Rodney Theophile

P Wilmington Blue Rocks

Age 27 RHP 6'5" / 230 lbs A+ peak 0.5 · 2027

Overview

A+PROSPECT

ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2022	22	MIX2 levels	24	21	102	3.25	2.88	25.2%	10.1%	—	K 19.0% · BB 11.7% · FIP 3.70
2023	23	A+WSH	10	9	41	3.48	4.55	22.0%	11.3%	—	K 17.0% · BB 13.0% · FIP 5.86
2024	24	MIX2 levels	20	20	89	3.53	3.03	24.3%	12.3%	—	K 19.2% · BB 13.8% · FIP 3.76
2027PROJ	27	MLBWSH	10	10	62	4.76	4.76	21.3%	11.8%	0.1
2028PROJ37% MLB	28	MLBWSH	4	4	22	4.76	4.80	21.4%	11.7%	0.0
2029PROJ55% MLB	29	MLBWSH	5	5	32	4.82	4.89	21.3%	11.8%	0.0

Next 3 projected WAR 0.1Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

CompsAustin Bergner (age 27) · Antonio Guzman (age 27) · Alejandro Martinez (age 26)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 124115vR 107

ERA4.76

FIP4.76

K%21.3%

BB%11.8%

K-BB%9.5%

Proj IP62

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 62 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5050

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2018	18	ROK MLE	GCL Nationals	10	5	14	78	11	11	3	50%	1.4	9.6%	17.6%	-8.0%	5.4%	10.67	7.48	—
2018	18	ROK RAW	GCL Nationals	10	5	14	78	11	11	3	50%	1.4	14.1%	14.1%	0.0%	3.8%	10.67	6.59	—
2021	21	A MLE	Fredericksburg Nationals	22	22	89	416	84	47	9	100%	4.0	14.9%	13.3%	1.6%	2.4%	5.56	4.86	—
2021	21	A RAW	Fredericksburg Nationals	22	22	89	416	84	47	9	100%	4.0	20.2%	11.3%	8.9%	2.2%	5.56	4.11	—
2022	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	24	21	102	436	110	44	5	88%	4.3	19.0%	11.7%	7.3%	1.3%	3.25	3.70	—
2022	22	MIX RAW	2 levels	24	21	102	436	110	44	5	88%	4.3	25.2%	10.1%	15.1%	1.1%	3.25	2.88	—
2023	23	A+ MLE	Wilmington Blue Rocks	10	9	41	177	39	20	6	90%	4.1	17.0%	13.0%	4.0%	4.6%	3.48	5.86	—
2023	23	A+ RAW	Wilmington Blue Rocks	10	9	41	177	39	20	6	90%	4.1	22.0%	11.3%	10.7%	3.4%	3.48	4.55	—
2024	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	20	20	89	382	93	47	3	100%	4.5	19.2%	13.8%	5.3%	1.0%	3.53	3.76	—
2024	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	20	20	89	382	93	47	3	100%	4.5	19.2%	13.8%	5.3%	1.0%	3.53	3.76	—
2024	24	MIX RAW	2 levels	20	20	89	382	93	47	3	100%	4.5	24.3%	12.3%	12.0%	0.8%	3.53	3.03	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	27	MLB	WSH	10	10	62	262	56	31	8	100%	6.2	21.3%	11.8%	9.5%	2.9%	4.76	4.76	+0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	28	MLB MLE	WSH	10	10	61	256	55	30	8	100%	6.1	21.4%	11.7%	9.7%	3.0%	4.76	4.80	+0.1
2029	29	MLB MLE	WSH	10	10	58	244	52	29	8	100%	5.8	21.3%	11.8%	9.6%	3.1%	4.82	4.89	+0.0
2028	28	MLB CTX	WSH	4	4	22	93	20	11	3	100%	5.5	21.4%	11.7%	9.7%	3.0%	4.76	4.80	+0.0
2029	29	MLB CTX	WSH	5	5	32	135	29	16	4	100%	6.4	21.3%	11.8%	9.6%	3.1%	4.82	4.89	+0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		9	9	54	228	49	27	7	100%	6.0	21.4%	11.8%	9.6%	3.1%	4.80	4.47	+0.3
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		33	33	200	844	181	100	26	100%	6.0	21.4%	11.8%	9.6%	3.1%	4.80	4.47	+1.0
Career	—	MLE		86	77	336	1489	256	196	32	90%	3.9	17.2%	13.2%	4.0%	2.1%	4.28	4.50	+0.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		51	46	200	885	152	117	19	90%	3.9	17.2%	13.2%	4.0%	2.1%	4.28	4.50	+0.1

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Rodney Theophile (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.76	21.3%	11.8%	2.9%	—	4.84	21.4%	9.6%	118	+0.08	—	—	—
Austin Bergner R 2024 · 4.84 FIP	27	SP	4.84	22.2%	12.5%	3.7%	.325	4.42	18.7%	7.3%	107	-0.42	4.06	464	83
Antonio Guzman R 2015 · 3.60 FIP	27	SP	3.60	18.8%	11.2%	1.2%	.328	3.47	20.6%	11.3%	170	-0.13	3.15	254	82
Alejandro Martinez R 2015 · 4.46 FIP	26	SP-	4.46	17.5%	10.9%	2.7%	.393	4.24	9.2%	3.9%	53	-0.22	4.24	166	80
Rorik Maltrud R 2024 · 3.91 FIP	24	SP-	3.91	20.4%	9.6%	2.4%	.300	4.40	18.6%	9.4%	193	+0.49	3.91	298	77
Yariel Rodríguez R 2024 · 3.76 FIP	27	SP	3.76	24.9%	11.4%	2.4%	.275	3.72	24.1%	12.7%	89	-0.04	2.32	196	76
Ryan Jennings R 2024 · 3.60 FIP	25	SP	3.60	20.4%	10.4%	1.7%	.286	4.93	25.0%	10.3%	58	+1.33	3.43	142	76
Ricky Castro R 2024 · 3.99 FIP	24	SP-	3.99	20.4%	8.6%	2.8%	.287	5.11	19.0%	10.6%	178	+1.12	3.99	241	76
Zach Fruit R 2024 · 4.29 FIP	24	SP	4.29	19.3%	14.1%	1.9%	.258	5.03	15.4%	-0.2%	44	+0.74	4.29	151	75
Nic Swanson R 2024 · 4.91 FIP	25	SP	4.91	19.3%	11.8%	3.5%	.286	5.43	19.9%	6.5%	132	+0.52	4.29	438	75
Burch Smith R 2017 · 3.93 FIP	27	SP	3.93	19.5%	12.6%	1.6%	.234	4.43	22.2%	10.5%	192	+0.50	3.50	418	74
Luke Hudson R 2004 · 3.82 FIP	27	SP	3.82	18.6%	11.8%	1.5%	.237	4.59	14.2%	3.9%	187	+0.77	3.81	235	73
Ben Casparius R 2024 · 3.60 FIP	25	SP	3.60	23.7%	11.5%	1.9%	.268	3.66	20.6%	12.2%	88	+0.06	3.36	374	72
Ramon Ramirez R 2008 · 4.31 FIP	25	SP-	4.31	20.0%	10.5%	2.9%	.200	—	—	—	—	—	3.65	182	72
Clay Condrey R 2003 · 5.41 FIP	27	SP-	5.41	14.9%	10.1%	4.2%	.303	4.07	13.1%	7.4%	29	-1.34	3.18	250	71
Matt Frisbee R 2024 · 4.42 FIP	27	SP	4.42	18.3%	14.3%	1.9%	.369	—	—	—	—	—	4.00	463	71
Riley Gowens R 2024 · 4.55 FIP	24	SP	4.55	22.6%	10.3%	3.7%	.279	4.37	21.3%	12.1%	173	-0.18	4.30	295	71
Nick Payero R 2024 · 4.21 FIP	24	SP-	4.21	16.5%	6.3%	3.1%	.285	5.81	16.6%	4.6%	107	+1.60	4.21	178	71
Nestor Molina R 2016 · 4.83 FIP	27	SP	4.83	15.0%	8.0%	3.6%	.304	3.61	17.0%	10.2%	289	-1.22	3.01	401	70
Markus Solbach R 2019 · 3.58 FIP	27	SP	3.58	16.9%	6.1%	2.1%	.311	4.62	17.1%	9.1%	111	+1.04	3.34	391	70
Connor Grey R 2021 · 3.82 FIP	27	SP-	3.82	22.1%	8.1%	2.8%	.286	4.37	16.2%	7.0%	104	+0.55	2.70	461	70

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,474 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 720 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.9	60	21.4%	11.8%	1.16	4.78
Fred Lasher ('63-'71, -1 WAR*)	1.0	50	21.5%*	11.9%*	1.05*	4.68*
Bill Wilson ('69-'73, -0 WAR*)	1.3	52	20.3%*	11.5%*	1.13*	4.84*
Tyler Yates ('09)	1.2	62	19.7%	12.0%	0.94	5.12
Valerio De Los Santos ('08)	1.3	51	18.7%	11.5%	1.30	4.57
Josias Manzanillo ('04)	1.7	57	20.0%	10.2%	1.21	4.71
Ed Glynn ('75-'85, -0 WAR*)	1.3	53	23.5%*	12.9%*	1.22*	4.69*