Eduar Segovia prospect projection, MLE, ETA

Eduar Segovia P Clearwater Threshers

Age 25 RHP 6'0" / 180 lbs A

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 11 proj IP

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 129121vR 112

ERA5.03

FIP5.03

K%23.2%

BB%14.8%

K-BB%8.4%

ROS IP12

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 11 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5555

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2018	17	ROK MLE	DSL Phillies White	10	0	15	63	18	9	0	0%	1.5	19.4%	17.9%	1.6%	0.0%	0.59	3.72	—
2018	17	ROK RAW	DSL Phillies White	10	0	15	63	18	9	0	0%	1.5	28.6%	14.3%	14.3%	0.0%	0.59	2.51	—
2019	18	ROK MLE	GCL Phillies West	10	9	30	113	39	10	0	90%	3.0	23.5%	11.1%	12.4%	0.0%	2.43	2.52	—
2019	18	ROK RAW	GCL Phillies West	10	9	30	113	39	10	0	90%	3.0	34.5%	8.8%	25.7%	0.0%	2.43	1.48	—
2021	20	A MLE	Clearwater Threshers	17	10	50	226	67	31	8	59%	2.9	21.9%	16.2%	5.8%	4.6%	5.58	5.84	—
2021	20	A RAW	Clearwater Threshers	17	10	50	226	67	31	8	59%	2.9	29.6%	13.7%	15.9%	3.5%	5.58	4.36	—
2023	22	A MLE	Clearwater Threshers	14	0	20	99	29	26	1	0%	1.4	21.7%	31.0%	-9.3%	1.3%	4.95	5.92	—
2023	22	A MLE	Clearwater Threshers	14	0	20	99	29	26	1	0%	1.4	21.7%	31.0%	-9.3%	1.3%	4.95	5.92	—
2023	22	A RAW	Clearwater Threshers	14	0	20	99	29	26	1	0%	1.4	29.3%	26.3%	3.0%	1.0%	4.95	4.75	—
▸ 2026 season — projected remainder (no 2026 stats recorded)
2026	25	MLB	PHI	—	—	0	—	—	—	—	—	—	23.2%	14.8%	8.4%	3.0%	5.03	5.03	—
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	26	MLB MLE	PHI	19	0	20	84	20	12	3	0%	1.1	23.4%	14.2%	9.2%	3.0%	4.95	4.94	-0.1
2027	26	MLB CTX	PHI	9	0	9	38	9	5	1	0%	1.0	23.4%	14.2%	9.2%	3.0%	4.95	4.94	-0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		8	0	9	36	8	5	1	0%	1.1	23.4%	14.2%	9.2%	3.0%	4.95	4.56	-0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	187	117	23	0%	1.1	23.4%	14.2%	9.2%	3.0%	4.95	4.56	-0.0
Career	—	MLE		51	19	115	501	110	91	12	37%	2.3	21.9%	18.2%	3.8%	2.4%	3.99	4.84	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		89	33	200	871	191	158	20	37%	2.3	21.9%	18.2%	3.8%	2.4%	3.99	4.84	-0.9

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Eduar Segovia (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.03	23.2%	14.8%	3.0%	—	4.94	23.4%	9.2%	20	-0.09	—	—	—
Sean Isaac R 2018 · 4.20 FIP	25	SW	4.20	24.2%	16.3%	2.0%	.292	—	—	—	—	—	3.27	155	76
Noah Denoyer R 2023 · 5.24 FIP	25	SW	5.24	22.2%	14.0%	4.1%	.306	—	—	—	—	—	3.26	181	75
Jarret Whorff R 2023 · 4.24 FIP	24	SW	4.24	19.5%	14.2%	1.8%	.287	4.34	19.4%	10.8%	193	+0.10	3.88	257	75
Brad Deppermann R 2021 · 4.51 FIP	25	SW	4.51	17.1%	9.6%	3.0%	.289	3.52	20.0%	7.8%	45	-0.99	1.94	143	75
Grant Black R 2021 · 4.46 FIP	27	SW	4.46	19.0%	13.9%	2.2%	.327	5.35	15.0%	3.8%	156	+0.89	4.46	215	75
Jeff Niemann R 2008 · 5.04 FIP	25	SW	5.04	18.4%	10.5%	4.0%	.294	4.16	17.4%	10.3%	490	-0.88	2.96	544	74
Sean Douglass R 2004 · 4.94 FIP	25	SW	4.94	20.1%	13.4%	3.4%	.274	4.82	14.7%	6.4%	87	-0.12	4.81	200	74
Jordan Brink R 2016 · 5.96 FIP	23	SW	5.96	18.3%	19.2%	3.6%	.233	—	—	—	—	—	3.99	132	73
Hunter Gregory R 2023 · 4.06 FIP	24	SW	4.06	20.0%	12.1%	2.0%	.322	5.10	20.1%	8.3%	161	+1.04	3.84	249	72
Josh White R 2023 · 5.12 FIP	22	SW	5.12	17.7%	13.9%	3.2%	.244	3.15	27.7%	17.2%	182	-1.97	1.84	247	72
Cole McDonald R 2022 · 5.07 FIP	25	SW	5.07	26.5%	19.8%	3.1%	.403	3.87	23.6%	11.6%	93	-1.20	2.81	153	72
Francisco Del Rosario R 2006 · 5.13 FIP	25	SU	5.13	19.4%	13.0%	3.7%	.290	3.93	19.7%	10.3%	26	-1.20	3.93	194	72
Patrick Halligan R 2023 · 4.43 FIP	23	SW	4.43	18.8%	11.6%	2.6%	.330	3.80	25.1%	15.0%	175	-0.63	2.47	305	71
Marcos Tineo R 2022 · 4.57 FIP	25	SW	4.57	22.2%	14.4%	2.8%	.320	7.13	7.8%	-24.1%	10	+2.56	3.52	273	71
Fernando Baez R 2017 · 5.37 FIP	25	SU	5.37	24.3%	21.2%	3.0%	.271	—	—	—	—	—	3.45	129	71
Billy Corcoran R 2023 · 4.20 FIP	23	SW	4.20	19.5%	10.0%	2.7%	.308	5.26	16.4%	8.7%	208	+1.06	4.20	277	71
Ben Gross R 2022 · 4.85 FIP	25	SW	4.85	17.6%	15.6%	2.3%	.303	—	—	—	—	—	4.05	118	71
Wilian Bormie R 2023 · 5.84 FIP	22	SP-	5.84	21.6%	20.4%	3.6%	.275	4.13	23.2%	9.3%	203	-1.71	3.51	226	71
Richard Guasch R 2022 · 4.41 FIP	24	SW	4.41	22.3%	16.2%	2.1%	.287	3.24	23.8%	11.8%	72	-1.17	2.94	316	71
Gabriel Ponce R 2023 · 4.59 FIP	24	SU	4.59	24.1%	14.9%	3.0%	.291	—	—	—	—	—	4.45	161	70