Adisyn Coffey — OGILVIE

Adisyn Coffey P Charlotte Knights

Age 27 RHP 6'2" / 185 lbs AAA

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 37 proj IP

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 119111vR 102

ERA4.50

FIP4.50

K%23.9%

BB%10.3%

K-BB%13.6%

ROS IP37

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 37 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5555

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2022	23	A MLE	Kannapolis Cannon Ballers	32	0	31	144	36	15	2	0%	1.0	18.5%	12.3%	6.2%	1.5%	5.23	3.94	—
2022	23	A RAW	Kannapolis Cannon Ballers	32	0	31	144	36	15	2	0%	1.0	25.0%	10.4%	14.6%	1.4%	5.23	3.07	—
2023	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	40	0	47	203	53	22	6	0%	1.2	20.6%	12.1%	8.5%	3.6%	4.82	4.86	—
2023	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	40	0	47	203	53	22	6	0%	1.2	20.6%	12.1%	8.5%	3.6%	4.82	4.86	—
2023	24	MIX RAW	2 levels	40	0	47	203	53	22	6	0%	1.2	26.1%	10.8%	15.3%	3.0%	4.82	3.91	—
2024	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	50	0	52	214	55	22	1	0%	1.0	21.2%	9.7%	11.5%	0.5%	1.55	2.82	—
2024	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	50	0	52	214	55	22	1	0%	1.0	21.2%	9.7%	11.5%	0.5%	1.55	2.82	—
2024	25	MIX RAW	2 levels	50	0	52	214	55	22	1	0%	1.0	25.7%	10.3%	15.4%	0.5%	1.55	2.51	—
2025	26	MIX MLE	3 levels	44	1	55	247	75	28	12	2%	1.3	25.4%	10.5%	14.9%	4.7%	5.20	4.85	—
2025	26	MIX MLE	3 levels	44	1	55	247	75	28	12	2%	1.3	25.4%	10.5%	14.9%	4.7%	5.20	4.85	—
2025	26	MIX RAW	3 levels	44	1	55	247	75	28	12	2%	1.3	30.4%	11.3%	19.0%	4.9%	5.20	4.73	—
▸ 2026 season
YTD	27	AAA MLE	Charlotte Knights	40	3	57	261	56	28	8	8%	1.4	17.8%	9.7%	8.2%	3.4%	6.35	4.67	—
YTD	27	AAA MLE	Charlotte Knights	40	3	57	261	56	28	8	8%	1.4	17.8%	9.7%	8.2%	3.4%	6.35	4.67	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	27	AAA RAW	CWS	40	3	57	261	56	28	8	8%	1.4	21.5%	10.7%	10.7%	3.1%	6.35	4.33	—
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	28	MLB MLE	CWS	34	0	36	152	36	16	5	0%	1.1	23.7%	10.3%	13.4%	3.2%	4.54	4.57	-0.0
2027	28	MLB CTX	CWS	14	0	15	63	15	7	2	0%	1.1	23.7%	10.3%	13.4%	3.2%	4.54	4.57	-0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		15	0	15	65	15	7	2	0%	1.0	23.7%	10.3%	13.4%	3.2%	4.54	4.19	+0.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	196	91	26	0%	1.1	23.7%	10.3%	13.4%	3.2%	4.54	4.19	+0.9
Career	—	MLE		206	4	242	1069	223	114	31	2%	1.2	20.8%	10.7%	10.2%	2.9%	4.61	4.28	-0.0
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		170	3	200	883	184	94	26	2%	1.2	20.8%	10.7%	10.2%	2.9%	4.61	4.28	-0.0

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Adisyn Coffey (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.50	23.9%	10.3%	3.2%	—	4.57	23.7%	13.4%	36	+0.07	—	—	—
Michael Flynn R 2023 · 4.31 FIP	26	SU	4.31	26.5%	11.2%	3.7%	.299	4.42	20.8%	10.2%	92	+0.11	3.89	168	88
Taylor Williams R 2018 · 3.52 FIP	27	SU	3.52	24.2%	8.9%	2.4%	.309	4.35	22.5%	12.7%	108	+0.83	2.51	309	87
Kaleb Bowman R 2023 · 3.88 FIP	26	SU	3.88	22.0%	7.5%	3.1%	.333	4.55	17.5%	6.5%	168	+0.67	3.88	202	87
Austin Ross R 2016 · 3.81 FIP	27	SU	3.81	22.9%	8.0%	3.0%	.295	3.67	12.4%	5.2%	127	-0.14	3.16	269	85
Brad Boxberger R 2015 · 3.93 FIP	27	SU	3.93	27.3%	10.0%	3.4%	.280	4.09	28.5%	17.2%	107	+0.16	3.01	363	85
Ryan Brasier R 2016 · 3.68 FIP	28	SU	3.68	25.0%	7.7%	3.1%	.289	3.09	24.2%	17.9%	130	-0.59	2.31	426	84
Ricardo Velez R 2023 · 4.44 FIP	24	SU	4.44	22.4%	10.9%	3.4%	.261	4.09	18.8%	8.1%	138	-0.35	3.83	166	84
Jaye Chapman R 2015 · 3.32 FIP	28	SU	3.32	21.6%	8.5%	1.8%	.276	4.08	20.3%	11.3%	85	+0.76	3.25	150	83
Spencer Patton R 2015 · 3.47 FIP	27	SU	3.47	26.8%	9.6%	2.6%	.295	2.79	30.3%	18.1%	57	-0.68	2.79	239	83
Cole Sulser R 2017 · 3.52 FIP	27	SU	3.52	22.6%	10.2%	1.9%	.321	2.85	28.2%	18.4%	140	-0.67	2.39	547	83
Ryan Garton R 2017 · 3.67 FIP	27	SU	3.67	25.2%	11.3%	2.3%	.252	4.15	23.5%	10.8%	108	+0.48	3.14	307	83
José A. Váldez R 2017 · 4.39 FIP	27	SU	4.39	21.6%	8.3%	3.8%	.325	4.15	18.8%	6.4%	153	-0.24	4.02	328	83
Jason Adam R 2019 · 3.39 FIP	27	SU	3.39	24.2%	9.0%	2.2%	.237	2.64	33.1%	24.9%	88	-0.75	2.42	394	82
Tyler Sturdevant R 2015 · 4.37 FIP	29	SU	4.37	21.3%	8.5%	3.6%	.241	3.97	18.5%	11.9%	118	-0.40	3.44	149	82
Nolan Clenney R 2023 · 4.79 FIP	27	SU	4.79	22.6%	10.1%	4.2%	.341	4.58	17.2%	7.5%	71	-0.21	3.73	223	82
Hunter Parsons R 2023 · 4.88 FIP	26	SU	4.88	22.0%	10.0%	4.3%	.274	6.70	25.5%	9.0%	29	+1.82	4.73	183	82
Steve Geltz R 2015 · 3.95 FIP	27	SU	3.95	22.7%	8.6%	3.1%	.209	4.90	22.2%	12.0%	89	+0.95	3.57	157	82
Zac Leigh R 2023 · 3.84 FIP	25	SU	3.84	28.1%	11.7%	3.0%	.282	4.58	19.9%	3.7%	131	+0.74	3.70	201	82
Jose Rafael De Paula R 2018 · 5.07 FIP	27	SU	5.07	22.2%	11.4%	4.4%	.256	4.43	23.3%	9.7%	39	-0.64	2.64	315	82
Joe Colón J R 2017 · 4.25 FIP	27	SU	4.25	20.4%	12.1%	2.4%	.315	—	—	—	—	—	3.27	113	82

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.4	37	23.8%	10.3%	1.24	4.52
José Ruiz ('24)	1.3	52	22.2%	10.4%	1.41	4.41
Noé Ramirez ('22)	1.3	52	24.8%	9.0%	1.33	4.19
Colin Poche ('24)	1.0	52	27.0%	9.2%	1.34	3.63
José Cisnero ('23)	1.1	42	24.8%	11.3%	0.94	3.84
Keegan Thompson ('24)	1.1	57	23.0%	11.3%	1.19	3.64
Robert Stephenson ('23)	1.7	57	26.2%	9.9%	1.39	4.33