Luis Guevara

P DSL Athletics

Age 19 RHP ROK

Overview

ROKPROSPECT

ETA2028MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2026	18	ROKOAK	15	19	3.32	3.47	11.5%	10.3%	—	K 7.8% · BB 12.9% · FIP 4.08
2027PROJ	19	MLBOAK	10	11	4.92	4.92	19.4%	11.6%	-0.0
2028PROJ49% MLB	20	MLBOAK	10	10	4.75	4.68	20.4%	10.7%	-0.0

Next 2 projected WAR -0.1Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 100%

CompsYordin Chalas (age 19) · Blake Workman (age 20) · Jose Diaz (age 19)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 127119vR 110

ERA4.92

FIP4.92

K%19.4%

BB%11.6%

K-BB%7.8%

Proj IP11

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 11 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†4550

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL Athletics	15	0	19	87	10	9	0	0%	1.3	7.8%	12.9%	-5.1%	0.0%	3.32	4.08	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL Athletics	15	0	19	87	10	9	0	0%	1.3	7.8%	12.9%	-5.1%	0.0%	3.32	4.08	—
2026	18	ROK RAW	DSL Athletics	15	0	19	87	10	9	0	0%	1.3	11.5%	10.3%	1.1%	0.0%	3.32	3.47	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	19	MLB	OAK	10	0	11	46	9	5	1	0%	1.1	19.4%	11.6%	7.8%	2.9%	4.92	4.92	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	20	MLB MLE	OAK	19	0	20	84	17	9	2	0%	1.1	20.4%	10.7%	9.7%	2.9%	4.75	4.68	-0.0
2028	20	MLB CTX	OAK	10	0	10	42	9	4	1	0%	1.0	20.4%	10.7%	9.7%	2.9%	4.75	4.68	-0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		9	0	10	42	8	4	1	0%	1.1	20.4%	10.7%	9.8%	2.9%	4.75	4.30	+0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	163	81	20	0%	1.1	20.4%	10.7%	9.8%	2.9%	4.75	4.30	+0.6
Career	—	MLE		15	0	19	87	7	11	0	0%	1.3	7.8%	12.9%	-5.1%	0.0%	3.32	4.08	-0.0
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		158	0	200	916	72	118	0	0%	1.3	7.8%	12.9%	-5.1%	0.0%	3.32	4.08	-0.3

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Luis Guevara (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.92	19.4%	11.6%	2.9%	—	4.68	20.4%	9.8%	20	-0.24	—	—	—
Yordin Chalas R 2023 · 4.56 FIP	19	SU	4.56	17.3%	10.6%	2.9%	.294	3.92	19.9%	7.8%	116	-0.64	3.67	140	93
Blake Workman R 2018 · 4.00 FIP	20	SU	4.00	18.9%	9.5%	2.4%	.307	3.98	23.8%	19.5%	105	-0.02	3.09	213	88
Jose Diaz R 2019 · 3.97 FIP	19	SU	3.97	17.9%	10.4%	1.9%	.326	5.52	19.2%	1.1%	64	+1.55	3.91	189	87
David Matoma R 2024 · 3.81 FIP	18	SU	3.81	20.7%	12.2%	1.7%	.259	5.70	15.7%	-5.9%	79	+1.89	3.58	118	87
Austin Mason R 2015 · 4.41 FIP	21	SU	4.41	17.1%	11.6%	2.4%	.289	4.06	16.2%	6.5%	151	-0.35	3.60	179	86
Luis Alvarado R 2018 · 5.24 FIP	21	SU	5.24	20.2%	12.4%	4.2%	.276	5.16	18.7%	4.4%	140	-0.08	4.89	162	86
Troy Bacon R 2017 · 3.92 FIP	20	SU	3.92	19.9%	11.7%	1.9%	.222	4.06	19.7%	10.8%	102	+0.14	3.34	203	86
Aneudy Duarte R 2017 · 4.26 FIP	19	SU	4.26	20.4%	13.5%	2.1%	.320	4.79	17.1%	5.4%	34	+0.53	4.26	102	86
Max Gieg R 2022 · 5.10 FIP	21	SU	5.10	21.1%	11.8%	4.2%	.317	4.65	20.4%	2.3%	92	-0.45	3.98	149	86
Devon Fisher R 2016 · 4.39 FIP	20	SU	4.39	16.5%	12.5%	2.0%	.333	5.76	15.1%	0.9%	88	+1.37	4.39	102	86
José Geraldo R 2018 · 4.15 FIP	19	SU	4.15	15.3%	10.9%	1.8%	.296	4.15	18.0%	7.8%	46	-0.00	3.50	192	85
Harold Cortijo R 2017 · 4.46 FIP	18	SU	4.46	19.1%	9.8%	3.1%	.309	5.64	13.5%	2.2%	73	+1.18	4.15	179	85
Kevin Camacho R 2024 · 4.84 FIP	19	SU	4.84	15.3%	12.9%	2.5%	.271	4.71	19.2%	0.8%	68	-0.13	4.12	113	84
Mike Morrison R 2016 · 4.86 FIP	22	SU	4.86	17.3%	10.7%	3.4%	.280	4.02	19.0%	7.1%	128	-0.84	3.36	145	84
Audry Lugo R 2019 · 4.05 FIP	20	SU	4.05	18.5%	11.4%	2.0%	.247	5.30	15.6%	-0.4%	77	+1.25	4.05	113	84
José Rodríguez R 2021 · 4.85 FIP	20	SU	4.85	14.2%	11.6%	2.7%	.310	2.74	25.0%	16.4%	132	-2.11	2.55	237	84
Jeremy Beasley R 2017 · 4.71 FIP	21	SU	4.71	19.5%	11.6%	3.3%	.273	4.10	17.7%	8.7%	234	-0.61	3.17	337	83
Evan Phillips R 2015 · 3.96 FIP	20	SU	3.96	21.4%	13.7%	1.7%	.300	3.85	22.0%	10.7%	177	-0.11	1.52	522	83
Nolan Sparks R 2024 · 4.10 FIP	21	SU	4.10	21.8%	13.5%	2.1%	.229	4.72	19.3%	5.3%	140	+0.62	4.10	155	83
Ty Tice R 2017 · 4.29 FIP	21	SU	4.29	22.2%	12.9%	2.6%	.271	3.53	19.4%	8.3%	108	-0.76	3.24	288	83