Helcris Olivárez P Omaha Storm Chasers
Age 25 LHP 6'2" / 233 lbs AAA
2026 ROS PROJECTION32 act + 18 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 112122vR 131
ERA4.95
FIP4.95
K%24.1%
BB%18.1%
K-BB%6.0%
ROS IP18
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 50 IP
K: -0.6 runs (Runs saved by strikeouts vs lg-avg K%)-1KBB: -9.9 runs (Runs saved by walk suppression vs lg-avg BB%)-10BBCONTACT: +1.0 runs (Runs saved on contact quality (HR suppression) vs lg)+1CONTACTSTAM: +2.1 runs (Replacement credit for innings volume)+2STAMTotal WAR: -0.78 (50 IP)-0.8WAR
-0.1-0.12627
Grades · Contract
Scouting Grades
K†6060

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

YearAge LvlTeam GGSIPBF KBBHR GS%IP/G K%BB%K-BB%HR% ERAFIP WAR
201716ROKDSL Rockies18133141351606%1.816.9%14.2%2.7%0.0%3.553.47
201716ROKDSL Rockies18133141351606%1.824.8%11.3%13.5%0.0%3.552.43
201817ROKDSL Colorado13135522060261100%4.218.5%14.8%3.8%0.6%2.303.75
201817ROKDSL Colorado13135522060261100%4.227.3%11.8%15.5%0.5%2.302.57
201918ROKDSL Rockies3314552170100%4.726.0%15.9%10.1%0.0%0.642.92
201918ROKDSL Rockies3314552170100%4.738.2%12.7%25.5%0.0%0.641.60
202120A+Spokane Indians2221100453112681095%4.519.0%17.3%1.8%1.9%6.054.74
202120A+Spokane Indians2221100453112681095%4.524.7%15.0%9.7%2.2%6.054.20
202221ROKACL Rockies1126100100%2.016.7%0.0%16.7%0.0%0.001.69
202221ROKACL Rockies1126100100%2.016.7%0.0%16.7%0.0%0.002.10
202423AARichmond Flying Squirrels165381895153131%2.421.9%30.8%-9.0%0.6%3.795.47
202423AARichmond Flying Squirrels165381895153131%2.427.0%28.0%-1.1%0.5%3.794.94
202524MIX2 levels34037175464300%1.126.2%25.6%0.5%0.0%3.654.14
202524MIX2 levels34037175464300%1.126.3%24.6%1.7%0.0%3.654.10
▸ 2026 Season
202625AAAOmaha Storm Chasers24032157314330%1.317.4%28.8%-11.4%2.1%7.396.43-0.7
ROS25MLBKC1701877181420%1.124.1%18.1%6.0%2.2%4.954.95-0.1
ROS25MLBKC20282200%1.024.1%18.1%6.0%2.2%4.954.95-0.0
2026 TOT25MLBKC502344957521.2%24.3%-3.2%2.0%6.505.89-0.8
2026 FULL25MLBKC2821024.1%18.1%6.0%2.2%4.954.57-0.0
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202726MLBKC1902084201420%1.124.2%17.1%7.1%2.3%4.884.87-0.1
202726MLBKC100104210710%1.024.2%17.1%7.1%2.3%4.884.87-0.0
▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections)
Career110114812810%1.024.2%17.3%6.9%2.3%4.894.50+0.0
/ 200 IP1900200844209139170%1.124.2%17.3%6.9%2.3%4.894.50+2.1
Career1314431013962812881534%2.420.1%20.6%-0.5%1.0%4.414.59+2.9
/ 200 IP8528200901181186934%2.420.1%20.6%-0.5%1.0%4.414.59+1.9

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Profile at Match Age Next 3 Yrs Career
CompAgeRole FIPK%BB%HR/BFBABIP FIPK%K-BB%IP ΔFIPLow FIPIPMatch
Helcris Olivárez (OGILVIE) 4.95 24.1%18.1%2.2% 4.87 24.2%7.1%20 -0.08
Trey Cumbie L 2026 · 4.57 FIP 25 SU 4.57 25.3%15.3%3.0%.284 5.07 23.3%7.2%42 +0.50 3.33 152 77
Graeme Stinson L 2026 · 4.75 FIP 25 SU 4.75 19.5%15.6%2.4%.302 3.54 146 77
Erik Rivera L 2026 · 4.69 FIP 25 SU 4.69 25.3%15.4%3.2%.330 4.69 122 76
Andy Oliver L 2028 · 4.08 FIP 27 SU 4.08 23.4%16.9%1.5%.283 5.02 19.2%8.6%108 +0.94 4.08 165 75
Joseph Menefee L 2026 · 5.10 FIP 25 SU 5.10 23.3%17.4%3.2%.268 6.74 19.4%-8.5%13 +1.64 3.16 146 75
Bryan Warzek L 2026 · 4.98 FIP 25 SW 4.98 22.1%15.0%3.4%.290 1.84 138 74
Giovanni Soto L 2026 · 4.14 FIP 25 SU 4.14 21.3%14.3%1.9%.348 3.96 25.6%15.1%25 -0.18 3.26 128 74
Justin Kelly L 2026 · 4.03 FIP 25 SU 4.03 20.6%18.1%0.7%.275 3.56 23.9%7.9%30 -0.47 3.48 160 74
C.J. Widger L 2026 · 4.37 FIP 25 SU 4.37 26.0%16.0%2.6%.258 5.84 18.1%-0.7%57 +1.47 3.71 105 74
Erik Sabrowski L 2026 · 4.62 FIP 25 SU 4.62 24.7%21.5%1.6%.267 3.42 33.6%16.1%94 -1.20 2.84 144 73
Christian Chamberlain L 2025 · 4.53 FIP 24 SU 4.53 27.0%18.9%2.4%.238 3.91 20.7%0.5%43 -0.62 3.91 148 73
Tommy Vail L 2026 · 3.91 FIP 25 SW 3.91 27.5%15.3%2.2%.237 5.18 19.7%3.3%81 +1.27 3.91 151 73
Kade Bragg L 2026 · 4.15 FIP 25 SU 4.15 23.7%21.4%0.6%.273 4.15 112 73
Igor Gil L 2026 · 4.90 FIP 25 SU 4.90 23.4%22.5%1.7%.347 4.52 102 72
Julian Bosnic L 2026 · 5.01 FIP 25 SU 5.01 20.0%19.6%2.0%.285 4.28 136 72
Russell Smith L 2026 · 3.89 FIP 25 SU 3.89 19.0%13.9%1.2%.266 3.89 175 72
Anderson Polanco L 2026 · 6.02 FIP 25 SW 6.02 19.9%20.9%3.5%.298 5.41 18.9%2.6%47 -0.61 4.00 316 72
Brian Marconi L 2026 · 4.96 FIP 25 SU 4.96 20.3%18.2%2.3%.329 3.61 101 72
Adam Tulloch L 2026 · 4.79 FIP 25 SU 4.79 17.4%15.7%2.1%.284 5.74 18.7%-4.6%22 +0.95 4.12 234 72
John Kilichowski L 2025 · 5.26 FIP 24 SU 5.26 17.6%16.2%2.9%.336 3.98 115 72