Justyn-Henry Malloy

RF Durham Bulls

Age 27 R/R 6'0" / 212 lbs AAA HR -6%H +4% Svc 3.000 · Ctrl thru 2029

Overview

AAAArb-1FA 2030

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2024	24	MLBDET	230	.203/.294/.366	8	1	90	-0.7
2025	25	MLBDET	127	.221/.352/.308	1	0	96	-0.3
2026	26	AAATB	230	.167/.314/.285	5	7	39	—	.142/.252/.234
2026	26	AATB	53	.250/.434/.600	4	2	125	—	.205/.340/.455
2027PROJ10% MLB	27	MLBTB	35	.221/.325/.368	1	1	99	0.1
2028PROJ38% MLB	28	MLBTB	142	.219/.323/.363	4	2	97	0.1
2029PROJ49% MLB	29	MLBTB	185	.216/.320/.356	5	2	94	0.0

Last 3 seasons WAR -1.0 · Next 3 projected WAR 0.1Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2029Service3.000First FA2030

2027Arb-1$1M2028Arb-2$1M2029Arb-3$1M

Skills · percentileStatcast 2024-2025

Chase%90

Barrel%52

Bat Spd42

Speed33

Whiff%31

Avg EV27

CompsDrew Ellis (age 27) · Nick Podkul (age 27) · Stuart Fairchild (age 27)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+†vL 10499vR 83

AVG/OBP/SLG.221 / .325 / .368

PA35

HR1

K%26

BB%11

BABIP279

ISO133

MLB%10%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control-$3M ctrl surplus

Tools · Splits · ContractCON 30 / POW 50

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2024-2025

CONTACT30

Whiff%

3113.2%

xAVG

100.187

POWER50

Barrel%

528.5

Avg EV

2787.4

Bat Spd

4270.5

EYE60

Chase%

9023.8%

SPEED45

Sprint

3326.7

Platoon Splits2024-2025 · 357 PA

vs LHP

vs RHP

Edge

131

226

—

wRC+

135

◀◀L

wOBA

368

256

◀◀L

ISO

174

118

◀◀L

BABIP

353

271

◀◀L

27.5%

35.8%

◀◀L

BB%

17.6%

8.8%

◀◀L

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Arb-1

MLB Debut 2024

Service 3.000 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2029

First FA Year 2030

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	Arb-1	$1M	+0.1	$0.2M	+$0.0M (cut)
2028	Arb-2	$1M	+0.1	$0.4M	+$0.0M (cut)
2029	Arb-3	$1M	—	—	—
Totals		$0.0M		$0.6M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2021	21	A	Augusta GreenJackets	—	147	122	33	5	0	5	24	30	0	4	2	270	390	434	825	164	318	20	16	370	75	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	22	AAA	Gwinnett Stripers	—	33	25	7	1	0	1	7	5	0	2	0	280	438	440	877	160	300	15	21	387	119	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	22	AA	Mississippi Braves	—	238	190	51	11	0	6	43	60	2	0	0	268	409	421	830	153	354	25	18	373	107	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	22	A+	Rome Braves	—	320	263	80	16	0	10	47	73	4	3	0	304	417	479	896	175	376	23	15	394	99	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	22	INTL	Scottsdale Scorpions	—	89	72	22	5	1	1	16	20	1	1	1	306	438	444	883	139	412	22	18	400	157	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	23	AAA	Toledo Mud Hens	—	611	487	135	25	1	23	110	152	10	5	1	277	420	474	894	197	354	25	18	399	107	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	24	MLB	Detroit Tigers	—	230	202	41	7	1	8	23	85	3	1	1	203	294	366	660	163	297	37	10	296	90	-3	-0	-4	-5	+5	-0.7
2024	24	AAA	Toledo Mud Hens	—	236	186	48	16	0	7	43	66	4	3	3	258	408	457	865	199	353	28	18	384	101	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	25	MLB	Detroit Tigers	—	127	104	23	6	0	1	20	32	1	0	0	221	352	308	660	87	301	25	16	307	96	-1	+0	-0	-5	+3	-0.3
2025	25	AAA	Toledo Mud Hens	—	329	261	84	20	0	9	57	67	8	6	1	322	457	502	959	180	399	20	17	425	143	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	26	AAA	Durham Bulls	—	230	186	31	7	0	5	36	55	4	7	2	167	314	285	599	118	200	24	16	281	39	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	26	AA	Montgomery Biscuits	—	53	40	10	2	0	4	11	11	2	2	2	250	434	600	1.034	350	240	21	21	446	125	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	26	A+	Bowling Green Hot Rods	—	26	19	9	1	0	3	7	4	0	0	1	474	615	1.000	1.615	526	500	15	27	651	242	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	357	306	64	13	1	9	43	117	4	1	1	209	314	346	661	137	299	33	12	300	89	-5	-0	-4	-10	+8	-1.1
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2021	21	A MLE	Augusta GreenJackets	—	147	130	27	4	0	3	16	42	0	4	2	208	295	308	602	100	277	29	11	279	75	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	22	AAA MLE	Gwinnett Stripers	—	33	27	7	1	0	1	5	6	0	2	0	259	375	407	782	148	283	18	15	344	119	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	22	AA MLE	Mississippi Braves	—	238	202	50	11	0	5	31	73	2	0	0	248	353	376	729	129	343	31	13	326	107	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	22	A+ MLE	Rome Braves	—	320	283	72	13	0	10	27	99	4	3	0	254	328	406	734	152	326	31	8	314	99	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	23	AAA MLE	Toledo Mud Hens	—	611	518	122	18	1	19	79	183	10	5	1	236	348	384	732	149	320	30	13	326	107	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	24	MLB MLE	Detroit Tigers	—	230	202	41	7	1	8	23	85	3	1	1	203	294	366	660	163	297	37	10	302	90	-3	-0	-4	-5	+5	-0.7
2024	24	AAA MLE	Toledo Mud Hens	—	236	198	43	14	0	7	31	77	4	3	3	217	335	394	729	177	300	33	13	318	101	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	25	MLB MLE	Detroit Tigers	—	127	104	23	6	0	1	20	32	1	0	0	221	352	308	660	87	301	25	16	310	96	-1	+0	-0	-5	+3	-0.3
2025	25	AAA MLE	Toledo Mud Hens	—	329	277	84	19	0	8	41	75	8	6	1	303	408	458	866	155	379	23	12	379	143	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	26	AAA MLE	Durham Bulls	—	230	197	28	6	0	4	25	66	4	7	2	142	252	234	486	91	179	29	11	226	39	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	26	AA MLE	Montgomery Biscuits	—	53	44	9	2	0	3	7	13	2	2	2	205	340	455	794	250	210	25	13	353	125	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	26	A+ MLE	Bowling Green Hot Rods	—	26	22	9	1	0	3	4	5	0	0	1	409	500	864	1.364	455	399	19	15	526	242	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	21	A MLE	Augusta GreenJackets	—	147	130	27	4	0	3	16	42	0	4	2	208	295	308	602	100	279	29	11	279	75	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	21	A RAW	Augusta GreenJackets	—	147	122	33	5	0	5	24	30	0	4	2	270	390	434	825	164	318	20	16	370	75	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	22	A+ MLE	4 teams	—	680	590	147	28	0	18	73	205	7	6	1	249	339	388	727	139	342	30	11	321	103	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	22	A+ RAW	4 teams	—	680	550	160	33	1	18	113	158	7	6	1	291	418	453	871	162	370	23	17	387	103	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	23	AAA MLE	Toledo Mud Hens	—	611	518	122	18	1	19	79	183	10	5	1	236	348	384	732	149	322	30	13	326	107	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	23	AAA RAW	Toledo Mud Hens	—	611	487	135	25	1	23	110	152	10	5	1	277	420	474	894	197	354	25	18	399	107	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	24	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	466	400	85	21	1	15	54	162	7	4	4	212	317	383	699	170	307	35	12	310	96	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	24	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	466	388	89	23	1	15	66	151	7	4	4	229	351	410	761	180	326	32	14	341	96	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	25	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	456	381	107	25	0	9	61	107	9	6	1	281	392	417	810	136	363	23	13	360	130	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	25	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	456	365	107	26	0	10	77	99	9	6	1	293	428	447	875	153	372	22	17	392	130	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	26	AAA MLE	3 teams	—	309	262	46	9	0	10	37	85	6	9	5	176	292	324	616	149	211	28	12	273	71	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	26	AAA RAW	3 teams	—	309	245	50	10	0	12	54	70	6	9	5	204	361	392	752	188	228	23	17	341	71	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	21	A MLE	Augusta GreenJackets	—	147	130	27	4	0	3	16	42	0	4	2	208	295	308	602	100	277	29	11	279	75	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	22	A+ MLE	4 teams	—	680	595	147	28	0	18	73	205	7	6	1	247	339	385	724	138	330	30	11	321	103	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	23	AAA MLE	Toledo Mud Hens	—	611	517	122	18	1	19	79	183	10	5	1	236	348	385	733	149	320	30	13	326	107	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	24	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	466	402	85	21	1	15	54	162	7	4	4	211	317	381	697	169	299	35	12	310	96	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	25	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	456	383	107	25	0	9	61	107	9	6	1	279	392	415	808	136	357	23	13	360	130	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	26	AAA MLE	3 teams	—	309	263	46	9	0	10	37	85	6	9	5	175	292	323	615	148	203	28	12	273	71	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	24	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	466	402	85	21	1	15	54	162	7	4	4	211	317	381	697	169	299	35	12	310	96	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	25	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	456	383	107	25	0	9	61	107	9	6	1	279	392	415	808	136	357	23	13	360	130	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	26	AAA MLE	3 teams	—	309	263	46	9	0	10	37	85	6	9	5	175	292	323	615	148	203	28	12	273	71	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	27	MLB MLE	TB	10%	359	308	67	14	1	10	42	93	6	6	2	220	324	371	695	151	277	26	12	314	99	-0	+0	+0	-4	+8	0.6
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
2027	27	MLB CTX	TB	10%	35	30	6	1	0	1	4	9	1	1	0	221	325	368	694	147	279	26	11	314	99	-0	+0	+0	-0	+1	0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	28	MLB MLE	TB	38%	378	325	71	15	1	11	44	99	6	5	2	218	322	365	688	148	275	26	12	311	97	-1	+0	-1	-4	+8	0.2
2029	29	MLB MLE	TB	49%	379	326	70	15	1	10	44	100	6	3	1	215	319	358	677	143	273	26	12	307	94	-3	+0	-1	-4	+8	0.0
2030	30	MLB MLE	TB	55%	380	327	69	15	0	10	44	102	6	2	1	211	315	349	664	138	270	27	12	302	91	-4	+0	-2	-4	+8	-0.2
2028	28	MLB CTX	TB	38%	142	122	27	6	0	4	17	37	2	2	1	219	323	363	686	144	278	26	12	311	97	-1	+0	-0	-2	+3	0.1
2029	29	MLB CTX	TB	49%	185	159	34	7	0	5	21	49	3	2	1	216	320	356	676	140	276	26	11	307	94	-1	+0	-1	-2	+4	0.0
2030	30	MLB CTX	TB	55%	210	181	38	8	0	5	24	56	3	1	1	212	316	347	663	135	273	27	11	302	91	-2	-0	-1	-2	+5	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	894	768	163	34	1	23	105	259	12	6	4	212	316	349	665	137	284	29	12	304	100	-9	-0	-6	-16	+19	-1.2
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	558	119	25	1	17	76	188	9	4	3	213	317	353	670	140	285	29	12	304	100	-6	-0	-4	-11	+14	-0.8
Career	—	MLE		—	4156	3559	810	164	5	115	493	1176	63	50	20	228	332	373	705	146	302	28	12	315	100	-13	+1	-8	-26	+40	-0.6
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	557	127	26	1	18	77	184	10	8	3	228	333	375	708	147	302	28	12	315	100	-5	+0	-3	-9	+14	-0.2

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Daniel Vogelbachlast yr '24 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,913 PA	2.9	1,913	81	0	220	342	411	-29	-16	4.4	4.4
/162	664	28	0	-10.2	-5.6	1.5	pk7: 4
#2Ricky Ledee'98-'07 * career totals — 9 seasons, 2,307 PA	3.5	2,307	63	29	233*	311*	398*	-19	-6	2.4	3.1
/162	664	18	8	-5.5	-1.8	0.7	pk7: 4
#3Norm Miller'65-'74 * career totals — 6 seasons, 1,561 PA	2.4	1,561	24	16	238*	325*	391*	-14	-3	2.4	2.7
/162	664	10	7	-6.1	-1.3	1.0	pk7: 3
#4Dave Nicholson'60-'67 * career totals — 6 seasons, 1,661 PA	2.5	1,661	61	6	213*	321*	402*	-16	-6	2.5	2.5
/162	664	24	2	-6.6	-2.4	1.0	pk7: 2
#5Connor Joelast yr '25 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,646 PA	2.5	1,646	35	13	241	335	387	-21	-16	1.9	1.9
/162	664	14	5	-8.3	-6.6	0.7	pk7: 2
#6John Mayberry Jr.last yr '15 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,506 PA	2.3	1,506	54	15	234	298	417	-6	-18	1.7	1.7
/162	664	24	7	-2.8	-8.1	0.8	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 4 projected seasons	1.4	928	24	6	213	314	354	-10	-9	0.6	0.6
/162	664	17	4	-7.1	-6.6	0.4	pk7: 1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Justyn-Henry Malloy (OGILVIE)	27	30	50	45	60	218/322/367	150	277	10	6	26%	12%	99	+0.7	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Drew Ellis 2023 · MLB	27	39→38	51→55	46→40	49	202/292/372	169	266	17	6	30%	10%	88	+0.4	195/282/347	152	248	18	6	28%	10%	79	-0.2	169/263/310	141	204	20	3	28%	10%	61	-0.6
✕Nick Podkul 2024 · AAA	27	43	51→50	49→50	49	219/310/379	160	281	19	6	28%	9%	97	+1.1	208/293/334	126	310	14	5	35%	9%	80	-0.2	192/282/316	124	291	15	2	36%	10%	68	-0.5
✕Stuart Fairchild 2023 · MLB	27	45→43	51→50	50→55	43	227/304/392	165	304	19	13	30%	7%	97	+1.1	225/304/372	147	296	15	20	28%	8%	92	+0.7	219/311/363	143	283	14	27	26%	9%	92	+0.4
✕Zack Short 2022 · MLB	27	36→39	49→50	47→45	50	191/290/335	145	253	18	7	31%	11%	80	-0.2	191/285/310	119	267	12	10	30%	11%	72	-0.7	178/278/282	104	251	10	11	31%	12%	62	-0.9
✕Davis Wendzel 2024 · AAA	27	35→32	51→50	41→40	46	192/275/342	150	242	20	4	30%	9%	76	-0.4	203/279/339	136	246	16	6	24%	8%	76	-0.4	194/271/323	128	229	14	4	22%	7%	67	-0.6
✕Devin Mann 2024 · AAA	27	45	50	45	48	223/305/381	158	297	16	5	29%	9%	95	+0.9	212/290/332	120	283	12	6	28%	8%	78	-0.3	193/274/289	96	254	10	4	27%	8%	60	-0.9
✕Clint Frazier 2022 · MLB	27	45→49	51→55	48→50	53	227/321/393	167	293	19	7	28%	11%	103	+1.6	196/285/311	115	294	12	11	34%	10%	72	-0.7	174/262/271	97	269	10	12	36%	9%	52	-1.2
✕Jabari Blash 2017 · MLB	28	39→41	55→60	46→50	46	207/302/394	187	288	24	7	35%	10%	97	+1.1	215/316/411	196	319	25	8	37%	11%	106	+1.8	205/313/411	206	301	27	7	38%	12%	102	+1.1
✕Peyton Burdick 2023 · MLB	26	37→34	50	51→50	45	191/282/348	157	275	18	12	35%	10%	79	-0.2	183/265/327	144	301	17	12	42%	8%	68	-1.0	158/244/297	139	268	18	12	45%	8%	51	-1.4
✕Johan Mieses 2022 · AAA	27	37→33	53→55	48→50	42	205/272/373	168	253	23	7	29%	7%	81	-0.1	224/300/395	171	301	21	11	31%	8%	97	+1.1	213/306/399	185	288	23	11	32%	10%	96	+0.4
✕Jon Knott 2006 · MLB	27	40	52→55	49→40	45	210/277/378	168	252	19	4	25%	7%	84	+0.1	218/283/399	181	262	22	4	26%	7%	91	+0.6	212/279/393	181	253	22	3	26%	8%	85	+0.2
✕Chase Pinder 2023 · AAA	27	44	49→45	43→45	55	225/318/375	150	274	16	9	24%	11%	98	+1.2	228/320/353	125	304	12	11	26%	11%	94	+0.9	220/323/339	119	304	11	14	28%	12%	88	+0.2
✕Cam Devanney 2024 · AAA	27	43→42	48→50	43→45	45	219/284/368	149	274	15	7	26%	7%	84	+0.1	216/277/360	144	293	16	8	30%	6%	79	-0.2	205/266/344	140	282	16	7	32%	6%	69	-0.8
✕Curt Casali 2016 · MLB	27	44	50	47→30	49	226/306/380	154	283	18	4	26%	9%	95	+0.9	220/292/348	128	278	15	3	25%	8%	82	+0.0	238/310/384	146	297	17	0	25%	8%	97	+0.4
✕Nick Maton 2024 · MLB	27	43→42	46→50	44→45	52	212/305/349	136	274	13	6	26%	11%	87	+0.4	216/304/361	145	275	17	5	26%	10%	90	+0.6	201/293/344	143	250	19	1	27%	10%	80	-0.0
✕David Villar 2024 · MLB	27	42→44	56→60	46→40	47	223/308/415	192	286	25	5	30%	9%	104	+1.6	219/296/353	134	293	15	5	29%	9%	84	+0.2	211/289/324	113	284	13	2	29%	9%	74	-0.4
✕Weston Wilson 2022 · AAA	27	41→42	54→55	51→55	46	222/286/397	175	270	23	14	27%	8%	91	+0.7	208/273/352	144	285	18	22	32%	8%	76	-0.4	204/282/368	164	260	22	25	30%	9%	82	-0.0
✕Alex Call 2023 · MLB	28	46→47	49→50	49→50	54	234/323/386	152	268	17	14	19%	10%	103	+1.5	225/321/357	132	265	13	15	19%	11%	95	+1.0	235/338/356	121	285	11	12	20%	12%	102	+0.8
✕Donnie Murphy 2010 · MLB	27	44→40	53→65	49→45	41	226/286/400	174	306	20	9	32%	7%	92	+0.7	226/284/418	192	273	23	5	26%	6%	95	+1.0	218/278/427	210	255	25	2	26%	6%	93	+0.3
✕Chad Hermansen 2005 · MLB	27	45→42	49→55	47→50	46	227/294/379	152	299	17	12	29%	8%	90	+0.6	222/295/361	139	353	14	10	38%	9%	86	+0.3	205/260/306	101	296	11	13	33%	6%	57	-1.3

Justyn-Henry Malloy

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps