rogers 2019 · AA	24	37→40	46→55	48→45	41	194/258/325	131	264	14	9	32%	7%	64	-1.3	204/278/363	159	283	19	5	33%	8%	81	-0.1	216/279/422	206	274	28	2	32%	7%	93	+0.4
✕Elih Marrero 2021 · A	24	44	39→40	49→55	44	210/266/295	85	273	6	7	25%	7%	59	-1.7	214/286/290	76	305	4	21	28%	9%	66	-1.1	210/267/320	110	294	8	22	29%	6%	62	-0.4
✕Chris Meyers 2023 · A	24	42→45	44→50	51→40	43	210/272/331	121	280	12	9	28%	7%	70	-0.8	225/283/368	143	295	17	5	29%	6%	83	+0.1	222/283/366	144	287	17	3	28%	6%	80	-0.1
✕Skye Bolt 2019 · AA	25	40→41	46→50	51→50	42	204/265/340	137	284	13	12	32%	7%	70	-0.9	218/281/357	139	307	14	12	32%	8%	80	-0.2	238/305/370	133	314	14	12	28%	8%	89	+0.2
✕Cody Cipriano 2009 · A	24	40→48	45	55→45	46	199/274/329	130	265	11	12	28%	8%	71	-0.8	222/292/331	109	312	8	8	29%	8%	78	-0.3	229/303/334	105	320	7	7	28%	8%	81	-0.1
✕Rodney Choy Foo 2006 · A	24	48→46	43→50	50	44	231/292/351	120	314	9	10	28%	7%	82	-0.0	233/298/365	132	304	14	13	26%	8%	88	+0.4	232/300/367	135	295	15	14	25%	9%	90	+0.4
✕Kaden Polcovich 2023 · AA	24	40→41	45	55	46	202/282/324	121	272	12	16	29%	8%	73	-0.6	200/281/310	110	279	10	18	30%	9%	70	-0.9	175/267/275	101	249	8	23	30%	9%	55	-0.7
✕Christopher Familia 2023 · A	23	40	46→55	47→45	45	203/281/331	128	258	14	8	26%	8%	74	-0.5	219/278/387	168	291	21	4	31%	6%	86	+0.3	217/271/408	191	280	27	0	32%	5%	84	+0.1
✕Jose Herrera 2021 · A	24	43	40	47→40	50	209/288/305	96	279	8	5	26%	10%	71	-0.8	218/290/310	92	290	9	5	26%	9%	72	-0.7	213/289/293	79	280	8	3	25%	9%	65	-0.6
✕Sean Jamieson 2013 · A	24	41→45	43→45	53→50	48	203/279/317	114	256	10	15	24%	8%	70	-0.8	227/288/340	113	300	9	10	26%	6%	78	-0.3	236/295/344	109	315	9	9	26%	6%	78	-0.2
✕Taylor Grzelakowski 2018 · A	24	43	41→45	50→30	42	210/261/306	96	282	8	8	28%	6%	60	-1.6	213/275/308	95	322	7	3	33%	7%	65	-1.2	206/272/297	91	310	6	1	33%	8%	60	-0.8
✕Hutton Moyer 2017 · A	24	42	47→50	49→50	35	210/262/349	139	302	15	9	35%	5%	71	-0.8	202/249/323	121	304	12	16	36%	5%	60	-1.6	163/203/268	105	246	11	29	38%	4%	27	-0.8
✕Sicnarf Loopstok 2017 · A	24	43→37	42→50	50	38	209/268/316	107	294	9	13	31%	5%	65	-1.2	211/281/360	149	299	17	9	34%	7%	81	-0.1	199/275/365	165	277	21	7	34%	7%	81	-0.0
✕Luis Lara 2018 · A	23	46	44→45	51→45	48	225/284/349	124	272	11	6	21%	7%	78	-0.3	200/266/274	74	283	5	5	28%	8%	55	-2.0	157/235/176	18	232	0	2	29%	9%	19	-1.4
✕Trent Woodward 2015 · A	23	43	41→45	47→30	47	207/286/310	103	278	7	6	27%	8%	72	-0.7	220/287/309	89	313	7	4	29%	8%	71	-0.8	220/290/306	86	311	8	1	30%	8%	68	-0.3

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps