Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2017 | 16 | ROK | DSL Rockies | 18 | 1 | 33 | 141 | 35 | 16 | 0 | 6% | 1.8 | 16.9% | 14.2% | 2.7% | 0.0% | 3.55 | 3.47 | — |
| 2017 | 16 | ROK | DSL Rockies | 18 | 1 | 33 | 141 | 35 | 16 | 0 | 6% | 1.8 | 24.8% | 11.3% | 13.5% | 0.0% | 3.55 | 2.43 | — |
| 2018 | 17 | ROK | DSL Colorado | 13 | 13 | 55 | 220 | 60 | 26 | 1 | 100% | 4.2 | 18.5% | 14.8% | 3.8% | 0.6% | 2.30 | 3.75 | — |
| 2018 | 17 | ROK | DSL Colorado | 13 | 13 | 55 | 220 | 60 | 26 | 1 | 100% | 4.2 | 27.3% | 11.8% | 15.5% | 0.5% | 2.30 | 2.57 | — |
| 2019 | 18 | ROK | DSL Rockies | 3 | 3 | 14 | 55 | 21 | 7 | 0 | 100% | 4.7 | 26.0% | 15.9% | 10.1% | 0.0% | 0.64 | 2.92 | — |
| 2019 | 18 | ROK | DSL Rockies | 3 | 3 | 14 | 55 | 21 | 7 | 0 | 100% | 4.7 | 38.2% | 12.7% | 25.5% | 0.0% | 0.64 | 1.60 | — |
| 2021 | 20 | A+ | Spokane Indians | 22 | 21 | 100 | 453 | 112 | 68 | 10 | 95% | 4.5 | 19.0% | 17.3% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 6.05 | 4.74 | — |
| 2021 | 20 | A+ | Spokane Indians | 22 | 21 | 100 | 453 | 112 | 68 | 10 | 95% | 4.5 | 24.7% | 15.0% | 9.7% | 2.2% | 6.05 | 4.20 | — |
| 2022 | 21 | ROK | ACL Rockies | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 100% | 2.0 | 16.7% | 0.0% | 16.7% | 0.0% | 0.00 | 1.69 | — |
| 2022 | 21 | ROK | ACL Rockies | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 100% | 2.0 | 16.7% | 0.0% | 16.7% | 0.0% | 0.00 | 2.10 | — |
| 2024 | 23 | AA | Richmond Flying Squirrels | 16 | 5 | 38 | 189 | 51 | 53 | 1 | 31% | 2.4 | 21.9% | 30.8% | -9.0% | 0.6% | 3.79 | 5.47 | — |
| 2024 | 23 | AA | Richmond Flying Squirrels | 16 | 5 | 38 | 189 | 51 | 53 | 1 | 31% | 2.4 | 27.0% | 28.0% | -1.1% | 0.5% | 3.79 | 4.94 | — |
| 2025 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 34 | 0 | 37 | 175 | 46 | 43 | 0 | 0% | 1.1 | 26.2% | 25.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 3.65 | 4.14 | — |
| 2025 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 34 | 0 | 37 | 175 | 46 | 43 | 0 | 0% | 1.1 | 26.3% | 24.6% | 1.7% | 0.0% | 3.65 | 4.10 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 25 | AAA | Omaha Storm Chasers | 24 | 0 | 32 | 157 | 31 | 43 | 3 | 0% | 1.3 | 17.4% | 28.8% | -11.4% | 2.1% | 7.39 | 6.43 | -0.7 |
| ROS | 25 | MLB | KC | 17 | 0 | 18 | 77 | 18 | 14 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 24.1% | 18.1% | 6.0% | 2.2% | 4.95 | 4.95 | -0.1 |
| ROS | 25 | MLB | KC | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0% | 1.0 | 24.1% | 18.1% | 6.0% | 2.2% | 4.95 | 4.95 | -0.0 |
| 2026 TOT | 25 | MLB | KC | — | — | 50 | 234 | 49 | 57 | 5 | — | — | 21.2% | 24.3% | -3.2% | 2.0% | 6.50 | 5.89 | -0.8 |
| 2026 FULL | 25 | MLB | KC | — | — | 2 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | — | — | 24.1% | 18.1% | 6.0% | 2.2% | 4.95 | 4.57 | -0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 26 | MLB | KC | 19 | 0 | 20 | 84 | 20 | 14 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 24.2% | 17.1% | 7.1% | 2.3% | 4.88 | 4.87 | -0.1 |
| 2027 | 26 | MLB | KC | 10 | 0 | 10 | 42 | 10 | 7 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 24.2% | 17.1% | 7.1% | 2.3% | 4.88 | 4.87 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 11 | 0 | 11 | 48 | 12 | 8 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 24.2% | 17.3% | 6.9% | 2.3% | 4.89 | 4.50 | +0.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 209 | 139 | 17 | 0% | 1.1 | 24.2% | 17.3% | 6.9% | 2.3% | 4.89 | 4.50 | +2.1 | ||
| Career | — | 131 | 44 | 310 | 1396 | 281 | 288 | 15 | 34% | 2.4 | 20.1% | 20.6% | -0.5% | 1.0% | 4.41 | 4.59 | +2.9 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 85 | 28 | 200 | 901 | 181 | 186 | 9 | 34% | 2.4 | 20.1% | 20.6% | -0.5% | 1.0% | 4.41 | 4.59 | +1.9 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Helcris Olivárez (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.95 | 24.1% | 18.1% | 2.2% | — | 4.87 | 24.2% | 7.1% | 20 | -0.08 | — | — | — |
| Trey Cumbie L 2026 · 4.57 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.57 | 25.3% | 15.3% | 3.0% | .284 | 5.07 | 23.3% | 7.2% | 42 | +0.50 | 3.33 | 152 | 77 |
| Graeme Stinson L 2026 · 4.75 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.75 | 19.5% | 15.6% | 2.4% | .302 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.54 | 146 | 77 |
| Erik Rivera L 2026 · 4.69 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.69 | 25.3% | 15.4% | 3.2% | .330 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.69 | 122 | 76 |
| Andy Oliver L 2028 · 4.08 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.08 | 23.4% | 16.9% | 1.5% | .283 | 5.02 | 19.2% | 8.6% | 108 | +0.94 | 4.08 | 165 | 75 |
| Joseph Menefee L 2026 · 5.10 FIP | 25 | SU | 5.10 | 23.3% | 17.4% | 3.2% | .268 | 6.74 | 19.4% | -8.5% | 13 | +1.64 | 3.16 | 146 | 75 |
| Bryan Warzek L 2026 · 4.98 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.98 | 22.1% | 15.0% | 3.4% | .290 | — | — | — | — | — | 1.84 | 138 | 74 |
| Giovanni Soto L 2026 · 4.14 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.14 | 21.3% | 14.3% | 1.9% | .348 | 3.96 | 25.6% | 15.1% | 25 | -0.18 | 3.26 | 128 | 74 |
| Justin Kelly L 2026 · 4.03 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.03 | 20.6% | 18.1% | 0.7% | .275 | 3.56 | 23.9% | 7.9% | 30 | -0.47 | 3.48 | 160 | 74 |
| C.J. Widger L 2026 · 4.37 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.37 | 26.0% | 16.0% | 2.6% | .258 | 5.84 | 18.1% | -0.7% | 57 | +1.47 | 3.71 | 105 | 74 |
| Erik Sabrowski L 2026 · 4.62 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.62 | 24.7% | 21.5% | 1.6% | .267 | 3.42 | 33.6% | 16.1% | 94 | -1.20 | 2.84 | 144 | 73 |
| Christian Chamberlain L 2025 · 4.53 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.53 | 27.0% | 18.9% | 2.4% | .238 | 3.91 | 20.7% | 0.5% | 43 | -0.62 | 3.91 | 148 | 73 |
| Tommy Vail L 2026 · 3.91 FIP | 25 | SW | 3.91 | 27.5% | 15.3% | 2.2% | .237 | 5.18 | 19.7% | 3.3% | 81 | +1.27 | 3.91 | 151 | 73 |
| Kade Bragg L 2026 · 4.15 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.15 | 23.7% | 21.4% | 0.6% | .273 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.15 | 112 | 73 |
| Igor Gil L 2026 · 4.90 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.90 | 23.4% | 22.5% | 1.7% | .347 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.52 | 102 | 72 |
| Julian Bosnic L 2026 · 5.01 FIP | 25 | SU | 5.01 | 20.0% | 19.6% | 2.0% | .285 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.28 | 136 | 72 |
| Russell Smith L 2026 · 3.89 FIP | 25 | SU | 3.89 | 19.0% | 13.9% | 1.2% | .266 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.89 | 175 | 72 |
| Anderson Polanco L 2026 · 6.02 FIP | 25 | SW | 6.02 | 19.9% | 20.9% | 3.5% | .298 | 5.41 | 18.9% | 2.6% | 47 | -0.61 | 4.00 | 316 | 72 |
| Brian Marconi L 2026 · 4.96 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.96 | 20.3% | 18.2% | 2.3% | .329 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.61 | 101 | 72 |
| Adam Tulloch L 2026 · 4.79 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.79 | 17.4% | 15.7% | 2.1% | .284 | 5.74 | 18.7% | -4.6% | 22 | +0.95 | 4.12 | 234 | 72 |
| John Kilichowski L 2025 · 5.26 FIP | 24 | SU | 5.26 | 17.6% | 16.2% | 2.9% | .336 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.98 | 115 | 72 |