Kevin Alcántara

RF Iowa Cubs

Age 25 R/R 6'6" / 188 lbs AAA HR -8% Svc 1.000 · Ctrl thru 2031

Overview

AAA40-MANROOKIEFG #138Pre-ArbFA 2032

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2024	22	AATennessee Smo…	325	.271/.344/.409	9	7	85	—	.247/.303/.368
2025	23	AAACHC	430	.266/.350/.470	17	10	82	—	.229/.292/.366
2026	24	MLBCHC	28	.240/.296/.360	1	0	81	-0.5
2027PROJ30% MLB	25	MLBCHC	96	.224/.290/.371	3	2	86	-0.0
2028PROJ44% MLB	26	MLBCHC	183	.227/.294/.382	6	3	90	0.1
2029PROJ49% MLB	27	MLBCHC	206	.227/.294/.380	7	3	90	0.1

Last 3 seasons WAR -0.5 · Next 3 projected WAR 0.2Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2031Service1.000First FA2032

2027Pre-Arb$0.8M2028Pre-Arb$0.8M2029Arb-1$1M2030Arb-2$1M2031Arb-3$1M

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 AAA

Max EV97

BB%65

Z-Con%39

Chase%38

Speed38

K%19

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 -0 / P90 4, comp-based) · star 1% · didn't stick 79%

CompsAlexander Canario (age 24) · Joey Wiemer (age 25) · Nelson Velázquez (age 24)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+†86

AVG/OBP/SLG.224 / .290 / .371

PA96

HR3

K%34

BB%8

BABIP318

ISO148

MLB%30%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control-$3M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 37 / POW 60

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2024-2026

CONTACT37

Whiff%

905.5%

xAVG

840.278

POWER60

Barrel%

153.8

Avg EV

7190.5

Bat Spd

6873.2

EYE34

Chase%

9014.9%

SPEED59

Sprint

5827.8

DEFENSE58

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Pre-Arb

MLB Debut 2026

Service 1.000 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2031

First FA Year 2032

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.1	$0.2M	+$0.0M (cut)
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.1	$0.4M	+$0.0M (cut)
2029	Arb-1	$1M	+0.1	$0.3M	+$0.0M (cut)
2030	Arb-2	$1M	—	—	—
2031	Arb-3	$1M	—	—	—
Totals		$0.0M		$0.7M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2019	17	ROK	GCL Yankees East	—	174	161	41	8	3	1	8	36	4	5	3	255	306	360	667	106	320	21	5	299	25	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	19	ROK	ACL Cubs	—	138	119	41	4	5	5	17	36	0	5	0	345	426	588	1.015	244	456	26	12	434	93	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	20	A	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	—	495	428	117	19	6	15	55	123	6	14	3	273	364	451	815	178	345	25	11	359	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	21	AA	Tennessee Smokies	—	21	16	4	1	0	1	3	7	1	0	0	250	400	500	900	250	333	33	14	381	116	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	21	A+	South Bend Cubs	—	408	371	106	25	3	12	31	97	2	15	4	286	344	466	810	181	353	24	8	355	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	21	INTL	Mesa Solar Sox	—	97	86	22	7	1	5	8	30	2	3	1	256	333	535	868	279	327	31	8	373	139	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	AAA	Iowa Cubs	—	148	130	38	8	0	5	17	43	1	7	1	292	378	469	848	177	402	29	11	378	98	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	AA	Tennessee Smokies	—	325	291	79	13	0	9	30	80	2	7	3	271	344	409	753	137	343	25	9	337	85	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	AAA	Iowa Cubs	—	430	379	101	26	0	17	48	128	1	10	4	266	350	470	820	203	356	30	11	362	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	24	MLB	Chicago Cubs	—	28	25	6	0	0	1	2	11	0	0	1	240	296	360	656	120	357	39	7	286	81	-1	-0	+0	-4	+1	-0.5
2026	24	AAA	Iowa Cubs	—	357	311	81	15	0	20	43	109	1	6	2	260	352	502	854	241	332	31	12	373	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	24	INTL	Tigres del Licey	—	21	19	7	2	0	2	2	5	0	0	0	368	429	789	1.218	421	417	24	10	516	235	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	28	25	6	0	0	1	2	11	0	0	1	240	296	360	656	120	357	39	7	286	80	-1	-0	+0	-4	+1	-0.5
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2019	17	ROK MLE	GCL Yankees East	—	174	164	29	5	2	1	5	52	4	5	3	177	220	250	470	73	249	30	3	205	25	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	19	ROK MLE	ACL Cubs	—	138	126	32	3	4	4	10	52	0	5	0	254	309	437	745	183	378	38	7	306	93	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	20	A MLE	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	—	495	445	102	16	5	12	38	171	6	14	3	229	299	369	667	139	324	35	8	289	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	21	AA MLE	Tennessee Smokies	—	21	17	4	1	0	1	2	8	1	0	0	235	350	471	821	235	318	38	10	340	116	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	21	A+ MLE	South Bend Cubs	—	408	381	89	18	2	8	21	127	2	15	4	234	277	354	632	121	320	31	5	274	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	AAA MLE	Iowa Cubs	—	148	134	34	7	0	3	13	52	1	7	1	254	324	373	697	119	396	35	9	313	98	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	AA MLE	Tennessee Smokies	—	325	299	74	12	0	8	22	100	2	7	3	247	303	368	671	120	335	31	7	294	85	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	AAA MLE	Iowa Cubs	—	430	393	90	21	0	11	34	155	1	10	4	229	292	366	658	137	346	36	8	289	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	24	MLB MLE	Chicago Cubs	—	28	25	6	0	0	1	2	11	0	0	1	240	296	360	656	120	357	39	7	288	81	-1	-0	+0	-4	+1	-0.5
2026	24	AAA MLE	Iowa Cubs	—	357	323	70	13	0	14	31	131	1	6	2	217	287	387	674	170	306	37	9	293	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	17	ROK MLE	GCL Yankees East	—	174	164	29	5	2	1	5	52	4	5	3	177	220	250	470	73	250	30	3	205	25	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	17	ROK RAW	GCL Yankees East	—	174	161	41	8	3	1	8	36	4	5	3	255	306	360	667	106	320	21	5	299	25	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	19	ROK MLE	ACL Cubs	—	138	126	32	3	4	4	10	52	0	5	0	254	309	437	745	183	394	38	7	306	93	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	19	ROK RAW	ACL Cubs	—	138	119	41	4	5	5	17	36	0	5	0	345	426	588	1.015	244	456	26	12	434	93	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	20	A MLE	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	—	495	445	102	16	5	12	38	171	6	14	3	229	299	369	667	139	336	35	8	289	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	20	A RAW	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	—	495	428	117	19	6	15	55	123	6	14	3	273	364	451	815	178	345	25	11	359	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	21	A+ MLE	3 teams	—	526	487	115	23	3	11	28	166	5	18	5	236	285	363	648	127	329	32	5	277	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	21	A+ RAW	3 teams	—	526	473	132	33	4	18	42	134	5	18	5	279	344	480	824	201	349	25	8	359	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	AA MLE	2 teams	—	473	433	109	19	0	12	35	152	3	14	4	252	312	379	691	127	358	32	7	300	89	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	AA RAW	2 teams	—	473	421	117	21	0	14	47	123	3	14	4	278	355	428	782	150	360	26	10	349	89	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	AAA MLE	Iowa Cubs	—	430	393	90	21	0	11	34	155	1	10	4	229	292	366	658	137	345	36	8	289	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	AAA RAW	Iowa Cubs	—	430	379	101	26	0	17	48	128	1	10	4	266	350	470	820	203	356	30	11	362	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	24	AAA MLE	3 teams	—	406	367	80	13	0	16	35	149	1	6	3	218	288	384	672	166	312	37	9	293	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	24	AAA RAW	3 teams	—	406	355	94	17	0	23	47	125	1	6	3	265	352	507	859	242	338	31	12	375	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	17	ROK MLE	GCL Yankees East	—	174	163	29	5	2	1	5	52	4	5	3	178	220	252	471	74	249	30	3	205	25	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	19	ROK MLE	ACL Cubs	—	138	127	32	3	4	4	10	52	0	5	0	252	309	433	742	181	378	38	7	306	93	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	20	A MLE	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	—	495	448	102	16	5	12	38	171	6	14	3	228	299	366	665	138	324	35	8	289	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	21	A+ MLE	3 teams	—	526	488	115	23	3	11	28	166	5	18	5	236	285	363	647	127	320	32	5	277	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	AA MLE	2 teams	—	473	432	109	19	0	12	35	152	3	14	4	252	312	380	692	127	354	32	7	300	89	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	AAA MLE	Iowa Cubs	—	430	392	90	21	0	11	34	155	1	10	4	230	292	367	659	138	346	36	8	289	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	24	AAA MLE	3 teams	—	406	367	80	13	0	16	35	149	1	6	3	218	288	384	672	166	310	37	9	293	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	22	AA MLE	2 teams	—	473	432	109	19	0	12	35	152	3	14	4	252	312	380	692	127	354	32	7	300	89	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	AAA MLE	Iowa Cubs	—	430	392	90	21	0	11	34	155	1	10	4	230	292	367	659	138	346	36	8	289	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	24	AAA MLE	3 teams	—	406	367	80	13	0	16	35	149	1	6	3	218	288	384	672	166	310	37	9	293	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	25	MLB MLE	CHC	30%	380	345	77	15	0	12	31	129	1	7	3	224	290	373	663	149	315	34	8	295	86	-6	+0	+2	-4	+8	0.2
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
2027	25	MLB CTX	CHC	30%	96	88	20	4	0	3	8	33	0	2	1	224	290	371	662	147	318	34	8	295	86	-2	+0	+0	-1	+2	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	26	MLB MLE	CHC	44%	415	376	85	16	0	14	34	139	2	7	3	227	293	384	677	157	314	33	8	301	90	-5	+0	+2	-4	+9	0.2
2029	27	MLB MLE	CHC	49%	421	381	85	16	0	14	35	139	2	7	3	226	294	382	676	156	312	33	8	301	90	-5	+0	+2	-5	+9	0.2
2030	28	MLB MLE	CHC	51%	422	382	86	16	0	14	35	138	2	6	3	225	293	378	671	153	309	33	8	299	88	-6	+0	+1	-5	+9	0.0
2031	29	MLB MLE	CHC	51%	414	375	83	16	0	13	34	134	2	4	2	224	291	373	664	149	306	32	8	296	86	-7	+0	+1	-4	+9	-0.2
2032	30	MLB MLE	CHC	51%	407	369	80	15	0	12	33	131	2	2	2	221	288	366	654	145	302	32	8	292	84	-8	-0	-0	-4	+9	-0.4
2028	26	MLB CTX	CHC	44%	183	165	37	7	0	6	15	61	1	3	1	227	294	382	675	155	316	33	8	300	90	-2	+0	+1	-2	+4	0.1
2029	27	MLB CTX	CHC	49%	206	186	42	8	0	7	17	68	1	3	1	227	294	380	674	153	314	33	8	300	90	-3	+0	+1	-2	+4	0.1
2030	28	MLB CTX	CHC	51%	217	196	45	9	0	7	18	71	1	3	1	226	293	376	669	151	311	33	8	298	88	-3	+0	+1	-2	+5	0.0
2031	29	MLB CTX	CHC	51%	213	193	42	8	0	6	17	69	1	2	1	224	291	371	662	147	308	32	8	295	86	-3	+0	+0	-2	+5	-0.1
2032	30	MLB CTX	CHC	51%	209	189	42	8	0	6	17	67	1	1	1	222	289	364	653	143	305	32	8	292	84	-4	-0	-0	-2	+5	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	1056	954	214	40	0	33	86	347	5	12	6	224	292	370	662	146	312	33	8	297	83	-16	+0	+3	-15	+23	-0.6
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	587	132	25	0	20	53	214	3	7	4	225	292	370	662	145	314	33	8	297	83	-10	+0	+2	-9	+14	-0.4
Career	—	MLE		—	5041	4588	1040	191	14	144	382	1687	31	104	37	227	291	369	659	142	321	33	8	291	83	-37	+0	+7	-30	+53	-0.7
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	592	135	25	2	19	49	218	4	13	5	228	291	373	665	145	323	34	8	291	83	-10	+0	+2	-8	+14	-0.2

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Michael Saunderslast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,711 PA	4.1	2,711	81	55	233	305	399	-12	-13	4.1	4.5
/162	664	20	13	-2.9	-3.2	1.0	pk7: 5
#2Chris Heiseylast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 1,758 PA	2.6	1,758	62	25	238	296	413	-18	+3	3.0	3.2
/162	664	23	9	-6.7	+1.0	1.1	pk7: 4
#3Carl Warwick'61-'66 * career totals — 5 seasons, 1,616 PA	2.4	1,616	31	13	245*	309*	381*	-9	-1	1.4	1.4
/162	664	13	5	-3.6	-0.6	0.6	pk7: 1
#4Jake Cavelast yr '24 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,564 PA	2.4	1,564	45	13	236	292	400	-11	-6	1.3	1.3
/162	664	19	6	-4.5	-2.5	0.6	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 3 projected seasons	1.7	1,125	36	14	225	289	378	-12	+0	0.2	0.3
/162	664	21	8	-7.1	+0.2	0.1	pk7: 0
#5Ray Coleman'47-'52 * career totals — 5 seasons, 1,902 PA	2.9	1,902	20	19	249*	297*	399*	-12	-1	-0.1	-0.1
/162	664	7	7	-4.4	-0.4	-0.0	pk7: -0
#6Rip Russell'39-'47 * career totals — 5 seasons, 1,522 PA	2.3	1,522	29	4	236*	279*	389*	-16	-12	-2.7	-2.7
/162	664	13	2	-6.9	-5.1	-1.2	pk7: -3

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Kevin Alcántara (OGILVIE)	25	35→37	57→60	59	34	222/288/370	148	315	10	6	34%	8%	86	+0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Alexander Canario 2024 · MLB	24	41→36	55→60	52→50	40	215/276/403	188	297	24	13	35%	7%	89	+0.5	220/284/380	160	317	20	10	35%	8%	86	+0.3	208/276/362	155	297	21	9	36%	8%	78	-0.1
✕Joey Wiemer 2024 · MLB	25	42→44	51→55	53→55	44	216/285/378	162	283	19	19	30%	8%	86	+0.3	200/275/316	116	285	12	15	32%	8%	69	-0.9	188/266/285	98	276	10	14	33%	8%	56	-1.2
✕Nelson Velázquez 2023 · MLB	24	40→39	53→60	53→50	38	209/269/382	173	310	22	17	39%	7%	82	-0.0	211/276/393	182	273	25	11	31%	8%	87	+0.4	202/269/384	182	246	26	10	30%	8%	81	-0.0
✕Michael Hermosillo 2021 · MLB	26	41→49	50→55	49→55	39	207/287/358	151	304	17	13	36%	7%	83	+0.1	221/311/390	169	300	19	15	31%	8%	100	+1.3	202/288/380	178	250	24	18	29%	6%	87	+0.2
✕Daz Cameron 2022 · MLB	25	44→48	48→50	54→55	43	220/290/366	146	298	15	19	30%	7%	86	+0.3	216/280/347	131	293	13	21	29%	7%	77	-0.3	227/297/394	166	289	18	26	27%	8%	92	+0.3
✕Corey Brown 2011 · AAA	25	46→49	50→55	57→50	42	228/287/385	157	317	17	14	32%	7%	88	+0.4	226/284/391	165	317	19	12	33%	7%	89	+0.5	218/278/395	176	303	22	12	34%	7%	85	+0.2
✕Jai Miller 2010 · AAA	25	47→50	50→55	50→55	41	231/291/387	157	331	17	13	34%	7%	91	+0.6	206/271/378	172	352	21	11	44%	7%	81	-0.1	183/253/356	173	329	22	11	48%	8%	68	-0.7
✕Drew Robinson 2017 · AAA	25	39→43	51→55	52→50	45	204/280/371	167	286	19	14	34%	9%	83	+0.1	217/293/379	162	329	18	12	36%	10%	89	+0.5	211/292/367	157	326	17	12	38%	10%	84	+0.1
●Davis Schneider 2023 · AAA	24	42→45	50→55	53→50	47	209/294/363	154	302	17	13	34%	10%	86	+0.3	219/320/402	183	292	21	10	30%	12%	105	+1.7	212/323/402	190	276	23	9	30%	13%	106	+1.4
✕Romy Gonzalez 2022 · MLB	25	44	49→50	52→55	39	222/274/368	146	313	18	19	34%	6%	80	-0.2	225/269/371	146	317	17	20	33%	5%	78	-0.3	270/316/424	155	341	15	16	25%	5%	108	+0.9
✕Aaron Palensky 2024 · AAA	25	37→32	54→50	54→55	44	201/287/382	182	269	21	18	33%	8%	88	+0.5	204/286/326	122	277	12	19	29%	9%	75	-0.5	169/264/227	58	238	2	28	27%	10%	44	-1.0
✕Franklin Barreto 2022 · MLB	26	44→50	49→55	55→50	39	217/278/368	151	318	16	15	36%	7%	82	-0.0	180/249/299	119	289	14	16	40%	8%	55	-2.0	134/207/236	103	209	14	17	41%	7%	23	-1.4
✕Mike Wilson 2010 · AAA	27	38→48	52→55	54→50	41	202/282/367	165	279	21	9	34%	8%	84	+0.1	226/298/391	165	295	21	10	29%	8%	95	+0.9	225/299/392	167	287	21	9	28%	8%	91	+0.4
✕Kevin Padlo 2021 · AAA	25	43→42	51→55	49→50	46	215/299/385	170	307	18	10	34%	9%	93	+0.8	202/267/347	145	281	17	12	33%	8%	72	-0.7	190/260/326	136	259	16	12	32%	8%	63	-0.9
✕Brenton Doyle 2023 · AAA	25	43→47	49→50	54→55	32	216/254/357	141	331	18	18	40%	4%	70	-0.9	219/268/362	143	301	17	23	32%	6%	76	-0.4	234/284/378	144	296	17	27	27%	6%	87	+0.3
✕Jason Repko 2006 · MLB	25	46→47	51→50	55	41	236/289/402	166	289	19	11	25%	5%	93	+0.8	236/306/373	137	291	14	19	23%	7%	93	+0.8	222/288/347	125	280	12	25	24%	6%	78	-0.2
✕John Rave 2023 · AAA	25	43→47	48→50	54→55	44	215/286/349	133	304	17	18	33%	9%	80	-0.2	216/282/348	132	295	14	16	30%	8%	78	-0.3	222/295/375	153	278	16	24	25%	9%	87	+0.3
✕Wladimir Balentien 2008 · AAA	24	44→48	52→60	50	43	229/288/397	169	297	21	12	30%	7%	92	+0.7	227/286/403	176	277	21	8	26%	7%	93	+0.8	222/281/407	184	263	23	7	25%	7%	92	+0.5
●Trayce Thompson 2016 · MLB	25	44→49	47→60	52→50	42	220/274/366	145	285	14	14	27%	6%	79	-0.2	201/254/343	142	266	16	10	30%	7%	66	-1.1	203/291/407	204	286	27	7	37%	10%	95	+0.6
✕Stuart Fairchild 2022 · MLB	26	45→43	49→50	52→55	47	228/300/383	155	285	16	12	25%	8%	93	+0.8	225/305/378	153	300	16	17	29%	8%	94	+0.9	219/311/363	143	283	14	27	26%	9%	92	+0.4

Kevin Alcántara

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps