Spencer Kieboom
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2017 | 26 | AAA/AA2 orgs | 246 | .250/.327/.382 | 5 | 0 | 64 | — | .219/.274/.333 | |
| 2018 | 27 | AAASyracuse Chie… | 95 | .250/.337/.333 | 1 | 0 | 57 | — | .218/.284/.299 | |
| 2018 | 27 | MLBWSH | 143 | .232/.324/.320 | 2 | 0 | 86 | 0.6 | ||
| 2019 | 28 | AAWSH | 188 | .196/.274/.256 | 1 | 0 | 18 | — | .172/.226/.224 | |
| 2020 | 29 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2021 | 30 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2022 | 31 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2023 | 32 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2024 | 33 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2025 | 34 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2026 | 35 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run 1-3 WAR low.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2014 | 23 | A | Hagerstown Suns | — | 361 | 330 | 102 | 28 | 4 | 9 | 21 | 67 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 309 | 358 | 500 | 858 | 191 | 358 | 19 | 6 | 371 | 85 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 23 | INTL | Mesa Solar Sox | — | 41 | 34 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 324 | 410 | 471 | 881 | 147 | 323 | 10 | 12 | 375 | 140 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 24 | A+ | Potomac Nationals | — | 285 | 246 | 61 | 16 | 1 | 2 | 36 | 30 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 248 | 346 | 346 | 692 | 98 | 273 | 11 | 13 | 316 | 56 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 24 | INTL | Salt River Rafters | — | 51 | 42 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 238 | 373 | 381 | 754 | 143 | 267 | 20 | 16 | 347 | 121 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 25 | AA | Harrisburg Senators | — | 359 | 309 | 71 | 11 | 0 | 5 | 43 | 61 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 230 | 328 | 314 | 642 | 84 | 267 | 17 | 12 | 295 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 26 | AAA | Syracuse Chiefs | — | 176 | 160 | 44 | 9 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 30 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 275 | 337 | 388 | 725 | 112 | 320 | 17 | 9 | 325 | 71 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 26 | AA | Harrisburg Senators | — | 70 | 60 | 11 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 183 | 300 | 367 | 667 | 183 | 200 | 19 | 14 | 303 | 45 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 27 | MLB | Washington Nationals | — | 143 | 125 | 29 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 28 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 232 | 324 | 320 | 644 | 88 | 281 | 20 | 11 | 296 | 86 | -2 | +0 | +1 | +4 | +3 | 0.6 |
| 2018 | 27 | AAA | Syracuse Chiefs | — | 95 | 84 | 21 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 250 | 337 | 333 | 670 | 83 | 274 | 11 | 11 | 310 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 28 | AA | Harrisburg Senators | — | 188 | 168 | 33 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 35 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 196 | 274 | 256 | 530 | 60 | 239 | 19 | 10 | 246 | 18 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| MLB Career | — | — | 143 | 125 | 29 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 28 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 232 | 324 | 320 | 644 | 88 | 281 | 20 | 11 | 296 | 87 | -2 | +0 | +1 | +4 | +3 | 0.6 | ||
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2014 | 23 | A MLE | Hagerstown Suns | — | 361 | 337 | 84 | 22 | 3 | 7 | 14 | 92 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 249 | 287 | 395 | 682 | 145 | 308 | 25 | 4 | 294 | 85 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 24 | A+ MLE | Potomac Nationals | — | 285 | 261 | 54 | 13 | 1 | 2 | 21 | 42 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 207 | 269 | 287 | 556 | 80 | 237 | 15 | 7 | 251 | 56 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 25 | AA MLE | Harrisburg Senators | — | 359 | 322 | 65 | 10 | 0 | 3 | 30 | 76 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 202 | 274 | 261 | 535 | 59 | 247 | 21 | 8 | 243 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 26 | AAA MLE | Syracuse Chiefs | — | 176 | 165 | 40 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 36 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 242 | 286 | 339 | 625 | 97 | 292 | 20 | 6 | 273 | 71 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 26 | AA MLE | Harrisburg Senators | — | 70 | 63 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 16 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 159 | 243 | 317 | 560 | 159 | 168 | 23 | 10 | 234 | 45 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 27 | MLB MLE | Washington Nationals | — | 143 | 125 | 29 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 28 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 232 | 324 | 320 | 644 | 88 | 281 | 20 | 11 | 296 | 86 | -2 | +0 | +1 | +4 | +3 | 0.6 |
| 2018 | 27 | AAA MLE | Syracuse Chiefs | — | 95 | 87 | 19 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 218 | 284 | 299 | 583 | 80 | 236 | 12 | 7 | 252 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 28 | AA MLE | Harrisburg Senators | — | 188 | 174 | 30 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 43 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 172 | 226 | 224 | 450 | 52 | 209 | 23 | 6 | 195 | 18 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 23 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 402 | 375 | 93 | 24 | 3 | 8 | 15 | 103 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 248 | 284 | 392 | 676 | 144 | 312 | 26 | 4 | 294 | 85 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 23 | A RAW | 2 teams | — | 402 | 364 | 113 | 30 | 4 | 10 | 26 | 71 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 310 | 363 | 497 | 860 | 187 | 354 | 18 | 6 | 371 | 85 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 24 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 336 | 307 | 63 | 15 | 1 | 2 | 25 | 50 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 205 | 269 | 280 | 550 | 75 | 237 | 15 | 7 | 251 | 56 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 24 | A+ RAW | 2 teams | — | 336 | 288 | 71 | 16 | 1 | 4 | 44 | 40 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 247 | 350 | 351 | 701 | 104 | 272 | 12 | 13 | 321 | 56 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 25 | AA MLE | Harrisburg Senators | — | 359 | 322 | 65 | 10 | 0 | 3 | 30 | 76 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 202 | 274 | 261 | 535 | 59 | 251 | 21 | 8 | 243 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 25 | AA RAW | Harrisburg Senators | — | 359 | 309 | 71 | 11 | 0 | 5 | 43 | 61 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 230 | 328 | 314 | 642 | 84 | 267 | 17 | 12 | 295 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 26 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 246 | 228 | 49 | 11 | 0 | 4 | 17 | 51 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 215 | 269 | 316 | 585 | 101 | 259 | 21 | 7 | 262 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 26 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 246 | 220 | 55 | 14 | 0 | 5 | 25 | 43 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 250 | 327 | 382 | 708 | 132 | 289 | 17 | 10 | 319 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 27 | MLB MLE | 2 teams | — | 238 | 212 | 47 | 8 | 0 | 3 | 23 | 39 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 222 | 304 | 302 | 606 | 80 | 257 | 16 | 10 | 278 | 74 | -7 | +0 | +1 | +4 | +5 | 0.3 |
| 2018 | 27 | MLB RAW | 2 teams | — | 238 | 209 | 50 | 9 | 0 | 3 | 26 | 38 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 239 | 329 | 325 | 654 | 86 | 278 | 16 | 11 | 302 | 74 | -7 | +0 | +1 | +4 | +5 | 0.3 |
| 2019 | 28 | AA MLE | Harrisburg Senators | — | 188 | 174 | 30 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 43 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 172 | 226 | 224 | 450 | 52 | 220 | 23 | 6 | 195 | 18 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 28 | AA RAW | Harrisburg Senators | — | 188 | 168 | 33 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 35 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 196 | 274 | 256 | 530 | 60 | 239 | 19 | 10 | 246 | 18 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 23 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 402 | 380 | 93 | 24 | 3 | 8 | 15 | 103 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 245 | 284 | 387 | 671 | 142 | 308 | 26 | 4 | 294 | 85 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 24 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 336 | 306 | 63 | 15 | 1 | 2 | 25 | 50 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 206 | 269 | 281 | 551 | 75 | 237 | 15 | 7 | 251 | 56 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 25 | AA MLE | Harrisburg Senators | — | 359 | 324 | 65 | 10 | 0 | 3 | 30 | 76 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 201 | 274 | 259 | 533 | 59 | 247 | 21 | 8 | 243 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 26 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 246 | 227 | 49 | 11 | 0 | 4 | 17 | 51 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 216 | 269 | 317 | 587 | 101 | 257 | 21 | 7 | 262 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 27 | MLB MLE | 2 teams | — | 238 | 211 | 47 | 8 | 0 | 3 | 23 | 39 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 223 | 304 | 303 | 607 | 81 | 263 | 16 | 10 | 278 | 74 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 28 | AA MLE | Harrisburg Senators | — | 188 | 174 | 30 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 43 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 172 | 226 | 224 | 450 | 52 | 209 | 23 | 6 | 195 | 18 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 143 | 125 | 29 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 28 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 232 | 324 | 320 | 644 | 88 | 281 | 20 | 11 | 296 | 61 | -2 | +0 | +1 | +4 | +3 | 0.6 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 568 | 132 | 23 | 0 | 9 | 73 | 127 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 232 | 326 | 320 | 646 | 88 | 281 | 20 | 11 | 296 | 61 | -10 | +0 | +3 | +19 | +14 | 2.7 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 1769 | 1618 | 347 | 74 | 4 | 21 | 122 | 362 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 214 | 274 | 304 | 578 | 90 | 260 | 20 | 7 | 258 | 61 | -2 | +0 | +1 | +4 | +3 | 0.6 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 595 | 127 | 27 | 1 | 8 | 45 | 133 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 213 | 274 | 303 | 576 | 89 | 258 | 20 | 7 | 258 | 61 | -10 | +0 | +3 | +19 | +14 | 2.7 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2019 AAHarrisburg Senators · 188 PAwOBA .243 → .195 (−48)K% 18.6% → 22.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 18.62% | ÷0.996 | ×1.220 | — | — | 22.81% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.57% | ÷1.054 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.968 | 6.16% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×0.968 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 18.80% | ÷0.991 | ×0.970 | ×0.950 | ×0.968 | 16.92% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.26% | ÷0.985 | ×0.860 | ×0.950 | ×0.968 | 4.22% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.950 | ×0.950 | ×0.968 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.75% | ÷1.111 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.968 | 0.51% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 122, 1B 98, 2B 97, 3B 130, K 99, BB 111 — applied at half strength. Age: age 28 vs a level average of 24.8 → −3.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .243 → .195; ISO .060 → .046; BABIP .239 → .209. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2018 AAASyracuse Chiefs · 95 PAwOBA .302 → .252 (−50)K% 10.5% → 12.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 10.53% | ÷1.044 | ×1.200 | — | — | 12.10% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.53% | ÷0.956 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.003 | 7.62% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.05% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.003 | 0.99% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.62% | ÷1.044 | ×0.930 | ×0.970 | ×1.003 | 18.74% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.41% | ÷0.933 | ×0.830 | ×0.970 | ×1.003 | 4.68% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.970 | ×0.970 | ×1.003 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.35% | ÷1.205 | ×0.840 | — | ×1.003 | 0.95% |
Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 141, 1B 109, 2B 87, 3B 80, K 109, BB 91 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 27.2 → +0.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.970.
Result: wOBA .302 → .252; ISO .083 → .067; BABIP .274 → .236. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2017 AAASyracuse Chiefs · 176 PAwOBA .318 → .273 (−45)K% 17.0% → 20.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 17.05% | ÷1.005 | ×1.200 | — | — | 20.35% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.52% | ÷1.033 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.018 | 5.79% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.018 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 24.62% | ÷0.997 | ×0.930 | ×1.002 | ×1.018 | 23.40% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.92% | ÷1.081 | ×0.830 | ×1.002 | ×1.018 | 5.42% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.970 | ×1.002 | ×1.018 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.31% | ÷0.980 | ×0.840 | — | ×1.018 | 2.01% |
Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 96, 1B 99, 2B 116, 3B 130, K 101, BB 107 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 27.2 → +1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.002.
Result: wOBA .318 → .273; ISO .113 → .093; BABIP .320 → .292. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2017 AAHarrisburg Senators · 70 PAwOBA .295 → .234 (−61)K% 18.6% → 22.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 18.57% | ÷1.022 | ×1.220 | — | — | 22.17% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 14.29% | ÷0.974 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.988 | 10.14% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×0.988 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 8.51% | ÷1.016 | ×0.970 | ×0.950 | ×0.988 | 7.62% |
| Doubles /BIP | 10.64% | ÷0.998 | ×0.860 | ×0.950 | ×0.988 | 8.60% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.906 | ×0.950 | ×0.950 | ×0.988 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.26% | ÷0.970 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.988 | 3.38% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 94, 1B 103, 2B 100, 3B 81, K 104, BB 95 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 24.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .295 → .234; ISO .183 → .148; BABIP .200 → .168. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2016 AAHarrisburg Senators · 359 PAwOBA .291 → .243 (−48)K% 17.0% → 21.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 16.99% | ÷0.980 | ×1.220 | — | — | 21.15% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.98% | ÷0.992 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.998 | 8.43% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.56% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×0.998 | 0.47% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.18% | ÷1.029 | ×0.970 | ×0.995 | ×0.998 | 20.74% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.44% | ÷0.922 | ×0.860 | ×0.995 | ×0.998 | 4.11% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.137 | ×0.950 | ×0.995 | ×0.998 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.02% | ÷1.445 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.998 | 1.09% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 189, 1B 106, 2B 84, 3B 127, K 96, BB 98 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 24.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.995.
Result: wOBA .291 → .243; ISO .084 → .060; BABIP .267 → .247. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2015 A+Potomac Nationals · 285 PAwOBA .310 → .251 (−59)K% 10.5% → 14.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 10.53% | ÷1.006 | ×1.420 | — | — | 14.85% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 12.28% | ÷1.022 | ×0.630 | — | ×0.988 | 7.48% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.35% | — | ×0.860 | — | ×0.988 | 0.30% |
| Singles /BIP | 19.44% | ÷1.030 | ×0.940 | ×0.992 | ×0.988 | 17.38% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.41% | ÷1.016 | ×0.830 | ×0.992 | ×0.988 | 5.93% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.46% | ÷0.937 | ×0.800 | ×0.992 | ×0.988 | 0.39% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.93% | ÷0.900 | ×0.900 | — | ×0.988 | 0.92% |
Factors used: league row CAR. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 80, 1B 106, 2B 103, 3B 87, K 101, BB 104 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 22.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.992.
Result: wOBA .310 → .251; ISO .098 → .085; BABIP .273 → .237. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2014 AHagerstown Suns · 361 PAwOBA .367 → .294 (−73)K% 18.6% → 25.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 18.56% | ÷0.975 | ×1.340 | — | — | 25.52% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 5.82% | ÷1.000 | ×0.660 | — | ×0.990 | 3.80% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.11% | — | ×0.770 | — | ×0.990 | 0.84% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.19% | ÷1.006 | ×0.920 | ×0.991 | ×0.990 | 20.82% |
| Doubles /BIP | 10.65% | ÷0.997 | ×0.820 | ×0.991 | ×0.990 | 8.60% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.52% | ÷1.150 | ×0.940 | ×0.991 | ×0.990 | 1.22% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.42% | ÷0.962 | ×0.820 | — | ×0.990 | 2.89% |
Factors used: league row SAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 92, 1B 101, 2B 99, 3B 130, K 95, BB 100 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.0 → −1.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.991.
Result: wOBA .367 → .294; ISO .191 → .150; BABIP .358 → .308. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .