David Avitia — OGILVIE

David AvitiaC Myrtle Beach Pelicans

Age 27 R/R 5'9" / 205 lbs A HR -8% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 76 proj PA

wRC+†50

AVG/OBP/SLG.182 / .251 / .274

PA6

HR0

K%38

BB%7

ISO93

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2023	24	A	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	—	98	84	16	4	0	1	8	34	3	0	1	190	284	274	558	83	294	35	8	255	59	-5	-0	—	—	+2	-0.3
2024	25	A+	South Bend Cubs	—	110	91	11	4	0	0	13	49	3	0	0	121	252	165	417	44	256	45	12	207	26	-10	+0	—	—	+2	-0.7
2024	25	INTL	Mesa Solar Sox	—	20	19	5	1	0	0	1	5	0	0	0	263	300	316	616	53	357	25	5	280	76	-1	+0	—	—	+0	-0.0
2025	26	A	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	—	24	21	5	1	0	0	1	12	1	0	0	238	304	286	590	48	556	50	4	264	65	-1	+0	—	—	+1	-0.0
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2023	24	A MLE	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	—	98	87	12	3	0	1	5	48	3	0	1	138	211	207	417	69	249	49	5	184	11	-10	-0	—	—	+2	-0.9
2024	25	A+ MLE	South Bend Cubs	—	110	95	7	2	0	0	9	66	3	0	0	74	178	95	272	21	209	60	8	138	-20	-16	+0	—	—	+2	-1.4
2025	26	A MLE	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	—	24	21	2	0	0	0	1	18	1	0	0	95	174	95	269		518	75	4	139	-20	-3	+0	—	—	+1	-0.3
2023	24	A MLE	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	—	98	87	12	3	0	1	5	48	3	0	1	138	211	207	417	69	275	49	5	184	11	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	A RAW	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	—	98	84	16	4	0	1	8	34	3	0	1	190	284	274	558	83	294	35	8	255	11	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	130	113	9	3	0	0	11	78	3	0	0	80	181	106	287	27	250	60	8	138	-20	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	A+ RAW	2 teams	—	130	110	16	5	0	0	14	54	3	0	0	145	260	191	451	45	281	42	11	218	-20	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	26	A MLE	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	—	24	21	2	0	0	0	1	18	1	0	0	95	174	95	269		667	75	4	139	-20	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	26	A RAW	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	—	24	21	5	1	0	0	1	12	1	0	0	238	304	286	590	48	556	50	4	264	-20	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	A MLE	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	—	98	90	12	3	0	1	5	48	3	0	1	133	211	200	411	67	249	49	5	184	11	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	130	115	9	3	0	0	11	78	3	0	0	78	181	104	285	26	209	60	8	138	-20	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	26	A MLE	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	—	24	22	2	0	0	0	1	18	1	0	0	91	174	91	265		518	75	4	139	-20	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	24	A MLE	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	—	98	90	12	3	0	1	5	48	3	0	1	133	211	200	411	67	249	49	5	184	11	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	130	115	9	3	0	0	11	78	3	0	0	78	181	104	285	26	209	60	8	138	-20	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	26	A MLE	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	—	24	22	2	0	0	0	1	18	1	0	0	91	174	91	265		518	75	4	139	-20	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 season
2026	27	MLB MLE	CHC	0%	6	6	1	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	167	167	167	333		289	33	0	243	50	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	28	MLB MLE	CHC	26%	116	105	21	4	1	2	8	42	2	2	0	200	270	314	584	114	289	36	7	250	55	-6	+0	-1	+2	+3	-0.2
2027	28	MLB CTX	CHC	26%	30	28	5	1	0	0	2	11	0	0	0	179	233	214	448	36	291	37	7	240	55	-2	+0	-0	+1	+1	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	30	28	5	1	0	0	2	11	0	0	0	179	233	214	448	36	294	37	7	240	12	-2	+0	-0	+1	+1	-0.1
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	607	109	22	0	0	43	238	0	0	0	180	234	216	450	36	295	37	7	240	12	-35	+0	-4	+12	+14	-1.3
Career	—	MLE		—	374	332	45	10	1	3	25	188	9	2	1	136	216	199	415	63	290	50	7	186	12	-7	+0	-1	+2	+3	-0.2
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	577	78	17	2	5	43	327	16	3	2	135	215	198	413	62	290	50	7	186	12	-35	+2	-4	+12	+14	-1.1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
David Avitia (OGILVIE)	27	—	—	—	—	182/251/274	93	289	1	1	38%	7%	50	-0.3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕McCarthy Tatum 2023 · AA	27	36→25	44→50	49→50	35	186/241/304	118	277	12	9	36%	5%	53	-2.1	214/275/326	112	297	10	10	30%	5%	70	-0.8	213/284/304	91	290	6	9	26%	4%	67	-0.3
✕Hamlet Marte 2021 · AA	27	40	42→45	44→45	39	197/254/295	99	296	10	6	35%	7%	55	-1.9	198/255/294	96	327	9	8	39%	7%	55	-1.9	157/217/238	81	251	10	4	40%	6%	26	-0.8
✕Madison Stokes 2023 · AAA	27	38→36	42→45	49→40	36	185/242/292	107	298	10	9	40%	6%	50	-2.3	195/273/300	105	301	9	9	35%	9%	64	-1.3	175/268/272	96	267	7	6	34%	10%	54	-1.5
✕Caleb Hamilton 2022 · AAA	27	36	44→45	47→45	44	181/260/291	111	272	12	9	36%	9%	57	-1.8	177/263/303	126	271	15	6	38%	10%	61	-1.5	141/235/256	115	206	16	3	39%	10%	39	-1.0
✕Jason Delay 2022 · AAA	27	38	44→45	48→40	33	194/233/309	115	283	13	6	36%	4%	51	-2.3	219/273/304	85	296	5	5	26%	6%	64	-1.3	228/287/304	76	299	3	2	23%	6%	67	-0.4
✕Jackson Cluff 2023 · AA	26	36→30	40→45	48→60	36	177/241/266	89	277	7	11	37%	6%	45	-2.7	186/269/301	115	281	11	21	35%	9%	63	-1.4	179/271/301	122	264	12	28	34%	10%	62	-0.8
✕Jake Means 2023 · AA	27	35→32	46→45	51→45	43	183/260/311	127	264	14	9	35%	8%	62	-1.4	186/255/300	114	261	13	10	32%	8%	57	-1.8	133/209/225	92	172	14	8	32%	7%	22	-1.9
✕Mike Salvatore 2023 · A	26	32	42→40	49→45	41	168/229/263	95	238	11	5	34%	7%	38	-3.2	192/259/282	90	264	8	8	28%	8%	54	-2.0	175/250/251	77	232	6	7	26%	9%	40	-1.1
✕Bryan Arias 2023 · AA	26	39	43→45	51→50	40	191/266/297	106	296	11	14	37%	8%	61	-1.5	204/277/306	102	299	9	14	32%	8%	67	-1.1	198/298/294	96	261	9	24	25%	10%	69	-0.2
✕Jordan Betts 2018 · AA	26	37→28	44→45	46→40	36	186/234/301	115	285	12	5	38%	6%	49	-2.4	202/251/310	108	297	11	5	34%	6%	57	-1.8	187/232/277	90	267	11	0	33%	5%	40	-1.9
✕Joe Dunand 2023 · AAA	27	38→45	43→45	49→45	38	186/254/295	109	287	10	8	37%	7%	56	-1.9	220/290/360	140	313	15	8	33%	8%	84	+0.2	222/297/375	153	307	18	4	32%	8%	87	+0.3
✕Ryan Jorgensen 2006 · AAA	27	41	41→45	49→30	41	198/265/292	93	302	9	8	35%	8%	59	-1.7	203/258/309	106	265	11	5	27%	6%	60	-1.6	197/248/300	104	250	11	1	25%	6%	53	-0.9
✕Jason Martinson 2016 · AAA	27	38→41	43→45	52→50	38	192/252/297	105	289	11	13	36%	7%	55	-1.9	180/237/288	108	304	11	9	42%	6%	47	-2.5	158/211/261	103	279	10	8	45%	5%	28	-2.3
✕Kellin Deglan 2019 · AA	27	39→35	42→50	44→40	34	189/249/293	104	311	10	5	40%	6%	53	-2.1	206/268/322	116	314	12	6	36%	6%	68	-1.0	187/253/298	112	283	13	2	37%	6%	53	-0.7
✕Jake Lowery 2017 · AA	27	37	42→45	47→30	44	184/253/289	105	259	9	5	32%	8%	54	-2.0	195/267/298	103	310	9	6	37%	9%	61	-1.5	127/205/187	61	257	4	0	48%	9%	12	-1.1
✕Arden Pabst 2022 · AA	27	33	44→45	44→30	30	179/207/288	109	269	13	4	39%	3%	35	-3.4	188/249/321	133	285	17	6	38%	7%	60	-1.6	107/209/207	100	155	15	0	42%	10%	19	-1.1
✕Chris Sharpe 2022 · AAA	26	37→39	42→45	45→50	39	185/255/296	111	276	9	10	35%	7%	57	-1.8	191/270/296	105	294	8	13	35%	8%	62	-1.4	163/254/261	99	255	6	16	35%	9%	49	-1.1
✕Brian Peacock 2012 · A	27	42	40→45	50	36	198/249/289	91	317	7	13	38%	6%	51	-2.2	214/261/297	83	329	6	8	34%	6%	57	-1.8	224/256/287	63	334	5	0	33%	4%	49	-0.6
✕Brent Diaz 2022 · AA	26	41	43→40	44→45	37	195/271/299	104	306	11	8	37%	6%	63	-1.3	220/286/346	126	298	14	9	30%	6%	80	-0.2	201/264/319	118	266	15	9	30%	5%	61	-0.5
✕Mark Thomas 2015 · AA	27	34→41	45	46→45	36	180/225/303	123	249	13	5	33%	5%	47	-2.6	178/238/293	115	276	11	7	37%	6%	49	-2.4	137/196/248	112	199	9	6	35%	6%	21	-1.6