Luis Mey
P
Louisville Bats
+0.3
WAR
Age 25
RHP
6'5" / 235 lbs
AAA
peak 0.3 · 2026
ERA4.04
FIP4.44
xFIP4.88
SIERA5.12
K%22.8%
BB%13.4%
K-BB%9.4%
IP55
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.3peak
2026
STUF5555
CTRL4040
CMD5050
K†5555
FB Velo
p9098.7
Whiff%
p5225.6%
K%
p4821.9%
xwOBA vs
p190.349
FB+2.1 (75%)
SI (73%)
SL-3.2 (25%)
Career (MLE) + Projections
Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.3 (SP) / 4.95 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | K% | BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019 | 18 | ROK | AZL Reds | 13 | 12 | 40 | 212 | 28 | 28 | 4 | 9.0% | 16.5% | 2.6% | 8.39 | 5.88 | -0.4 |
| 2021 | 20 | A | Daytona Tortugas | 6 | 0 | 9 | 45 | 10 | 9 | 1 | — | — | — | 6.00 | — | — |
| 2022 | 21 | A | Daytona Tortugas | 34 | 0 | 43 | 205 | 58 | 32 | 3 | 20.9% | 18.4% | 2.3% | 5.65 | 4.94 | +0.0 |
| 2023 | 22 | A | Daytona Tortugas | 14 | 0 | 17 | 77 | 18 | 16 | 3 | 17.3% | 24.5% | 4.7% | 5.40 | 7.35 | -0.5 |
| 2024 | 23 | AA | Chattanooga Lookouts | 40 | 0 | 55 | 244 | 63 | 42 | 0 | 20.3% | 19.4% | 0.0% | 3.44 | 3.84 | +0.7 |
| 2025 | 24 | MLB | Cincinnati Reds | 63 | 0 | 61 | 265 | 67 | 37 | 3 | 23.2% | 14.3% | 1.0% | 2.80 | 3.53 | +1.0 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 25 | AAA | Louisville Bats | 7 | 0 | 7 | 32 | 9 | 2 | 1 | — | — | — | 5.14 | — | — |
| ROS | 25 | MLB | CIN | 55 | — | 55 | 231 | 54 | 32 | 5 | 23.4% | 13.9% | 2.2% | 4.06 | 4.46 | +0.3 |
| 2026 Total | 25 | MLB | CIN | — | — | 62 | 263 | 63 | 34 | 6 | 23.9% | 13.0% | 2.3% | 4.18 | 3.95 | +0.7 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging | ||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 26 | MLB | CIN | 55 | — | 55 | 231 | 55 | 31 | 5 | 23.6% | 13.4% | 2.3% | 4.27 | 4.42 | +0.3 |
| 2028 | 27 | MLB | CIN | 54 | — | 54 | 230 | 54 | 30 | 5 | 23.6% | 13.1% | 2.3% | 4.36 | 4.42 | +0.3 |
| 2029 | 28 | MLB | CIN | 54 | — | 54 | 226 | 53 | 29 | 5 | 23.5% | 12.9% | 2.4% | 4.41 | 4.44 | +0.3 |
| 2030 | 29 | MLB | CIN | 52 | — | 52 | 221 | 51 | 29 | 5 | 23.0% | 12.9% | 2.4% | 4.47 | 4.51 | +0.3 |
| 2031 | 30 | MLB | CIN | 51 | — | 51 | 214 | 48 | 28 | 5 | 22.5% | 13.0% | 2.5% | 4.55 | 4.61 | +0.2 |
| 2032 | 31 | MLB | CIN | 49 | — | 49 | 207 | 45 | 27 | 5 | 21.9% | 13.2% | 2.6% | 4.65 | 4.71 | +0.1 |
| 2033 | 32 | MLB | CIN | 47 | — | 47 | 198 | 42 | 26 | 5 | 21.3% | 13.3% | 2.7% | 4.76 | 4.83 | +0.1 |
| 2034 | 33 | MLB | CIN | 45 | — | 45 | 190 | 39 | 26 | 5 | 20.6% | 13.5% | 2.7% | 4.88 | 4.95 | 0.0 |
| 2035 | 34 | MLB | CIN | 43 | — | 43 | 180 | 36 | 25 | 5 | 19.9% | 13.7% | 2.8% | 5.01 | 5.09 | -0.1 |
| 2036 | 35 | MLB | CIN | 40 | — | 40 | 170 | 33 | 24 | 5 | 19.2% | 13.9% | 3.0% | 5.15 | 5.25 | -0.1 |
| 2037 | 36 | MLB | CIN | 38 | — | 38 | 159 | 29 | 22 | 5 | 18.4% | 14.2% | 3.1% | 5.31 | 5.41 | -0.2 |
| ▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected) | ||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 177 | 12 | 231 | 1080 | 205 | 188 | 19 | 19.0% | 17.4% | 1.7% | 4.82 | 4.65 | +1.7 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 153 | 10 | 200 | 934 | 177 | 163 | 16 | 19.0% | 17.4% | 1.7% | 4.82 | 4.65 | +1.5 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Luis Mey (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.46 | 23.4% | 13.9% | 2.2% | — | 4.43 | 23.6% | 10.4% | 163 | -0.03 | — | — | — |
| Hunter Bigge R 2026 · 4.09 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.09 | 23.4% | 15.4% | 1.8% | .316 | 4.18 | 32.2% | 23.0% | 52 | +0.09 | 3.43 | 180 | 84 |
| Pat Light R 2026 · 4.15 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.15 | 21.1% | 13.1% | 2.1% | .276 | 4.62 | 11.8% | -2.3% | 55 | +0.47 | 4.15 | 172 | 80 |
| Tayron Guerrero R 2026 · 3.82 FIP | 25 | SU | 3.82 | 19.9% | 11.3% | 1.8% | .291 | 4.95 | 22.0% | 7.3% | 135 | +1.13 | 2.96 | 316 | 79 |
| Thyago Vieira R 2026 · 3.99 FIP | 25 | SW | 3.99 | 21.5% | 12.5% | 2.1% | .324 | 4.41 | 21.1% | 10.3% | 47 | +0.42 | 3.04 | 311 | 79 |
| Brian Ellington R 2026 · 3.44 FIP | 25 | SW | 3.44 | 27.5% | 14.3% | 1.6% | .252 | 4.95 | 24.6% | 9.0% | 97 | +1.51 | 2.75 | 233 | 78 |
| José Ramírez R 2026 · 4.03 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.03 | 19.5% | 12.2% | 1.9% | .312 | 3.94 | 22.4% | 11.8% | 136 | -0.09 | 3.36 | 206 | 78 |
| Arodys Vizcaíno R 2026 · 3.37 FIP | 25 | SU | 3.37 | 27.5% | 12.6% | 1.8% | .321 | 3.59 | 26.4% | 17.8% | 96 | +0.22 | 2.27 | 183 | 78 |
| Brad Goldberg R 2026 · 4.07 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.07 | 18.2% | 11.7% | 1.9% | .333 | 3.87 | 21.4% | 7.2% | 139 | -0.20 | 3.14 | 197 | 77 |
| Tommy Kahnle R 2026 · 4.17 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.17 | 23.8% | 14.8% | 2.2% | .284 | 2.58 | 30.9% | 21.0% | 165 | -1.59 | 1.53 | 433 | 77 |
| Jordan Weems R 2026 · 3.94 FIP | 25 | SU | 3.94 | 19.0% | 12.0% | 1.7% | .333 | 4.56 | 22.7% | 9.6% | 98 | +0.62 | 2.99 | 459 | 76 |
| Jairo Díaz R 2025 · 4.54 FIP | 24 | SW | 4.54 | 18.8% | 13.6% | 2.4% | .281 | 3.31 | 20.2% | 10.3% | 18 | -1.23 | 2.97 | 190 | 76 |
| Jesus Pirela R 2027 · 3.85 FIP | 26 | SW | 3.85 | 23.7% | 11.6% | 2.3% | .305 | 3.92 | 17.1% | 13.9% | 45 | +0.07 | 3.23 | 161 | 75 |
| Luis Ramirez R 2025 · 3.73 FIP | 24 | SW | 3.73 | 24.0% | 12.6% | 1.9% | .286 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.73 | 104 | 75 |
| Kyle Grana R 2026 · 3.65 FIP | 25 | SW | 3.65 | 21.7% | 13.9% | 1.1% | .280 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.17 | 109 | 75 |
| Justin Evans R 2026 · 3.64 FIP | 25 | SW | 3.64 | 23.6% | 14.3% | 1.3% | .323 | 4.80 | 16.4% | -7.9% | 14 | +1.16 | 3.64 | 105 | 75 |
| Zach Maxwell R 2025 · 4.81 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.81 | 23.6% | 14.8% | 3.3% | .290 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.83 | 165 | 75 |
| Yacksel Ríos R 2026 · 4.30 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.30 | 21.9% | 11.5% | 2.9% | .314 | 4.46 | 20.6% | 9.3% | 109 | +0.16 | 3.17 | 494 | 75 |
| Alec Barger R 2026 · 4.45 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.45 | 21.5% | 14.4% | 2.5% | .326 | 4.74 | 18.6% | 7.5% | 79 | +0.29 | 3.86 | 242 | 74 |
| Rowan Wick R 2026 · 3.57 FIP | 25 | SW | 3.57 | 23.5% | 13.4% | 1.4% | .265 | 2.59 | 27.1% | 18.0% | 109 | -0.98 | 2.46 | 361 | 74 |
| Kevin Kopps R 2026 · 4.59 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.59 | 20.2% | 15.1% | 2.3% | .278 | 4.54 | 16.5% | 2.8% | 182 | -0.05 | 3.49 | 237 | 74 |
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.