Michel Otañez
P
Round Rock Express
+0.2
WAR
INJURED · Reassigned to Minors (RM)
Age 29
RHP
6'4" / 218 lbs
AAA
peak 0.3 · 2027
ERA3.88
FIP4.17
xFIP6.57
SIERA5.37
K%27.8%
BB%13.4%
K-BB%14.4%
IP29
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.3peak
2027
STUF8080
CTRL2525
CMD7070
K†8080
FB Velo
p9098.0
Whiff%
p9039.9%
K%
p9036.4%
xwOBA vs
p900.251
SI (36%)
SL-1.4 (36%)
FB-2.2 (64%)
Career (MLE) + Projections
Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.3 (SP) / 4.95 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | K% | BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | 19 | ROK | DSL Mets 1 | 5 | 5 | 21 | 90 | 21 | 6 | 0 | 15.9% | 8.3% | 0.0% | 4.64 | 2.82 | +0.5 |
| 2018 | 21 | ROK | GCL Mets | 11 | 7 | 35 | 180 | 33 | 24 | 2 | 12.5% | 16.7% | 1.6% | 7.64 | 5.01 | -0.0 |
| 2021 | 24 | A+ | Brooklyn Cyclones | 35 | 0 | 40 | 192 | 58 | 41 | 3 | 23.3% | 24.6% | 2.1% | 5.13 | 5.40 | -0.2 |
| 2022 | 25 | AAA | Syracuse Mets | 45 | 0 | 45 | 215 | 58 | 39 | 4 | 23.1% | 19.2% | 2.0% | 4.84 | 4.67 | +0.1 |
| 2023 | 26 | AAA | Reno Aces | 32 | 0 | 37 | 173 | 61 | 28 | 3 | 29.3% | 15.2% | 0.9% | 6.08 | 3.06 | +0.8 |
| 2024 | 27 | MLB | Oakland Athletics | 65 | 0 | 71 | 322 | 110 | 45 | 4 | 32.1% | 14.4% | 1.3% | 4.44 | 2.94 | +1.7 |
| 2025 | 28 | MLB | Athletics | 25 | 0 | 23 | 118 | 34 | 23 | 4 | 26.3% | 20.5% | 2.2% | 8.87 | 4.68 | +0.1 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 29 | AAA | Round Rock Express | 7 | 0 | 6 | 28 | 10 | 5 | 1 | — | — | — | 7.11 | — | — |
| ROS | 29 | MLB | TEX | 12 | — | 12 | 49 | 18 | 6 | 1 | 35.5% | 13.1% | 2.4% | 3.31 | 3.45 | +0.2 |
| 2026 Total | 29 | MLB | TEX | — | — | 18 | 77 | 28 | 11 | 2 | 35.6% | 14.8% | 2.8% | 4.64 | 2.24 | +0.6 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging | ||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 30 | MLB | TEX | 28 | — | 28 | 119 | 40 | 15 | 3 | 33.8% | 12.8% | 2.5% | 3.54 | 3.63 | +0.4 |
| ▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected) | ||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 225 | 12 | 279 | 1318 | 326 | 228 | 21 | 24.7% | 17.3% | 1.6% | 5.67 | 4.05 | +3.9 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 161 | 9 | 200 | 944 | 233 | 163 | 15 | 24.7% | 17.3% | 1.6% | 5.67 | 4.05 | +2.8 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Michel Otañez (OGILVIE) | — | — | 3.45 | 35.5% | 13.1% | 2.4% | — | 3.63 | 33.8% | 21.0% | 28 | +0.18 | — | — | — |
| Jason Adam R 2026 · 2.48 FIP | 29 | SU | 2.48 | 38.0% | 12.0% | 1.9% | .375 | 2.65 | 30.3% | 23.1% | 191 | +0.17 | 2.40 | 362 | 77 |
| Dellin Betances R 2026 · 2.59 FIP | 29 | SW | 2.59 | 38.3% | 16.9% | 1.1% | .228 | 2.28 | 38.8% | 28.3% | 78 | -0.31 | 1.42 | 308 | 68 |
| Armando Rivero R 2025 · 2.69 FIP | 28 | SW | 2.69 | 32.9% | 13.1% | 1.3% | .275 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.69 | 125 | 67 |
| Kaleb Ort R 2026 · 2.96 FIP | 29 | SU | 2.96 | 27.3% | 9.4% | 1.8% | .310 | 4.02 | 24.9% | 14.9% | 157 | +1.06 | 1.75 | 365 | 67 |
| Pierce Johnson R 2026 · 2.76 FIP | 29 | SU | 2.76 | 33.8% | 11.3% | 2.0% | .310 | 3.24 | 32.1% | 21.7% | 136 | +0.48 | 2.65 | 550 | 66 |
| Cody Hall R 2026 · 3.95 FIP | 29 | SU | 3.95 | 26.8% | 10.0% | 3.4% | .299 | 3.92 | 25.9% | 8.4% | 19 | -0.03 | 3.51 | 134 | 66 |
| Jon Edwards R 2027 · 2.39 FIP | 30 | SU | 2.39 | 30.3% | 7.7% | 1.6% | .304 | 4.43 | 25.1% | 13.5% | 49 | +2.04 | 2.39 | 132 | 66 |
| Robert Suarez R 2028 · 2.79 FIP | 31 | SU | 2.79 | 31.9% | 11.0% | 1.8% | .238 | 3.09 | 24.9% | 19.3% | 162 | +0.30 | 1.95 | 257 | 65 |
| Brooks Kriske R 2026 · 4.21 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.21 | 31.9% | 11.7% | 4.2% | .379 | 3.84 | 29.3% | 16.0% | 111 | -0.37 | 3.04 | 230 | 65 |
| Brad Goldberg R 2025 · 3.14 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.14 | 30.3% | 17.0% | 0.8% | .306 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.14 | 197 | 65 |
| Adam Ottavino R 2027 · 2.61 FIP | 30 | SU | 2.61 | 32.7% | 6.5% | 2.6% | .242 | 3.08 | 31.7% | 19.3% | 197 | +0.47 | 2.15 | 488 | 64 |
| Spencer Patton R 2025 · 2.83 FIP | 28 | SW | 2.83 | 30.3% | 12.2% | 1.4% | .290 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.83 | 239 | 64 |
| Matt Seelinger R 2026 · 3.33 FIP | 29 | SU | 3.33 | 34.2% | 9.1% | 3.6% | .275 | 3.81 | 24.5% | 14.5% | 66 | +0.48 | 3.12 | 310 | 64 |
| Chris Hatcher R 2027 · 2.93 FIP | 30 | SU | 2.93 | 27.1% | 6.6% | 2.3% | .292 | 4.62 | 22.6% | 14.0% | 137 | +1.69 | 2.93 | 176 | 64 |
| Caleb Simpson R 2026 · 3.65 FIP | 29 | SU | 3.65 | 30.3% | 12.0% | 2.9% | .226 | 5.53 | 17.9% | 0.3% | 52 | +1.88 | 3.65 | 197 | 64 |
| Daniel Robert R 2026 · 3.00 FIP | 29 | SU | 3.00 | 27.2% | 8.1% | 2.1% | .190 | 3.18 | 24.4% | 14.2% | 43 | +0.18 | 2.28 | 186 | 64 |
| Taylor Williams R 2026 · 2.36 FIP | 29 | SU | 2.36 | 29.9% | 9.0% | 1.2% | .325 | 4.31 | 19.1% | 7.9% | 126 | +1.95 | 2.36 | 309 | 63 |
| Jake Cousins R 2026 · 4.50 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.50 | 27.9% | 13.3% | 3.8% | .379 | 3.49 | 34.2% | 21.9% | 38 | -1.01 | 1.11 | 160 | 63 |
| Liam Hendriks R 2026 · 2.73 FIP | 29 | SU | 2.73 | 28.9% | 6.9% | 2.2% | .339 | 1.48 | 39.7% | 36.2% | 181 | -1.25 | 0.60 | 495 | 63 |
| Trevor May R 2026 · 3.50 FIP | 29 | SW | 3.50 | 29.7% | 9.4% | 3.1% | .227 | 3.62 | 32.0% | 24.4% | 111 | +0.12 | 3.04 | 432 | 63 |
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.