Griffin Lockwood-Powell
C Tulsa Drillers| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 26 | AALAD | 469 | .231/.305/.369 | 14 | 2 | 38 | — | .175/.230/.272 |
| 2025 | 27 | AALAD | 334 | .226/.351/.326 | 5 | 0 | 51 | — | .187/.270/.264 |
| 2026 | 28 | AAA/AALAD | 333 | .279/.388/.450 | 9 | 1 | 89 | — | .231/.315/.361 |
| 2027PROJMLE | 29 | MLBLAD | 3 | .208/.285/.317 | 0 | 0 | 73 | 0.0 | |
| 2028PROJ23% MLB | 30 | MLBLAD | 48 | .207/.283/.314 | 1 | 0 | 72 | -0.0 |
Tools · ContractCON 40 / POW 35
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run 1-3 WAR low.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2022 | 24 | A | Rancho Cucamonga Quakes | — | 135 | 105 | 29 | 4 | 0 | 7 | 23 | 31 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 276 | 429 | 514 | 943 | 238 | 319 | 23 | 17 | 413 | 88 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 24 | ROK | ACL Dodgers | — | 18 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 400 | 667 | 800 | 1.467 | 400 | 600 | 22 | 44 | 598 | 192 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 25 | A+ | Great Lakes Loons | — | 395 | 323 | 77 | 23 | 1 | 13 | 60 | 87 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 238 | 369 | 437 | 806 | 198 | 281 | 22 | 15 | 358 | 75 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 26 | AA | Tulsa Drillers | — | 469 | 420 | 97 | 16 | 0 | 14 | 40 | 108 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 231 | 305 | 369 | 674 | 138 | 275 | 23 | 9 | 303 | 38 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 27 | AA | Tulsa Drillers | — | 334 | 279 | 63 | 11 | 1 | 5 | 53 | 67 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 226 | 351 | 326 | 678 | 100 | 279 | 20 | 16 | 316 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 28 | AAA | Oklahoma City Comets | — | 103 | 89 | 24 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 17 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 270 | 369 | 393 | 762 | 124 | 324 | 17 | 12 | 347 | 83 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 28 | AA | Tulsa Drillers | — | 230 | 191 | 54 | 13 | 0 | 8 | 31 | 53 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 283 | 396 | 476 | 873 | 194 | 346 | 23 | 13 | 385 | 91 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2022 | 24 | A MLE | Rancho Cucamonga Quakes | — | 135 | 114 | 23 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 45 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 202 | 316 | 333 | 649 | 132 | 282 | 33 | 10 | 298 | 88 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 24 | ROK MLE | ACL Dodgers | — | 18 | 13 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 308 | 500 | 615 | 1.115 | 308 | 436 | 33 | 28 | 452 | 192 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 25 | A+ MLE | Great Lakes Loons | — | 395 | 341 | 65 | 17 | 1 | 11 | 42 | 110 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 191 | 292 | 343 | 635 | 152 | 232 | 28 | 11 | 279 | 75 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 26 | AA MLE | Tulsa Drillers | — | 469 | 434 | 76 | 12 | 0 | 10 | 26 | 137 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 175 | 230 | 272 | 502 | 97 | 227 | 29 | 6 | 225 | 38 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 27 | AA MLE | Tulsa Drillers | — | 334 | 299 | 56 | 9 | 1 | 4 | 33 | 83 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 187 | 270 | 264 | 534 | 77 | 241 | 25 | 10 | 244 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 28 | AAA MLE | Oklahoma City Comets | — | 103 | 93 | 23 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 20 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 247 | 320 | 355 | 675 | 108 | 301 | 19 | 8 | 291 | 83 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 28 | AA MLE | Tulsa Drillers | — | 230 | 201 | 45 | 10 | 0 | 6 | 21 | 65 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 224 | 313 | 363 | 676 | 139 | 287 | 28 | 9 | 302 | 91 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 24 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 153 | 127 | 27 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 19 | 51 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 213 | 338 | 362 | 700 | 150 | 301 | 33 | 12 | 316 | 100 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 24 | A RAW | 2 teams | — | 153 | 115 | 33 | 5 | 0 | 8 | 31 | 35 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 287 | 457 | 539 | 996 | 252 | 338 | 23 | 20 | 434 | 100 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 25 | A+ MLE | Great Lakes Loons | — | 395 | 341 | 65 | 17 | 1 | 11 | 42 | 110 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 191 | 292 | 343 | 635 | 152 | 240 | 28 | 11 | 279 | 75 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 25 | A+ RAW | Great Lakes Loons | — | 395 | 323 | 77 | 23 | 1 | 13 | 60 | 87 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 238 | 369 | 437 | 806 | 198 | 281 | 22 | 15 | 358 | 75 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 26 | AA MLE | Tulsa Drillers | — | 469 | 434 | 76 | 12 | 0 | 10 | 26 | 137 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 175 | 230 | 272 | 502 | 97 | 227 | 29 | 6 | 225 | 38 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 26 | AA RAW | Tulsa Drillers | — | 469 | 420 | 97 | 16 | 0 | 14 | 40 | 108 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 231 | 305 | 369 | 674 | 138 | 275 | 23 | 9 | 303 | 38 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 27 | AA MLE | Tulsa Drillers | — | 334 | 299 | 56 | 9 | 1 | 4 | 33 | 83 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 187 | 270 | 264 | 534 | 77 | 244 | 25 | 10 | 244 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 27 | AA RAW | Tulsa Drillers | — | 334 | 279 | 63 | 11 | 1 | 5 | 53 | 67 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 226 | 351 | 326 | 678 | 100 | 279 | 20 | 16 | 316 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 28 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 333 | 294 | 68 | 17 | 0 | 7 | 29 | 85 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 231 | 315 | 361 | 676 | 129 | 298 | 26 | 9 | 299 | 88 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 28 | AA RAW | 2 teams | — | 333 | 280 | 78 | 21 | 0 | 9 | 43 | 70 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 279 | 388 | 450 | 838 | 171 | 338 | 21 | 13 | 373 | 88 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 24 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 153 | 128 | 27 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 19 | 51 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 211 | 338 | 359 | 697 | 148 | 300 | 33 | 12 | 316 | 100 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 25 | A+ MLE | Great Lakes Loons | — | 395 | 343 | 65 | 17 | 1 | 11 | 42 | 110 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 190 | 292 | 341 | 633 | 152 | 232 | 28 | 11 | 279 | 75 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 26 | AA MLE | Tulsa Drillers | — | 469 | 435 | 76 | 12 | 0 | 10 | 26 | 137 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 175 | 230 | 271 | 501 | 97 | 227 | 29 | 6 | 225 | 38 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 27 | AA MLE | Tulsa Drillers | — | 334 | 297 | 56 | 9 | 1 | 4 | 33 | 83 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 189 | 270 | 266 | 536 | 77 | 241 | 25 | 10 | 244 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 28 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 333 | 294 | 68 | 17 | 0 | 7 | 29 | 85 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 231 | 315 | 361 | 676 | 129 | 291 | 26 | 9 | 299 | 88 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 26 | AA MLE | Tulsa Drillers | — | 469 | 435 | 76 | 12 | 0 | 10 | 26 | 137 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 175 | 230 | 271 | 501 | 97 | 227 | 29 | 6 | 225 | 38 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 27 | AA MLE | Tulsa Drillers | — | 334 | 297 | 56 | 9 | 1 | 4 | 33 | 83 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 189 | 270 | 266 | 536 | 77 | 241 | 25 | 10 | 244 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 28 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 333 | 294 | 68 | 17 | 0 | 7 | 29 | 85 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 231 | 315 | 361 | 676 | 129 | 291 | 26 | 9 | 299 | 88 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ 2027 season | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 29 | MLB MLE | LAD | 2% | 380 | 341 | 72 | 15 | 1 | 7 | 32 | 97 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 211 | 288 | 321 | 609 | 110 | 271 | 26 | 8 | 277 | 73 | -12 | +0 | +0 | +7 | +8 | 0.2 |
| ▸ 2027 — real world (MLB) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 29 | MLB CTX | LAD | 2% | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 208 | 285 | 317 | 602 | 109 | 265 | 33 | 0 | 274 | 73 | -0 | +0 | +0 | +0 | +0 | 0.0 |
| ▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2028 | 30 | MLB MLE | LAD | 23% | 212 | 190 | 39 | 8 | 0 | 4 | 18 | 54 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 210 | 286 | 317 | 603 | 108 | 270 | 25 | 8 | 274 | 72 | -7 | +0 | -2 | +4 | +5 | -0.1 |
| 2028 | 30 | MLB CTX | LAD | 23% | 48 | 43 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 207 | 283 | 314 | 597 | 107 | 264 | 25 | 8 | 272 | 72 | -2 | +0 | -0 | +1 | +1 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 48 | 43 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 209 | 292 | 326 | 617 | 116 | 267 | 25 | 8 | 272 | 66 | -2 | +0 | -0 | +1 | +1 | -0.0 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 582 | 122 | 27 | 0 | 14 | 54 | 162 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 210 | 292 | 328 | 620 | 119 | 266 | 25 | 8 | 272 | 66 | -22 | +0 | -6 | +12 | +14 | -0.3 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 2051 | 1824 | 360 | 73 | 2 | 44 | 180 | 560 | 29 | 6 | 2 | 197 | 280 | 312 | 592 | 115 | 255 | 27 | 9 | 266 | 66 | -12 | +0 | -2 | +7 | +8 | 0.1 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 578 | 114 | 23 | 1 | 14 | 57 | 177 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 197 | 279 | 313 | 592 | 116 | 255 | 27 | 9 | 266 | 66 | -21 | +1 | -4 | +12 | +14 | 0.1 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2026 AATulsa Drillers · 230 PAwOBA .380 → .302 (−78)K% 23.0% → 28.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 23.04% | ÷1.000 | ×1.220 | — | — | 28.11% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 13.48% | ÷1.000 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.968 | 9.13% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.17% | — | ×0.870 | — | ×0.968 | 1.83% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.91% | ÷1.000 | ×0.920 | ×0.969 | ×0.968 | 20.63% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.42% | ÷1.000 | ×0.840 | ×0.969 | ×0.968 | 7.42% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.940 | ×0.969 | ×0.968 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 5.80% | ÷1.000 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.968 | 4.49% |
Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 28 vs a level average of 24.8 → −3.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.969.
Result: wOBA .380 → .302; ISO .194 → .153; BABIP .346 → .287. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2026 AAAOklahoma City Comets · 103 PAwOBA .339 → .291 (−48)K% 16.5% → 19.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 16.50% | ÷1.000 | ×1.200 | — | — | 19.81% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.65% | ÷1.000 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.992 | 7.97% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.94% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.992 | 1.81% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.83% | ÷1.000 | ×0.930 | ×1.050 | ×0.992 | 20.18% |
| Doubles /BIP | 11.11% | ÷1.000 | ×0.830 | ×1.050 | ×0.992 | 9.61% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.970 | ×1.050 | ×0.992 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.39% | ÷1.000 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.992 | 0.96% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 28 vs a level average of 27.2 → −0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .339 → .291; ISO .124 → .102; BABIP .324 → .301. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2025 AATulsa Drillers · 334 PAwOBA .308 → .244 (−64)K% 20.1% → 24.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 20.06% | ÷0.984 | ×1.220 | — | — | 24.88% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 15.57% | ÷1.061 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.978 | 10.04% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.30% | — | ×0.870 | — | ×0.978 | 0.25% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.70% | ÷0.968 | ×0.920 | ×0.961 | ×0.978 | 19.37% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.19% | ÷1.014 | ×0.840 | ×0.961 | ×0.978 | 4.04% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.47% | ÷1.137 | ×0.940 | ×0.961 | ×0.978 | 0.37% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.36% | ÷0.957 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.978 | 1.93% |
Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 91, 1B 94, 2B 103, 3B 127, K 97, BB 112 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 24.8 → −2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.961.
Result: wOBA .308 → .244; ISO .100 → .082; BABIP .279 → .241. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 AATulsa Drillers · 469 PAwOBA .297 → .225 (−72)K% 23.0% → 29.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 23.03% | ÷0.959 | ×1.220 | — | — | 29.28% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.53% | ÷1.048 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.988 | 5.63% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.07% | — | ×0.870 | — | ×0.988 | 0.92% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.47% | ÷1.042 | ×0.920 | ×0.967 | ×0.988 | 18.10% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.13% | ÷1.003 | ×0.840 | ×0.967 | ×0.988 | 4.10% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.142 | ×0.940 | ×0.967 | ×0.988 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.49% | ÷1.063 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.988 | 3.34% |
Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 113, 1B 108, 2B 101, 3B 128, K 92, BB 110 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 24.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.967.
Result: wOBA .297 → .225; ISO .138 → .101; BABIP .275 → .227. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 A+Great Lakes Loons · 395 PAwOBA .354 → .279 (−75)K% 22.0% → 27.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 22.03% | ÷1.004 | ×1.270 | — | — | 27.86% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 15.19% | ÷0.992 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.978 | 10.63% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.77% | — | ×0.790 | — | ×0.978 | 1.37% |
| Singles /BIP | 16.95% | ÷0.975 | ×0.920 | ×0.958 | ×0.978 | 14.99% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.75% | ÷1.011 | ×0.810 | ×0.958 | ×0.978 | 7.32% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.42% | ÷0.997 | ×0.850 | ×0.958 | ×0.978 | 0.34% |
| Home runs /BIP | 5.51% | ÷0.951 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.978 | 4.53% |
Factors used: league row Midwest League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 90, 1B 95, 2B 102, 3B 99, K 101, BB 98 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 22.8 → −2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.958.
Result: wOBA .354 → .279; ISO .198 → .159; BABIP .281 → .232. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 ARancho Cucamonga Quakes · 135 PAwOBA .408 → .298 (−110)K% 23.0% → 33.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 22.96% | ÷0.930 | ×1.360 | — | — | 33.59% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 17.04% | ÷1.072 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.980 | 10.74% |
| HBP% /PA | 3.70% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×0.980 | 2.83% |
| Singles /BIP | 24.32% | ÷0.981 | ×0.920 | ×1.007 | ×0.980 | 22.51% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.41% | ÷0.923 | ×0.830 | ×1.007 | ×0.980 | 4.79% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.910 | ×1.007 | ×0.980 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 9.46% | ÷1.247 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.980 | 5.95% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 149, 1B 96, 2B 85, 3B 130, K 86, BB 114 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 22.0 → −2.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.0 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.007.
Result: wOBA .408 → .298; ISO .238 → .154; BABIP .319 → .282. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 ROKACL Dodgers · 18 PAwOBA .585 → .452 (−133)K% 22.2% → 32.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 22.22% | ÷0.998 | ×1.440 | — | — | 32.07% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 44.44% | ÷0.973 | ×0.620 | — | ×0.955 | 27.04% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×0.955 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 33.33% | ÷1.029 | ×0.820 | — | ×0.955 | 25.37% |
| Doubles /BIP | 16.67% | ÷0.931 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.955 | 12.31% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.955 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 16.67% | ÷0.912 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.955 | 13.62% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 82, 1B 106, 2B 86, 3B 80, K 100, BB 95 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 19.5 → −4.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.5 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .585 → .452; ISO .400 → .391; BABIP .600 → .436. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).