Helcris Olivárez

Helcris Olivárez P Omaha Storm Chasers

Age 25 LHP 6'2" / 233 lbs AAA

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 18 proj IP

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 123131vR 139

ERA5.58

FIP5.58

K%23.7%

BB%22.8%

K-BB%0.9%

ROS IP18

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 18 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5555

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2017	16	ROK MLE	DSL Rockies	18	1	33	141	35	16	0	6%	1.8	16.9%	14.2%	2.7%	0.0%	3.55	3.47	—
2017	16	ROK RAW	DSL Rockies	18	1	33	141	35	16	0	6%	1.8	24.8%	11.3%	13.5%	0.0%	3.55	2.43	—
2018	17	ROK MLE	DSL Colorado	13	13	55	220	60	26	1	100%	4.2	18.5%	14.8%	3.8%	0.6%	2.30	3.75	—
2018	17	ROK RAW	DSL Colorado	13	13	55	220	60	26	1	100%	4.2	27.3%	11.8%	15.5%	0.5%	2.30	2.57	—
2019	18	ROK MLE	DSL Rockies	3	3	14	55	21	7	0	100%	4.7	26.0%	15.9%	10.1%	0.0%	0.64	2.92	—
2019	18	ROK RAW	DSL Rockies	3	3	14	55	21	7	0	100%	4.7	38.2%	12.7%	25.5%	0.0%	0.64	1.60	—
2021	20	A+ MLE	Spokane Indians	22	21	100	453	112	68	10	95%	4.5	19.0%	17.3%	1.8%	2.3%	6.05	4.93	—
2021	20	A+ RAW	Spokane Indians	22	21	100	453	112	68	10	95%	4.5	24.7%	15.0%	9.7%	2.2%	6.05	4.20	—
2022	21	ROK MLE	ACL Rockies	1	1	2	6	1	0	0	100%	2.0	16.7%	0.0%	16.7%	0.0%	0.00	1.69	—
2022	21	ROK RAW	ACL Rockies	1	1	2	6	1	0	0	100%	2.0	16.7%	0.0%	16.7%	0.0%	0.00	2.10	—
2024	23	AA MLE	Richmond Flying Squirrels	16	5	38	189	51	53	1	31%	2.4	21.9%	30.8%	-9.0%	0.6%	3.79	5.49	—
2024	23	AA MLE	Richmond Flying Squirrels	16	5	38	189	51	53	1	31%	2.4	21.9%	30.8%	-9.0%	0.6%	3.79	5.49	—
2024	23	AA RAW	Richmond Flying Squirrels	16	5	38	189	51	53	1	31%	2.4	27.0%	28.0%	-1.1%	0.5%	3.79	4.94	—
2025	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	34	0	37	175	46	43	0	0%	1.1	24.7%	22.0%	2.7%	0.0%	3.65	3.80	—
2025	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	34	0	37	175	46	43	0	0%	1.1	24.7%	22.0%	2.7%	0.0%	3.65	3.80	—
2025	24	MIX RAW	2 levels	34	0	37	175	46	43	0	0%	1.1	26.3%	24.6%	1.7%	0.0%	3.65	4.10	—
▸ 2026 season
YTD	25	AAA MLE	Omaha Storm Chasers	24	0	32	157	31	43	3	0%	1.3	16.4%	24.6%	-8.3%	2.1%	7.39	5.99	—
YTD	25	AAA MLE	Omaha Storm Chasers	24	0	32	157	31	43	3	0%	1.3	16.4%	24.6%	-8.3%	2.1%	7.39	5.99	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	25	AAA RAW	KC	24	0	32	157	31	43	3	0%	1.3	19.7%	27.4%	-7.6%	1.9%	7.39	5.95	—
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	26	MLB MLE	KC	33	0	34	144	35	31	3	0%	1.0	23.9%	21.4%	2.5%	2.3%	5.44	5.44	-0.3
2027	26	MLB CTX	KC	16	0	17	72	17	15	2	0%	1.1	23.9%	21.4%	2.5%	2.3%	5.44	5.44	-0.2
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		16	0	17	70	17	15	2	0%	1.0	23.9%	21.4%	2.5%	2.3%	5.44	5.06	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	206	182	24	0%	1.1	23.9%	21.4%	2.5%	2.3%	5.44	5.06	-1.2
Career	—	MLE		131	44	310	1396	276	275	16	34%	2.4	19.8%	19.7%	0.1%	1.2%	4.41	4.56	-0.4
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		85	28	200	901	178	177	10	34%	2.4	19.8%	19.7%	0.1%	1.2%	4.41	4.56	-2.0

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Helcris Olivárez (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.58	23.7%	22.8%	2.2%	—	5.44	23.9%	2.5%	34	-0.14	—	—	—
Jackson Lancaster L 2023 · 5.14 FIP	24	SU	5.14	18.9%	17.6%	2.6%	.315	5.15	19.7%	6.8%	122	+0.01	4.15	142	79
Graeme Stinson L 2023 · 4.85 FIP	25	SU	4.85	19.5%	15.6%	2.6%	.302	—	—	—	—	—	3.56	146	77
Gil Luna L 2023 · 5.37 FIP	24	SU	5.37	22.5%	24.5%	1.9%	.303	4.95	19.7%	-6.0%	73	-0.42	4.57	113	76
Joseph Menefee L 2023 · 4.50 FIP	23	SU	4.50	21.9%	18.5%	1.7%	.361	4.71	24.8%	6.0%	99	+0.21	3.22	146	76
Larson Kindreich L 2023 · 5.29 FIP	24	SW	5.29	21.5%	18.8%	3.0%	.269	4.68	23.0%	9.0%	79	-0.61	4.16	214	75
Anderson Polanco L 2018 · 5.95 FIP	25	SW	5.95	19.9%	20.9%	3.4%	.298	5.09	18.9%	2.6%	47	-0.86	4.10	316	75
Braeden Fausnaught L 2023 · 4.77 FIP	24	SW	4.77	16.9%	16.4%	1.8%	.287	4.60	17.9%	9.7%	179	-0.17	4.43	242	74
Julian Bosnic L 2023 · 5.72 FIP	23	SU	5.72	22.5%	21.0%	3.4%	.206	4.74	19.1%	-0.1%	90	-0.98	4.31	136	74
Trey Cumbie L 2021 · 4.54 FIP	25	SU	4.54	25.3%	15.3%	3.0%	.284	5.07	23.3%	7.2%	42	+0.53	3.44	152	74
Nick Lee L 2016 · 4.96 FIP	25	SU	4.96	19.0%	19.7%	1.8%	.286	—	—	—	—	—	3.77	102	74
John Kilichowski L 2018 · 4.99 FIP	24	SU	4.99	17.6%	16.2%	2.4%	.336	—	—	—	—	—	4.10	115	73
Erik Sabrowski L 2023 · 4.53 FIP	25	SU	4.53	24.7%	21.5%	1.4%	.267	3.11	32.6%	17.3%	109	-1.42	2.57	160	73
Brian Marconi L 2022 · 5.02 FIP	25	SU	5.02	20.3%	18.2%	2.4%	.329	—	—	—	—	—	3.89	101	73
Fabian Williamson L 2015 · 5.31 FIP	26	SU	5.31	17.4%	17.9%	2.6%	.289	4.16	20.0%	8.2%	77	-1.15	3.39	154	72
Bryan Warzek L 2022 · 5.04 FIP	25	SW	5.04	22.1%	15.0%	3.5%	.290	—	—	—	—	—	1.91	138	72
Ben Harris L 2023 · 4.76 FIP	23	SU	4.76	25.4%	21.9%	1.9%	.252	5.32	22.4%	2.6%	76	+0.56	3.06	183	72
Davis Schwab L 2022 · 5.70 FIP	25	SU	5.70	20.3%	18.7%	3.5%	.352	—	—	—	—	—	4.46	114	71
Brian Moran L 2015 · 4.50 FIP	26	SU	4.50	17.7%	14.1%	2.0%	.318	2.74	25.0%	17.4%	80	-1.76	1.80	421	71
Mitchell Tyranski L 2023 · 5.14 FIP	25	SU	5.14	20.4%	13.6%	3.7%	.269	4.10	20.7%	6.1%	103	-1.04	3.46	145	70
Matt Mikulski L 2023 · 6.17 FIP	24	SW	6.17	16.4%	18.6%	3.8%	.303	5.90	16.3%	-3.3%	78	-0.27	4.92	223	70

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.3	26	23.9%	21.9%	0.88	5.49
Touki Toussaint ('24)	1.4	40	23.1%	14.1%	1.25	5.39
Daniel Bard ('23)	1.0	50	25.1%	13.5%	0.81	3.82
Amir Garrett ('23)	1.5	51	25.8%	13.4%	1.50	5.10
Tyler Chatwood ('21)	2.6	104	19.2%	13.3%	0.94	4.48
John Gant ('21)	1.7	85	20.1%	12.5%	0.79	3.91
Miguel Castro ('23)	2.1	59	20.8%	12.0%	1.04	3.99