Tyler Black

3B Nashville Sounds

Age 27 L/R 6'0" / 208 lbs AAA HR +10%K +6% Svc 3.000 · Ctrl thru 2029 ILForty Man (40M)

Overview

AAA40M40-MANROOKIEFG #917Arb-1FA 2030

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2024	24	MLBMIL	57	.204/.316/.245	0	3	72	-0.9
2025	25	AAAMIL	268	.243/.371/.360	4	22	76	—	.218/.315/.312
2025	25	ROKMIL	39	.387/.513/.613	1	0	116	—	.265/.359/.441
2026	26	MLBMIL	28	.333/.357/.481	0	0	146	0.4
2027PROJ45% MLB	27	MLBMIL	112	.216/.309/.323	2	5	84	0.1
2028PROJ51% MLB	28	MLBMIL	201	.215/.307/.323	3	8	83	0.0
2029PROJ53% MLB	29	MLBMIL	208	.214/.305/.320	3	7	81	-0.1

Last 3 seasons WAR -0.5 · Next 3 projected WAR 0.0Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2029Service3.000First FA2030

2027Arb-1$0.6M2028Arb-2$1M2029Arb-3$1M

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 AAA

Speed93

Chase%88

BB%85

Max EV67

Whiff%60

K%56

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 -0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 1% · didn't stick 92%

CompsTyler Wade (age 27) · Miles Mastrobuoni (age 28) · Cal Stevenson (age 27)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+†84

AVG/OBP/SLG.216 / .309 / .323

PA112

HR2

SB5

K%26

BB%11

BABIP288

ISO124

MLB%45%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control-$2M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 50 / POW 42

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2024-2026

CONTACT50

Whiff%

887.1%

xAVG

100.192

POWER42

Avg EV

1083.2

Bat Spd

3169.4

EYE70

Chase%

9016.4%

SPEED60

Sprint

6328.0

DEFENSE42

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Arb-1

MLB Debut 2024

Service 3.000 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2029

First FA Year 2030

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	Arb-1	$0.6M	+0.1	$0.5M	+$0.0M (cut)
2028	Arb-2	$1M	—	—	—
2029	Arb-3	$1M	—	—	—
Totals		$0.0M		$0.2M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2021	21	A	Carolina Mudcats	—	103	81	18	4	0	0	20	29	2	3	2	222	388	272	660	49	346	28	19	323	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	22	A+	Wisconsin Timber Rattlers	—	283	231	65	13	4	4	45	44	5	13	6	281	409	424	833	143	330	16	16	376	97	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	22	INTL	Glendale Desert Dogs	—	76	61	17	3	0	1	10	18	4	4	1	279	413	377	790	98	381	24	13	363	132	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	23	AAA	Nashville Sounds	—	173	142	44	9	4	4	27	23	3	8	3	310	430	514	944	204	345	13	16	415	145	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	23	AA	Biloxi Shuckers	—	385	308	84	16	8	14	61	77	13	47	9	273	413	513	926	240	320	20	16	406	117	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	24	MLB	Milwaukee Brewers	—	57	49	10	2	0	0	7	17	1	3	0	204	316	245	561	41	312	30	12	271	72	-2	+1	+0	-9	+1	-0.9
2024	24	AAA	Nashville Sounds	—	462	387	100	14	5	14	61	87	12	20	3	258	376	429	805	171	299	19	13	362	96	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	25	AAA	Nashville Sounds	—	268	222	54	10	2	4	43	71	2	22	3	243	371	360	731	117	338	26	16	337	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	25	ROK	ACL Brewers	—	39	31	12	2	1	1	8	3	0	0	1	387	513	613	1.126	226	407	8	21	489	116	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	26	MLB	Milwaukee Brewers	—	28	27	9	4	0	0	1	7	0	0	0	333	357	481	839	148	450	25	4	370	146	+2	+0	+0	+2	+1	0.4
2026	26	AAA	Nashville Sounds	—	430	354	87	19	5	7	64	95	7	23	4	246	372	387	759	141	312	22	15	343	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	85	76	19	6	0	0	8	24	1	3	0	250	329	329	658	79	365	28	9	303	91	-1	+1	+0	-8	+2	-0.6
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2021	21	A MLE	Carolina Mudcats	—	103	87	16	3	0	0	14	40	2	3	2	184	311	218	529	34	323	39	14	246	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	22	A+ MLE	Wisconsin Timber Rattlers	—	283	242	57	10	4	4	34	57	5	13	6	236	342	360	701	124	288	20	12	312	97	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	23	AAA MLE	Nashville Sounds	—	173	149	45	8	5	3	20	28	3	8	3	302	395	483	879	181	353	16	12	383	145	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	23	AA MLE	Biloxi Shuckers	—	385	329	79	17	8	11	41	102	13	47	9	240	347	441	788	201	305	26	11	341	117	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	24	MLB MLE	Milwaukee Brewers	—	57	49	10	2	0	0	7	17	1	3	0	204	316	245	561	41	312	30	12	274	72	-2	+1	+0	-9	+1	-0.9
2024	24	AAA MLE	Nashville Sounds	—	462	405	95	12	4	11	43	106	12	20	3	235	326	365	692	131	288	23	9	310	96	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	25	AAA MLE	Nashville Sounds	—	268	234	51	9	2	3	31	84	2	22	3	218	315	312	627	94	324	31	12	281	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	25	ROK MLE	ACL Brewers	—	39	34	9	1	1	1	5	4	0	0	1	265	359	441	800	176	291	10	13	340	116	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	26	MLB MLE	Milwaukee Brewers	—	28	27	9	4	0	0	1	7	0	0	0	333	357	481	839	148	450	25	4	383	146	+2	+0	+0	+2	+1	0.4
2026	26	AAA MLE	Nashville Sounds	—	430	373	79	16	5	5	45	114	7	23	4	212	308	322	630	110	283	27	10	284	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	21	A MLE	Carolina Mudcats	—	103	87	16	3	0	0	14	40	2	3	2	184	311	218	529	34	340	39	14	246	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	21	A RAW	Carolina Mudcats	—	103	81	18	4	0	0	20	29	2	3	2	222	388	272	660	49	346	28	19	323	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	22	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	359	304	73	13	5	5	43	73	9	17	7	240	351	365	716	125	298	20	12	312	97	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	22	A+ RAW	2 teams	—	359	292	82	16	4	5	55	62	9	17	7	281	410	414	824	134	339	17	15	373	97	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	23	AA MLE	2 teams	—	558	478	125	26	13	14	61	130	16	55	12	262	364	458	822	197	329	23	11	354	126	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	23	AA RAW	2 teams	—	558	450	128	25	12	18	88	100	16	55	12	284	418	513	931	229	328	18	16	409	126	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	24	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	519	454	105	14	4	11	50	123	13	23	3	231	325	352	677	121	292	24	10	306	93	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	24	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	519	436	110	16	5	14	68	104	13	23	3	252	369	408	778	156	300	20	13	352	93	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	25	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	307	269	60	10	3	3	35	89	2	22	4	223	317	316	633	93	320	29	11	288	81	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	25	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	307	253	66	12	3	5	51	74	2	22	4	261	389	391	780	130	349	24	17	356	81	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	26	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	458	400	88	20	5	5	46	121	7	23	4	220	311	333	644	113	299	26	10	290	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	26	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	458	381	96	23	5	7	65	102	7	23	4	252	371	394	765	142	322	22	14	345	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	21	A MLE	Carolina Mudcats	—	103	86	16	3	0	0	14	40	2	3	2	186	311	221	532	35	323	39	14	246	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	22	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	359	304	73	13	5	5	43	73	9	17	7	240	351	365	716	125	288	20	12	312	97	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	23	AA MLE	2 teams	—	558	476	125	26	13	14	61	130	16	55	12	263	364	460	824	197	320	23	11	354	126	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	24	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	519	451	105	14	4	11	50	123	13	23	3	233	325	355	680	122	291	24	10	306	93	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	25	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	307	267	60	10	3	3	35	89	2	22	4	225	317	318	635	94	320	29	11	288	81	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	26	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	458	402	88	20	5	5	46	121	7	23	4	219	311	331	642	112	293	26	10	290	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	24	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	519	451	105	14	4	11	50	123	13	23	3	233	325	355	680	122	291	24	10	306	93	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	25	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	307	267	60	10	3	3	35	89	2	22	4	225	317	318	635	94	320	29	11	288	81	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	26	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	458	402	88	20	5	5	46	121	7	23	4	219	311	331	642	112	293	26	10	290	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	27	MLB MLE	MIL	45%	380	332	72	14	3	5	39	100	6	17	4	218	311	327	638	109	293	26	10	292	84	-7	+2	-2	+1	+8	0.3
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
2027	27	MLB CTX	MIL	45%	112	97	22	4	1	2	12	29	2	5	1	216	309	323	632	108	288	26	11	289	84	-2	+1	-1	+0	+2	0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	28	MLB MLE	MIL	51%	392	343	75	15	3	5	40	103	6	15	4	218	310	326	636	108	292	26	10	291	83	-8	+1	-3	+1	+8	0.0
2029	29	MLB MLE	MIL	53%	390	343	74	15	3	5	39	103	5	13	4	217	307	324	631	107	290	26	10	288	81	-9	+1	-3	+1	+8	-0.1
2030	30	MLB MLE	MIL	55%	388	342	73	14	3	5	38	103	5	11	3	215	304	320	624	105	288	27	10	285	79	-10	+1	-4	+1	+8	-0.3
2028	28	MLB CTX	MIL	51%	201	176	38	7	2	3	20	53	3	8	2	215	307	323	630	108	287	26	10	288	83	-4	+1	-1	+1	+4	0.0
2029	29	MLB CTX	MIL	53%	208	182	39	7	2	3	21	55	3	7	2	214	305	320	625	107	285	26	10	286	81	-5	+1	-2	+1	+5	-0.1
2030	30	MLB CTX	MIL	55%	212	186	39	7	1	3	21	56	3	6	2	212	301	316	618	104	283	26	10	283	79	-5	+0	-2	+1	+5	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	706	620	135	27	5	9	70	188	10	24	6	218	307	321	628	103	296	27	10	288	91	-15	+2	-5	-5	+15	-0.8
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	571	125	25	5	8	64	173	9	22	6	219	307	322	630	103	298	27	10	288	91	-14	+2	-5	-5	+14	-0.7
Career	—	MLE		—	3724	3238	736	139	41	56	392	951	69	193	46	227	324	347	671	120	302	26	11	302	91	-32	+5	-11	-3	+33	-0.9
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	565	128	24	7	10	68	166	12	34	8	227	322	347	669	120	301	26	10	302	91	-14	+2	-5	-1	+14	-0.4

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Jace Petersonlast yr '23 career totals — 10 seasons, 2,753 PA	4.1	2,753	42	77	228	318	337	+4	+5	5.3	6.0
/162	664	10	19	+1.0	+1.3	1.3	pk7: 7
#2Tony Kemplast yr '23 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,198 PA	3.3	2,198	35	52	238	326	354	-4	-3	4.3	4.3
/162	664	11	16	-1.3	-0.8	1.3	pk7: 4
#3Al Weis'62-'71 * career totals — 8 seasons, 1,763 PA	2.7	1,763	7	55	223*	283*	300*	+10	+9	-0.2	1.3
/162	664	3	21	+3.8	+3.5	-0.1	pk7: 3
#4John Kerr'23-'34 * career totals — 5 seasons, 1,631 PA	2.5	1,631	6	26	238*	297*	338*	+7	+3	0.7	1.1
/162	664	2	11	+2.9	+1.3	0.3	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 3 projected seasons	1.2	791	10	29	217	306	320	+3	-2	0.9	0.9
/162	664	8	24	+2.4	-1.3	0.7	pk7: 1
#5Andy Fox'96-'04 * career totals — 8 seasons, 2,194 PA	3.3	2,194	30	74	229*	309*	327*	+9	-21	-1.0	0.0
/162	664	9	22	+2.7	-6.4	-0.3	pk7: 1
#6Abraham Torolast yr '25 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,561 PA	2.4	1,561	39	16	220	282	351	-1	-8	-0.5	-0.5
/162	664	17	7	-0.2	-3.2	-0.2	pk7: -0

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Tyler Black (OGILVIE)	27	50	40→42	60	70	217/309/324	108	293	3	11	26%	10%	84	+0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Tyler Wade 2022 · MLB	27	50→58	41→45	57→60	49	238/311/341	103	313	8	33	25%	9%	87	+0.4	227/295/313	86	295	7	38	24%	8%	74	-0.5	232/301/293	61	309	4	40	24%	8%	70	-0.4
✕Miles Mastrobuoni 2024 · MLB	28	52→57	42→45	58→60	50	248/314/359	111	314	9	24	23%	9%	92	+0.7	223/291/310	87	278	6	23	20%	9%	72	-0.7	212/280/283	71	262	4	22	19%	9%	61	-0.8
✕Cal Stevenson 2024 · MLB	27	48→56	43→45	54→60	55	230/323/340	110	302	11	24	26%	12%	92	+0.7	237/323/358	121	312	10	26	25%	11%	95	+1.0	234/323/358	124	310	9	27	25%	11%	94	+0.5
✕Delino DeShields 2020 · MLB	27	49→56	40→45	58→65	52	231/310/323	91	299	7	32	24%	10%	82	+0.0	221/306/306	85	303	6	28	26%	10%	77	-0.3	203/300/264	60	295	3	32	28%	11%	64	-0.7
✕Max Schuemann 2024 · AAA	27	49→51	43→45	56→60	49	233/323/349	116	312	10	25	27%	9%	94	+0.9	222/312/329	107	286	10	18	24%	10%	85	+0.2	211/306/314	103	267	10	18	23%	10%	80	-0.1
✕Conner Capel 2024 · MLB	27	47→48	44→45	53→55	49	230/300/350	120	289	11	21	24%	9%	85	+0.2	209/275/330	121	261	13	19	24%	8%	71	-0.8	194/256/316	121	233	14	16	23%	7%	58	-1.1
✕Drew Avans 2024 · AAA	28	49→55	42→45	58→60	48	231/304/339	109	316	8	26	28%	9%	84	+0.1	229/296/321	92	318	7	30	28%	8%	76	-0.4	225/293/305	80	312	5	35	28%	8%	69	-0.8
✕Hoy Park 2024 · MLB	28	46→52	43→45	55	50	222/304/331	109	298	11	18	28%	10%	82	+0.0	226/308/337	111	306	10	17	27%	10%	85	+0.2	219/309/321	102	296	9	18	26%	11%	80	-0.1
✕Cliff Pennington 2011 · MLB	27	51→54	40→45	59→55	53	243/313/347	104	287	6	27	17%	9%	88	+0.5	240/299/344	104	288	8	17	18%	8%	82	+0.0	236/294/328	92	284	7	14	19%	7%	78	-0.2
✕Andrew Aplin 2018 · AAA	27	45→55	40	52→55	50	215/291/310	95	279	8	19	24%	9%	73	-0.6	210/279/316	106	267	10	9	24%	8%	70	-0.9	207/275/309	102	255	8	3	21%	8%	63	-0.7
✕Flavio Romero 2007 · AAA	27	51→57	42→45	55→60	53	245/325/351	106	295	10	31	20%	10%	95	+0.9	233/321/320	87	289	6	23	20%	11%	86	+0.3	248/338/291	43	307	1	22	17%	11%	86	+0.1
✕Kyle Wren 2018 · AAA	27	53→62	37→40	57→60	49	251/309/328	77	309	4	25	19%	7%	82	+0.0	232/287/321	89	310	6	17	25%	7%	73	-0.6	233/282/308	75	320	4	17	27%	6%	68	-0.5
✕Jack Dunn 2024 · AAA	27	48	38→40	53→55	53	227/314/302	74	294	6	23	23%	10%	80	-0.2	213/302/302	89	272	8	19	23%	10%	76	-0.4	196/293/279	83	238	9	16	20%	10%	65	-0.9
✕DaShawn Keirsey Jr. 2024 · AAA	27	50→54	43→45	62→60	41	238/291/355	116	325	10	31	29%	6%	82	+0.0	231/282/345	114	321	10	34	29%	6%	76	-0.4	221/271/326	105	312	9	41	30%	6%	66	-0.7
✕Jonathan Davis 2019 · MLB	27	48→52	43→45	54→55	47	232/305/345	113	294	9	20	24%	7%	86	+0.3	217/304/337	120	285	11	19	26%	8%	84	+0.2	208/298/312	104	282	9	26	27%	9%	75	-0.2
✕Damian Jackson 2001 · MLB	27	52→54	43→45	58→55	56	250/333/373	123	306	8	26	20%	11%	102	+1.5	246/315/352	106	309	6	27	21%	8%	91	+0.6	254/321/349	95	292	7	32	15%	8%	92	+0.3
✕Matt Angle 2013 · MLB	27	51→57	38→40	57→60	47	242/301/318	76	307	5	23	22%	7%	77	-0.3	216/278/298	82	303	6	19	29%	7%	65	-1.2	200/266/270	71	288	4	21	30%	7%	52	-1.1
✕Ben Copeland 2011 · AAA	27	50→53	41→45	56→55	47	240/294/345	105	296	7	22	21%	7%	80	-0.1	219/266/331	112	275	9	19	23%	6%	68	-1.0	200/240/313	112	248	9	20	23%	5%	50	-0.9
✕Grégor Blanco 2012 · MLB	28	49→59	39→45	59→60	53	229/307/318	88	289	5	27	21%	10%	80	-0.1	247/323/349	102	311	7	25	21%	10%	93	+0.8	268/338/373	105	322	6	19	17%	9%	104	+1.2
✕Clete Thomas 2011 · MLB	27	47→54	46→50	58→55	48	228/305/365	137	312	12	26	29%	9%	91	+0.6	211/264/346	135	302	15	19	33%	6%	70	-0.8	203/258/328	125	272	12	14	29%	7%	62	-0.9

Tyler Black

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps