Brayden Martin — OGILVIE

Brayden Martin3B Dunedin Blue Jays

Age 21 L/R A Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 78 proj PA

wRC+†79

AVG/OBP/SLG.219 / .316 / .292

PA78

HR1

K%27

BB%11

ISO74

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$2M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 70 / POW 20

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT70

scouting grade only

POWER20

scouting grade only

EYE45

scouting grade only

SPEED60

scouting grade only

DEFENSE40

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.2	$0.5M	+$0.0M
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.2	$0.5M	+$0.0M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.1	$0.2M	+$0.0M (cut)
2035	Arb-1	$0.4M	—	—	—
2036	Arb-2	$5M	—	—	—
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$2M		$0.9M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2026	20	A	Dunedin Blue Jays	—	64	45	10	0	0	0	18	12	1	4	1	222	453	222	675		303	19	28	349	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2026	20	A MLE	Dunedin Blue Jays	—	64	50	10	0	0	0	13	16	1	4	1	200	375	200	575		283	25	20	278	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	A MLE	Dunedin Blue Jays	—	64	50	10	0	0	0	13	16	1	4	1	200	375	200	575		294	25	20	278	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	A RAW	Dunedin Blue Jays	—	64	45	10	0	0	0	18	12	1	4	1	222	453	222	675		303	19	28	349	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	A MLE	Dunedin Blue Jays	—	64	50	10	0	0	0	13	16	1	4	1	200	375	200	575		283	25	20	278	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2026	20	A MLE	Dunedin Blue Jays	—	64	50	10	0	0	0	13	16	1	4	1	200	375	200	575		283	25	20	278	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	21	MLB MLE	TOR	0%	174	150	34	4	1	2	20	47	2	4	1	221	318	295	613	74	304	27	11	285	79	-4	+0	-2	+1	+4	0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	22	MLB MLE	TOR	34%	183	158	35	4	1	2	21	49	2	4	1	224	320	304	624	81	305	27	11	289	82	-4	+0	-1	+1	+4	-0.0
2029	23	MLB MLE	TOR	48%	300	260	59	7	2	4	34	79	3	7	1	226	321	312	634	86	305	26	11	292	84	-6	+1	-2	+1	+6	0.1
2030	24	MLB MLE	TOR	53%	383	334	77	10	2	6	42	100	4	9	2	228	322	319	641	91	305	26	11	295	86	-6	+1	-2	+1	+8	0.2
2031	25	MLB MLE	TOR	55%	431	377	87	12	2	7	47	111	4	11	2	229	322	325	647	96	304	26	11	297	87	-7	+1	-2	+2	+9	0.3
2032	26	MLB MLE	TOR	56%	461	403	93	13	2	8	50	118	5	11	2	230	322	329	651	99	303	26	11	298	88	-7	+1	-3	+2	+10	0.4
2033	27	MLB MLE	TOR	55%	474	415	95	13	2	8	51	122	5	11	2	229	321	326	647	97	303	26	11	297	87	-7	+1	-3	+2	+10	0.3
2034	28	MLB MLE	TOR	55%	477	417	94	13	2	7	52	124	5	11	2	227	319	321	640	94	302	26	11	294	85	-9	+1	-3	+2	+10	0.2
2035	29	MLB MLE	TOR	53%	473	415	92	12	2	7	51	125	4	10	2	224	316	315	631	90	300	26	11	290	82	-10	+1	-4	+2	+10	-0.1
2036	30	MLB MLE	TOR	53%	466	409	90	12	2	6	50	124	4	10	2	221	313	306	619	85	299	27	11	285	79	-12	+1	-5	+2	+10	-0.3
2028	22	MLB CTX	TOR	34%	63	55	12	1	0	1	7	17	1	2	0	225	321	306	626	81	306	27	11	290	82	-1	+0	-0	+0	+1	0.0
2029	23	MLB CTX	TOR	48%	145	127	29	4	1	2	16	38	1	4	1	227	322	314	636	87	306	26	11	293	84	-3	+0	-1	+1	+3	0.0
2030	24	MLB CTX	TOR	53%	202	176	40	5	1	3	22	53	2	5	1	229	323	321	644	92	306	26	11	296	86	-3	+1	-1	+1	+4	0.1
2031	25	MLB CTX	TOR	55%	236	206	47	6	1	4	26	61	2	6	1	230	323	326	649	96	306	26	11	298	87	-4	+1	-1	+1	+5	0.2
2032	26	MLB CTX	TOR	56%	257	224	51	7	1	4	28	66	3	6	1	231	323	330	653	100	305	26	11	299	88	-4	+1	-1	+1	+6	0.2
2033	27	MLB CTX	TOR	55%	261	228	52	7	1	4	28	67	3	6	1	230	322	328	649	98	304	26	11	297	87	-4	+1	-1	+1	+6	0.2
2034	28	MLB CTX	TOR	55%	261	228	52	7	1	4	28	68	3	6	1	228	320	323	642	95	303	26	11	295	85	-5	+1	-2	+1	+6	0.1
2035	29	MLB CTX	TOR	53%	252	221	50	7	1	4	27	66	2	5	1	225	317	316	633	90	302	26	11	291	82	-5	+1	-2	+1	+5	-0.0
2036	30	MLB CTX	TOR	53%	245	215	47	6	1	3	26	65	2	5	1	222	313	307	621	85	300	27	11	286	79	-6	+1	-3	+1	+5	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	1922	1680	380	50	8	29	208	501	19	45	8	226	318	317	636	91	303	26	11	294	84	-35	+6	-13	+7	+42	0.6
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	568	129	17	3	10	70	169	6	15	3	227	318	320	638	93	304	26	11	294	84	-12	+2	-5	+2	+14	0.2
Career	—	MLE		—	3790	3306	747	98	17	56	420	989	38	90	17	226	320	317	637	91	303	26	11	293	84	-69	+11	-26	+13	+81	1.0
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	567	129	17	3	10	72	170	7	15	3	228	322	321	643	93	305	26	11	293	84	-12	+2	-5	+2	+14	0.2

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Jace Petersonlast yr '23 career totals — 10 seasons, 2,753 PA	4.1	2,753	42	77	228	318	337	+4	+5	5.3	6.0
/162	664	10	19	+1.0	+1.3	1.3	pk7: 7
#2Tony Kemplast yr '23 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,198 PA	3.3	2,198	35	52	238	326	354	-4	-3	4.3	4.3
/162	664	11	16	-1.3	-0.8	1.3	pk7: 4
#3Daniel Descalsolast yr '19 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,856 PA	4.3	2,856	48	25	235	320	363	+16	-36	3.5	4.0
/162	664	11	6	+3.8	-8.3	0.8	pk7: 4
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 6 projected seasons	3.0	1,999	29	46	228	317	320	+7	-24	3.2	3.1
/162	664	10	15	+2.4	-8.0	1.1	pk7: 3
#4Alexi Casillalast yr '13 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,883 PA	2.8	1,883	12	80	248	302	332	+8	+3	2.7	2.7
/162	664	4	28	+2.8	+0.9	1.0	pk7: 3
#5Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	2.5	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
/162	664	16	13	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1
#6Dylan Carlsonlast yr '25 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,987 PA	3.0	1,987	43	16	233	312	372	-9	-22	0.8	0.8
/162	664	14	5	-3.0	-7.4	0.3	pk7: 1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Brayden Martin (OGILVIE)	21	35→70	20	60	45	219/316/292	73	304	1	2	27%	11%	79	-0.0	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
●Brett Bateman 2024 · A	22	51→61	37→30	54→55	55	238/324/309	70	307	4	18	22%	11%	84	+0.2	252/333/313	61	337	3	21	23%	11%	88	+0.5	267/352/328	61	355	3	23	23%	11%	96	+0.8
✕Chandler Simpson 2023 · A	22	48→58	38→30	56→70	48	226/293/312	85	299	4	17	24%	8%	73	-0.6	267/311/317	50	307	1	59	12%	6%	80	-0.2	302/334/348	46	335	0	63	9%	5%	94	+0.8
✕Nick Morabito 2024 · A	21	48→58	37→40	55→65	44	217/297/293	76	324	4	18	32%	8%	71	-0.8	250/316/335	85	345	6	36	27%	7%	87	+0.4	255/322/343	88	346	7	42	26%	7%	88	+0.4
✕Hoy Park 2017 · A	21	41→51	39→45	59→55	46	195/272/287	91	280	4	17	30%	9%	60	-1.6	220/296/307	87	294	6	17	25%	9%	74	-0.6	234/324/332	98	306	8	17	24%	11%	88	+0.3
✕Danny Woodrow 2017 · A	22	49→59	37→30	53→55	45	226/289/308	82	313	3	11	27%	8%	71	-0.8	242/293/301	59	325	2	19	24%	6%	70	-0.9	254/301/314	60	340	2	23	25%	6%	73	-0.3
✕Brandon Roberts 2006 · A	21	49→59	39→40	57→55	43	235/284/320	85	293	6	21	22%	5%	72	-0.7	255/301/321	66	316	4	22	19%	5%	78	-0.3	277/332/344	68	330	4	22	16%	5%	92	+0.4
✕Raynel Delgado 2021 · A	21	47→56	37→40	50→60	42	220/272/295	75	312	4	9	30%	7%	61	-1.5	203/267/292	89	295	7	14	31%	7%	59	-1.6	246/311/338	92	338	7	32	27%	8%	82	+0.0
✕Brent Keys 2012 · A	22	46→56	35→30	51→50	48	215/287/274	58	284	3	14	24%	8%	63	-1.4	272/328/340	68	307	3	12	12%	7%	92	+0.7	282/343/338	56	313	2	12	10%	8%	94	+0.6
✕Davis Bradshaw 2019 · A	21	52	37→40	59→50	45	244/299/321	78	309	3	20	21%	6%	77	-0.3	225/271/288	63	293	2	11	23%	4%	59	-1.7	271/323/338	67	341	3	10	20%	5%	87	+0.2
✕Hernan Iribarren 2006 · A	22	53→63	38→40	54→55	43	249/298/329	80	326	5	20	24%	6%	78	-0.3	267/311/346	79	344	3	17	22%	6%	86	+0.3	276/319/352	76	352	2	18	21%	6%	88	+0.4
●Michael Reed 2014 · A	21	51→61	36→45	56→55	45	229/294/309	80	338	2	15	31%	8%	72	-0.7	225/309/325	100	322	5	21	28%	10%	82	+0.0	220/309/321	102	329	11	16	33%	10%	80	-0.1
✕Carlos Mendoza 2022 · A	22	52→56	37→40	55	58	239/338/313	74	288	3	18	17%	11%	91	+0.7	238/338/308	70	305	3	14	20%	11%	91	+0.6	246/335/334	88	300	7	18	19%	10%	93	+0.6
✕Nacho Alvarez Jr. 2024 · A	21	51→54	40	50	50	241/318/332	91	306	7	13	22%	9%	88	+0.4	240/315/330	90	307	8	14	22%	8%	86	+0.3	238/317/323	85	303	7	15	22%	8%	83	+0.1
✕Charlie Tilson 2014 · A	21	54→60	38→40	52→55	42	257/293/338	80	317	6	11	21%	5%	78	-0.3	259/298/348	89	324	6	18	21%	5%	82	+0.0	266/308/358	92	328	5	22	20%	5%	85	+0.2
✕Victor Scott II 2023 · A	22	44→54	43→40	58→65	50	212/292/336	124	282	9	19	27%	10%	79	-0.2	228/288/323	95	287	7	44	22%	6%	74	-0.5	222/287/310	87	280	7	49	22%	7%	70	-0.8
✕Hak-Ju Lee 2011 · A	20	54→59	36→40	54→55	45	251/301/319	68	321	2	17	22%	6%	77	-0.3	254/308/346	92	329	4	24	22%	7%	86	+0.3	240/297/328	88	314	4	25	23%	7%	74	-0.4
✕Osleivis Basabe 2022 · A	21	52→62	38→45	56→50	45	246/290/332	86	302	5	15	20%	6%	76	-0.4	264/309/368	104	320	5	15	18%	5%	91	+0.7	268/314/373	105	323	5	15	18%	5%	91	+0.5
✕Enmanuel Terrero 2024 · A	21	49	41→45	51→55	48	228/305/328	100	320	8	16	29%	10%	82	-0.0	198/259/296	98	322	10	15	39%	7%	57	-1.8	148/206/227	79	248	11	17	43%	6%	20	-1.2
✕Nick Shaw 2011 · A	22	50→56	36→40	57→45	50	227/307/308	81	305	2	13	24%	9%	78	-0.3	220/294/288	68	283	2	7	21%	9%	68	-1.0	220/297/266	46	289	0	7	21%	9%	63	-0.7
✕Diego Velasquez 2024 · A	20	49→59	40	50	46	234/299/328	94	301	7	12	24%	7%	80	-0.2	253/321/334	81	323	4	15	21%	8%	88	+0.5	262/334/335	73	332	3	18	20%	8%	91	+0.6

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps