Alexander Canario

LF Pittsburgh Pirates
Age 27 R/R 6'0" / 215 lbs MLB HR -15%K -5% Svc 4.000 · Ctrl thru 2028
Overview
MLBArb-2FA 2029
YearAgeLvl / TeamPAAVG/OBP/SLGHRSBwRC+WAR
202323MLBCHC17.294/.294/.64710149-0.2
202424MLBCHC28.280/.357/.44011129-0.2
202525MLBPIT234.218/.275/.3386375-0.7
2027PROJ27MLBPIT284.221/.289/.384105920.2
2028PROJ82% MLB28MLBPIT276.219/.287/.379104900.1
2029PROJ82% MLB29MLBPIT287.216/.284/.37310387-0.1
Last 3 seasons WAR -1.1  ·  Next 3 projected WAR 0.2Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.
ContractESTIMATED
Control thru2028Service4.000First FA2029
2027Arb-2$1M2028Arb-3$2M
Skills · percentileStatcast 2023-2025
Bat Spd90
Barrel%74
Speed66
xwOBA36
Chase%35
Avg EV30
CompsWeston Wilson (age 27) · Stuart Fairchild (age 27) · J.J. Matijevic (age 27)
2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection
showingPROJ
wRC+†vL 9492vR 85
AVG/OBP/SLG.221 / .289 / .384
PA284
HR10
SB5
K%30
BB%8
BABIP285
ISO163
MLB%100%
Value2027 · WAR
BAT: -2.8 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-3BATRUN: +1.0 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+1RUNFLD: +1.3 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+1FLDPOS: -3.0 runs (Positional adjustment)-3POSREP: +6.2 runs (Replacement-level credit)+6REPTotal WAR: +0.40+0.4WAR
0.00.51.00.40.127282930313233343536
━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control+$1M ctrl surplus
Tools · Splits · ContractCON 40 / POW 60
Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2023-2025
CONTACT40
Whiff%
1019.6%
xAVG
100.217
POWER60
Barrel%
7411.8
Avg EV
3087.6
Bat Spd
9076.0
EYE45
Chase%
3534.6%
SPEED55
Sprint
6628.1
Platoon Splits2024-2025 · 254 PA
vs LHP
vs RHP
Edge
PA
108
146
—
wRC+
64
82
▶▶R
wOBA
263
290
▶R
ISO
152
105
◀◀L
BABIP
254
363
▶▶R
K%
34.3%
34.9%
—
BB%
7.4%
7.5%
—
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   Arb-2
MLB Debut   2023
Service   4.000 yrs.days
Team Control Through   2028
First FA Year   2029
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2027Arb-2$1M+0.4$2M+$0.3M
2028Arb-3$2M+0.1$0.4M+$0.0M (cut)
Totals $1M $2M +$0.3M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
201717 ROKDSL Giants — 274235 691745 33405 1811 294392464856 170335 1512 381 50 — — — — — —
201818 ROKAZL Giants Black — 208176 44526 27513 85 250359403763 153317 2513 342 47 — — — — — —
201919 ROKAZL Giants Orange — 4643 17317 291 10 3954351.0001.435 605370 204 600 165 — — — — — —
202121 A+South Bend Cubs — 182170 38619 10460 65 224267429696 206248 255 302 47 — — — — — —
202121 ASan Jose Giants — 274238 561439 33790 153 235328433761 197307 2912 335 49 — — — — — —
202222 AAAIowa Cubs — 8465 15206 13214 30 231390538929 308231 2515 398 107 — — — — — —
202222 AATennessee Smokies — 350310 7718224 36912 173 248330552882 303269 2610 379 98 — — — — — —
202222 A+South Bend Cubs — 10089 25607 10351 30 281360584944 303383 3510 408 90 — — — — — —
202222 INTLAguilas Cibaenas — 3329 5211 4120 00 172273414687 241250 3612 302 90 — — — — — —
202323 MLBChicago Cubs — 1717 5111 080 00 294294647941 353500 470 399 149 +1 +0 -0 -3 +0 -0.2
202323 AAAIowa Cubs — 161145 401208 15450 20 276344524868 248344 289 377 86 — — — — — —
202323 A+South Bend Cubs — 4639 10100 6141 00 256370282652 26400 3013 312 46 — — — — — —
202323 ROKACL Cubs — 2621 6211 451 00 2864236191.042 333333 1915 446 88 — — — — — —
202323 INTLAguilas Cibaenas — 6857 14400 8172 20 246358316674 70341 2512 312 98 — — — — — —
202424 MLBChicago Cubs — 2825 7101 2111 10 280357440797 160462 397 358 129 +1 +0 +0 -4 +1 -0.2
202424 AAAIowa Cubs — 283247 6013018 32863 52 243337514851 271292 3011 371 76 — — — — — —
202424 INTLAguilas Cibaenas — 9579 24704 13192 10 304415544959 241351 2014 417 168 — — — — — —
202525 MLBPittsburgh Pirates — 234216 47616 17800 31 218275338613 120313 347 275 75 -7 +0 -1 -3 +5 -0.7
202525 INTLLeones del Escogido — 8270 13204 9261 70 186287386673 200214 3211 296 86 — — — — — —
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career— — 279258 59828 19991 41 229284368652 140336 357 291 83 -6 +0 -1 -11 +6 -1.2
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
201717 ROK MLEDSL Giants — 274246 441022 22495 1811 179260260520 81215 188 242 50 — — — — — —
201818 ROK MLEAZL Giants Black — 208186 32314 17733 85 172252263516 91252 358 238 47 — — — — — —
201919 ROK MLEAZL Giants Orange — 4644 13215 1131 10 2953267271.053 432276 282 412 165 — — — — — —
202121 A+ MLESouth Bend Cubs — 182173 31418 7610 65 179211353564 173217 344 238 47 — — — — — —
202121 A MLESan Jose Giants — 274252 441027 191120 153 175232313546 139272 417 240 49 — — — — — —
202222 AAA MLEIowa Cubs — 8469 14205 9264 30 203329449779 246223 3111 327 107 — — — — — —
202222 AA MLETennessee Smokies — 350320 7018219 261162 173 219282466747 247264 337 313 98 — — — — — —
202222 A+ MLESouth Bend Cubs — 10092 19405 7441 30 207270413683 207331 447 301 90 — — — — — —
202323 MLB MLEChicago Cubs — 1717 5111 080 00 294294647941 353500 470 388 149 +1 +0 -0 -3 +0 -0.2
202323 AAA MLEIowa Cubs — 161149 341006 11530 20 228281416697 188300 337 295 86 — — — — — —
202323 A+ MLESouth Bend Cubs — 4641 9100 4181 00 220304244548 24363 399 236 46 — — — — — —
202323 ROK MLEACL Cubs — 2623 5111 271 00 217308478786 261241 278 299 88 — — — — — —
202424 MLB MLEChicago Cubs — 2825 7101 2111 10 280357440797 160462 397 359 129 +1 +0 +0 -4 +1 -0.2
202424 AAA MLEIowa Cubs — 283255 5011012 241043 52 196273380653 184265 378 281 76 — — — — — —
202525 MLB MLEPittsburgh Pirates — 234216 47616 17800 31 218275338613 120313 347 279 75 -7 +0 -1 -3 +5 -0.7
201717 ROK MLEDSL Giants — 274246 441022 22495 1811 179260260520 81214 188 242 50 — — — — — —
201717 ROK RAWDSL Giants — 274235 691745 33405 1811 294392464856 170335 1512 381 50 — — — — — —
201818 ROK MLEAZL Giants Black — 208186 32314 17733 85 172252263516 91255 358 238 47 — — — — — —
201818 ROK RAWAZL Giants Black — 208176 44526 27513 85 250359403763 153317 2513 342 47 — — — — — —
201919 ROK MLEAZL Giants Orange — 4644 13215 1131 10 2953267271.053 432308 282 412 165 — — — — — —
201919 ROK RAWAZL Giants Orange — 4643 17317 291 10 3954351.0001.435 605370 204 600 165 — — — — — —
202121 A MLE2 teams — 456424 7514314 271730 218 177226323549 146252 386 239 48 — — — — — —
202121 A RAW2 teams — 456408 9420418 431250 218 230304431735 201281 279 322 48 — — — — — —
202222 AA MLE4 teams — 567511 10825230 451977 233 211284444728 233272 358 313 98 — — — — — —
202222 AA RAW4 teams — 567493 12228338 631597 233 247341548889 300281 2811 383 98 — — — — — —
202323 AAA MLE5 teams — 318290 6516210 221104 40 224288397685 172320 357 291 83 — — — — — —
202323 AAA RAW5 teams — 318279 7520210 33894 40 269354462817 194357 2810 360 83 — — — — — —
202424 AAA MLE3 teams — 406364 7316016 341506 72 201280376656 176285 378 288 81 — — — — — —
202424 AAA RAW3 teams — 406351 9121023 471166 72 259356516872 256318 2912 381 81 — — — — — —
202525 MLB MLE2 teams — 316289 64819 231081 101 221281349631 128314 347 279 75 -9 +2 -1 -3 +7 -0.6
202525 MLB RAW2 teams — 316286 608110 261061 101 210278350628 140289 348 281 75 -9 +2 -1 -3 +7 -0.6
201717 ROK MLEDSL Giants — 274245 441022 22495 1811 180260261521 82215 188 242 50 — — — — — —
201818 ROK MLEAZL Giants Black — 208186 32314 17733 85 172252263516 91252 358 238 47 — — — — — —
201919 ROK MLEAZL Giants Orange — 4644 13215 1131 10 2953267271.053 432276 282 412 165 — — — — — —
202121 A MLE2 teams — 456426 7514314 271730 218 176226322548 146250 386 239 48 — — — — — —
202222 AA MLE4 teams — 567510 10825230 451977 233 212284445729 233270 358 313 98 — — — — — —
202323 AAA MLE5 teams — 318289 6516210 221104 40 225288398686 173319 357 291 83 — — — — — —
202424 AAA MLE3 teams — 406363 7316016 341506 72 201280377657 176283 378 288 81 — — — — — —
202525 MLB MLE2 teams — 316289 64819 231081 101 221281349631 128313 347 279 75 — — — — — —
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
202424 AAA MLE3 teams — 406363 7316016 341506 72 201280377657 176283 378 288 81 — — — — — —
202525 MLB MLE2 teams — 316289 64819 231081 101 221281349631 128313 347 279 75 — — — — — —
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
202727 MLB MLEPIT 100% 284257 579111 23852 51 223291395686 171285 308 304 92 -3 +1 +1 -3 +6 0.4
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
202727 MLB CTXPIT 100% 284257 5710110 23852 51 221289384674 164285 308 299 92 -3 +1 +1 -3 +6 0.2
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
202828 MLB MLEPIT 82% 336304 6711113 271012 51 221289389678 168283 308 301 90 -4 +1 +1 -4 +7 0.1
202929 MLB MLEPIT 82% 350317 6911113 281072 41 218286383668 164281 318 297 87 -5 +0 +0 -4 +8 -0.1
203030 MLB MLEPIT 82% 359326 7011113 281102 31 215282374656 159278 318 292 83 -7 +0 -0 -4 +8 -0.4
202828 MLB CTXPIT 82% 276250 559110 22832 41 219287379666 161283 308 296 90 -3 +0 +1 -3 +6 0.1
202929 MLB CTXPIT 82% 287260 5710110 23872 31 216284373656 157281 308 292 87 -4 +0 +0 -3 +6 -0.1
203030 MLB CTXPIT 82% 294267 5810110 23902 21 213280364644 152278 318 287 83 -6 +0 -0 -3 +6 -0.3
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career— A+C — 11361035 22937538 873597 134 221286377663 156298 328 292 79 -19 +1 -1 -20 +25 -1.5
/ 162G— A+C — 650592 13121322 502054 72 221286378665 157297 328 292 79 -11 +1 -0 -12 +14 -0.9
Career— MLE — 39203558 73713616140 297127635 10934 207275372647 165276 338 284 79 -25 +2 +1 -25 +35 -1.3
/ 162G— MLE — 650590 12323323 492126 186 208276375651 166279 338 284 79 -10 +1 +0 -10 +14 -0.5