Daison Acosta P El Paso Chihuahuas
Age 27 RHP 6'2" / 160 lbs AAA peak 0.1 · 2026
2026 ROS PROJECTION16 act + 35 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 117108vR 99
ERA4.32
FIP4.32
K%24.6%
BB%11.3%
K-BB%13.3%
ROS IP35
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 51 IP
K: +0.9 runs (Runs saved by strikeouts vs lg-avg K%)+1KBB: -2.8 runs (Runs saved by walk suppression vs lg-avg BB%)-3BBCONTACT: +8.7 runs (Runs saved on contact quality (HR suppression) vs lg)+9CONTACTSTAM: +2.1 runs (Replacement credit for innings volume)+2STAMTotal WAR: +0.93 (51 IP)+0.9WAR
0.10.10.0-0.1262829
Grades · Contract
Scouting Grades
K†6060

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

YearAge LvlTeam GGSIPBF KBBHR GS%IP/G K%BB%K-BB%HR% ERAFIP WAR
201617ROKDSL Mets 1331252860100%3.910.5%14.4%-4.0%0.0%3.864.04
201617ROKDSL Mets 1331252860100%3.915.4%11.5%3.8%0.0%3.863.27
201718ROKGCL Mets642287197067%3.714.9%10.1%4.8%0.0%3.273.12
201718ROKGCL Mets642287197067%3.721.8%8.0%13.8%0.0%3.272.33
201819ROKKingsport Mets109421864618890%4.216.8%12.1%4.7%6.0%4.466.52
201819ROKKingsport Mets109421864618890%4.224.7%9.7%15.1%4.3%4.464.66
201920AColumbia Fireflies11115223549264100%4.815.4%13.1%2.4%2.5%3.784.80
201920AColumbia Fireflies11115223549264100%4.820.9%11.1%9.8%1.7%3.783.71
202223A+Brooklyn Cyclones3110713086941032%2.317.2%15.3%1.9%0.0%4.843.58
202223A+Brooklyn Cyclones3110713086941032%2.322.4%13.3%9.1%0.0%4.842.89
202324MIX2 levels30038169402160%1.319.6%13.7%6.0%5.3%4.546.06
202324MIX2 levels30038169402160%1.323.7%12.4%11.2%3.6%4.544.72
202425MIX2 levels47059249822540%1.226.3%10.3%16.0%2.2%2.613.38
202425MIX2 levels47059249822540%1.232.9%10.0%22.9%1.6%2.612.47
202526MIX3 levels46052218722730%1.127.2%13.5%13.7%1.7%2.423.45
202526MIX3 levels46052218722730%1.133.0%12.4%20.6%1.4%2.422.64
▸ 2026 Season
202627AAAEl Paso Chihuahuas111166114829%1.42.87
ROS27MLBSD33035148361740%1.124.6%11.3%13.3%2.7%4.324.32+0.1
ROS27MLBSD024.6%11.3%13.3%2.7%4.324.32
2026 TOT27MLBSD512095025624.1%11.8%12.3%2.9%3.872.99+0.9
2026 FULL27MLBSD0100024.6%11.3%13.3%2.7%4.323.94+0.0
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202728MLBSD32034144351640%1.124.4%11.2%13.1%2.8%4.374.41+0.1
202829MLBSD31032137331640%1.024.1%11.3%12.7%3.0%4.464.53+0.0
202930MLBSD29030129301540%1.123.7%11.5%12.2%3.2%4.604.70-0.1
202728MLBSD110125112610%1.124.4%11.2%13.1%2.8%4.374.41+0.0
202829MLBSD170187618920%1.124.1%11.3%12.7%3.0%4.464.53+0.0
202930MLBSD2002189211030%1.123.7%11.5%12.2%3.2%4.604.70-0.0
▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections)
Career49051216522570%1.024.0%11.4%12.6%3.0%4.494.19+0.2
/ 200 IP190020084420398270%1.124.0%11.4%12.6%3.0%4.494.19+2.8
Career1953836315653112033719%1.919.9%12.9%6.9%2.4%3.694.36+4.4
/ 200 IP107212008621711122019%1.919.9%12.9%6.9%2.4%3.694.36+2.4

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Profile at Match Age Next 3 Yrs Career
CompAgeRole FIPK%BB%HR/BFBABIP FIPK%K-BB%IP ΔFIPLow FIPIPMatch
Daison Acosta (OGILVIE) 4.32 24.6%11.3%2.7% 4.54 24.0%12.7%97 +0.22
Ryan Garton R 2026 · 3.71 FIP 27 SU 3.71 25.2%11.3%2.4%.252 4.13 23.5%10.8%108 +0.42 3.15 307 81
Jacob Bosiokovic R 2026 · 3.94 FIP 27 SU 3.94 26.4%14.3%2.3%.274 4.93 22.1%8.9%69 +0.99 3.68 181 81
Simon Castro R 2026 · 3.16 FIP 27 SU 3.16 26.4%8.5%2.2%.320 3.55 26.0%17.6%128 +0.39 2.85 185 80
Trevin Michael R 2026 · 4.08 FIP 27 SU 4.08 23.0%9.1%3.2%.230 3.59 23.5%7.2%40 -0.49 2.74 188 80
Grant Sides R 2026 · 3.89 FIP 27 SU 3.89 22.4%11.9%2.1%.247 3.24 21.7%11.9%47 -0.65 3.24 159 80
Austin Ross R 2026 · 3.86 FIP 27 SU 3.86 22.9%8.0%3.1%.295 3.60 12.4%5.2%127 -0.26 3.19 269 80
Taylor Williams R 2026 · 3.64 FIP 27 SU 3.64 24.2%8.9%2.6%.309 4.33 22.5%12.7%108 +0.69 2.59 309 80
Cole Sulser R 2026 · 3.43 FIP 27 SU 3.43 22.6%10.2%1.7%.321 2.78 28.2%18.4%140 -0.65 2.29 538 80
Evan Gates R 2026 · 3.87 FIP 27 SU 3.87 22.5%11.8%2.1%.312 4.34 18.5%10.4%35 +0.47 3.74 277 79
Peyton Gray R 2025 · 4.31 FIP 26 SU 4.31 29.2%14.1%3.5%.307 2.87 138 79
Holt Jones R 2026 · 4.13 FIP 27 SU 4.13 24.2%11.4%3.0%.316 4.13 217 79
Beck Wheeler R 2026 · 4.30 FIP 27 SU 4.30 24.9%14.5%2.7%.360 5.09 15.3%3.1%58 +0.79 3.42 173 79
Joe Colón J R 2026 · 4.04 FIP 27 SU 4.04 20.4%12.1%2.1%.315 3.28 113 78
Jake Stinnett R 2026 · 4.07 FIP 27 SW 4.07 21.1%12.2%2.2%.301 2.88 356 78
Michael Flynn R 2026 · 3.99 FIP 27 SU 3.99 28.2%9.7%3.7%.277 4.83 16.8%2.7%45 +0.84 3.74 163 78
Jaye Chapman R 2027 · 3.36 FIP 28 SU 3.36 21.6%8.5%1.8%.276 4.03 20.3%11.3%85 +0.67 3.27 150 78
Brad Boxberger R 2026 · 3.99 FIP 27 SU 3.99 27.3%10.0%3.5%.280 4.01 28.5%17.2%107 +0.02 3.07 363 78
Caleb Bolden R 2026 · 3.55 FIP 27 SU 3.55 23.0%10.0%2.1%.346 3.06 222 78
Pedro Garcia R 2026 · 3.30 FIP 27 SU 3.30 22.9%9.1%1.8%.276 6.16 27.5%9.3%50 +2.86 2.80 155 78
Jackson Hicks R 2024 · 3.94 FIP 25 SU 3.94 22.6%10.5%2.6%.336 2.17 116 78

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

PlayerYrsIP/yrK%BB%HR/9ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION43324.2%11.3%1.134.43
José Cisnero ('23)54224.8%11.3%0.943.84
Fernando Rodney ('19)55924.6%11.8%0.884.21
Lucas Sims ('24)64727.6%11.6%1.244.22
José Ruiz ('24)55222.2%10.4%1.414.41
Greg Holland ('21)64525.4%12.3%0.874.03
Keegan Thompson ('24)45723.0%11.3%1.193.64