Nick Shaw
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 25 | AAHuntsville St… | 441 | .270/.388/.326 | 0 | 6 | 86 | — | .264/.351/.320 |
| 2015 | 26 | AAMIL | 308 | .195/.322/.231 | 0 | 6 | 34 | — | .176/.262/.210 |
| 2016 | 27 | AAMIL | 132 | .250/.320/.302 | 0 | 2 | 51 | — | .231/.273/.281 |
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2010 | 21 | ROK | Helena Brewers | — | 226 | 182 | 60 | 14 | 5 | 0 | 38 | 36 | 5 | 14 | 1 | 330 | 458 | 462 | 919 | 132 | 411 | 16 | 17 | 413 | 82 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 22 | A | Wisconsin Timber Rattlers | — | 566 | 465 | 121 | 16 | 6 | 2 | 82 | 82 | 4 | 8 | 7 | 260 | 376 | 333 | 709 | 73 | 310 | 14 | 14 | 322 | 66 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 23 | A+ | Brevard County Manatees | — | 542 | 448 | 112 | 24 | 3 | 3 | 69 | 90 | 7 | 9 | 7 | 250 | 359 | 337 | 696 | 87 | 305 | 17 | 13 | 313 | 64 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 24 | AA | Huntsville Stars | — | 530 | 450 | 114 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 63 | 71 | 2 | 8 | 4 | 253 | 348 | 298 | 645 | 44 | 292 | 13 | 12 | 295 | 54 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 25 | AA | Huntsville Stars | — | 441 | 356 | 96 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 64 | 71 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 270 | 388 | 326 | 714 | 56 | 331 | 16 | 15 | 323 | 86 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 26 | AA | Biloxi Shuckers | — | 308 | 251 | 49 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 45 | 55 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 195 | 322 | 231 | 553 | 36 | 245 | 18 | 15 | 261 | 34 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 27 | AA | Biloxi Shuckers | — | 132 | 116 | 29 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 28 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 250 | 320 | 302 | 622 | 52 | 322 | 21 | 8 | 279 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2010 | 21 | ROK MLE | Helena Brewers | — | 226 | 197 | 47 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 23 | 52 | 5 | 14 | 1 | 239 | 333 | 330 | 663 | 91 | 315 | 23 | 10 | 289 | 82 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 22 | A MLE | Wisconsin Timber Rattlers | — | 566 | 493 | 113 | 14 | 6 | 1 | 54 | 111 | 4 | 8 | 7 | 229 | 310 | 288 | 598 | 59 | 280 | 20 | 10 | 266 | 66 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 23 | A+ MLE | Brevard County Manatees | — | 542 | 469 | 103 | 24 | 3 | 3 | 48 | 128 | 7 | 9 | 7 | 220 | 302 | 303 | 604 | 83 | 277 | 24 | 9 | 263 | 64 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 24 | AA MLE | Huntsville Stars | — | 530 | 472 | 106 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 41 | 89 | 2 | 8 | 4 | 225 | 289 | 265 | 554 | 40 | 259 | 17 | 8 | 248 | 54 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 25 | AA MLE | Huntsville Stars | — | 441 | 375 | 99 | 15 | 3 | 0 | 45 | 85 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 264 | 351 | 320 | 671 | 56 | 319 | 19 | 10 | 296 | 86 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 26 | AA MLE | Biloxi Shuckers | — | 308 | 267 | 47 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 29 | 69 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 176 | 262 | 210 | 471 | 34 | 224 | 22 | 9 | 219 | 34 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 27 | AA MLE | Biloxi Shuckers | — | 132 | 121 | 28 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 34 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 231 | 273 | 281 | 554 | 50 | 303 | 26 | 5 | 244 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 21 | ROK MLE | Helena Brewers | — | 226 | 197 | 47 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 23 | 52 | 5 | 14 | 1 | 239 | 333 | 330 | 663 | 91 | 324 | 23 | 10 | 289 | 82 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 21 | ROK RAW | Helena Brewers | — | 226 | 182 | 60 | 14 | 5 | 0 | 38 | 36 | 5 | 14 | 1 | 330 | 458 | 462 | 919 | 132 | 411 | 16 | 17 | 413 | 82 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 22 | A MLE | Wisconsin Timber Rattlers | — | 566 | 493 | 113 | 14 | 6 | 1 | 54 | 111 | 4 | 8 | 7 | 229 | 310 | 288 | 598 | 59 | 292 | 20 | 10 | 266 | 66 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 22 | A RAW | Wisconsin Timber Rattlers | — | 566 | 465 | 121 | 16 | 6 | 2 | 82 | 82 | 4 | 8 | 7 | 260 | 376 | 333 | 709 | 73 | 310 | 14 | 14 | 322 | 66 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 23 | A+ MLE | Brevard County Manatees | — | 542 | 469 | 103 | 24 | 3 | 3 | 48 | 128 | 7 | 9 | 7 | 220 | 302 | 303 | 604 | 83 | 294 | 24 | 9 | 263 | 64 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 23 | A+ RAW | Brevard County Manatees | — | 542 | 448 | 112 | 24 | 3 | 3 | 69 | 90 | 7 | 9 | 7 | 250 | 359 | 337 | 696 | 87 | 305 | 17 | 13 | 313 | 64 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 24 | AA MLE | Huntsville Stars | — | 530 | 472 | 106 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 41 | 89 | 2 | 8 | 4 | 225 | 289 | 265 | 554 | 40 | 269 | 17 | 8 | 248 | 54 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 24 | AA RAW | Huntsville Stars | — | 530 | 450 | 114 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 63 | 71 | 2 | 8 | 4 | 253 | 348 | 298 | 645 | 44 | 292 | 13 | 12 | 295 | 54 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 25 | AA MLE | Huntsville Stars | — | 441 | 375 | 99 | 15 | 3 | 0 | 45 | 85 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 264 | 351 | 320 | 671 | 56 | 336 | 19 | 10 | 296 | 86 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 25 | AA RAW | Huntsville Stars | — | 441 | 356 | 96 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 64 | 71 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 270 | 388 | 326 | 714 | 56 | 331 | 16 | 15 | 323 | 86 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 26 | AA MLE | Biloxi Shuckers | — | 308 | 267 | 47 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 29 | 69 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 176 | 262 | 210 | 471 | 34 | 233 | 22 | 9 | 219 | 34 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 26 | AA RAW | Biloxi Shuckers | — | 308 | 251 | 49 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 45 | 55 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 195 | 322 | 231 | 553 | 36 | 245 | 18 | 15 | 261 | 34 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 27 | AA MLE | Biloxi Shuckers | — | 132 | 121 | 28 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 34 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 231 | 273 | 281 | 554 | 50 | 315 | 26 | 5 | 244 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 27 | AA RAW | Biloxi Shuckers | — | 132 | 116 | 29 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 28 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 250 | 320 | 302 | 622 | 52 | 322 | 21 | 8 | 279 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 21 | ROK MLE | Helena Brewers | — | 226 | 196 | 47 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 23 | 52 | 5 | 14 | 1 | 240 | 333 | 332 | 665 | 92 | 315 | 23 | 10 | 289 | 82 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 22 | A MLE | Wisconsin Timber Rattlers | — | 566 | 503 | 113 | 14 | 6 | 1 | 54 | 111 | 4 | 8 | 7 | 225 | 310 | 282 | 593 | 58 | 280 | 20 | 10 | 266 | 66 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 23 | A+ MLE | Brevard County Manatees | — | 542 | 482 | 103 | 24 | 3 | 3 | 48 | 128 | 7 | 9 | 7 | 214 | 302 | 295 | 596 | 81 | 277 | 24 | 9 | 263 | 64 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 24 | AA MLE | Huntsville Stars | — | 530 | 482 | 106 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 41 | 89 | 2 | 8 | 4 | 220 | 289 | 259 | 549 | 39 | 259 | 17 | 8 | 248 | 54 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 25 | AA MLE | Huntsville Stars | — | 441 | 388 | 99 | 15 | 3 | 0 | 45 | 85 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 255 | 351 | 309 | 660 | 54 | 319 | 19 | 10 | 296 | 86 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 26 | AA MLE | Biloxi Shuckers | — | 308 | 274 | 47 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 29 | 69 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 172 | 262 | 204 | 466 | 33 | 224 | 22 | 9 | 219 | 34 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 27 | AA MLE | Biloxi Shuckers | — | 132 | 124 | 28 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 34 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 226 | 273 | 274 | 548 | 48 | 303 | 26 | 5 | 244 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | MLE | — | 2745 | 2394 | 543 | 79 | 22 | 6 | 246 | 568 | 26 | 53 | 30 | 227 | 306 | 286 | 591 | 59 | 292 | 21 | 9 | 262 | 64 | -119 | -1 | +0 | +10 | +59 | -5.2 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 567 | 128 | 19 | 5 | 1 | 58 | 134 | 6 | 13 | 7 | 226 | 304 | 282 | 586 | 56 | 291 | 21 | 9 | 262 | 64 | -28 | -0 | +0 | +2 | +14 | -1.2 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2016 AABiloxi Shuckers · 132 PAwOBA .277 → .244 (−32)K% 21.2% → 25.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 21.21% | ÷0.999 | ×1.220 | — | — | 25.91% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.33% | ÷1.152 | ×0.680 | — | ×0.968 | 4.76% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.76% | — | ×0.840 | — | ×0.968 | 0.62% |
| Singles /BIP | 27.27% | ÷0.973 | ×0.920 | ×1.026 | ×0.968 | 25.62% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.55% | ÷0.955 | ×0.910 | ×1.026 | ×0.968 | 4.30% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.14% | ÷0.922 | ×0.880 | ×1.026 | ×0.968 | 1.08% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.243 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.968 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 149, 1B 95, 2B 91, 3B 84, K 100, BB 130 — applied at half strength. Age: age 28 vs a level average of 24.8 → −3.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.026.
Result: wOBA .277 → .244; ISO .052 → .050; BABIP .322 → .303. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2015 AABiloxi Shuckers · 308 PAwOBA .259 → .219 (−40)K% 17.9% → 22.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 17.86% | ÷0.973 | ×1.220 | — | — | 22.39% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 14.61% | ÷1.018 | ×0.680 | — | ×0.978 | 9.55% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.65% | — | ×0.840 | — | ×0.978 | 0.53% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.94% | ÷1.030 | ×0.920 | ×1.034 | ×0.978 | 19.81% |
| Doubles /BIP | 1.53% | ÷0.943 | ×0.910 | ×1.034 | ×0.978 | 1.49% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.53% | ÷0.900 | ×0.880 | ×1.034 | ×0.978 | 1.51% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.084 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.978 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 117, 1B 106, 2B 89, 3B 80, K 95, BB 104 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 24.8 → −2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.034.
Result: wOBA .259 → .219; ISO .036 → .037; BABIP .245 → .224. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2014 AAHuntsville Stars · 441 PAwOBA .319 → .296 (−23)K% 16.1% → 19.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 16.10% | ÷1.015 | ×1.220 | — | — | 19.34% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 14.29% | ÷0.945 | ×0.680 | — | ×0.988 | 10.16% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.13% | — | ×0.840 | — | ×0.988 | 0.94% |
| Singles /BIP | 27.72% | ÷0.974 | ×0.920 | ×1.026 | ×0.988 | 26.56% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.91% | ÷0.950 | ×0.910 | ×1.026 | ×0.988 | 4.77% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.05% | ÷0.900 | ×0.880 | ×1.026 | ×0.988 | 1.04% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.047 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.988 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 109, 1B 95, 2B 90, 3B 80, K 103, BB 89 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 24.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.026.
Result: wOBA .319 → .296; ISO .056 → .059; BABIP .331 → .319. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2013 AAHuntsville Stars · 530 PAwOBA .289 → .248 (−40)K% 13.4% → 16.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 13.40% | ÷0.977 | ×1.220 | — | — | 16.73% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.32% | ÷1.001 | ×0.680 | — | ×0.998 | 7.67% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.38% | — | ×0.840 | — | ×0.998 | 0.32% |
| Singles /BIP | 26.39% | ÷1.029 | ×0.920 | ×0.992 | ×0.998 | 23.36% |
| Doubles /BIP | 2.64% | ÷1.007 | ×0.910 | ×0.992 | ×0.998 | 2.36% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.53% | ÷0.900 | ×0.880 | ×0.992 | ×0.998 | 0.51% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.53% | ÷1.040 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.998 | 0.41% |
Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 108, 1B 106, 2B 101, 3B 80, K 95, BB 100 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 24.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.992.
Result: wOBA .289 → .248; ISO .044 → .041; BABIP .292 → .259. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2012 A+Brevard County Manatees · 542 PAwOBA .306 → .263 (−44)K% 16.6% → 23.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 16.61% | ÷0.999 | ×1.420 | — | — | 23.60% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 12.73% | ÷1.061 | ×0.750 | — | ×0.988 | 8.89% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.29% | — | ×0.930 | — | ×0.988 | 1.19% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.91% | ÷1.032 | ×0.920 | ×1.005 | ×0.988 | 20.28% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.70% | ÷0.969 | ×0.960 | ×1.005 | ×0.988 | 6.60% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.84% | ÷0.900 | ×0.810 | ×1.005 | ×0.988 | 0.75% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.84% | ÷0.863 | ×0.880 | — | ×0.988 | 0.84% |
Factors used: league row FSL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 73, 1B 106, 2B 94, 3B 80, K 100, BB 112 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 22.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.005.
Result: wOBA .306 → .263; ISO .087 → .085; BABIP .305 → .277. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2011 AWisconsin Timber Rattlers · 566 PAwOBA .316 → .266 (−50)K% 14.5% → 19.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 14.49% | ÷1.007 | ×1.360 | — | — | 19.57% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 14.49% | ÷1.045 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.990 | 9.47% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.71% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×0.990 | 0.55% |
| Singles /BIP | 25.33% | ÷1.026 | ×0.920 | ×1.022 | ×0.990 | 22.98% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.18% | ÷0.993 | ×0.830 | ×1.022 | ×0.990 | 3.53% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.57% | ÷0.927 | ×0.910 | ×1.022 | ×0.990 | 1.56% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.52% | ÷1.136 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.990 | 0.36% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 127, 1B 105, 2B 99, 3B 85, K 101, BB 109 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.0 → −1.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.022.
Result: wOBA .316 → .266; ISO .073 → .066; BABIP .310 → .280. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2010 ROKHelena Brewers · 226 PAwOBA .403 → .289 (−115)K% 15.9% → 22.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 15.93% | ÷1.000 | ×1.440 | — | — | 22.94% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 16.81% | ÷1.000 | ×0.610 | — | ×0.975 | 10.00% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.21% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×0.975 | 1.55% |
| Singles /BIP | 28.08% | ÷1.000 | ×0.820 | ×0.998 | ×0.975 | 22.40% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.59% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | ×0.998 | ×0.975 | 6.72% |
| Triples /BIP | 3.42% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | ×0.998 | ×0.975 | 2.40% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.750 | — | ×0.975 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row PIO. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 19.5 → −2.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.998.
Result: wOBA .403 → .289; ISO .132 → .094; BABIP .411 → .315. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).