Daison Acosta — OGILVIE

Daison Acosta P Harrisburg Senators

+0.4 WAR

Age 27 RHP 6'2" / 160 lbs AA peak 0.4 · 2026

ERA4.30

FIP4.30

xFIP—

SIERA—

K%24.6%

BB%11.3%

K-BB%13.3%

IP50

trajectory · 10 yrs

0.4peak

2026

K†6060

Career (MLE) + Projections

Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.3 (SP) / 4.95 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	K%	BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
2016	17	ROK	DSL Mets 1	3	3	12	52	8	6	0	10.5%	14.4%	0.0%	3.86	4.04	+0.1
2017	18	ROK	GCL Mets	6	4	22	87	19	7	0	14.9%	10.1%	0.0%	3.27	3.12	+0.5
2018	19	ROK	Kingsport Mets	10	9	42	186	46	18	8	16.8%	12.1%	6.0%	4.46	6.52	-0.8
2019	20	A	Columbia Fireflies	11	11	52	235	49	26	4	15.4%	13.1%	2.4%	3.78	4.74	+0.1
2022	23	A+	Brooklyn Cyclones	31	10	71	308	69	41	0	17.2%	15.3%	0.0%	4.84	3.58	+1.2
2023	24	AA	Binghamton Rumble Ponies	30	0	38	169	40	21	6	19.6%	13.7%	4.8%	4.54	5.83	-0.4
2024	25	AAA	Rochester Red Wings	47	0	59	249	82	25	4	26.3%	10.3%	2.1%	2.61	3.36	+1.1
2025	26	AAA	Rochester Red Wings	46	0	52	218	72	27	3	27.2%	13.5%	1.6%	2.42	3.41	+0.9
▸ 2026 Season
2026	27	MLB	WSH	50	—	50	212	52	24	6	24.6%	11.3%	2.7%	4.30	4.30	+0.4
▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging
2027	28	MLB	WSH	49	—	49	208	51	23	6	24.4%	11.1%	2.7%	4.32	4.33	+0.3
2028	29	MLB	WSH	48	—	48	204	49	23	6	24.2%	11.1%	2.8%	4.35	4.38	+0.3
2029	30	MLB	WSH	47	—	47	198	47	22	6	24.0%	11.1%	2.9%	4.40	4.44	+0.3
2030	31	MLB	WSH	45	—	45	191	45	21	6	23.7%	11.2%	2.9%	4.46	4.51	+0.2
2031	32	MLB	WSH	43	—	43	183	43	21	6	23.5%	11.3%	3.0%	4.54	4.59	+0.2
2032	33	MLB	WSH	41	—	41	175	40	20	5	23.2%	11.5%	3.1%	4.63	4.69	+0.1
2033	34	MLB	WSH	39	—	39	166	38	19	5	22.8%	11.7%	3.2%	4.73	4.80	+0.1
2034	35	MLB	WSH	37	—	37	156	35	19	5	22.4%	11.9%	3.3%	4.85	4.92	+0.0
2035	36	MLB	WSH	35	—	35	146	32	18	5	22.0%	12.2%	3.4%	4.97	5.06	-0.0
▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected)
Career	—			184	37	347	1504	297	195	34	19.7%	12.9%	2.2%	3.73	4.31	+3.9
/ 200 IP	—			106	21	200	866	171	112	20	19.7%	12.9%	2.2%	3.73	4.31	+2.3

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Daison Acosta (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.30	24.6%	11.3%	2.7%	—	4.38	24.2%	13.1%	144	+0.08	—	—	—
Blake Smith R 2026 · 3.18 FIP	27	SW	3.18	23.3%	10.5%	1.3%	.290	3.63	22.4%	13.8%	71	+0.45	3.18	124	89
Collin Baumgartner R 2025 · 3.76 FIP	26	SW	3.76	23.9%	12.3%	2.0%	.291	—	—	—	—	—	2.99	117	88
Taylor Williams R 2026 · 3.48 FIP	27	SW	3.48	24.2%	8.9%	2.4%	.309	4.33	22.5%	12.7%	108	+0.85	2.36	309	88
Ryan Garton R 2026 · 3.62 FIP	27	SW	3.62	25.2%	11.3%	2.2%	.252	4.15	23.5%	10.8%	108	+0.53	3.07	307	87
Brad Boxberger R 2026 · 3.86 FIP	27	SW	3.86	27.3%	10.0%	3.3%	.280	4.05	28.5%	17.2%	107	+0.19	3.02	363	87
Cole Sulser R 2026 · 3.54 FIP	27	SW	3.54	22.6%	10.2%	1.9%	.321	2.87	28.2%	18.4%	140	-0.67	2.39	509	86
Grant Sides R 2026 · 3.83 FIP	27	SW	3.83	22.4%	11.9%	2.0%	.247	3.31	21.7%	11.9%	47	-0.52	3.31	159	85
Austin Ross R 2026 · 3.80 FIP	27	SW	3.80	22.9%	8.0%	3.0%	.295	3.70	12.4%	5.2%	127	-0.10	3.17	269	85
Simon Castro R 2026 · 3.26 FIP	27	SW	3.26	26.4%	8.5%	2.4%	.320	3.48	26.0%	17.6%	128	+0.22	3.07	185	85
Jaye Chapman R 2027 · 3.34 FIP	28	SW	3.34	21.6%	8.5%	1.8%	.276	4.07	20.3%	11.3%	85	+0.73	3.25	150	85
Trevin Michael R 2026 · 3.82 FIP	27	SW	3.82	23.0%	9.1%	2.8%	.230	—	—	—	—	—	2.68	149	85
Evan Gates R 2026 · 4.02 FIP	27	SW	4.02	22.5%	11.8%	2.4%	.312	—	—	—	—	—	3.66	242	84
Spencer Patton R 2026 · 3.49 FIP	27	SW	3.49	26.8%	9.6%	2.6%	.295	2.83	30.3%	18.1%	57	-0.66	2.83	239	84
Beck Wheeler R 2026 · 4.41 FIP	27	SW	4.41	24.9%	14.5%	2.9%	.360	5.38	15.3%	3.1%	58	+0.97	3.46	173	84
Matt Ramsey R 2026 · 3.21 FIP	27	SU	3.21	24.2%	9.6%	1.7%	.330	3.20	23.6%	14.6%	81	-0.01	2.42	125	84
Kyle Barraclough R 2026 · 3.36 FIP	27	SW	3.36	26.6%	12.2%	1.7%	.282	5.08	24.5%	12.2%	89	+1.72	1.95	523	84
Al Alburquerque R 2028 · 3.56 FIP	29	SW	3.56	21.4%	11.1%	1.6%	.330	3.23	21.3%	12.5%	114	-0.33	2.83	228	84
Cody Satterwhite R 2027 · 3.72 FIP	28	SW	3.72	20.2%	9.8%	2.0%	.333	4.05	17.7%	10.2%	75	+0.33	3.70	147	83
Nolan Clenney R 2026 · 4.81 FIP	27	SW	4.81	23.3%	10.7%	4.2%	.341	4.59	17.2%	7.5%	71	-0.22	3.74	223	83
Alex Hoppe R 2025 · 3.89 FIP	26	SW	3.89	22.8%	12.7%	2.0%	.327	—	—	—	—	—	3.89	176	83

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.