Jose Salvador P Tri-City Dust Devils
Age 26 LHP 6'2" / 170 lbs A+ peak 0.4 · 2026
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 35 proj IP
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 100109vR 119
ERA4.38
FIP4.38
K%22.9%
BB%9.1%
K-BB%13.8%
ROS IP36
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 35 IP
K: +0.0 runs (Runs saved by strikeouts vs lg-avg K%)+0KBB: -0.1 runs (Runs saved by walk suppression vs lg-avg BB%)-0BBCONTACT: -0.7 runs (Runs saved on contact quality (HR suppression) vs lg)-1CONTACTSTAM: +1.5 runs (Replacement credit for innings volume)+1STAMTotal WAR: +0.07 (35 IP)+0.1WAR
0.10.12627
Grades · Contract
Scouting Grades
K†5555

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

YearAge LvlTeam GGSIPBF KBBHR GS%IP/G K%BB%K-BB%HR% ERAFIP WAR
201818ROKDSL Reds1412532057220086%3.823.9%12.2%11.7%0.0%1.182.63
201818ROKDSL Reds1412532057220086%3.835.1%9.8%25.4%0.0%1.181.53
202121AInland Empire 66ers201796423115471085%4.820.1%13.1%7.0%2.9%5.914.68
202121AInland Empire 66ers201796423115471085%4.827.2%11.1%16.1%2.4%5.913.53
202222MIX2 levels24241185151524512100%4.922.3%10.1%12.2%4.5%3.814.97
202222MIX2 levels24241185151524512100%4.929.5%8.7%20.8%2.3%3.812.99
202323MIX2 levels167512153914844%3.213.7%7.6%6.1%4.9%4.415.57
202323MIX2 levels167512153914844%3.218.1%6.5%11.6%3.7%4.414.43
▸ 2026 Season
202626MLBLAA663615134145100%6.022.9%9.1%13.8%3.1%4.384.38+0.1
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202727MLBLAA663514934145100%5.922.9%9.2%13.7%3.1%4.404.41+0.1
202727MLBLAA2213551352100%6.522.9%9.2%13.7%3.1%4.404.41+0.0
▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections)
Career2213541252100%6.422.9%9.2%13.7%3.1%4.404.04+0.1
/ 200 IP33332008441867831100%6.022.9%9.2%13.7%3.1%4.404.04+3.2
Career746031813582791494681%4.320.5%11.0%9.5%3.4%4.104.62+2.9
/ 200 IP4638200853175942981%4.320.5%11.0%9.5%3.4%4.104.62+1.8

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Profile at Match Age Next 3 Yrs Career
CompAgeRole FIPK%BB%HR/BFBABIP FIPK%K-BB%IP ΔFIPLow FIPIPMatch
Jose Salvador (OGILVIE) 4.38 22.9%9.1%3.1% 4.41 22.9%13.7%35 +0.03
Tommy Shirley L 2026 · 3.30 FIP 26 SP- 3.30 19.6%7.0%1.8%.252 4.86 13.0%4.2%106 +1.56 3.30 147 78
T.J. Sikkema L 2026 · 3.39 FIP 26 SP- 3.39 18.5%6.0%2.0%.282 4.13 16.2%7.0%87 +0.74 3.39 300 74
James Paxton L 2026 · 4.26 FIP 26 SP 4.26 18.9%9.4%2.8%.288 3.00 27.7%21.7%468 -1.26 2.48 924 74
Zach Thornton L 2024 · 4.22 FIP 24 SP 4.22 20.9%10.1%2.9%.279 2.95 221 73
Tyler Skaggs L 2026 · 4.34 FIP 26 SP 4.34 20.8%7.7%3.7%.310 3.59 23.9%16.0%205 -0.75 3.21 372 71
Sebastian Gongora L 2024 · 3.81 FIP 24 SP 3.81 18.5%7.5%2.4%.308 3.80 152 71
Mike Minor L 2028 · 5.50 FIP 28 SP 5.50 19.2%11.8%4.6%.330 3.78 23.2%16.4%443 -1.72 2.42 807 70
Braeden Fausnaught L 2026 · 4.91 FIP 26 SP 4.91 17.6%7.8%4.2%.335 4.57 242 70
Taylor Varnell L 2026 · 4.52 FIP 26 SP 4.52 20.1%10.3%3.3%.278 2.89 248 69
Michael Plassmeyer L 2026 · 4.51 FIP 26 SP 4.51 21.8%10.5%3.5%.319 4.85 20.7%12.5%239 +0.34 3.41 675 69
Connor Wietgrefe L 2024 · 4.26 FIP 24 SP 4.26 18.7%8.5%3.0%.279 4.15 200 69
Pete Hansen L 2026 · 4.23 FIP 26 SP 4.23 19.4%8.9%3.0%.318 3.66 437 69
Aríel Miranda L 2026 · 3.38 FIP 26 SP 3.38 18.3%10.2%0.9%.280 5.41 19.2%10.2%364 +2.03 3.38 431 69
Hayden Wynja L 2025 · 4.77 FIP 25 SP- 4.77 18.0%10.5%3.4%.274 4.77 154 69
Dylan Dodd L 2026 · 4.88 FIP 26 SP- 4.88 17.9%7.0%4.4%.338 4.05 26.4%21.5%100 -0.83 3.41 452 68
Dietrich Enns L 2026 · 3.31 FIP 26 SP- 3.31 19.7%7.1%1.8%.280 5.74 15.4%6.6%266 +2.43 2.80 740 68
Tyler Alexander L 2027 · 5.27 FIP 27 SP- 5.27 21.7%9.8%5.0%.289 5.37 15.7%5.0%26 +0.10 5.27 128 68
Kohl Drake L 2026 · 5.13 FIP 26 SP 5.13 17.0%10.5%3.9%.321 3.28 297 67
Matt Portland L 2024 · 4.64 FIP 24 SP- 4.64 17.4%11.0%2.9%.364 3.61 143 67
Avery Weems L 2025 · 5.13 FIP 25 SP- 5.13 21.3%8.6%5.0%.323 5.19 20.5%12.3%38 +0.06 2.46 227 67

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

PlayerYrsIP/yrK%BB%HR/9ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION23522.9%9.1%1.194.39
Noé Ramirez ('22)55224.8%9.0%1.334.19
Brandon Maurer ('18)45321.5%8.8%1.065.20
Randall Delgado ('17)37022.2%9.2%0.903.78
Travis Wood ('17)38520.8%9.8%1.344.72
Matt Albers ('19)54920.3%8.3%1.374.21
José Ruiz ('24)55222.2%10.4%1.414.41