David Avitia

C Myrtle Beach Pelicans
Age 28 R/R 5'9" / 205 lbs A HR -8% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037
Overview
APROSPECTMiLBFA 2038
MLB%0%
YearAgeLvl / TeamPAAVG/OBP/SLGHRSBwRC+WARMLE AVG/OBP/SLG
202324ACHC98.190/.284/.274109—.138/.211/.207
202425A+/INTL2 orgs130.145/.260/.19100-4—.084/.187/.116
202526ACHC24.238/.304/.28600-15—.143/.217/.190
2027PROJMLE28MLBCHC200.185/.255/.2702349-0.1
2028PROJ22% MLB29MLBCHC15.187/.257/.2740050-0.1
Next 2 projected WAR -0.2Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.
ContractESTIMATED
Control thru2037Service0.0First FA2038
2027MiLB2028MiLB2029Ext$0.0M2030Ext$0.0M2031Ext$0.0M2032Ext$0.9M2033Ext$0.9M2034Ext$1.0M+3
CompsChandler Seagle (age 28) · Matt Whatley (age 28) · Hamlet Marte (age 27)
2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 47 proj PA
wRC+†49
AVG/OBP/SLG.183 / .253 / .268
PA47
HR1
K%36
BB%7
ISO86
MLB%0%
Value2027 · WAR
BAT: -2.8 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-3BATRUN: +0.1 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+0RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: +0.8 runs (Positional adjustment)+1POSREP: +1.0 runs (Replacement-level credit)+1REPTotal WAR: -0.10-0.1WAR
trajectory · projected WAR by year
-0.1-0.12728
Tools · Contract
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2032
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2037
First FA Year   2038
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $0.0M $0.0M +$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run 1-3 WAR low.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
202324 AMyrtle Beach Pelicans — 9884 16401 8343 01 190284274558 83294 358 255 9 — — — — — —
202425 A+South Bend Cubs — 11091 11400 13493 00 121252165417 44256 4512 207 -18 — — — — — —
202425 INTLMesa Solar Sox — 2019 5100 150 00 263300316616 53357 255 280 76 — — — — — —
202526 AMyrtle Beach Pelicans — 2421 5100 1121 00 238304286590 48556 504 264 -15 — — — — — —
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
202324 A MLEMyrtle Beach Pelicans — 9887 12301 5463 01 138211207417 69237 475 182 9 — — — — — —
202425 A+ MLESouth Bend Cubs — 11095 8300 9623 00 84187116303 32203 568 141 -18 — — — — — —
202526 A MLEMyrtle Beach Pelicans — 2421 3100 1171 00 143217190408 48483 714 146 -15 — — — — — —
202324 A MLEMyrtle Beach Pelicans — 9887 12301 5463 01 138211207417 69262 475 182 9 — — — — — —
202324 A RAWMyrtle Beach Pelicans — 9884 16401 8343 01 190284274558 83294 358 255 9 — — — — — —
202425 A+ MLE2 teams — 130114 9300 10733 00 79173105278 26214 568 141 -18 — — — — — —
202425 A+ RAW2 teams — 130110 16500 14543 00 145260191451 45281 4211 218 -18 — — — — — —
202526 A MLEMyrtle Beach Pelicans — 2421 3100 1171 00 143217190408 48750 714 146 -15 — — — — — —
202526 A RAWMyrtle Beach Pelicans — 2421 5100 1121 00 238304286590 48556 504 264 -15 — — — — — —
202324 A MLEMyrtle Beach Pelicans — 9890 12301 5463 01 133211200411 67237 475 182 9 — — — — — —
202425 A+ MLE2 teams — 130116 9300 10733 00 78173103277 26203 568 141 -18 — — — — — —
202526 A MLEMyrtle Beach Pelicans — 2422 3100 1171 00 136217182399 45483 714 146 -15 — — — — — —
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
202425 A+ MLE2 teams — 130116 9300 10733 00 78173103277 26203 568 141 -18 — — — — — —
202526 A MLEMyrtle Beach Pelicans — 2422 3100 1171 00 136217182399 45483 714 146 -15 — — — — — —
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
202728 MLB MLECHC 0% 200181 34712 14733 31 185255270525 86289 367 241 49 -12 +0 +0 +4 +4 -0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
202829 MLB MLECHC 22% 6862 11201 5241 10 185255271526 86287 357 242 50 -4 +0 -1 +1 +1 -0.3
202829 MLB CTXCHC 22% 1514 3100 150 00 187257274531 87291 337 243 50 -1 +0 -0 +0 +0 -0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career— A+C — 1514 3100 150 00 214267286552 71333 337 243 11 -1 +0 -0 +0 +0 -0.1
/ 162G— A+C — 650607 1304300 432170 00 214266285551 71333 337 243 11 -39 +0 -13 +12 +14 -2.7
Career— MLE — 367327 441103 241779 21 135214196410 61273 487 184 11 -7 +0 -1 +2 +2 -0.3
/ 162G— MLE — 650579 771905 4331316 42 133213192405 59271 487 184 11 -39 +2 -8 +12 +14 -1.9

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2025 AMyrtle Beach Pelicans · 24 PAwOBA .257 → .146 (−111)K% 50.0% → 71.1%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA50.00%÷0.956×1.360——71.13%
BB% (unintentional) /PA4.17%÷1.106×0.690—×0.9502.47%
HBP% /PA4.17%—×0.780—×0.9503.09%
Singles /BIP44.44%÷0.990×0.920—×0.95039.26%
Doubles /BIP11.11%÷0.968×0.830—×0.9509.05%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.150×0.910—×0.9500.00%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷0.925×0.800—×0.9500.00%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 85, 1B 98, 2B 94, 3B 130, K 91, BB 121 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 22.0 → −5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (5.0 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .257 → .146; ISO .048 → .024; BABIP .556 → .483. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 A+South Bend Cubs · 110 PAwOBA .204 → .141 (−63)K% 44.5% → 56.3%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA44.55%÷1.005×1.270——56.28%
BB% (unintentional) /PA11.82%÷1.021×0.710—×0.9687.96%
HBP% /PA2.73%—×0.790—×0.9682.09%
Singles /BIP16.67%÷1.009×0.920×0.950×0.96813.98%
Doubles /BIP9.52%÷1.034×0.810×0.950×0.9686.86%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷0.979×0.850×0.950×0.9680.00%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷0.909×0.800—×0.9680.00%

Factors used: league row Midwest League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 82, 1B 102, 2B 107, 3B 96, K 101, BB 104 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 22.8 → −3.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.

Result: wOBA .204 → .141; ISO .044 → .028; BABIP .256 → .203. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2023 AMyrtle Beach Pelicans · 98 PAwOBA .254 → .182 (−71)K% 34.7% → 46.7%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA34.69%÷1.011×1.360——46.68%
BB% (unintentional) /PA8.16%÷0.967×0.690—×0.9705.65%
HBP% /PA3.06%—×0.780—×0.9702.32%
Singles /BIP22.00%÷1.046×0.920×0.963×0.97018.07%
Doubles /BIP8.00%÷0.975×0.830×0.963×0.9706.36%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.150×0.910×0.963×0.9700.00%
Home runs /BIP2.00%÷0.957×0.800—×0.9701.62%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 91, 1B 109, 2B 95, 3B 130, K 102, BB 93 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 22.0 → −3.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.0 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.963.

Result: wOBA .254 → .182; ISO .083 → .059; BABIP .294 → .237. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .