Luis Rodriguez — OGILVIE

Luis RodriguezC Springfield Cardinals

Age 26 R/R 5'11" / 175 lbs AA Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 136 proj PA

wRC+†48

AVG/OBP/SLG.194 / .255 / .287

PA136

HR2

K%32

BB%6

ISO94

MLB%2%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2029

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2034

First FA Year 2035

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	—	—	—
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$-0.3M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2018	18	ROK	DSL Cardinals Blue	—	151	138	19	3	0	1	7	52	3	2	1	138	196	181	377	43	205	34	5	169	-12	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	18	ROK	DSL Cardinals Blue	—	151	133	25	4	0	1	12	36	3	2	1	188	270	241	511	53	242	24	8	238	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	19	ROK	DSL Cardinals Blue	—	167	155	29	4	1	1	7	48	4	1	3	187	241	245	486	58	262	29	4	207	17	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	19	ROK	DSL Cardinals Blue	—	167	151	40	6	1	1	11	33	4	1	3	265	331	338	669	73	331	20	7	305	92	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	21	ROK	2 teams	—	86	79	15	3	0	0	7	40	0	0	1	190	256	228	484	38	385	47	8	217	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	21	ROK	2 teams	—	86	75	21	4	0	0	11	29	0	0	1	280	372	333	705	53	457	34	13	328	109	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	22	A+	2 teams	—	180	175	33	3	0	2	4	70	1	0	0	189	211	240	451	51	301	39	2	201	12	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	22	A+	2 teams	—	180	173	41	4	0	3	6	52	1	0	0	237	267	312	579	75	322	29	3	261	58	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	23	A+	Peoria Chiefs	—	107	99	12	3	1	0	4	45	2	0	0	121	171	172	343	51	214	42	4	150	-27	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	23	A+	Peoria Chiefs	—	107	97	16	4	1	0	6	31	2	0	0	165	229	227	455	62	235	29	6	209	18	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	24	AA	Springfield Cardinals	—	39	38	5	1	0	0	1	23	0	1	0	132	154	158	312	26	333	59	3	148	-28	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	24	AA	Springfield Cardinals	—	39	37	8	1	0	0	2	16	0	1	0	216	256	243	500	27	381	41	5	231	35	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season
2026	26	MLB	STL	—	136	125	25	5	1	2	9	44	1	2	1	200	259	304	563	104	284	32	7	248	48	-8	+0	+0	+2	+4	-0.2
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	27	MLB	STL	27%	209	191	38	7	1	3	14	66	2	3	1	199	261	293	554	94	285	32	7	256	54	-11	+0	+0	+4	+6	-0.1
2028	28	MLB	STL	40%	276	252	51	10	2	4	19	86	3	4	1	202	266	306	572	103	285	31	7	260	57	-13	+0	-1	+5	+8	-0.1
2029	29	MLB	STL	45%	310	282	58	11	2	5	22	95	3	4	1	206	270	312	582	106	284	31	7	261	58	-15	+0	-1	+6	+9	-0.1
2027	27	MLB	STL	27%	56	51	10	2	0	1	4	18	1	1	0	196	268	294	562	98	284	32	7	248	48	-3	+0	+0	+1	+2	-0.1
2028	28	MLB	STL	40%	110	100	21	4	1	2	8	34	1	2	1	210	275	330	605	120	285	31	7	252	51	-6	+0	-0	+2	+3	-0.1
2029	29	MLB	STL	45%	139	127	26	5	1	2	10	43	1	2	1	205	268	307	575	102	284	31	7	254	52	-8	+0	-1	+2	+4	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	305	278	57	11	2	5	22	95	3	5	2	205	271	313	584	108	289	31	7	252	51	-17	+0	-1	+5	+9	-0.4
/ 162G	—			—	650	592	121	23	4	11	47	202	6	11	4	204	269	312	582	108	287	31	7	252	51	-36	+1	-2	+12	+18	-0.7
Career	—			—	1661	1534	285	50	8	18	94	569	19	17	9	186	242	264	506	78	279	34	6	227	32	-128	-0	-2	+30	+47	-5.5
/ 162G	—			—	650	600	112	20	3	7	37	223	7	7	4	187	242	265	507	78	281	34	6	227	32	-50	-0	-1	+12	+18	-2.2

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2018	18	ROK	DSL Cardinals Blue	—	151	133	25	4	0	1	12	36	3	2	1	188	270	241	511	53	242	24	8	238	40	-10	+0	—	—	+4	-0.6
2019	19	ROK	DSL Cardinals Blue	—	167	151	40	6	1	1	11	33	4	1	3	265	331	338	669	73	331	20	7	305	92	-2	-1	—	—	+5	0.2
2021	21	A	Palm Beach Cardinals	—	29	26	4	2	0	0	3	11	0	0	0	154	241	231	472	77	267	38	10	223	29	-2	+0	—	—	+1	-0.2
2021	21	ROK	FCL Cardinals	—	57	49	17	2	0	0	8	18	0	0	1	347	439	388	826	41	548	32	14	381	150	+3	-0	—	—	+2	0.5
2022	22	A+	Peoria Chiefs	—	107	102	25	1	0	2	4	28	1	0	0	245	280	314	594	69	319	26	4	270	65	-4	+0	—	—	+3	-0.1
2022	22	A	Palm Beach Cardinals	—	73	71	16	3	0	1	2	24	0	0	0	225	247	310	556	85	326	33	3	249	49	-4	+0	—	—	+2	-0.2
2023	23	A+	Peoria Chiefs	—	107	97	16	4	1	0	6	31	2	0	0	165	229	227	455	62	235	29	6	209	18	-10	+0	—	—	+3	-0.7
2024	24	AA	Springfield Cardinals	—	39	37	8	1	0	0	2	16	0	1	0	216	256	243	500	27	381	41	5	231	35	-3	+0	—	—	+1	-0.2

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	9	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
#1Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	/162	664	12	0	209	276	313	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#2Paul Bakolast yr '09 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,844 PA	9	1,844	19	2	219	297	308	+17	+52	5.6	5.8
#2Paul Bakolast yr '09 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,844 PA	/162	664	7	1	219	297	308	+6.1	+18.7	2.0	pk7: 6
#3Chad Moellerlast yr '09 career totals — 10 seasons, 1,524 PA	10	1,524	29	2	226	288	351	+19	+14	3.8	4.3
	/162	664	13	1	226	288	351	+8.5	+6.2	1.6	pk7: 5
#4Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	6	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.2	4.2
#4Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	/162	664	13	20	225	280	350	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	7	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	/162	664	9	2	230	279	335	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 1 projected seasons	1	308	5	5	204	265	307	+5	+4	-0.1	-0.1
	/162	664	10	10	204	265	307	+11.9	+8.6	-0.2	pk7: 0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	7	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
	/162	664	7	14	231	275	323	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Luis Rodriguez (OGILVIE)	26	—	—	—	—	194/255/287	93	284	2	2	32%	6%	48	-0.4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Chris Roller 2023 · AA	26	36	39→50	50→55	40	177/243/264	88	262	6	14	33%	6%	37	-2.6	198/276/337	139	318	16	16	40%	8%	71	-0.3	186/272/335	149	306	19	19	42%	9%	67	-0.4
✕McCarthy Tatum 2022 · AA	26	33→24	41→55	45→50	34	169/233/260	91	279	9	6	41%	6%	32	-3.0	199/256/319	120	289	11	10	34%	5%	57	-1.2	200/252/336	136	277	13	11	32%	4%	56	-0.4
✕Jackson Cluff 2023 · AA	26	36→29	40→45	48→60	36	176/240/269	93	284	8	11	39%	6%	37	-2.6	186/269/308	122	285	12	21	36%	9%	60	-1.0	181/273/314	133	265	15	28	35%	10%	61	-0.6
✕Jack Conley 2022 · AAA	25	34	40→45	50→45	38	172/234/264	91	270	8	7	38%	7%	33	-2.9	198/262/311	113	286	10	8	32%	7%	57	-1.2	182/252/296	114	256	10	5	31%	7%	45	-1.0
✕Camden Duzenack 2021 · AA	26	35→37	45→50	48→50	39	184/243/301	118	247	14	10	31%	6%	47	-1.9	204/251/338	134	276	16	10	31%	5%	59	-1.1	203/253/332	129	265	15	10	29%	5%	56	-0.7
✕Chris Sharpe 2022 · AAA	26	37→39	44→50	45→50	38	185/252/306	121	279	11	10	36%	6%	53	-1.5	189/263/296	107	295	8	13	36%	7%	54	-1.4	160/248/262	103	254	7	16	37%	8%	40	-1.1
✕Aaron Schunk 2023 · AA	26	39→42	44→45	48→50	36	200/246/316	117	282	12	9	33%	5%	51	-1.7	211/256/324	113	294	11	10	30%	5%	57	-1.2	209/254/319	110	274	10	10	27%	5%	52	-1.0
✕Caleb Hamilton 2021 · AAA	26	39	42→45	45	42	196/255/296	101	271	9	9	30%	7%	50	-1.7	183/269/319	136	279	17	6	38%	10%	63	-0.8	145/239/282	137	205	21	3	40%	10%	39	-0.8
✕Connor Justus 2021 · AA	26	35→37	37→40	43→45	42	172/248/244	72	250	5	8	31%	7%	35	-2.8	192/256/268	76	294	6	7	34%	7%	43	-2.2	166/232/217	51	261	3	3	35%	7%	17	-2.1
✕Seaver Whalen 2021 · A	26	40	39→50	48→50	39	196/264/283	86	269	7	6	29%	5%	52	-1.6	206/275/335	129	269	13	10	28%	4%	70	-0.3	170/246/316	147	208	17	10	27%	3%	53	-0.5
✕Mark Thomas 2014 · AA	26	38→43	41→50	48→45	38	190/236/293	103	261	8	6	30%	5%	41	-2.3	174/226/301	127	262	13	5	38%	5%	40	-2.4	145/196/291	146	204	17	3	38%	5%	21	-1.4
✕Mike Salvatore 2023 · A	26	31	41→40	49→45	40	165/225/253	88	235	9	5	33%	7%	26	-3.4	191/259/280	89	260	8	8	28%	8%	48	-1.9	174/253/251	76	228	6	7	25%	9%	34	-1.1
✕Cael Brockmeyer 2018 · AAA	26	36→38	45	47→40	37	189/244/308	119	264	14	4	33%	5%	49	-1.8	215/272/313	98	325	9	8	35%	5%	62	-0.9	241/300/316	75	381	6	5	36%	5%	71	-0.1
✕Toby Welk 2022 · AA	25	38→33	43→45	48→45	41	191/257/300	109	268	10	9	32%	7%	53	-1.5	202/261/308	106	298	10	7	33%	7%	56	-1.3	189/237/299	111	279	11	0	35%	5%	42	-0.7
✕Wade Gaynor 2014 · AA	26	37→42	44→50	49→50	38	187/247/304	117	274	11	9	35%	6%	49	-1.8	183/227/309	126	266	13	12	35%	5%	42	-2.3	165/204/292	127	233	14	13	35%	4%	24	-2.6
✕Stephen McGee 2017 · AAA	26	40	38→40	44→30	45	193/269/273	80	275	6	4	30%	8%	50	-1.7	204/290/316	112	313	11	4	35%	10%	71	-0.3	189/289/303	113	293	12	0	36%	12%	63	-0.3
✕Gunnar Heidt 2018 · AA	25	37→39	42→45	47→50	38	186/242/289	103	277	10	12	35%	6%	43	-2.2	197/252/301	104	308	9	13	37%	6%	50	-1.8	206/260/308	103	297	8	9	32%	6%	52	-1.0
✕Matt Whatley 2022 · AA	26	40→36	38→40	45→50	44	192/263/267	75	276	7	14	31%	8%	46	-2.0	190/249/283	93	268	11	9	32%	6%	45	-2.1	167/230/254	87	226	12	8	31%	6%	27	-1.2
✕Justin Twine 2021 · AA	25	45→31	39→45	48→50	36	217/258/304	87	302	6	10	29%	4%	52	-1.6	212/254/327	115	367	11	17	43%	4%	57	-1.2	196/228/315	119	371	12	25	49%	2%	41	-1.0
✕Gift Ngoepe 2016 · AAA	26	44→40	42→45	45→50	38	209/263/317	108	312	9	11	35%	6%	59	-1.1	202/261/316	114	320	11	7	38%	7%	58	-1.2	171/250/283	112	296	11	5	43%	9%	43	-0.9