Nick SchnellRF El Paso Chihuahuas
Age 26 L/R 6'1" / 180 lbs AAA HR -7% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2033
2026 ROS PROJECTION244 act + 162 ros · stats below = ROS only
wRC+†69
AVG/OBP/SLG.199 / .254 / .372
PA162
HR6
K%37
BB%6
BABIP283
ISO173
MLB%10%
Value2026 · WAR
BAT: -17.3 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-17BATRUN: +0.1 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+0RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: -4.4 runs (Positional adjustment)-4POSREP: +11.5 runs (Replacement-level credit)+12REPTotal WAR: -1.00-1.0WAR
trajectory · projected WAR by year
-0.4-0.52627
Tools · ContractCON 40 / POW 60
Toolsscout grade
CONTACT40
scouting grade only
POWER60
scouting grade only
EYE45
scouting grade only
SPEED50
scouting grade only
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2028
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2033
First FA Year   2034
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2026MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2028
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2028
2028Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2029Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $0.0M $0.0M +$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
201818 ROKGCL Rays 8273 12311 8331 26 164256274530 110282 4010 227 32
201818 ROKGCL Rays 8267 16411 14231 26 239378373751 134349 2817 346 123
201919 A2 teams 8177 9110 1501 01 117139156295 39321 621 149 -28
201919 A2 teams 8176 17330 2331 01 224253342595 118386 412 257 55
202121 ACharleston RiverDogs 227201 26405 201064 132 129222224446 95228 479 203 14
202121 ACharleston RiverDogs 227190 33408 31734 132 174302321623 147225 3214 288 79
202222 ACharleston RiverDogs 164147 27502 13830 13 184250259509 75391 518 234 37
202222 ACharleston RiverDogs 164140 36903 20570 13 257350386736 129402 3512 326 108
202323 A+Bowling Green Hot Rods 391357 501129 252010 41 140196258454 118265 516 202 13
202323 A+Bowling Green Hot Rods 391339 7718316 431350 41 227314440754 212311 3511 326 108
202424 AA2 teams 422393 8719111 201456 115 221270359628 137318 345 268 63
202424 AA2 teams 422383 9621112 301166 115 251315405720 154327 277 320 103
202525 AAA2 teams 562520 11418921 312055 184 219270410679 190311 366 291 81
202525 AAA2 teams 562506 130211123 451755 184 257324478802 221342 318 348 124
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD26 AAASD 244220 42929 18981 53 191255373628 182287 407 261 58 -12 -0 +0 -3 +7 -0.8
YTD26 AAASD 244213 5111212 25761 53 239322479801 239307 3110 344 122 +6 -0 +0 -3 +7 1.0
ROS26 AAASD 10% 162150 30616 10611 31 199254372625 173287 376 275 69 -6 +0 +0 -2 +5 -0.3
ROS26 MLBSD 10% 1615 4101 160 00 267312533846 267283 386 266 62 -1 +0 +0 -0 +0 -0.0
FULL26 AAASD 260235 4610210 191041 53 196259383642 187293 407 261 58 -12 -0 +0 -3 +7 -0.8
TOT26 AAASD 406370 7215315 281592 84 194255372627 178285 397 267 62 -17 +0 +0 -4 +12 -1.0
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202727 MLBSD 31% 336309 6312311 221212 73 204261369630 165286 367 278 71 -11 +0 +0 -4 +10 -0.5
202727 MLBSD 31% 10495 19413 7371 21 200262358620 158282 367 268 63 -4 +0 +0 -1 +3 -0.3
▸ Career Totals
Career 120110 23514 8431 21 209269382651 173297 367 268 63 -5 +0 +0 -1 +3 -0.3
/ 162G 650596 12427522 432335 115 208267381648 173295 367 268 63 -27 +0 +0 -7 +18 -1.6
Career 24272227 418791866 150100520 5926 188245328573 141298 416 251 50 -137 +1 +0 -26 +69 -9.4
/ 162G 650596 11221518 402695 167 188245331575 143298 416 251 50 -37 +0 +0 -7 +18 -2.5

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
201818 ROKGCL Rays 8267 16411 14231 26 239378373751 134349 2817 346 123 +2 -2 +2 0.3
201919 ABowling Green Hot Rods 6055 13310 2241 01 236276327603 91406 403 262 59 -3 -0 +2 -0.2
201919 ROKGCL Rays 2121 4020 090 00 190190381571 190333 430 240 42 -1 +0 +1 -0.1
202121 ACharleston RiverDogs 227190 33408 31734 132 174302321623 147225 3214 288 79 -6 +2 +6 0.3
202222 ACharleston RiverDogs 164140 36903 20570 13 257350386736 129402 3512 326 108 +1 -1 +5 0.5
202323 A+Bowling Green Hot Rods 391339 7718316 431350 41 227314440754 212311 3511 326 108 +3 +0 +11 1.5
202424 AAADurham Bulls 9689 19203 5381 20 213263337600 124333 405 268 63 -4 +0 +3 -0.1
202424 AAMontgomery Biscuits 326294 771919 25785 95 262330425755 163325 248 335 115 +5 -0 +9 1.5
202525 AAARochester Red Wings 402357 8715521 371365 123 244323490814 246327 349 354 129 +13 +1 +11 2.6
202525 AAHarrisburg Senators 160149 43662 8390 61 289325450775 161369 245 334 113 +2 +1 +5 0.8

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Scouting At Match Age Next 3 Yrs Peak 3 Yrs
Comp Age HIT PWR SPD EYE AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR
Nick Schnell (OGILVIE) 26 40 60 50 45 194/255/372 178285 158 39% 7% 62 -1.0
Daniel Palka
2018 · AAA
26 40→44 52→55 46→50 37 211/256/369 158290 218 35% 6% 70 -0.3 213/270/385 172283 234 32% 7% 80 +0.4 207/274/38718026325431%8%80+0.3
Jose Manuel Orozco
2017 · AAA
26 44 49→50 46→45 38 226/270/371 145307 189 32% 6% 76 +0.0 222/270/355 133312 159 32% 6% 72 -0.2 216/264/34312730714833%5%65-0.3
Sam Hilliard
2021 · MLB
27 37→46 50→55 54→55 38 195/253/347 153287 1918 38% 7% 63 -0.8 193/267/359 166269 2115 35% 9% 72 -0.2 190/268/352162268181834%9%69-0.3
Travis Blankenhorn
2023 · MLB
26 45 50→55 50 40 227/285/381 154313 1812 32% 6% 85 +0.7 202/272/369 167265 215 32% 7% 78 +0.2 179/255/34816922822132%8%61-0.6
Roger Kieschnick
2013 · AAA
26 41→46 53→55 45 35 218/260/391 173300 228 35% 5% 77 +0.1 206/257/348 142290 156 33% 6% 64 -0.8 192/244/32012826913433%6%49-1.4
Donald Lutz
2015 · MLB
26 43→49 48→50 52→45 37 217/263/361 144296 168 32% 5% 70 -0.3 203/251/305 102311 108 36% 5% 50 -1.7 167/207/219522865242%4%7-1.8
Grant Witherspoon
2023 · AAA
26 44→45 52→50 49→50 41 229/281/390 162298 2013 30% 6% 85 +0.7 206/272/344 138300 1612 35% 8% 70 -0.3 173/251/297124259161138%9%46-0.8
Jason Cooper
2007 · AAA
26 39→38 50→55 45 39 205/263/360 155279 186 33% 6% 71 -0.3 213/279/362 149273 138 26% 7% 78 +0.2 216/290/37616026513723%8%85+0.4
Jordan Qsar
2023 · AAA
27 39→38 54→55 52→50 38 197/272/375 177325 2213 44% 8% 79 +0.3 206/287/357 151334 1815 40% 9% 81 +0.4 181/285/326145286182040%11%72-0.1
Melky Mesa
2013 · AAA
26 42→43 52→55 52→55 37 217/269/380 164299 2019 34% 5% 79 +0.3 215/253/360 145318 1713 37% 4% 66 -0.6 206/237/33512932014939%2%48-1.0
Joseph Dunigan
2012 · AA
26 39→44 51→55 48→50 33 191/245/350 159334 2012 47% 7% 61 -1.0 195/246/358 163372 2212 50% 6% 63 -0.8 181/230/355174332261451%5%52-0.8
Corey Brown
2012 · AAA
26 43→49 51→60 50 40 218/278/376 158307 1811 34% 7% 81 +0.4 222/276/400 178313 2213 35% 6% 86 +0.8 214/267/395180298231435%6%79+0.2
Michael Hermosillo
2021 · MLB
26 39→46 49→55 49→55 38 199/276/345 145291 1713 36% 6% 72 -0.2 222/309/399 177296 2115 31% 7% 101 +1.8 207/290/404197249271829%6%92+0.4
Chad Spanberger
2021 · AA
25 40→41 51→55 47→45 40 211/262/366 155273 198 30% 6% 72 -0.2 195/252/339 144313 187 41% 6% 61 -1.0 154/213/29814424520345%6%32-1.6
Jared Hoying
2015 · AAA
26 41→49 49→55 52→55 35 213/250/360 148288 1615 32% 4% 64 -0.8 201/242/348 147249 1718 26% 5% 58 -1.2 193/236/329136233152024%5%47-1.6
Mark Contreras
2022 · AAA
27 38→37 48→50 50→55 37 196/260/344 148289 1615 36% 6% 66 -0.6 202/262/337 135291 1624 35% 6% 65 -0.7 191/254/310119273153034%6%50-1.2
J.J. Matijevic
2022 · AAA
26 41→42 55→60 51→50 40 214/276/403 189310 249 38% 8% 88 +0.9 227/288/415 188312 2211 33% 7% 95 +1.4 223/286/412189301221232%7%91+0.8
Tyler Colvin
2012 · MLB
26 40→50 53→60 52→45 40 213/257/390 177263 206 28% 5% 76 +0.0 216/263/374 158286 168 29% 6% 73 -0.1 216/264/36515028914830%6%69-0.3
Kyle Russell
2012 · AAA
26 40→45 55→60 50→45 37 206/270/395 189319 238 41% 7% 83 +0.6 199/265/338 139310 167 38% 8% 66 -0.6 176/250/29712127014638%8%49-0.7
Justin Dirden
2023 · AAA
26 46→47 52→55 51→45 40 225/295/400 175329 1810 36% 7% 95 +1.4 207/266/346 139322 1410 38% 6% 68 -0.5 188/248/32513728615638%7%53-0.9