Cade Fergus — OGILVIE

Cade FergusOF Reading Fightin Phils

Age 26 R/R 6'2" / 195 lbs AA HR +14% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTION0 act + 0 ros · stats below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+†49

AVG/OBP/SLG.173 / .243 / .293

PA3

HR0

K%33

BB%6

BABIP267

ISO123

MLB%2%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 20 / POW 50

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT20

scouting grade only

POWER50

scouting grade only

EYE50

scouting grade only

SPEED55

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2030

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2035

First FA Year 2036

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2022	21	A	Clearwater Threshers	—	115	95	16	1	1	4	14	51	6	6	1	168	313	326	639	158	300	44	12	300	16	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	A+	Jersey Shore BlueClaws	—	53	43	3	1	0	0	8	26	2	4	2	70	245	93	338	23	176	49	15	191	-34	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	A	Clearwater Threshers	—	261	220	56	14	2	12	29	90	8	10	1	255	362	500	862	245	361	34	11	374	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	INTL	Adelaide Giants	—	130	115	30	6	1	5	14	31	1	13	1	261	346	461	807	200	316	24	11	358	128	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	AA	Reading Fightin Phils	—	137	119	24	4	0	4	14	54	4	7	2	202	307	336	643	134	328	39	10	297	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	A+	Jersey Shore BlueClaws	—	115	93	22	1	2	4	16	40	6	9	1	237	383	419	802	183	367	35	14	365	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	AAA	Lehigh Valley IronPigs	—	36	33	11	0	0	5	2	15	0	3	1	333	371	788	1.159	455	462	42	6	479	125	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	AA	Reading Fightin Phils	—	280	236	35	7	1	10	31	128	8	11	4	148	269	314	583	165	248	46	11	265	19	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	25	AAA	Lehigh Valley IronPigs	—	28	25	5	1	0	0	2	14	0	1	0	200	259	240	499	40	455	50	7	225	4	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	25	AA	Reading Fightin Phils	—	72	66	7	1	0	0	4	34	1	4	0	106	169	121	290	15	212	47	6	142	-41	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2022	21	A MLE	Clearwater Threshers	—	115	99	11	1	1	2	10	69	6	6	1	111	235	202	437	91	268	60	9	192	16	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	A+ MLE	Jersey Shore BlueClaws	—	53	46	2	1	0	0	5	34	2	4	2	43	170	65	235	22	146	64	9	118	-34	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	A MLE	Clearwater Threshers	—	261	229	41	10	1	8	20	120	8	10	1	179	268	336	605	157	301	46	8	268	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	AA MLE	Reading Fightin Phils	—	137	123	18	3	0	2	10	68	4	7	2	146	234	220	453	73	297	50	7	213	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	A+ MLE	Jersey Shore BlueClaws	—	115	99	18	1	2	4	10	51	6	9	1	182	296	354	649	172	298	44	9	265	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	AAA MLE	Lehigh Valley IronPigs	—	36	34	9	0	0	4	1	18	0	3	1	265	286	618	903	353	412	50	3	353	125	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	AA MLE	Reading Fightin Phils	—	280	245	28	5	1	7	22	154	8	11	4	114	211	229	439	114	219	55	8	196	19	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	25	AAA MLE	Lehigh Valley IronPigs	—	28	26	4	1	0	0	1	17	0	1	0	154	185	192	377	38	421	61	4	174	4	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	25	AA MLE	Reading Fightin Phils	—	72	67	6	1	0	0	3	41	1	4	0	90	141	104	245	15	199	57	4	108	-41	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	21	A MLE	Clearwater Threshers	—	115	99	11	1	1	2	10	69	6	6	1	111	235	202	437	91	321	60	9	192	16	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	21	A RAW	Clearwater Threshers	—	115	95	16	1	1	4	14	51	6	6	1	168	313	326	639	158	300	44	12	300	16	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	A MLE	3 teams	—	444	393	61	14	2	12	36	218	11	27	4	155	245	293	538	137	293	49	8	243	50	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	A RAW	3 teams	—	444	378	89	21	3	17	51	147	11	27	4	235	343	442	785	206	330	33	11	348	50	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	AA MLE	2 teams	—	252	222	36	4	2	6	20	119	10	16	3	162	262	279	541	117	309	47	8	237	46	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	AA RAW	2 teams	—	252	212	46	5	2	8	30	94	10	16	3	217	341	373	714	156	345	37	12	328	46	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	AA MLE	2 teams	—	316	279	36	5	1	10	23	172	8	14	5	129	216	262	478	133	260	54	7	214	31	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	AA RAW	2 teams	—	316	269	46	7	1	15	33	143	8	14	5	171	281	372	652	201	272	45	10	290	31	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	25	AA MLE	2 teams	—	100	93	9	1	0	0	4	58	1	5	0	97	143	108	250	11	250	58	4	126	-28	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	25	AA RAW	2 teams	—	100	91	12	2	0	0	6	48	1	5	0	132	194	154	348	22	273	48	6	165	-28	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	21	A MLE	Clearwater Threshers	—	115	98	11	1	1	2	10	69	6	6	1	112	235	204	439	92	268	60	9	192	16	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	A MLE	3 teams	—	444	394	61	14	2	12	36	218	11	27	4	155	245	292	537	137	275	49	8	243	50	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	AA MLE	2 teams	—	252	220	36	4	2	6	20	119	10	16	3	164	262	282	544	118	297	47	8	237	46	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	AA MLE	2 teams	—	316	282	36	5	1	10	23	172	8	14	5	128	216	259	475	131	241	54	7	214	31	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	25	AA MLE	2 teams	—	100	95	9	1	0	0	4	58	1	5	0	95	143	105	248	11	261	58	4	126	-28	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	23	AA MLE	2 teams	—	252	220	36	4	2	6	20	119	10	16	3	164	262	282	544	118	297	47	8	237	46	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	AA MLE	2 teams	—	316	282	36	5	1	10	23	172	8	14	5	128	216	259	475	131	241	54	7	214	31	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	25	AA MLE	2 teams	—	100	95	9	1	0	0	4	58	1	5	0	95	143	105	248	11	261	58	4	126	-28	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	26	MLB MLE	PHI	2%	200	182	32	6	1	5	13	79	3	5	1	171	241	287	528	115	266	40	6	240	49	-12	+1	+0	-1	+4	-0.6
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
2027	26	MLB CTX	PHI	2%	3	3	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	173	243	293	536	120	267	33	0	243	49	-0	+0	+0	-0	+0	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	27	MLB MLE	PHI	27%	262	238	41	7	1	6	18	102	4	7	2	174	244	290	534	116	267	39	7	243	51	-15	+1	+0	-2	+6	-1.1
2028	27	MLB CTX	PHI	27%	70	64	11	2	0	2	5	27	1	2	0	176	246	297	542	121	268	39	7	246	51	-4	+0	+0	-0	+2	-0.3
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	70	64	11	2	0	2	5	27	1	2	0	172	243	297	540	125	257	39	7	246	39	-4	+0	+0	-0	+2	-0.3
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	594	103	19	0	19	46	251	9	19	0	173	243	301	544	128	259	39	7	246	39	-38	+4	+0	-4	+14	-2.5
Career	—	MLE		—	1659	1478	221	37	8	40	122	805	43	80	16	150	235	267	502	117	281	49	7	226	39	-26	+1	+0	-3	+9	-1.8
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	579	86	14	3	16	48	315	17	31	6	149	234	266	500	117	278	48	7	226	39	-39	+2	+0	-4	+14	-2.7

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Cade Fergus (OGILVIE)	26	20	50	55	50	170/239/284	114	266	4	5	40%	7%	49	-0.7	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Connor Kopach 2021 · AAA	26	39→32	44→45	54→55	37	192/252/308	116	294	12	18	37%	6%	57	-1.8	187/254/289	102	354	10	16	46%	7%	55	-2.0	111/190/186	75	238	11	21	54%	8%	6	-1.6
✕Max Burt 2023 · AAA	26	39→35	45	54→55	37	200/250/318	119	279	13	18	33%	5%	59	-1.6	187/244/290	103	273	11	22	34%	6%	51	-2.3	169/229/255	86	251	9	26	34%	5%	35	-1.6
✕Bryan Arias 2023 · AA	26	38	43→45	51→50	41	189/264/294	105	291	11	14	37%	8%	59	-1.6	201/274/303	102	294	9	14	32%	8%	65	-1.2	190/290/284	94	249	9	24	25%	10%	64	-0.3
✕Kalian Sams 2013 · AA	26	33→26	51→55	56→55	33	184/229/339	155	276	20	17	41%	5%	57	-1.8	210/270/370	160	294	20	16	34%	7%	79	-0.2	184/259/363	179	235	26	18	34%	8%	71	-0.3
✕Zach Watson 2023 · AA	26	36→33	44→45	51→50	32	185/225/299	115	282	13	13	39%	4%	45	-2.7	196/242/313	117	288	12	15	35%	5%	55	-2.0	167/210/287	121	227	14	24	33%	4%	35	-1.2
✕Jordan Brewer 2024 · AA	26	39	42→45	52→55	42	194/265/298	104	279	10	18	33%	7%	61	-1.5	206/270/319	113	269	10	14	26%	6%	67	-1.1	192/257/305	113	242	10	14	24%	6%	57	-1.0
✕McCarthy Tatum 2023 · AA	27	35→25	44→50	49→50	35	182/236/299	117	270	12	9	36%	5%	50	-2.3	212/272/323	111	293	10	10	30%	5%	69	-0.9	212/282/301	88	289	5	9	26%	4%	65	-0.3
✕Jordan Nwogu 2024 · AA	25	36	48→50	51→55	36	188/253/324	136	286	17	17	39%	6%	62	-1.4	206/267/304	98	294	10	22	31%	6%	62	-1.4	212/276/293	80	294	7	25	28%	6%	61	-0.8
✕Brett Auerbach 2024 · AA	25	36→34	44→45	50→55	37	186/243/297	111	279	13	19	37%	6%	52	-2.2	214/278/321	107	308	9	14	31%	7%	70	-0.8	228/299/342	114	318	8	12	29%	8%	79	-0.1
✕Ryan Christianson 2007 · AAA	26	35	46→45	49→50	38	185/244/303	118	271	15	9	37%	7%	53	-2.1	201/257/330	129	291	16	9	35%	7%	64	-1.3	162/215/287	125	224	17	0	36%	6%	36	-0.7
✕Connor Kaiser 2023 · AA	26	38	47→45	52→50	42	196/260/323	127	273	15	12	33%	8%	65	-1.2	197/275/307	110	300	10	14	35%	9%	66	-1.1	186/271/290	104	286	8	12	35%	10%	58	-1.0
✕C.J. Stubbs 2024 · AA	27	31	47→45	50	36	162/242/292	130	279	16	16	45%	7%	52	-2.2	166/250/282	116	282	14	10	43%	8%	53	-2.1	141/230/247	106	238	14	6	44%	8%	35	-1.4
✕Andrés Alvarez 2024 · AA	27	37→32	45	51→50	42	191/256/309	118	267	13	13	33%	7%	59	-1.6	214/278/326	112	303	11	11	31%	7%	71	-0.8	220/290/326	106	314	9	12	31%	8%	72	-0.3
✕Jake Means 2023 · AA	27	34→31	46→45	51→45	43	180/255/306	126	258	14	9	35%	8%	59	-1.6	183/252/297	114	256	13	10	32%	8%	56	-1.9	128/203/219	91	164	14	8	32%	7%	19	-2.0
✕Caleb Hamilton 2022 · AAA	27	36	44→45	47→45	44	181/259/292	111	272	12	9	36%	9%	57	-1.8	177/261/302	125	271	15	6	38%	10%	61	-1.5	140/232/254	115	204	16	3	39%	10%	37	-1.0
✕Cody Bohanek 2022 · AAA	27	36	44→40	49→50	41	177/276/292	115	287	11	16	39%	8%	65	-1.2	187/276/282	95	307	7	15	38%	8%	62	-1.4	151/250/213	62	271	3	16	40%	8%	35	-1.6
✕Edwin Díaz 2022 · AAA	26	36→33	48→50	49→40	36	185/245/321	136	294	16	5	41%	6%	59	-1.7	179/231/311	132	303	16	6	44%	6%	51	-2.3	156/227/293	137	222	18	5	38%	7%	44	-1.2
✕Marty Bechina 2022 · AAA	25	35→34	45	48→45	31	182/230/307	125	291	13	8	41%	4%	49	-2.4	193/265/309	116	308	12	9	39%	7%	63	-1.3	170/257/275	104	275	11	8	39%	8%	50	-1.6
✕Dylan Rosa 2021 · AA	25	38→30	44→45	50→45	37	194/248/305	111	290	12	9	36%	6%	55	-1.9	193/248/323	130	338	15	8	45%	6%	60	-1.6	161/218/295	135	289	17	6	48%	5%	40	-1.0
✕Matt Gorski 2024 · AAA	26	36→34	51→55	56→55	37	196/245/348	152	264	20	21	34%	6%	65	-1.2	202/250/363	161	283	20	16	35%	6%	70	-0.9	190/239/355	165	267	20	14	36%	6%	62	-0.6