Cade FergusOF
Reading Fightin Phils
Age 25
R/R
6'2" / 195 lbs
AA
HR +11%H +4%
Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034
wRC+†40
AVG/OBP/SLG.147 / .234 / .280
PA319
HR10
SB9
K%52
BB%8
MLB%2%
Scouting · now → future
HIT
20→20
PWR
50→50
SPD
55→55
EYE
49↗50
trajectory · 10 yrs
-1.1peak
2028
Contract
ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status MiLB
MLB Debut 2029
Service 0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through 2034
First FA Year 2035
| Year | Status | Salary | Proj WAR | Value | Surplus |
| 2026 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2029 | |||
| 2027 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2029 | |||
| 2028 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2029 | |||
| 2029 | Arb-1 | $0.8M | — | — | — |
| 2030 | Arb-2 | $0.9M | — | — | — |
| 2031 | Arb-3 | $0.9M | — | — | — |
| 2032 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.2M | — | — | — |
| 2033 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.4M | — | — | — |
| 2034 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.6M | — | — | — |
| Totals | $-16M | $-43M | -$27M | ||
Underwater contract
Projected production over the remaining contract is worth -$27M less than the salary owed. Most often this reflects an aging-curve fade that was visible at signing — the team paid a premium for the early years.
Projected production over the remaining contract is worth -$27M less than the salary owed. Most often this reflects an aging-curve fade that was visible at signing — the team paid a premium for the early years.
Career Projections (MLE)
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 21 | A | Clearwater Threshers | 115 | 99 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 72 | 6 | 6 | 1 | .091 | .217 | .162 | .379 | .071 | .280 | 63 | 9 | .190 | 4 | -13 | +1 | +0 | -1 | +3 | -0.9 |
| 2023 | 22 | A | 3 teams | 444 | 389 | 62 | 16 | 2 | 12 | 40 | 223 | 11 | 27 | 4 | .159 | .257 | .303 | .560 | .144 | .316 | 50 | 9 | .255 | 54 | -23 | +4 | +0 | -3 | +13 | -1.0 |
| 2024 | 23 | AA | 2 teams | 252 | 222 | 35 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 20 | 122 | 10 | 16 | 3 | .158 | .258 | .270 | .528 | .113 | .309 | 48 | 8 | .236 | 39 | -17 | +2 | +0 | -2 | +7 | -1.0 |
| 2025 | 24 | AA | 2 teams | 316 | 279 | 36 | 5 | 1 | 11 | 23 | 180 | 8 | 14 | 5 | .129 | .216 | .272 | .489 | .143 | .275 | 57 | 7 | .214 | 22 | -28 | +1 | +0 | -2 | +9 | -2.0 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 25 | MLB | PHI | 319 | 284 | 43 | 7 | 1 | 10 | 25 | 166 | 7 | 9 | 3 | .151 | .237 | .289 | .526 | .137 | .292 | 52 | 8 | .238 | 40 | -21 | +1 | +0 | -2 | +9 | -1.4 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 26 | MLB 11% | PHI | 354 | 314 | 50 | 8 | 1 | 11 | 29 | 174 | 8 | 10 | 3 | .159 | .248 | .296 | .544 | .137 | .293 | 49 | 8 | .248 | 48 | -21 | +1 | +0 | -2 | +10 | -1.2 |
| 2028 | 27 | MLB 26% | PHI | 379 | 336 | 55 | 9 | 1 | 12 | 32 | 179 | 8 | 10 | 3 | .164 | .253 | .304 | .556 | .140 | .293 | 47 | 8 | .254 | 53 | -20 | +1 | +0 | -2 | +11 | -1.1 |
| 2029 | 28 | MLB 38% | PHI | 394 | 350 | 58 | 10 | 1 | 12 | 33 | 182 | 8 | 9 | 3 | .166 | .253 | .303 | .556 | .137 | .293 | 46 | 8 | .257 | 55 | -20 | +1 | -1 | -2 | +11 | -1.2 |
| 2030 | 29 | MLB 47% | PHI | 395 | 350 | 59 | 10 | 1 | 12 | 34 | 181 | 8 | 8 | 2 | .169 | .258 | .306 | .563 | .137 | .291 | 46 | 9 | .256 | 54 | -20 | +1 | -1 | -2 | +11 | -1.2 |
| 2031 | 30 | MLB 56% | PHI | 395 | 350 | 58 | 10 | 1 | 12 | 34 | 182 | 8 | 8 | 2 | .166 | .255 | .303 | .558 | .137 | .289 | 46 | 9 | .253 | 52 | -22 | +1 | -2 | -2 | +11 | -1.4 |
| 2032 | 31 | MLB 73% | PHI | 383 | 340 | 55 | 9 | 1 | 11 | 33 | 178 | 7 | 6 | 1 | .162 | .250 | .291 | .541 | .129 | .287 | 46 | 9 | .249 | 49 | -22 | +1 | -3 | -2 | +11 | -1.6 |
| 2033 | 32 | MLB 91% | PHI | 366 | 325 | 52 | 9 | 1 | 10 | 31 | 172 | 7 | 5 | 1 | .160 | .248 | .286 | .534 | .126 | .285 | 47 | 8 | .245 | 45 | -23 | +1 | -4 | -2 | +10 | -1.8 |
| 2034 | 33 | MLB | PHI | 338 | 301 | 47 | 8 | 1 | 9 | 28 | 161 | 6 | 5 | 1 | .156 | .242 | .279 | .521 | .123 | .283 | 48 | 8 | .239 | 41 | -22 | +1 | -4 | -2 | +10 | -1.9 |
| 2035 | 34 | MLB | PHI | 295 | 262 | 39 | 6 | 1 | 7 | 25 | 143 | 6 | 4 | 0 | .149 | .239 | .260 | .498 | .111 | .281 | 48 | 8 | .233 | 36 | -21 | +1 | -5 | -2 | +8 | -1.9 |
| ▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 4745 | 4201 | 658 | 111 | 15 | 137 | 397 | 2315 | 108 | 137 | 32 | .157 | .247 | .288 | .535 | .131 | .294 | 49 | 8 | .244 | 45 | -294 | +15 | -20 | -28 | +134 | -19.7 | ||
| / 162G | — | 650 | 575 | 90 | 15 | 2 | 19 | 54 | 317 | 15 | 19 | 4 | .157 | .247 | .289 | .536 | .132 | .292 | 49 | 8 | .244 | 45 | -40 | +2 | -3 | -4 | +18 | -2.7 | ||
Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)
Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 21 | A | Clearwater Threshers | 115 | 95 | 16 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 51 | 6 | 6 | 1 | .168 | .313 | .326 | .639 | .158 | .300 | 44 | 12 | .300 | 87 | -2 | +1 | — | — | +3 | 0.2 |
| 2023 | 22 | A+ | Jersey Shore BlueClaws | 53 | 43 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 26 | 2 | 4 | 2 | .070 | .245 | .093 | .338 | .023 | .176 | 49 | 15 | .191 | 5 | -6 | +0 | — | — | +2 | -0.4 |
| 2023 | 22 | A | Clearwater Threshers | 261 | 220 | 56 | 14 | 2 | 12 | 29 | 90 | 8 | 10 | 1 | .255 | .362 | .500 | .862 | .245 | .361 | 34 | 11 | .374 | 144 | +13 | +2 | — | — | +7 | 2.3 |
| 2023 | 22 | INTL | Adelaide Giants | 130 | 115 | 30 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 14 | 31 | 1 | 13 | 1 | .261 | .346 | .461 | .807 | .200 | .316 | 24 | 11 | .358 | 132 | +5 | +2 | — | — | +4 | 1.1 |
| 2024 | 23 | AA | Reading Fightin Phils | 137 | 119 | 24 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 54 | 4 | 7 | 2 | .202 | .307 | .336 | .643 | .134 | .328 | 39 | 10 | .297 | 85 | -2 | +1 | — | — | +4 | 0.2 |
| 2024 | 23 | A+ | Jersey Shore BlueClaws | 115 | 93 | 22 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 16 | 40 | 6 | 9 | 1 | .237 | .383 | .419 | .802 | .183 | .367 | 35 | 14 | .365 | 138 | +5 | +1 | — | — | +3 | 1.0 |
| 2025 | 24 | AAA | Lehigh Valley IronPigs | 36 | 33 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 15 | 0 | 3 | 1 | .333 | .371 | .788 | 1.159 | .455 | .462 | 42 | 6 | .479 | 224 | +5 | +0 | — | — | +1 | 0.6 |
| 2025 | 24 | AA | Reading Fightin Phils | 280 | 236 | 35 | 7 | 1 | 10 | 31 | 128 | 8 | 11 | 4 | .148 | .269 | .314 | .583 | .165 | .248 | 46 | 11 | .265 | 61 | -12 | +1 | — | — | +8 | -0.4 |
Career Path Comps
What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Scouting | At Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Peak 3 Yrs | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | HIT | PWR | SPD | EYE | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR |
| Cade Fergus (OGILVIE) | 25 | 20 | 50 | 55 | 50 | .147/.234/.280 | .133 | .292 | 10 | 9 | 52% | 8% | 40 | -1.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
|
✕Grae Kessinger 2023 · AA |
25 | 34→29 | 46→45 | 49→50 | 44 | .182/.254/.300 | .117 | .244 | 15 | 18 | 31% | 8% | 52 | -1.6 | .203/.279/.317 | .114 | .274 | 13 | 12 | 29% | 9% | 66 | -0.6 | .204/.281/.310 | .106 | .271 | 11 | 8 | 28% | 9% | 64 | -0.4 |
|
✕Josh Stowers 2022 · AA |
25 | 38→41 | 49→50 | 53→55 | 40 | .197/.264/.341 | .144 | .286 | 18 | 23 | 36% | 7% | 66 | -0.6 | .182/.252/.318 | .136 | .265 | 16 | 20 | 36% | 7% | 56 | -1.3 | .157/.232/.277 | .120 | .228 | 13 | 21 | 36% | 7% | 34 | -1.7 |
|
✕Jason Martinson 2014 · AA |
25 | 37→41 | 47→50 | 54→50 | 38 | .191/.258/.322 | .131 | .293 | 16 | 15 | 39% | 7% | 59 | -1.1 | .193/.251/.307 | .114 | .301 | 13 | 14 | 38% | 6% | 51 | -1.7 | .168/.226/.281 | .113 | .280 | 13 | 8 | 43% | 6% | 31 | -2.1 |
|
✕Kalian Sams 2013 · AA |
26 | 33→28 | 53→55 | 55 | 33 | .185/.232/.350 | .165 | .279 | 22 | 16 | 42% | 5% | 56 | -1.3 | .210/.269/.382 | .172 | .298 | 23 | 16 | 36% | 7% | 79 | +0.3 | .188/.263/.383 | .195 | .242 | 29 | 18 | 36% | 9% | 75 | -0.0 |
|
✕Matt Gorski 2023 · AA |
25 | 38→34 | 52→60 | 55 | 36 | .201/.255/.362 | .161 | .296 | 21 | 19 | 39% | 6% | 68 | -0.5 | .202/.249/.372 | .170 | .277 | 22 | 19 | 35% | 6% | 68 | -0.5 | .192/.237/.369 | .177 | .251 | 24 | 19 | 34% | 5% | 61 | -0.6 |
|
✕Sean Coyle 2017 · AAA |
25 | 36 | 45→50 | 48→50 | 37 | .186/.248/.306 | .120 | .290 | 14 | 12 | 39% | 7% | 50 | -1.7 | .185/.245/.287 | .102 | .286 | 9 | 10 | 36% | 7% | 43 | -2.2 | .153/.212/.244 | .092 | .224 | 3 | 6 | 32% | 7% | 14 | -1.0 |
|
✕Gabriel Cancel 2022 · AAA |
25 | 36→43 | 52→50 | 53→50 | 34 | .198/.245/.362 | .164 | .283 | 21 | 18 | 38% | 5% | 64 | -0.8 | .199/.259/.327 | .128 | .310 | 14 | 14 | 38% | 7% | 60 | -1.0 | .176/.251/.283 | .107 | .280 | 12 | 10 | 39% | 8% | 43 | -0.8 |
|
✕Troy Stokes Jr. 2021 · AAA |
25 | 39→38 | 46→50 | 54→55 | 43 | .195/.275/.328 | .133 | .280 | 14 | 16 | 34% | 8% | 68 | -0.5 | .196/.270/.305 | .109 | .263 | 10 | 17 | 28% | 8% | 59 | -1.1 | .156/.241/.247 | .091 | .208 | 8 | 20 | 27% | 8% | 30 | -1.4 |
|
✕Jeremy Eierman 2022 · AA |
25 | 35→26 | 46→55 | 49→45 | 32 | .179/.235/.308 | .128 | .302 | 15 | 11 | 44% | 5% | 46 | -2.0 | .183/.237/.338 | .155 | .288 | 21 | 9 | 43% | 5% | 54 | -1.4 | .154/.206/.301 | .147 | .224 | 23 | 6 | 42% | 5% | 29 | -1.3 |
|
✕Jeter Downs 2023 · MLB |
25 | 31→41 | 49→50 | 53→55 | 38 | .175/.246/.310 | .136 | .249 | 18 | 21 | 37% | 7% | 51 | -1.7 | .198/.279/.340 | .142 | .275 | 16 | 23 | 32% | 8% | 73 | -0.1 | .197/.289/.341 | .144 | .269 | 13 | 27 | 30% | 9% | 77 | +0.1 |
|
✕Tyler Hardman 2023 · AA |
24 | 38→33 | 51→55 | 49→50 | 34 | .198/.247/.347 | .149 | .306 | 20 | 11 | 41% | 6% | 60 | -1.0 | .186/.245/.351 | .165 | .298 | 22 | 12 | 43% | 7% | 61 | -1.0 | .165/.227/.328 | .163 | .262 | 22 | 13 | 45% | 7% | 45 | -1.4 |
|
✕Will Wilson 2022 · AA |
24 | 37→39 | 47→50 | 51→45 | 38 | .192/.256/.327 | .136 | .292 | 16 | 8 | 38% | 7% | 59 | -1.1 | .200/.260/.331 | .131 | .283 | 16 | 6 | 34% | 7% | 62 | -0.9 | .193/.253/.304 | .111 | .257 | 14 | 4 | 30% | 7% | 49 | -1.3 |
|
✕Zach Watson 2022 · AA |
25 | 37→33 | 51→50 | 52→50 | 34 | .202/.245/.354 | .153 | .280 | 19 | 18 | 35% | 4% | 61 | -1.0 | .186/.229/.307 | .121 | .288 | 14 | 14 | 39% | 4% | 42 | -2.3 | .161/.203/.268 | .107 | .253 | 12 | 13 | 40% | 4% | 18 | -1.9 |
|
✕Brandon Hicks 2011 · AAA |
25 | 37→40 | 46→50 | 51→50 | 38 | .193/.251/.319 | .126 | .276 | 14 | 14 | 35% | 6% | 55 | -1.4 | .200/.261/.341 | .141 | .304 | 17 | 11 | 38% | 7% | 65 | -0.7 | .192/.258/.339 | .147 | .301 | 18 | 10 | 40% | 7% | 59 | -0.7 |
|
✕Bryan Arias 2022 · AA |
25 | 39 | 47→45 | 48→50 | 39 | .198/.264/.325 | .127 | .303 | 16 | 12 | 38% | 7% | 62 | -0.9 | .192/.269/.297 | .105 | .298 | 11 | 14 | 36% | 8% | 57 | -1.2 | .178/.267/.273 | .095 | .273 | 9 | 17 | 35% | 9% | 48 | -0.7 |
|
✕Michael Gettys 2021 · AAA |
25 | 35→45 | 52→50 | 50 | 31 | .191/.233/.356 | .164 | .290 | 21 | 14 | 41% | 4% | 57 | -1.2 | .202/.254/.333 | .131 | .320 | 15 | 16 | 40% | 5% | 59 | -1.1 | .158/.214/.254 | .096 | .263 | 11 | 21 | 43% | 5% | 20 | -1.0 |
|
✕Jhailyn Ortiz 2023 · AA |
24 | 38→35 | 50 | 48→45 | 35 | .197/.261/.345 | .148 | .303 | 19 | 7 | 40% | 6% | 66 | -0.6 | .202/.267/.334 | .132 | .321 | 16 | 6 | 39% | 7% | 66 | -0.6 | .186/.258/.306 | .120 | .294 | 16 | 1 | 40% | 8% | 52 | -1.0 |
|
✕Donovan Casey 2021 · AA |
25 | 40→47 | 48→50 | 53→50 | 35 | .200/.250/.341 | .141 | .316 | 17 | 12 | 41% | 6% | 59 | -1.1 | .206/.256/.321 | .115 | .330 | 13 | 15 | 39% | 5% | 57 | -1.2 | .193/.245/.290 | .097 | .311 | 10 | 15 | 39% | 5% | 41 | -1.5 |
|
✕Ismael Alcantara 2023 · AA |
24 | 40→30 | 46→45 | 50 | 37 | .202/.259/.333 | .131 | .288 | 14 | 12 | 34% | 6% | 62 | -0.9 | .210/.268/.306 | .096 | .313 | 9 | 17 | 34% | 6% | 58 | -1.2 | .216/.274/.290 | .074 | .331 | 7 | 24 | 35% | 6% | 53 | -1.0 |
|
✕Bradlee Beesley 2023 · AA |
25 | 40 | 45→50 | 54→60 | 37 | .202/.257/.328 | .126 | .297 | 13 | 21 | 35% | 6% | 59 | -1.1 | .205/.281/.332 | .127 | .308 | 11 | 27 | 35% | 7% | 71 | -0.3 | .190/.283/.327 | .137 | .290 | 12 | 39 | 35% | 8% | 66 | -0.3 |