Luis Rodriguez — OGILVIE

Luis RodriguezC Springfield Cardinals

Age 26 R/R 5'11" / 175 lbs AA HR -14%BB -5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 136 proj PA

wRC+†55

AVG/OBP/SLG.197 / .257 / .290

PA11

HR0

K%32

BB%6

ISO94

MLB%2%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$2M ctrl surplus

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2029

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2034

First FA Year 2035

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	—	—	—
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$-0.9M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2018	18	ROK	DSL Cardinals Blue	—	151	133	25	4	0	1	12	36	3	2	1	188	270	241	511	53	242	24	8	238	47	-10	+0	—	—	+3	-0.6
2019	19	ROK	DSL Cardinals Blue	—	167	151	40	6	1	1	11	33	4	1	3	265	331	338	669	73	331	20	7	305	93	-1	-1	—	—	+4	0.1
2021	21	A	Palm Beach Cardinals	—	29	26	4	2	0	0	3	11	0	0	0	154	241	231	472	77	267	38	10	223	37	-2	+0	—	—	+1	-0.2
2021	21	ROK	FCL Cardinals	—	57	49	17	2	0	0	8	18	0	0	1	347	439	388	826	41	548	32	14	381	144	+3	-0	—	—	+1	0.4
2022	22	A+	Peoria Chiefs	—	107	102	25	1	0	2	4	28	1	0	0	245	280	314	594	69	319	26	4	270	69	-4	+0	—	—	+2	-0.2
2022	22	A	Palm Beach Cardinals	—	73	71	16	3	0	1	2	24	0	0	0	225	247	310	556	85	326	33	3	249	55	-4	+0	—	—	+2	-0.2
2023	23	A+	Peoria Chiefs	—	107	97	16	4	1	0	6	31	2	0	0	165	229	227	455	62	235	29	6	209	28	-9	+0	—	—	+2	-0.7
2024	24	AA	Springfield Cardinals	—	39	37	8	1	0	0	2	16	0	1	0	216	256	243	500	27	381	41	5	231	43	-3	+0	—	—	+1	-0.2
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2018	18	ROK MLE	DSL Cardinals Blue	—	151	138	19	3	0	1	7	52	3	2	1	138	196	181	377	43	196	34	5	169	1	-18	+0	—	—	+3	-1.5
2019	19	ROK MLE	DSL Cardinals Blue	—	167	155	29	4	1	1	7	48	4	1	3	187	241	245	486	58	251	29	4	207	26	-15	-1	—	—	+4	-1.2
2021	21	A MLE	Palm Beach Cardinals	—	29	27	2	1	0	0	2	14	0	0	0	74	138	111	249	37	227	48	7	150	-12	-4	+0	—	—	+1	-0.3
2021	21	ROK MLE	FCL Cardinals	—	57	52	11	1	0	0	5	26	0	0	1	212	281	231	511	19	449	46	9	249	55	-3	-0	—	—	+1	-0.2
2022	22	A+ MLE	Peoria Chiefs	—	107	103	21	1	0	1	3	36	1	0	0	204	234	243	476	39	299	34	3	215	32	-9	+0	—	—	+2	-0.7
2022	22	A MLE	Palm Beach Cardinals	—	73	72	12	2	0	1	1	35	0	0	0	167	178	236	414	69	317	48	1	181	9	-8	+0	—	—	+2	-0.6
2023	23	A+ MLE	Peoria Chiefs	—	107	99	13	3	1	0	4	44	2	0	0	131	181	182	363	51	204	41	4	155	-9	-14	+0	—	—	+2	-1.2
2024	24	AA MLE	Springfield Cardinals	—	39	38	6	1	0	0	1	21	0	1	0	158	179	184	364	26	358	54	3	168	0	-5	+0	—	—	+1	-0.4
2018	18	ROK MLE	DSL Cardinals Blue	—	151	138	19	3	0	1	7	52	3	2	1	138	196	181	377	43	205	34	5	169	1	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	18	ROK RAW	DSL Cardinals Blue	—	151	133	25	4	0	1	12	36	3	2	1	188	270	241	511	53	242	24	8	238	1	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	19	ROK MLE	DSL Cardinals Blue	—	167	155	29	4	1	1	7	48	4	1	3	187	241	245	486	58	262	29	4	207	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	19	ROK RAW	DSL Cardinals Blue	—	167	151	40	6	1	1	11	33	4	1	3	265	331	338	669	73	331	20	7	305	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	21	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	86	79	15	3	0	0	7	40	0	0	1	190	256	228	484	38	385	47	8	216	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	21	ROK RAW	2 teams	—	86	75	21	4	0	0	11	29	0	0	1	280	372	333	705	53	457	34	13	328	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	22	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	180	175	33	3	0	2	4	71	1	0	0	189	211	240	451	51	304	39	2	201	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	22	A+ RAW	2 teams	—	180	173	41	4	0	3	6	52	1	0	0	237	267	312	579	75	322	29	3	261	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	23	A+ MLE	Peoria Chiefs	—	107	99	13	3	1	0	4	44	2	0	0	131	181	182	363	51	228	41	4	155	-9	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	23	A+ RAW	Peoria Chiefs	—	107	97	16	4	1	0	6	31	2	0	0	165	229	227	455	62	235	29	6	209	-9	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	24	AA MLE	Springfield Cardinals	—	39	38	6	1	0	0	1	21	0	1	0	158	179	184	364	26	353	54	3	168	0	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	24	AA RAW	Springfield Cardinals	—	39	37	8	1	0	0	2	16	0	1	0	216	256	243	500	27	381	41	5	231	0	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	18	ROK MLE	DSL Cardinals Blue	—	151	140	19	3	0	1	7	52	3	2	1	136	196	179	375	43	196	34	5	169	1	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	19	ROK MLE	DSL Cardinals Blue	—	167	154	29	4	1	1	7	48	4	1	3	188	241	247	488	58	251	29	4	207	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	21	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	86	79	15	3	0	0	7	40	0	0	1	190	256	228	484	38	374	47	8	216	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	22	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	180	173	33	3	0	2	4	71	1	0	0	191	211	243	454	52	306	39	2	201	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	23	A+ MLE	Peoria Chiefs	—	107	100	13	3	1	0	4	44	2	0	0	130	181	180	361	50	204	41	4	155	-9	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	24	AA MLE	Springfield Cardinals	—	39	38	6	1	0	0	1	21	0	1	0	158	179	184	364	26	358	54	3	168	0	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	23	A+ MLE	Peoria Chiefs	—	107	100	13	3	1	0	4	44	2	0	0	130	181	180	361	50	204	41	4	155	-9	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	24	AA MLE	Springfield Cardinals	—	39	38	6	1	0	0	1	21	0	1	0	158	179	184	364	26	358	54	3	168	0	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 season
2026	26	MLB MLE	STL	2%	11	10	1	0	0	0	1	3	0	0	0	100	182	100	282		284	27	9	250	55	-1	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	27	MLB MLE	STL	27%	209	191	38	7	1	3	14	64	2	3	1	199	261	293	554	94	284	31	7	258	61	-10	+0	+0	+4	+5	-0.1
2028	28	MLB MLE	STL	40%	276	252	52	10	2	4	19	84	3	4	1	206	270	310	580	103	284	30	7	262	63	-12	+0	-1	+5	+6	-0.2
2029	29	MLB MLE	STL	45%	310	282	58	11	2	5	22	93	3	4	1	206	270	312	582	106	284	30	7	263	64	-13	+0	-1	+6	+7	-0.2
2030	30	MLB MLE	STL	48%	333	303	62	12	2	5	24	100	3	4	1	205	270	307	577	102	283	30	7	262	63	-15	+0	-2	+6	+7	-0.3
2027	27	MLB CTX	STL	27%	56	51	10	2	0	1	4	17	1	1	0	196	268	294	562	98	284	30	7	248	61	-3	+0	+0	+1	+1	-0.0
2028	28	MLB CTX	STL	40%	110	100	21	4	1	2	8	33	1	2	1	210	275	330	605	120	284	30	7	252	63	-5	+0	-0	+2	+2	-0.1
2029	29	MLB CTX	STL	45%	139	127	26	5	1	2	10	42	1	2	1	205	268	307	575	102	283	30	7	253	64	-6	+0	-1	+2	+3	-0.1
2030	30	MLB CTX	STL	48%	158	144	29	6	1	2	11	48	2	2	1	201	268	299	566	97	282	30	7	252	63	-7	+0	-1	+3	+3	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	463	422	86	17	3	7	33	140	5	7	3	204	270	308	578	104	284	30	7	252	44	-20	+0	-2	+8	+10	-0.4
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	592	121	24	4	10	46	197	7	10	4	204	269	309	578	105	285	30	7	252	44	-29	+0	-3	+12	+14	-0.5
Career	—	MLE		—	1869	1722	326	57	9	21	110	620	21	19	9	189	247	269	516	80	279	33	6	233	44	-50	+1	-4	+20	+25	-0.8
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	599	113	20	3	7	38	216	7	7	3	189	245	267	512	78	279	33	6	233	44	-29	+1	-2	+12	+14	-0.5

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	2.5	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
/162	664	12	0	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#2John McDonaldlast yr '14 career totals — 13 seasons, 2,596 PA	3.9	2,596	28	34	233	273	324	+20	+54	4.2	5.1
/162	664	7	9	+5.0	+13.9	1.1	pk7: 6
#3Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	2.3	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.1	4.1
/162	664	13	20	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#4Adam Rosaleslast yr '17 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,756 PA	2.6	1,756	47	16	227	293	367	+6	+8	3.0	3.5
/162	664	18	6	+2.4	+3.0	1.1	pk7: 4
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	2.5	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
/162	664	9	2	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 2 projected seasons	0.7	466	7	7	205	268	309	+8	+8	0.1	0.1
/162	664	11	9	+11.9	+11.4	0.1	pk7: 0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	2.9	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
/162	664	7	14	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Luis Rodriguez (OGILVIE)	26	—	—	—	—	197/257/290	93	284	2	2	32%	6%	55	-0.4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Jackson Cluff 2023 · AA	26	36→30	40→45	48→60	36	177/241/266	89	277	7	11	37%	6%	45	-2.7	186/269/301	115	281	11	21	35%	9%	63	-1.4	179/271/301	122	264	12	28	34%	10%	62	-0.8
✕Chris Roller 2023 · AA	26	38	39→45	50→55	41	183/248/269	86	262	6	14	31%	6%	47	-2.5	191/270/312	121	306	13	16	39%	8%	66	-1.1	174/262/298	124	289	15	19	41%	9%	58	-1.1
✕Chris Sharpe 2022 · AAA	26	37→39	42→45	45→50	39	185/255/296	111	276	9	10	35%	7%	57	-1.8	191/270/296	105	294	8	13	35%	8%	62	-1.4	163/254/261	99	255	6	16	35%	9%	49	-1.1
✕Jack Conley 2022 · AAA	25	35	41→45	50→45	39	175/237/270	95	265	8	7	36%	7%	43	-2.8	201/267/311	110	285	10	8	31%	7%	64	-1.3	188/261/294	106	261	9	5	30%	7%	54	-1.0
✕Mark Thomas 2014 · AA	26	38→41	42→45	48→45	38	192/238/297	105	260	9	6	29%	5%	49	-2.4	174/227/294	120	256	12	5	35%	6%	45	-2.7	145/197/276	131	201	15	3	36%	5%	27	-1.5
✕JJ Schwarz 2022 · AA	26	40	43→45	47→30	45	202/266/307	106	274	11	4	30%	8%	63	-1.4	220/287/341	121	307	13	4	31%	8%	78	-0.3	213/285/332	119	296	14	1	31%	9%	73	-0.4
✕Camden Duzenack 2021 · AA	26	35→36	46→50	48→50	39	184/244/306	122	245	15	10	31%	6%	55	-2.0	208/254/339	131	279	15	10	30%	5%	65	-1.2	211/259/339	128	274	14	10	28%	5%	64	-0.6
✕Cael Brockmeyer 2018 · AAA	26	37→39	44→45	47→40	38	189/244/301	112	262	12	4	32%	5%	53	-2.1	218/276/314	96	318	9	8	32%	5%	68	-1.0	250/309/327	77	377	6	5	33%	5%	80	-0.1
✕Aaron Schunk 2023 · AA	26	40→44	43→45	48→50	37	203/250/316	113	283	11	9	32%	5%	58	-1.7	218/263/335	117	297	11	10	29%	5%	68	-1.0	218/263/335	116	292	11	10	28%	5%	65	-0.9
✕Stephen McGee 2017 · AAA	26	40	38→40	44→30	45	194/269/271	78	275	6	4	30%	8%	56	-1.9	204/290/309	105	310	9	4	34%	10%	73	-0.6	190/290/293	103	292	10	0	35%	12%	67	-0.4
✕Caleb Hamilton 2021 · AAA	26	39	41→45	45	43	195/255/293	98	270	8	9	30%	7%	55	-1.9	181/266/305	124	275	14	6	37%	10%	63	-1.4	141/235/256	115	206	16	3	39%	10%	39	-1.0
✕Jason Delay 2021 · AA	26	41	44→45	49→40	38	208/259/323	115	283	13	6	31%	5%	63	-1.3	205/253/298	93	291	7	5	30%	5%	55	-2.0	228/287/304	76	299	3	2	23%	6%	67	-0.4
✕Bryan Arias 2023 · AA	26	39	43→45	51→50	40	191/266/297	106	296	11	14	37%	8%	61	-1.5	204/277/306	102	299	9	14	32%	8%	67	-1.1	198/298/294	96	261	9	24	25%	10%	69	-0.2
✕Seaver Whalen 2021 · A	26	40	40→50	48→50	40	197/266/289	91	267	8	6	28%	5%	59	-1.6	206/275/328	122	265	12	10	26%	4%	72	-0.7	172/249/306	133	210	14	10	25%	3%	57	-0.7
✕Sean Coyle 2017 · AAA	25	36	43→50	48→50	38	180/243/288	107	283	11	11	39%	7%	50	-2.3	191/251/293	102	287	8	10	34%	7%	53	-2.1	154/212/246	92	221	3	6	30%	7%	25	-1.0
✕McCarthy Tatum 2023 · AA	27	36→25	44→50	49→50	35	186/241/304	118	277	12	9	36%	5%	53	-2.1	214/275/326	112	297	10	10	30%	5%	70	-0.8	213/284/304	91	290	6	9	26%	4%	67	-0.3
✕Jakson Reetz 2022 · AAA	26	37→33	43→55	45	40	186/266/297	111	275	11	5	34%	7%	61	-1.5	202/279/375	173	264	21	5	32%	7%	84	+0.2	193/274/380	187	243	23	4	31%	7%	81	-0.0
✕Angelo Castellano 2021 · AA	26	39→44	39→45	47→50	41	192/246/277	85	255	7	12	27%	6%	48	-2.5	199/261/296	97	255	10	12	25%	7%	58	-1.7	201/270/309	108	245	12	14	23%	8%	62	-0.7
✕Connor Justus 2021 · AA	26	37→38	37→40	43→45	44	179/255/251	73	251	5	8	29%	7%	47	-2.6	194/257/270	76	290	5	7	32%	7%	51	-2.3	168/234/218	51	258	3	3	33%	7%	28	-2.1
✕Toby Welk 2022 · AA	25	38→34	43→45	48→45	42	194/260/306	112	266	11	9	30%	7%	61	-1.5	205/263/313	108	295	10	7	32%	7%	63	-1.4	195/242/310	115	279	11	0	33%	5%	53	-0.6

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps