Landon Marceaux prospect projection, MLE, ETA

Landon Marceaux P ACL Royals

Age 26 RHP 6'0" / 199 lbs ROK peak 0.4 · 2026

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 42 proj IP

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 121113vR 105

ERA4.64

FIP4.64

K%18.8%

BB%8.6%

K-BB%10.2%

ROS IP43

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 42 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†4545

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2021	21	ROK MLE	ACL Angels	2	2	4	18	6	0	0	100%	1.8	33.3%	0.0%	33.3%	0.0%	14.73	0.29	—
2021	21	ROK RAW	ACL Angels	2	2	4	18	6	0	0	100%	1.8	33.3%	0.0%	33.3%	0.0%	14.73	-0.17	—
2022	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	18	18	91	354	73	16	6	100%	5.0	16.1%	4.9%	11.3%	2.3%	2.98	3.64	—
2022	22	MIX RAW	2 levels	18	18	91	354	73	16	6	100%	5.0	20.6%	4.5%	16.1%	1.7%	2.98	2.88	—
2023	23	MIX MLE	3 levels	18	18	75	346	59	28	9	100%	4.2	13.3%	8.0%	5.3%	3.3%	5.50	4.81	—
2023	23	MIX MLE	3 levels	18	18	75	346	59	28	9	100%	4.2	13.3%	8.0%	5.3%	3.3%	5.50	4.81	—
2023	23	MIX RAW	3 levels	18	18	75	346	59	28	9	100%	4.2	17.1%	8.1%	9.0%	2.6%	5.50	4.20	—
2025	25	ROK MLE	ACL Royals	2	2	4	23	5	2	0	100%	1.8	21.7%	8.7%	13.0%	0.0%	14.73	2.37	—
2025	25	ROK MLE	ACL Royals	2	2	4	23	5	2	0	100%	1.8	21.7%	8.7%	13.0%	0.0%	14.73	2.37	—
2025	25	ROK RAW	ACL Royals	2	2	4	23	5	2	0	100%	1.8	21.7%	8.7%	13.0%	0.0%	14.73	2.01	—
▸ 2026 season — projected remainder (no 2026 stats recorded)
2026	26	MLB	KC	—	—	0	—	—	—	—	—	—	18.8%	8.6%	10.2%	3.0%	4.64	4.64	—
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	27	MLB MLE	KC	7	7	42	178	34	16	5	100%	6.0	19.3%	8.8%	10.5%	3.1%	4.63	4.64	+0.1
2027	27	MLB CTX	KC	2	2	15	63	12	6	2	100%	7.5	19.3%	8.8%	10.5%	3.1%	4.63	4.64	+0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		3	3	15	65	12	6	2	100%	5.1	19.3%	8.8%	10.5%	3.1%	4.63	4.26	+0.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		33	33	200	844	157	78	26	100%	6.0	19.3%	8.8%	10.5%	3.1%	4.63	4.26	+1.5
Career	—	MLE		40	40	173	741	114	47	20	100%	4.3	15.4%	6.4%	9.1%	2.7%	4.57	4.06	+0.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		46	46	200	855	132	54	23	100%	4.3	15.4%	6.4%	9.1%	2.7%	4.57	4.06	+0.6

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Landon Marceaux (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.64	18.8%	8.6%	3.0%	—	4.64	19.3%	10.5%	42	+0.00	—	—	—
Marcelo Perez R 2023 · 3.84 FIP	23	SP	3.84	18.0%	8.6%	2.1%	.288	4.99	14.7%	7.3%	238	+1.15	3.84	306	83
Jake Lee R 2021 · 3.76 FIP	26	SP	3.76	20.5%	9.7%	2.1%	.362	5.42	16.1%	9.6%	113	+1.66	2.78	181	81
Cameron Foster R 2023 · 4.31 FIP	24	SP	4.31	18.9%	10.3%	2.7%	.329	4.03	21.1%	11.2%	132	-0.28	2.50	213	81
Markus Solbach R 2019 · 3.58 FIP	27	SP	3.58	16.9%	6.1%	2.1%	.311	4.62	17.1%	9.1%	111	+1.04	3.34	391	80
Antonio Guzman R 2015 · 3.60 FIP	27	SP	3.60	18.8%	11.2%	1.2%	.328	3.47	20.6%	11.3%	170	-0.13	3.15	254	80
Jake Walters R 2022 · 4.03 FIP	26	SP-	4.03	17.0%	9.4%	2.1%	.316	5.85	15.2%	1.3%	72	+1.82	3.51	261	80
Brandon White R 2023 · 4.93 FIP	23	SP	4.93	16.7%	10.3%	3.5%	.264	4.05	17.5%	10.6%	280	-0.88	3.90	299	79
Pat Gallagher R 2023 · 3.83 FIP	23	SP-	3.83	21.9%	8.3%	2.8%	.284	3.42	20.6%	11.4%	217	-0.41	3.07	280	77
Hiram Burgos R 2013 · 4.89 FIP	25	SP	4.89	12.9%	7.9%	3.4%	.314	3.73	18.0%	8.7%	293	-1.16	3.40	384	77
Spencer Schwellenbach R 2023 · 4.00 FIP	23	SP	4.00	14.5%	8.5%	1.9%	.273	3.09	24.5%	19.9%	266	-0.91	3.05	318	76
Britt Reames R 2000 · 4.49 FIP	26	SP	4.49	18.2%	12.9%	2.4%	.230	4.35	21.9%	11.5%	163	-0.14	3.76	204	76
Bradley Brehmer R 2023 · 4.43 FIP	23	SP	4.43	14.6%	9.5%	2.5%	.349	3.27	20.0%	11.5%	94	-1.16	2.83	165	76
Brandon Young R 2023 · 4.49 FIP	24	SP	4.49	17.9%	6.3%	3.8%	.338	3.88	21.4%	13.4%	369	-0.61	3.03	492	76
Brody McCullough R 2023 · 3.58 FIP	23	SP	3.58	23.1%	10.3%	2.1%	.267	4.45	21.3%	11.7%	42	+0.87	3.58	129	75
Luke Hudson R 2004 · 3.82 FIP	27	SP	3.82	18.6%	11.8%	1.5%	.237	4.59	14.2%	3.9%	187	+0.77	3.81	235	75
Alejandro Martinez R 2015 · 4.46 FIP	26	SP-	4.46	17.5%	10.9%	2.7%	.393	4.24	9.2%	3.9%	53	-0.22	4.24	166	75
Ramon Ramirez R 2008 · 4.31 FIP	25	SP-	4.31	20.0%	10.5%	2.9%	.200	—	—	—	—	—	3.65	182	74
Brian Stokes R 2006 · 3.98 FIP	26	SP-	3.98	13.6%	8.2%	1.8%	.345	4.51	14.3%	6.3%	166	+0.53	3.96	207	74
Michael Peoples R 2018 · 3.75 FIP	26	SP	3.75	17.8%	7.3%	2.3%	.313	3.96	17.8%	12.8%	145	+0.21	3.75	577	74
Brandon Birdsell R 2023 · 3.91 FIP	23	SP	3.91	17.1%	8.3%	2.2%	.266	4.02	19.6%	13.9%	154	+0.11	3.84	262	73

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 714 reliever careers (1990-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.4	42	19.1%	8.7%	1.18	4.64
Ian Krol ('21)	1.0	42	21.2%	8.8%	1.25	4.49
Tyler Walker ('10)	1.5	50	18.9%	8.5%	1.11	4.23
Kevin Quackenbush ('21)	1.0	52	21.0%	9.2%	1.04	4.41
Juan Gutierrez ('14)	1.4	57	19.4%	8.4%	1.04	4.49
Randy Flores ('10)	1.2	42	17.7%	9.3%	1.04	4.61
Juan Carlos Oviedo ('14)	1.9	56	18.9%	8.0%	1.16	4.28