Luis Mey
P
Louisville Bats
Age 25
RHP
6'5" / 235 lbs
AAA
peak 0.1 · 2026
ILReassigned to Minors (RM)
2026 ROS PROJECTION36 act + 36 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 116107vR 98
ERA4.14
FIP4.27
K%23.6%
BB%15.4%
K-BB%8.2%
ROS IP36
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 72 IP
Grades · Arsenal · Contract
FB+2.1 (75%)
SI (73%)
SL-3.2 (25%)
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019 | 18 | ROK | AZL Reds | 13 | 12 | 40 | 212 | 28 | 28 | 4 | 92% | 3.1 | 9.0% | 16.5% | -7.5% | 2.6% | 8.39 | 5.88 | — |
| 2019 | 18 | ROK | AZL Reds | 13 | 12 | 40 | 212 | 28 | 28 | 4 | 92% | 3.1 | 13.2% | 13.2% | 0.0% | 1.9% | 8.39 | 5.12 | — |
| 2021 | 20 | A | Daytona Tortugas | 6 | 0 | 9 | 45 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 0% | 1.5 | 22.2% | 20.0% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 6.00 | 4.98 | — |
| 2021 | 20 | A | Daytona Tortugas | 6 | 0 | 9 | 45 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 0% | 1.5 | 22.2% | 20.0% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 6.00 | 5.32 | — |
| 2022 | 21 | A | Daytona Tortugas | 34 | 0 | 43 | 205 | 58 | 32 | 3 | 0% | 1.3 | 20.9% | 18.4% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 5.65 | 5.03 | — |
| 2022 | 21 | A | Daytona Tortugas | 34 | 0 | 43 | 205 | 58 | 32 | 3 | 0% | 1.3 | 28.3% | 15.6% | 12.7% | 1.5% | 5.65 | 3.54 | — |
| 2023 | 22 | A | Daytona Tortugas | 14 | 0 | 17 | 77 | 18 | 16 | 3 | 0% | 1.2 | 17.3% | 24.5% | -7.2% | 4.5% | 5.40 | 7.23 | — |
| 2023 | 22 | A | Daytona Tortugas | 14 | 0 | 17 | 77 | 18 | 16 | 3 | 0% | 1.2 | 23.4% | 20.8% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 5.40 | 6.16 | — |
| 2024 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 40 | 0 | 55 | 244 | 63 | 42 | 0 | 0% | 1.4 | 20.3% | 19.4% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 3.44 | 3.84 | — |
| 2024 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 40 | 0 | 55 | 244 | 63 | 42 | 0 | 0% | 1.4 | 25.8% | 17.2% | 8.6% | 0.0% | 3.44 | 3.10 | — |
| 2025 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 63 | 0 | 61 | 265 | 67 | 37 | 3 | 0% | 1.0 | 23.2% | 14.3% | 8.9% | 1.1% | 2.80 | 3.55 | +0.7 |
| 2025 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 63 | 0 | 61 | 265 | 67 | 37 | 3 | 0% | 1.0 | 25.3% | 14.0% | 11.3% | 1.1% | 2.80 | 3.36 | +0.9 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 25 | MLB | Cincinnati Reds | 33 | 0 | 36 | 182 | 54 | 30 | 5 | 0% | 1.1 | 25.9% | 15.4% | 10.4% | 2.4% | 5.25 | 4.20 | +0.1 |
| ROS | 25 | MLB | CIN | 34 | 0 | 36 | 152 | 36 | 23 | 3 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.6% | 15.4% | 8.2% | 2.2% | 4.14 | 4.27 | +0.1 |
| ROS | 25 | MLB | CIN | 34 | 0 | 36 | 152 | 36 | 23 | 3 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.6% | 15.4% | 8.2% | 2.2% | 4.14 | 4.27 | +0.1 |
| 2026 TOT | 25 | MLB | CIN | — | — | 72 | 334 | 90 | 53 | 8 | — | — | 26.9% | 16.0% | 10.9% | 2.5% | 4.70 | 4.24 | +0.5 |
| 2026 FULL | 25 | MLB | CIN | — | — | 45 | 188 | 90 | 53 | 8 | — | — | 47.7% | 28.4% | 19.3% | 4.4% | 7.57 | 5.10 | -0.3 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 26 | MLB | CIN | 63 | 0 | 66 | 280 | 68 | 43 | 7 | 0% | 1.1 | 24.3% | 15.4% | 8.9% | 2.4% | 4.67 | 4.72 | -0.0 |
| 2028 | 27 | MLB | CIN | 62 | 0 | 65 | 276 | 67 | 41 | 7 | 0% | 1.1 | 24.2% | 15.0% | 9.2% | 2.5% | 4.69 | 4.72 | -0.0 |
| 2027 | 26 | MLB | CIN | 60 | 0 | 63 | 266 | 65 | 41 | 6 | 0% | 1.1 | 24.3% | 15.4% | 8.9% | 2.4% | 4.67 | 4.72 | -0.1 |
| 2028 | 27 | MLB | CIN | 59 | 0 | 62 | 262 | 63 | 39 | 7 | 0% | 1.1 | 24.2% | 15.0% | 9.2% | 2.5% | 4.69 | 4.72 | -0.1 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 183 | 0 | 191 | 822 | 199 | 131 | 21 | 0% | 1.0 | 24.2% | 15.9% | 8.3% | 2.6% | 4.56 | 4.50 | +2.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 192 | 0 | 200 | 862 | 209 | 137 | 22 | 0% | 1.0 | 24.2% | 15.9% | 8.3% | 2.6% | 4.56 | 4.50 | +2.1 | ||
| Career | — | 203 | 12 | 260 | 1230 | 243 | 214 | 22 | 6% | 1.3 | 19.8% | 17.4% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 4.87 | 4.64 | +2.3 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 156 | 9 | 200 | 945 | 187 | 165 | 17 | 6% | 1.3 | 19.8% | 17.4% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 4.87 | 4.64 | +1.8 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Luis Mey (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.67 | 23.2% | 15.4% | 2.2% | — | 4.72 | 24.3% | 9.0% | 132 | +0.05 | — | — | — |
| Hunter Bigge R 2026 · 4.05 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.05 | 23.4% | 15.4% | 1.8% | .316 | 4.44 | 27.8% | 16.5% | 86 | +0.39 | 3.39 | 213 | 83 |
| Zach Maxwell R 2026 · 4.62 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.62 | 23.7% | 17.0% | 2.5% | .289 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.81 | 200 | 78 |
| Brian Ellington R 2026 · 3.49 FIP | 25 | SU | 3.49 | 27.5% | 14.3% | 1.6% | .252 | 5.05 | 24.6% | 9.0% | 97 | +1.56 | 2.75 | 233 | 78 |
| Ryan Zeferjahn R 2026 · 5.61 FIP | 25 | SU | 5.61 | 27.0% | 21.6% | 3.8% | .292 | 3.90 | 28.7% | 16.6% | 164 | -1.71 | 3.30 | 323 | 77 |
| Pat Light R 2026 · 4.11 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.11 | 21.1% | 13.1% | 2.1% | .276 | 4.66 | 11.8% | -2.3% | 55 | +0.55 | 4.11 | 172 | 77 |
| Tommy Kahnle R 2026 · 4.00 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.00 | 23.8% | 14.8% | 1.9% | .284 | 2.56 | 30.9% | 21.0% | 165 | -1.44 | 1.52 | 452 | 76 |
| Michael Petersen R 2026 · 4.44 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.44 | 21.8% | 17.0% | 1.9% | .244 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.05 | 381 | 76 |
| Tayron Guerrero R 2026 · 3.61 FIP | 25 | SU | 3.61 | 19.9% | 11.3% | 1.4% | .291 | 4.93 | 22.0% | 7.3% | 135 | +1.32 | 2.18 | 355 | 76 |
| Ariel Hernández R 2026 · 4.61 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.61 | 24.0% | 18.9% | 2.1% | .229 | 3.83 | 19.1% | 2.2% | 55 | -0.78 | 3.74 | 192 | 76 |
| Thyago Vieira R 2026 · 3.91 FIP | 25 | SU | 3.91 | 21.5% | 12.5% | 1.9% | .324 | 4.09 | 21.1% | 10.3% | 47 | +0.18 | 3.05 | 311 | 75 |
| Nick Mears R 2026 · 4.45 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.45 | 22.4% | 16.8% | 2.0% | .283 | 3.53 | 26.0% | 16.0% | 157 | -0.92 | 3.33 | 273 | 75 |
| Seth Halvorsen R 2026 · 4.51 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.51 | 20.8% | 11.6% | 3.1% | .309 | 4.15 | 23.0% | 10.1% | 36 | -0.36 | 3.91 | 111 | 75 |
| Jake Haberer R 2025 · 3.62 FIP | 24 | SU | 3.62 | 26.9% | 17.3% | 1.1% | .278 | 6.08 | 19.6% | 3.0% | 76 | +2.46 | 3.62 | 183 | 75 |
| Matt Blackham R 2026 · 3.90 FIP | 25 | SU | 3.90 | 24.9% | 15.7% | 1.7% | .236 | 4.88 | 25.9% | 12.0% | 80 | +0.98 | 2.08 | 187 | 74 |
| Bryan Baker R 2025 · 3.97 FIP | 24 | SU | 3.97 | 25.7% | 15.8% | 1.9% | .258 | 2.55 | 25.8% | 16.4% | 111 | -1.42 | 2.41 | 537 | 74 |
| Troy Taylor R 2025 · 3.91 FIP | 24 | SU | 3.91 | 23.5% | 16.1% | 1.4% | .348 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.21 | 162 | 74 |
| Craig Brooks R 2026 · 4.02 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.02 | 23.4% | 15.1% | 1.8% | .260 | 5.40 | 31.1% | 15.9% | 59 | +1.38 | 3.30 | 229 | 74 |
| Dakota Mekkes R 2025 · 4.51 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.51 | 23.1% | 15.4% | 2.6% | .290 | 4.81 | 16.7% | 1.8% | 70 | +0.30 | 2.99 | 246 | 74 |
| Justin Evans R 2026 · 3.73 FIP | 25 | SU | 3.73 | 23.6% | 14.3% | 1.5% | .323 | 4.80 | 16.4% | -7.9% | 14 | +1.07 | 3.73 | 105 | 74 |
| Jordan Weems R 2026 · 3.79 FIP | 25 | SU | 3.79 | 19.0% | 12.0% | 1.4% | .333 | 4.64 | 22.7% | 9.6% | 98 | +0.85 | 3.00 | 473 | 74 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 3 | 59 | 24.0% | 15.3% | 0.93 | 4.64 |
| Daniel Bard ('23) | 4 | 50 | 25.1% | 13.5% | 0.81 | 3.82 |
| Fernando Rodney ('19) | 5 | 59 | 24.6% | 11.8% | 0.88 | 4.21 |
| Kyle Barraclough ('19) | 5 | 50 | 29.0% | 14.1% | 0.86 | 3.53 |
| Greg Holland ('21) | 6 | 45 | 25.4% | 12.3% | 0.87 | 4.03 |
| John Gant ('21) | 4 | 85 | 20.1% | 12.5% | 0.79 | 3.91 |
| Amir Garrett ('23) | 6 | 51 | 25.8% | 13.4% | 1.50 | 5.10 |