Daison Acosta — OGILVIE

Daison Acosta P El Paso Chihuahuas

Age 27 RHP 6'2" / 160 lbs AAA peak 0.1 · 2026

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 35 proj IP

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 115107vR 99

ERA4.31

FIP4.31

K%24.9%

BB%11.5%

K-BB%13.4%

ROS IP35

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 35 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†6060

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2016	17	ROK MLE	DSL Mets 1	3	3	12	52	8	6	0	100%	3.9	10.5%	14.4%	-4.0%	0.0%	3.86	4.04	—
2016	17	ROK RAW	DSL Mets 1	3	3	12	52	8	6	0	100%	3.9	15.4%	11.5%	3.8%	0.0%	3.86	3.27	—
2017	18	ROK MLE	GCL Mets	6	4	22	87	19	7	0	67%	3.7	14.9%	10.1%	4.8%	0.0%	3.27	3.12	—
2017	18	ROK RAW	GCL Mets	6	4	22	87	19	7	0	67%	3.7	21.8%	8.0%	13.8%	0.0%	3.27	2.33	—
2018	19	ROK MLE	Kingsport Mets	10	9	42	186	46	18	8	90%	4.2	16.8%	12.1%	4.7%	6.0%	4.46	6.52	—
2018	19	ROK RAW	Kingsport Mets	10	9	42	186	46	18	8	90%	4.2	24.7%	9.7%	15.1%	4.3%	4.46	4.66	—
2019	20	A MLE	Columbia Fireflies	11	11	52	235	49	26	4	100%	4.8	15.4%	13.1%	2.4%	2.3%	3.78	4.73	—
2019	20	A RAW	Columbia Fireflies	11	11	52	235	49	26	4	100%	4.8	20.9%	11.1%	9.8%	1.7%	3.78	3.71	—
2022	23	A+ MLE	Brooklyn Cyclones	31	10	71	308	69	41	0	32%	2.3	17.2%	15.3%	1.9%	0.0%	4.84	3.58	—
2022	23	A+ RAW	Brooklyn Cyclones	31	10	71	308	69	41	0	32%	2.3	22.4%	13.3%	9.1%	0.0%	4.84	2.89	—
2023	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	30	0	38	169	40	21	6	0%	1.3	19.6%	13.7%	6.0%	4.8%	4.54	5.83	—
2023	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	30	0	38	169	40	21	6	0%	1.3	19.6%	13.7%	6.0%	4.8%	4.54	5.83	—
2023	24	MIX RAW	2 levels	30	0	38	169	40	21	6	0%	1.3	23.7%	12.4%	11.2%	3.6%	4.54	4.72	—
2024	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	47	0	59	249	82	25	4	0%	1.2	26.3%	10.3%	16.0%	2.2%	2.61	3.36	—
2024	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	47	0	59	249	82	25	4	0%	1.2	26.3%	10.3%	16.0%	2.2%	2.61	3.36	—
2024	25	MIX RAW	2 levels	47	0	59	249	82	25	4	0%	1.2	32.9%	10.0%	22.9%	1.6%	2.61	2.47	—
2025	26	MIX MLE	3 levels	46	0	52	218	72	27	3	0%	1.1	26.6%	12.4%	14.2%	1.6%	2.42	3.33	—
2025	26	MIX MLE	3 levels	46	0	52	218	72	27	3	0%	1.1	26.6%	12.4%	14.2%	1.6%	2.42	3.33	—
2025	26	MIX RAW	3 levels	46	0	52	218	72	27	3	0%	1.1	33.0%	12.4%	20.6%	1.4%	2.42	2.64	—
▸ 2026 season
YTD	27	AAA MLE	El Paso Chihuahuas	24	2	36	157	33	20	8	8%	1.5	13.4%	13.0%	0.4%	6.5%	4.75	7.20	—
YTD	27	AAA MLE	El Paso Chihuahuas	24	2	36	157	33	20	8	8%	1.5	13.4%	13.0%	0.4%	6.5%	4.75	7.20	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	27	ROK RAW	SD	3	1	3	11	5	0	1	33%	1.0	45.5%	0.0%	45.5%	9.1%	3.00	4.25	—
2026	27	A RAW	SD	2	0	3	9	4	1	0	0%	1.4	44.4%	11.1%	33.3%	0.0%	0.00	0.75	—
2026	27	A+ RAW	SD	3	0	5	19	5	2	0	0%	1.8	26.3%	10.5%	15.8%	0.0%	0.00	2.21	—
2026	27	AAA RAW	SD	16	1	25	118	19	17	7	6%	1.6	16.1%	14.4%	1.7%	5.9%	6.48	6.82	—
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	28	MLB MLE	SD	32	0	34	144	35	16	4	0%	1.1	24.6%	11.4%	13.2%	2.8%	4.36	4.39	+0.1
2027	28	MLB CTX	SD	13	0	14	59	15	7	2	0%	1.1	24.6%	11.4%	13.2%	2.8%	4.36	4.39	+0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		14	0	14	61	15	7	2	0%	1.0	24.6%	11.4%	13.2%	2.8%	4.36	4.01	+0.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	208	97	28	0%	1.1	24.6%	11.4%	13.2%	2.8%	4.36	4.01	+1.3
Career	—	MLE		208	39	383	1661	317	213	44	19%	1.8	19.1%	12.8%	6.3%	2.7%	3.83	4.57	+0.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		109	20	200	867	165	111	23	19%	1.8	19.1%	12.8%	6.3%	2.7%	3.83	4.57	+0.4

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Daison Acosta (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.31	24.9%	11.5%	2.7%	—	4.39	24.6%	13.2%	34	+0.08	—	—	—
Blake Smith R 2015 · 3.17 FIP	27	SU	3.17	23.3%	10.5%	1.3%	.290	3.59	22.4%	13.8%	71	+0.42	3.17	124	82
Michael Flynn R 2023 · 4.31 FIP	26	SU	4.31	26.5%	11.2%	3.7%	.299	4.42	20.8%	10.2%	92	+0.11	3.89	168	82
Jacob Bosiokovic R 2021 · 3.93 FIP	27	SU	3.93	26.4%	14.3%	2.3%	.274	4.86	21.0%	9.6%	69	+0.93	3.84	181	82
Matt Ramsey R 2017 · 3.25 FIP	27	SU	3.25	24.2%	9.6%	1.8%	.330	3.21	23.6%	14.6%	81	-0.04	2.42	125	81
Peyton Gray R 2021 · 4.27 FIP	26	SU	4.27	29.2%	14.1%	3.4%	.307	—	—	—	—	—	3.65	159	81
Ryan Garton R 2017 · 3.67 FIP	27	SU	3.67	25.2%	11.3%	2.3%	.252	4.15	23.5%	10.8%	108	+0.48	3.14	307	81
Zac Leigh R 2023 · 3.84 FIP	25	SU	3.84	28.1%	11.7%	3.0%	.282	4.58	19.9%	3.7%	131	+0.74	3.70	201	81
Simon Castro R 2015 · 3.28 FIP	27	SU	3.28	26.4%	8.5%	2.4%	.320	3.58	26.0%	17.6%	128	+0.30	3.01	185	81
Ricardo Velez R 2023 · 4.44 FIP	24	SU	4.44	22.4%	10.9%	3.4%	.261	4.09	18.8%	8.1%	138	-0.35	3.83	166	80
Cole Sulser R 2017 · 3.52 FIP	27	SU	3.52	22.6%	10.2%	1.9%	.321	2.85	28.2%	18.4%	140	-0.67	2.39	547	80
Grant Sides R 2016 · 3.83 FIP	27	SU	3.83	22.4%	11.9%	2.0%	.247	3.31	21.7%	11.9%	47	-0.52	3.31	159	80
Sam Gardner R 2023 · 4.04 FIP	26	SU	4.04	23.8%	15.1%	1.9%	.298	3.07	26.7%	16.7%	73	-0.97	2.28	118	80
Taylor Williams R 2018 · 3.52 FIP	27	SU	3.52	24.2%	8.9%	2.4%	.309	4.35	22.5%	12.7%	108	+0.83	2.51	309	80
Austin Ross R 2016 · 3.81 FIP	27	SU	3.81	22.9%	8.0%	3.0%	.295	3.67	12.4%	5.2%	127	-0.14	3.16	269	80
Beck Wheeler R 2016 · 4.42 FIP	27	SU	4.42	24.9%	14.5%	2.9%	.360	5.40	15.3%	3.1%	58	+0.98	3.46	173	79
Harrison Cohen R 2023 · 4.56 FIP	24	SU	4.56	22.4%	13.4%	3.0%	.282	4.21	22.0%	8.7%	119	-0.35	2.12	165	79
Joe Colón J R 2017 · 4.25 FIP	27	SU	4.25	20.4%	12.1%	2.4%	.315	—	—	—	—	—	3.27	113	78
Kaleb Bowman R 2023 · 3.88 FIP	26	SU	3.88	22.0%	7.5%	3.1%	.333	4.55	17.5%	6.5%	168	+0.67	3.88	202	78
Brad Boxberger R 2015 · 3.93 FIP	27	SU	3.93	27.3%	10.0%	3.4%	.280	4.09	28.5%	17.2%	107	+0.16	3.01	363	78
Nolan Clenney R 2023 · 4.79 FIP	27	SU	4.79	22.6%	10.1%	4.2%	.341	4.58	17.2%	7.5%	71	-0.21	3.73	223	78

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.3	35	24.8%	11.5%	1.06	4.33
José Cisnero ('23)	1.1	42	24.8%	11.3%	0.94	3.84
Daniel Bard ('23)	1.0	50	25.1%	13.5%	0.81	3.82
Keegan Thompson ('24)	1.1	57	23.0%	11.3%	1.19	3.64
Lucas Sims ('24)	1.4	47	27.6%	11.6%	1.24	4.22
José Ruiz ('24)	1.3	52	22.2%	10.4%	1.41	4.41
Noé Ramirez ('22)	1.3	52	24.8%	9.0%	1.33	4.19