Nicoly Pina prospect projection, MLE, ETA

Nicoly Pina P FCL Phillies

Age 26 RHP 6'3" / 203 lbs ROK

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 7 proj IP

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 131123vR 115

ERA5.16

FIP5.16

K%23.0%

BB%15.6%

K-BB%7.4%

ROS IP8

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 7 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5555

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2018	18	ROK MLE	DSL Phillies Red	17	11	54	225	53	35	0	65%	3.2	16.0%	19.4%	-3.4%	0.0%	4.00	4.21	—
2018	18	ROK RAW	DSL Phillies Red	17	11	54	225	53	35	0	65%	3.2	23.6%	15.6%	8.0%	0.0%	4.00	3.08	—
2019	19	ROK MLE	GCL Phillies West	15	0	18	76	28	14	0	0%	1.2	25.1%	23.0%	2.0%	0.0%	3.57	3.90	—
2019	19	ROK RAW	GCL Phillies West	15	0	18	76	28	14	0	0%	1.2	36.8%	18.4%	18.4%	0.0%	3.57	2.31	—
2022	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	16	0	17	87	26	21	0	0%	1.1	20.9%	28.3%	-7.5%	0.0%	5.82	4.93	—
2022	22	MIX RAW	2 levels	16	0	17	87	26	21	0	0%	1.1	29.9%	24.1%	5.7%	0.0%	5.82	3.75	—
2023	23	ROK MLE	FCL Phillies	11	0	13	75	16	24	2	0%	1.2	14.5%	40.0%	-25.5%	3.6%	11.37	8.93	—
2023	23	ROK MLE	FCL Phillies	11	0	13	75	16	24	2	0%	1.2	14.5%	40.0%	-25.5%	3.6%	11.37	8.93	—
2023	23	ROK RAW	FCL Phillies	11	0	13	75	16	24	2	0%	1.2	21.3%	32.0%	-10.7%	2.7%	11.37	8.31	—
▸ 2026 season — projected remainder (no 2026 stats recorded)
2026	26	MLB	PHI	—	—	0	—	—	—	—	—	—	23.0%	15.6%	7.4%	3.0%	5.16	5.16	—
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	27	MLB MLE	PHI	19	0	20	84	19	13	3	0%	1.1	23.0%	15.0%	8.0%	3.1%	5.10	5.12	-0.1
2027	27	MLB CTX	PHI	7	0	7	30	7	4	1	0%	1.0	23.0%	15.0%	8.0%	3.1%	5.10	5.12	-0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		7	0	7	31	7	5	1	0%	1.0	23.0%	15.0%	8.0%	3.1%	5.10	4.74	-0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	193	138	28	0%	1.1	23.0%	15.0%	8.0%	3.1%	5.10	4.74	-0.4
Career	—	MLE		59	11	101	463	84	116	3	19%	1.7	18.2%	25.0%	-6.9%	0.6%	5.15	5.06	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		116	22	200	914	166	229	5	19%	1.7	18.2%	25.0%	-6.9%	0.6%	5.15	5.06	-1.3

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Nicoly Pina (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.16	23.0%	15.6%	3.0%	—	5.12	23.0%	8.0%	20	-0.04	—	—	—
Sam Gardner R 2023 · 4.04 FIP	26	SU	4.04	23.8%	15.1%	1.9%	.298	3.23	26.7%	16.4%	76	-0.81	2.28	121	80
Easton Sikorski R 2023 · 4.85 FIP	23	SU	4.85	20.9%	14.1%	3.1%	.254	4.62	17.5%	6.3%	154	-0.23	4.23	183	78
Jose De La Torre R 2013 · 5.22 FIP	27	SU	5.22	28.3%	18.9%	3.9%	.308	3.87	17.6%	6.6%	110	-1.35	2.64	141	78
Harrison Cohen R 2023 · 4.56 FIP	24	SU	4.56	22.4%	13.4%	3.0%	.282	4.18	22.3%	9.0%	119	-0.38	2.12	165	78
Grayson Thurman R 2023 · 4.63 FIP	24	SU	4.63	19.5%	14.1%	2.5%	.319	4.85	19.9%	10.5%	87	+0.22	4.58	132	78
Grant Black R 2021 · 4.46 FIP	27	SW	4.46	19.0%	13.9%	2.2%	.327	5.35	15.0%	3.8%	156	+0.89	4.46	215	78
Spencer Bivens R 2022 · 4.86 FIP	28	SU	4.86	19.8%	13.5%	3.1%	.265	3.85	18.1%	10.3%	272	-1.01	3.52	391	77
Logan VanWey R 2023 · 4.34 FIP	24	SU	4.34	23.9%	14.0%	2.7%	.301	3.74	25.9%	15.2%	147	-0.60	2.97	194	77
Jackson Goddard R 2023 · 4.53 FIP	26	SU	4.53	21.1%	14.3%	2.5%	.318	—	—	—	—	—	3.66	149	77
Brandon Cunniff R 2015 · 4.28 FIP	26	SU	4.28	24.5%	13.2%	2.9%	.256	4.32	20.3%	9.0%	115	+0.04	3.89	180	77
Manny Acosta R 2007 · 4.05 FIP	26	SU	4.05	23.7%	14.0%	2.1%	.196	4.23	19.0%	9.1%	130	+0.18	3.08	350	77
Fernando Baez R 2017 · 5.37 FIP	25	SU	5.37	24.3%	21.2%	3.0%	.271	—	—	—	—	—	3.45	129	76
Nick Ernst R 2022 · 5.05 FIP	25	SU	5.05	21.9%	14.6%	3.5%	.275	—	—	—	—	—	3.56	117	76
Todd Wellemeyer R 2005 · 5.70 FIP	26	SU	5.70	21.9%	14.4%	4.8%	.291	4.47	16.5%	6.8%	349	-1.23	3.35	615	76
Derek Eitel R 2015 · 4.35 FIP	27	SU	4.35	18.1%	13.9%	1.8%	.338	4.26	19.7%	5.0%	113	-0.09	3.96	138	76
Dylan Hall R 2023 · 3.98 FIP	25	SU	3.98	21.0%	13.2%	1.8%	.305	7.24	15.1%	2.4%	58	+3.26	3.47	153	76
Esmerling Vasquez R 2010 · 4.37 FIP	26	SU	4.37	22.9%	14.6%	2.5%	.278	4.23	12.5%	1.5%	62	-0.14	3.70	204	76
Mitchell Stumpo R 2022 · 4.55 FIP	26	SU	4.55	24.0%	16.8%	2.4%	.225	5.67	21.5%	6.6%	78	+1.12	3.97	158	76
Brandon Johnson R 2023 · 4.94 FIP	24	SU	4.94	22.4%	14.2%	3.5%	.327	4.47	22.1%	12.1%	189	-0.47	3.35	250	76
Cody Scroggins R 2022 · 4.50 FIP	25	SU	4.50	20.5%	16.2%	2.0%	.351	3.78	14.2%	4.6%	18	-0.72	3.78	108	75