Justin Anderson
P
Charlotte Knights
+0.2
WAR
Age 33
RHP
6'3" / 230 lbs
AAA
peak 0.3 · 2026
ERA4.38
FIP4.37
xFIP4.76
SIERA4.36
K%22.6%
BB%12.0%
K-BB%10.5%
IP34
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.3peak
2026
STUF6060
CTRL2525
CMD4040
K†6060
FB Velo
p7196.0
Whiff%
p7829.7%
K%
p5723.5%
xwOBA vs
p240.343
SI (14%)
FB (47%)
SL-0.6 (45%)
CT-1.0 (8%)
Career (MLE) + Projections
Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.3 (SP) / 4.95 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | K% | BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | 22 | A | Burlington Bees | 28 | 22 | 143 | 611 | 112 | 51 | 4 | 13.6% | 9.8% | 0.6% | 3.41 | 3.53 | +2.9 |
| 2016 | 23 | A+ | Inland Empire 66ers | 28 | 27 | 145 | 662 | 107 | 48 | 15 | 12.4% | 8.3% | 3.3% | 5.70 | 4.93 | +0.6 |
| 2017 | 24 | AA | Mobile BayBears | 46 | 0 | 64 | 286 | 42 | 30 | 7 | 11.2% | 11.8% | 3.6% | 5.06 | 5.64 | -0.5 |
| 2018 | 25 | MLB | Los Angeles Angels | 63 | 0 | 64 | 272 | 81 | 39 | 3 | 27.8% | 15.4% | 1.2% | 3.52 | 3.38 | +1.2 |
| 2019 | 26 | MLB | Los Angeles Angels | 57 | 0 | 51 | 235 | 67 | 36 | 8 | 27.6% | 14.7% | 2.8% | 6.04 | 4.17 | +0.5 |
| 2021 | 28 | AAA | Round Rock Express | 13 | 1 | 13 | 52 | 25 | 5 | 1 | — | — | — | 2.77 | — | — |
| 2022 | 29 | AAA | Round Rock Express | 3 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 4 | 3 | 1 | — | — | — | 6.00 | — | — |
| 2023 | 30 | AAA | Omaha Storm Chasers | 24 | 1 | 37 | 166 | 59 | 20 | 1 | 27.2% | 15.1% | 0.9% | 6.87 | 3.19 | +0.7 |
| 2024 | 31 | MLB | Chicago White Sox | 72 | 0 | 71 | 315 | 82 | 35 | 6 | 25.1% | 11.2% | 1.9% | 3.91 | 3.42 | +1.3 |
| 2025 | 32 | AAA | Charlotte Knights | 31 | 0 | 33 | 164 | 35 | 25 | 2 | 18.8% | 16.0% | 1.0% | 7.29 | 4.09 | +0.3 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 33 | MLB | CWS | 34 | — | 34 | 144 | 37 | 19 | 4 | 25.8% | 13.3% | 2.4% | 4.43 | 4.33 | +0.2 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging | ||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 34 | MLB | CWS | 32 | — | 32 | 137 | 34 | 19 | 3 | 25.1% | 13.5% | 2.5% | 4.45 | 4.47 | +0.2 |
| 2028 | 35 | MLB | CWS | 31 | — | 31 | 129 | 31 | 18 | 3 | 24.3% | 13.7% | 2.7% | 4.55 | 4.62 | +0.1 |
| 2029 | 36 | MLB | CWS | 29 | — | 29 | 121 | 28 | 17 | 3 | 23.5% | 14.0% | 2.8% | 4.69 | 4.78 | +0.1 |
| ▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected) | ||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 365 | 51 | 624 | 2776 | 522 | 320 | 57 | 18.8% | 11.5% | 2.0% | 4.80 | 4.10 | +8.5 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 117 | 16 | 200 | 890 | 167 | 103 | 18 | 18.8% | 11.5% | 2.0% | 4.80 | 4.10 | +2.7 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Justin Anderson (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.33 | 25.8% | 13.3% | 2.4% | — | 4.62 | 24.3% | 10.6% | 92 | +0.29 | — | — | — |
| Fernando Nieve R 2026 · 4.26 FIP | 33 | SU | 4.26 | 22.0% | 10.5% | 3.1% | .290 | 2.44 | 26.9% | 22.6% | 89 | -1.82 | 1.94 | 112 | 75 |
| Ryan Cook R 2024 · 3.85 FIP | 31 | SW | 3.85 | 25.1% | 10.8% | 2.7% | .280 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.85 | 102 | 73 |
| Brad Brach R 2026 · 3.38 FIP | 33 | SW | 3.38 | 24.8% | 12.0% | 1.6% | .356 | 4.65 | 23.0% | 9.8% | 66 | +1.27 | 2.80 | 410 | 72 |
| Clayton Mortensen R 2025 · 4.60 FIP | 32 | SW | 4.60 | 23.2% | 14.2% | 3.0% | .258 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.33 | 221 | 71 |
| Jose Manuel Lopez R 2025 · 3.63 FIP | 32 | SU | 3.63 | 20.4% | 10.0% | 1.8% | .331 | 6.11 | 17.9% | 3.7% | 41 | +2.48 | 3.45 | 170 | 71 |
| Bryan Shaw R 2026 · 4.31 FIP | 33 | SW | 4.31 | 21.3% | 11.4% | 2.9% | .274 | 4.08 | 19.7% | 8.3% | 169 | -0.23 | 2.86 | 596 | 71 |
| Jon Edwards R 2024 · 4.43 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.43 | 25.1% | 11.6% | 3.6% | .290 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.39 | 132 | 70 |
| Nate Jones R 2025 · 4.08 FIP | 32 | SU | 4.08 | 23.4% | 10.9% | 2.9% | .279 | 5.52 | 21.4% | 13.8% | 38 | +1.44 | 2.61 | 157 | 70 |
| Cory Gearrin R 2026 · 3.82 FIP | 33 | SW | 3.82 | 19.5% | 10.0% | 2.0% | .303 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.17 | 272 | 69 |
| Santiago Casilla R 2028 · 3.50 FIP | 35 | SW | 3.50 | 25.4% | 8.6% | 2.6% | .290 | 3.90 | 22.4% | 12.7% | 161 | +0.40 | 3.50 | 219 | 69 |
| Arcenio Leon R 2025 · 3.52 FIP | 32 | SU | 3.52 | 21.4% | 8.1% | 2.2% | .314 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.01 | 115 | 69 |
| Blake Wood R 2024 · 3.35 FIP | 31 | SW | 3.35 | 25.3% | 9.3% | 2.2% | .364 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.91 | 210 | 68 |
| Dustin Molleken R 2025 · 3.38 FIP | 32 | SU | 3.38 | 24.3% | 12.4% | 1.4% | .311 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.38 | 129 | 68 |
| Radhames Liz R 2027 · 4.49 FIP | 34 | SU | 4.49 | 21.8% | 13.9% | 2.7% | .343 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.73 | 110 | 67 |
| Ross Ohlendorf R 2026 · 4.98 FIP | 33 | SW | 4.98 | 23.4% | 10.7% | 4.6% | .254 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.33 | 122 | 67 |
| Jumbo Diaz R 2026 · 4.18 FIP | 33 | SU | 4.18 | 20.0% | 9.7% | 2.8% | .302 | 2.90 | 24.2% | 15.4% | 98 | -1.28 | 2.80 | 284 | 67 |
| Huascar Brazobán R 2026 · 3.46 FIP | 33 | SW | 3.46 | 25.3% | 11.3% | 1.9% | .304 | 3.46 | 22.4% | 12.4% | 128 | +0.00 | 3.08 | 303 | 67 |
| Fernando Rodriguez Jr. R 2025 · 3.65 FIP | 32 | SU | 3.65 | 22.7% | 10.4% | 2.1% | .255 | 4.50 | 24.1% | 13.8% | 97 | +0.85 | 3.38 | 212 | 67 |
| Josh Lindblom R 2026 · 3.54 FIP | 33 | SU | 3.54 | 27.2% | 8.4% | 3.0% | .308 | 4.43 | 21.7% | 13.8% | 255 | +0.89 | 3.54 | 348 | 67 |
| Tommy Kahnle R 2026 · 3.61 FIP | 33 | SU | 3.61 | 29.1% | 11.5% | 2.7% | .226 | 4.21 | 21.5% | 10.5% | 106 | +0.60 | 1.53 | 433 | 66 |
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.