Kevin GrahamOF
Reno Aces
Age 26
L/R
6'1" / 195 lbs
AAA
HR -5%
Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2033
wRC+†39
AVG/OBP/SLG.178 / .241 / .274
PA170
HR3
K%38
BB%7
MLB%10%
Scouting · now → future
HIT
20→20
PWR
34→34
SPD
47→47
EYE
43→43
trajectory · 10 yrs
-0.8peak
2026
Contract
ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status MiLB
MLB Debut 2028
Service 0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through 2033
First FA Year 2034
| Year | Status | Salary | Proj WAR | Value | Surplus |
| 2026 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2028 | |||
| 2027 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2028 | |||
| 2028 | Pre-Arb | $0.8M | — | — | — |
| 2029 | Arb-1 | $0.8M | — | — | — |
| 2030 | Arb-2 | $0.9M | — | — | — |
| 2031 | Arb-3 | $0.2M | — | — | — |
| 2032 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.4M | — | — | — |
| 2033 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.6M | — | — | — |
| Totals | $-22M | $-40M | -$18M | ||
Career Projections (MLE)
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 22 | A | Visalia Rawhide | 106 | 97 | 20 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 28 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .206 | .267 | .371 | .638 | .165 | .242 | 26 | 8 | .269 | 64 | -4 | -0 | +0 | -1 | +3 | -0.2 |
| 2023 | 23 | A+ | 2 teams | 275 | 252 | 52 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 17 | 94 | 3 | 7 | 4 | .206 | .265 | .294 | .558 | .087 | .314 | 34 | 6 | .242 | 43 | -18 | -0 | +0 | -2 | +8 | -1.2 |
| 2024 | 24 | AA | Amarillo Sod Poodles | 347 | 321 | 57 | 13 | 2 | 3 | 21 | 135 | 3 | 6 | 0 | .178 | .235 | .259 | .493 | .081 | .293 | 39 | 6 | .223 | 29 | -28 | +1 | +0 | -2 | +10 | -1.9 |
| 2025 | 25 | AAA | 2 teams | 146 | 134 | 15 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 60 | 1 | 1 | 0 | .112 | .174 | .157 | .330 | .045 | .187 | 41 | 6 | .164 | -17 | -19 | +0 | +0 | -1 | +4 | -1.6 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 26 | MLB | ARI | 170 | 155 | 29 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 64 | 1 | 2 | 0 | .187 | .250 | .297 | .547 | .110 | .280 | 38 | 7 | .236 | 39 | -12 | +0 | +0 | -1 | +5 | -0.8 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 27 | MLB 25% | ARI | 262 | 239 | 44 | 9 | 1 | 4 | 19 | 95 | 2 | 4 | 1 | .184 | .250 | .280 | .530 | .096 | .282 | 36 | 7 | .245 | 46 | -16 | +0 | +0 | -2 | +7 | -1.0 |
| 2028 | 28 | MLB 37% | ARI | 314 | 285 | 53 | 11 | 1 | 5 | 23 | 111 | 3 | 5 | 1 | .186 | .254 | .284 | .538 | .098 | .283 | 35 | 7 | .250 | 49 | -18 | +1 | -1 | -2 | +9 | -1.1 |
| 2029 | 29 | MLB 47% | ARI | 335 | 304 | 58 | 12 | 1 | 6 | 25 | 117 | 3 | 5 | 0 | .191 | .259 | .296 | .555 | .105 | .282 | 35 | 7 | .252 | 51 | -19 | +1 | -1 | -2 | +9 | -1.2 |
| 2030 | 30 | MLB 55% | ARI | 350 | 318 | 59 | 12 | 1 | 6 | 26 | 123 | 3 | 5 | 0 | .186 | .254 | .286 | .540 | .101 | .281 | 35 | 7 | .250 | 50 | -20 | +1 | -2 | -2 | +10 | -1.3 |
| 2031 | 31 | MLB 73% | ARI | 341 | 310 | 58 | 12 | 1 | 6 | 25 | 121 | 3 | 4 | 0 | .187 | .254 | .290 | .545 | .103 | .279 | 35 | 7 | .246 | 47 | -20 | +1 | -3 | -2 | +10 | -1.5 |
| 2032 | 32 | MLB 90% | ARI | 325 | 295 | 54 | 11 | 1 | 5 | 24 | 117 | 3 | 3 | 0 | .183 | .252 | .278 | .530 | .095 | .278 | 36 | 7 | .242 | 43 | -21 | +1 | -4 | -2 | +9 | -1.7 |
| 2033 | 33 | MLB | ARI | 298 | 272 | 48 | 10 | 1 | 4 | 22 | 109 | 2 | 3 | 0 | .176 | .243 | .265 | .508 | .088 | .276 | 37 | 7 | .237 | 39 | -20 | +1 | -4 | -2 | +8 | -1.8 |
| 2034 | 34 | MLB | ARI | 256 | 233 | 40 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 19 | 96 | 2 | 2 | 0 | .172 | .240 | .253 | .493 | .082 | .274 | 38 | 7 | .231 | 35 | -19 | +0 | -5 | -2 | +7 | -1.8 |
| ▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 3525 | 3215 | 587 | 119 | 15 | 52 | 250 | 1270 | 29 | 47 | 7 | .183 | .248 | .277 | .525 | .095 | .280 | 36 | 7 | .239 | 41 | -234 | +7 | -20 | -21 | +100 | -17.2 | ||
| / 162G | — | 650 | 593 | 109 | 22 | 3 | 10 | 46 | 234 | 5 | 9 | 1 | .184 | .248 | .282 | .530 | .098 | .280 | 36 | 7 | .239 | 41 | -43 | +1 | -4 | -4 | +18 | -3.1 | ||
Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)
Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 22 | A | Visalia Rawhide | 106 | 94 | 23 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 11 | 21 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .245 | .324 | .447 | .771 | .202 | .261 | 20 | 10 | .338 | 117 | +2 | -0 | — | — | +3 | 0.5 |
| 2023 | 23 | A+ | Hillsboro Hops | 256 | 226 | 57 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 24 | 63 | 3 | 7 | 4 | .252 | .332 | .354 | .686 | .102 | .335 | 25 | 9 | .309 | 95 | -1 | -0 | — | — | +7 | 0.6 |
| 2023 | 23 | ROK | ACL D-backs Black | 19 | 15 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .400 | .526 | .533 | 1.060 | .133 | .500 | 16 | 21 | .473 | 220 | +3 | +0 | — | — | +1 | 0.3 |
| 2024 | 24 | AA | Amarillo Sod Poodles | 347 | 310 | 66 | 16 | 2 | 5 | 32 | 106 | 3 | 6 | 0 | .213 | .293 | .326 | .619 | .113 | .305 | 31 | 9 | .281 | 73 | -10 | +1 | — | — | +10 | 0.1 |
| 2025 | 25 | AAA | Reno Aces | 86 | 73 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 25 | 1 | 1 | 0 | .137 | .250 | .205 | .455 | .068 | .184 | 29 | 12 | .217 | 25 | -7 | +0 | — | — | +2 | -0.5 |
| 2025 | 25 | AA | Amarillo Sod Poodles | 60 | 57 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 21 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .175 | .217 | .281 | .497 | .105 | .257 | 35 | 5 | .224 | 30 | -5 | +0 | — | — | +2 | -0.3 |
Career Path Comps
What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Scouting | At Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Peak 3 Yrs | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | HIT | PWR | SPD | EYE | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR |
| Kevin Graham (OGILVIE) | 26 | 20 | 34 | 47 | 43 | .178/.241/.274 | .096 | .280 | 3 | 2 | 38% | 7% | 39 | -0.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
|
✕Scott Hurst 2022 · AAA |
26 | 38→31 | 39→40 | 43→50 | 39 | .185/.242/.267 | .083 | .288 | 7 | 7 | 37% | 7% | 37 | -2.7 | .221/.294/.329 | .108 | .299 | 11 | 19 | 28% | 8% | 76 | +0.0 | .239/.321/.353 | .114 | .297 | 13 | 25 | 23% | 9% | 89 | +0.6 |
|
✕Jackson Cluff 2023 · AA |
26 | 36→29 | 40→45 | 48→55 | 36 | .179/.243/.270 | .091 | .285 | 8 | 11 | 38% | 6% | 39 | -2.5 | .186/.268/.305 | .119 | .285 | 12 | 20 | 36% | 9% | 59 | -1.1 | .181/.273/.314 | .132 | .266 | 14 | 28 | 35% | 10% | 61 | -0.6 |
|
✕Jameson Fisher 2021 · AA |
27 | 39→36 | 40→45 | 43→45 | 41 | .188/.258/.280 | .092 | .292 | 8 | 6 | 36% | 8% | 48 | -1.9 | .220/.275/.343 | .123 | .313 | 13 | 6 | 32% | 7% | 70 | -0.3 | .235/.285/.380 | .146 | .314 | 17 | 2 | 30% | 6% | 80 | +0.2 |
|
✕Justin Toerner 2023 · AAA |
26 | 39 | 43→45 | 48→50 | 44 | .190/.284/.298 | .108 | .293 | 11 | 10 | 36% | 9% | 65 | -0.7 | .190/.283/.309 | .119 | .284 | 13 | 11 | 35% | 10% | 66 | -0.6 | .126/.240/.244 | .118 | .172 | 15 | 9 | 35% | 12% | 32 | -1.0 |
|
✕Eric Jagielo 2018 · AAA |
26 | 38→35 | 42→45 | 43→30 | 40 | .191/.259/.288 | .097 | .275 | 10 | 2 | 33% | 7% | 50 | -1.7 | .184/.241/.291 | .107 | .277 | 11 | 4 | 36% | 6% | 43 | -2.2 | .158/.206/.269 | .111 | .240 | 13 | 1 | 39% | 5% | 20 | -2.8 |
|
✕Ryan Aguilar 2021 · AA |
26 | 40→41 | 42→45 | 49→50 | 41 | .190/.265/.290 | .099 | .310 | 9 | 8 | 39% | 8% | 53 | -1.5 | .191/.282/.312 | .121 | .320 | 14 | 13 | 41% | 10% | 67 | -0.5 | .176/.277/.309 | .133 | .286 | 16 | 14 | 41% | 11% | 61 | -0.5 |
|
✕Mark Contreras 2021 · AA |
26 | 36→38 | 44→50 | 47→55 | 38 | .183/.247/.298 | .115 | .269 | 11 | 13 | 35% | 6% | 48 | -1.9 | .201/.262/.346 | .145 | .292 | 17 | 19 | 36% | 6% | 66 | -0.6 | .199/.260/.339 | .140 | .286 | 17 | 24 | 35% | 6% | 61 | -0.7 |
|
✕Cody Bohanek 2021 · AAA |
26 | 38→36 | 38→40 | 45→50 | 39 | .179/.267/.254 | .075 | .295 | 6 | 11 | 38% | 7% | 46 | -2.0 | .179/.276/.286 | .107 | .293 | 9 | 15 | 39% | 8% | 59 | -1.1 | .155/.261/.260 | .105 | .255 | 9 | 18 | 39% | 9% | 45 | -1.1 |
|
✕Shane Matheny 2022 · AA |
26 | 38→42 | 43→45 | 47→50 | 39 | .187/.250/.294 | .107 | .292 | 11 | 6 | 38% | 7% | 48 | -1.9 | .201/.285/.328 | .127 | .324 | 14 | 9 | 38% | 10% | 72 | -0.2 | .191/.281/.316 | .125 | .300 | 14 | 9 | 38% | 10% | 64 | -0.5 |
|
✕Seth Gray 2023 · AA |
25 | 38 | 44→45 | 47→50 | 38 | .186/.263/.294 | .108 | .300 | 13 | 8 | 40% | 7% | 54 | -1.4 | .205/.282/.312 | .107 | .343 | 12 | 13 | 40% | 8% | 66 | -0.6 | .202/.287/.300 | .098 | .353 | 11 | 19 | 41% | 9% | 62 | -0.5 |
|
✕Caleb Hamilton 2021 · AAA |
26 | 38 | 41→45 | 45 | 42 | .191/.251/.292 | .101 | .267 | 9 | 8 | 31% | 7% | 47 | -1.9 | .183/.267/.313 | .130 | .280 | 16 | 7 | 37% | 10% | 61 | -1.0 | .145/.237/.274 | .129 | .209 | 19 | 3 | 39% | 10% | 37 | -0.8 |
|
✕Jordan Betts 2018 · AA |
26 | 36→29 | 43→45 | 46→40 | 35 | .184/.232/.292 | .108 | .283 | 11 | 5 | 38% | 6% | 39 | -2.5 | .203/.251/.317 | .114 | .300 | 13 | 4 | 35% | 6% | 54 | -1.4 | .191/.237/.292 | .101 | .273 | 13 | 0 | 34% | 5% | 38 | -1.6 |
|
✕Julian Escobedo 2023 · AA |
25 | 38→36 | 41→40 | 48→50 | 40 | .191/.255/.290 | .099 | .266 | 9 | 14 | 31% | 6% | 49 | -1.8 | .203/.269/.317 | .114 | .286 | 10 | 15 | 31% | 6% | 62 | -0.9 | .179/.252/.313 | .134 | .265 | 12 | 20 | 35% | 6% | 50 | -0.4 |
|
✕Garrison Schwartz 2021 · AA |
25 | 40→39 | 38→40 | 43→45 | 39 | .187/.251/.262 | .075 | .298 | 5 | 7 | 37% | 7% | 40 | -2.4 | .178/.264/.258 | .080 | .387 | 6 | 11 | 50% | 9% | 46 | -2.0 | .048/.185/.080 | .032 | .161 | 3 | 14 | 63% | 11% | -29 | -1.4 |
|
✕Chris Sharpe 2022 · AAA |
26 | 38→39 | 45 | 45→50 | 39 | .191/.258/.315 | .124 | .278 | 12 | 11 | 34% | 6% | 57 | -1.2 | .189/.266/.294 | .105 | .293 | 8 | 13 | 36% | 8% | 56 | -1.3 | .164/.257/.268 | .103 | .258 | 7 | 16 | 36% | 9% | 46 | -1.0 |
|
✕Ross Adolph 2022 · AA |
25 | 41→33 | 44→45 | 44→50 | 39 | .192/.273/.308 | .117 | .318 | 12 | 8 | 40% | 8% | 62 | -0.9 | .208/.312/.331 | .123 | .364 | 12 | 11 | 42% | 10% | 85 | +0.7 | .191/.333/.297 | .106 | .358 | 9 | 16 | 41% | 13% | 84 | +0.3 |
|
✕Jake Lowery 2017 · AA |
27 | 36 | 43→45 | 48→30 | 43 | .183/.252/.292 | .109 | .264 | 10 | 5 | 33% | 8% | 48 | -1.9 | .194/.265/.297 | .103 | .312 | 9 | 6 | 37% | 9% | 55 | -1.4 | .125/.205/.184 | .059 | .260 | 4 | 0 | 49% | 9% | 0 | -1.2 |
|
✕Kody Eaves 2019 · AAA |
26 | 39→43 | 43→45 | 46→50 | 41 | .196/.252/.313 | .117 | .269 | 10 | 8 | 31% | 7% | 53 | -1.5 | .200/.250/.320 | .120 | .289 | 12 | 7 | 33% | 6% | 54 | -1.4 | .188/.236/.318 | .130 | .274 | 13 | 4 | 36% | 6% | 45 | -1.7 |
|
✕Seth Fortenberry 2010 · AA |
26 | 37→43 | 44→45 | 51→50 | 42 | .188/.261/.308 | .120 | .276 | 12 | 10 | 35% | 8% | 56 | -1.3 | .189/.254/.290 | .101 | .308 | 7 | 9 | 38% | 7% | 48 | -1.9 | .160/.216/.252 | .092 | .300 | 0 | 4 | 44% | 7% | 17 | -0.7 |
|
✕McCarthy Tatum 2022 · AA |
26 | 34→25 | 42→55 | 45→50 | 35 | .173/.235/.271 | .098 | .281 | 10 | 6 | 40% | 6% | 36 | -2.7 | .198/.254/.317 | .119 | .290 | 12 | 10 | 34% | 5% | 56 | -1.3 | .201/.254/.332 | .131 | .279 | 12 | 11 | 31% | 4% | 55 | -0.5 |