Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 20 | ROK | DSL LAD Bautista | 15 | 0 | 18 | 86 | 18 | 8 | 2 | 0% | 1.2 | 14.2% | 11.6% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 5.40 | 4.63 | — |
| 2021 | 20 | ROK | DSL LAD Bautista | 15 | 0 | 18 | 86 | 18 | 8 | 2 | 0% | 1.2 | 20.9% | 9.3% | 11.6% | 2.3% | 5.40 | 3.86 | — |
| 2022 | 21 | ROK | DSL LAD Mega | 17 | 0 | 19 | 68 | 30 | 5 | 1 | 0% | 1.1 | 30.0% | 9.2% | 20.8% | 2.2% | 0.47 | 2.92 | — |
| 2022 | 21 | ROK | DSL LAD Mega | 17 | 0 | 19 | 68 | 30 | 5 | 1 | 0% | 1.1 | 44.1% | 7.4% | 36.8% | 1.5% | 0.47 | 1.42 | — |
| 2023 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 20 | 0 | 25 | 106 | 33 | 3 | 2 | 0% | 1.2 | 21.5% | 3.8% | 17.7% | 1.4% | 5.11 | 2.54 | — |
| 2023 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 20 | 0 | 25 | 106 | 33 | 3 | 2 | 0% | 1.2 | 31.1% | 2.8% | 28.3% | 1.9% | 5.11 | 1.84 | — |
| 2024 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 25 | 8 | 91 | 383 | 126 | 32 | 3 | 32% | 3.6 | 24.9% | 9.7% | 15.2% | 0.9% | 3.38 | 2.73 | — |
| 2024 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 25 | 8 | 91 | 383 | 126 | 32 | 3 | 32% | 3.6 | 32.9% | 8.4% | 24.5% | 0.8% | 3.38 | 1.81 | — |
| 2025 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 45 | 2 | 54 | 246 | 84 | 34 | 8 | 4% | 1.2 | 29.5% | 14.7% | 14.8% | 4.0% | 5.50 | 4.65 | — |
| 2025 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 45 | 2 | 54 | 246 | 84 | 34 | 8 | 4% | 1.2 | 34.1% | 13.8% | 20.3% | 3.3% | 5.50 | 3.80 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 25 | AAA | Oklahoma City Comets | 12 | 2 | 16 | 64 | 21 | 6 | 0 | 17% | 1.3 | — | — | — | — | 3.45 | — | — |
| ROS | 25 | MLB | LAD | 67 | 0 | 70 | 296 | 88 | 38 | 9 | 0% | 1.0 | 29.9% | 12.7% | 17.2% | 3.1% | 4.29 | 4.29 | +0.4 |
| ROS | 25 | MLB | LAD | 7 | 0 | 7 | 30 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 29.9% | 12.7% | 17.2% | 3.1% | 4.29 | 4.29 | +0.0 |
| 2026 TOT | 25 | MLB | LAD | — | — | 86 | 360 | 109 | 44 | 9 | — | — | 30.4% | 12.1% | 18.3% | 2.6% | 4.14 | 3.51 | +1.6 |
| 2026 FULL | 25 | MLB | LAD | — | — | 7 | 30 | 9 | 4 | 1 | — | — | 29.9% | 12.7% | 17.2% | 3.1% | 4.29 | 3.91 | +0.1 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 26 | MLB | LAD | 67 | 0 | 70 | 296 | 87 | 36 | 9 | 0% | 1.0 | 29.5% | 12.3% | 17.2% | 3.1% | 4.28 | 4.27 | +0.4 |
| 2028 | 27 | MLB | LAD | 66 | 0 | 69 | 291 | 85 | 35 | 9 | 0% | 1.0 | 29.0% | 12.2% | 16.9% | 3.2% | 4.30 | 4.31 | +0.3 |
| 2027 | 26 | MLB | LAD | 32 | 0 | 34 | 144 | 42 | 18 | 4 | 0% | 1.1 | 29.5% | 12.3% | 17.2% | 3.1% | 4.28 | 4.27 | +0.1 |
| 2028 | 27 | MLB | LAD | 44 | 0 | 46 | 194 | 56 | 24 | 6 | 0% | 1.0 | 29.0% | 12.2% | 16.9% | 3.2% | 4.30 | 4.31 | +0.1 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 82 | 0 | 86 | 365 | 107 | 45 | 11 | 0% | 1.1 | 29.3% | 12.3% | 17.0% | 3.1% | 4.29 | 3.91 | +1.2 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 248 | 104 | 25 | 0% | 1.1 | 29.3% | 12.3% | 17.0% | 3.1% | 4.29 | 3.91 | +3.5 | ||
| Career | — | 134 | 12 | 222 | 953 | 244 | 100 | 18 | 9% | 1.7 | 25.6% | 10.5% | 15.2% | 1.9% | 4.01 | 3.31 | +5.4 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 121 | 11 | 200 | 857 | 220 | 90 | 16 | 9% | 1.7 | 25.6% | 10.5% | 15.2% | 1.9% | 4.01 | 3.31 | +4.9 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| José Rodríguez (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.29 | 29.9% | 12.7% | 3.1% | — | 4.29 | 29.2% | 17.0% | 139 | -0.00 | — | — | — |
| Steven Wilson R 2025 · 4.13 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.13 | 27.2% | 10.7% | 3.6% | .271 | 3.80 | 29.3% | 19.9% | 92 | -0.33 | 3.36 | 311 | 86 |
| Zac Leigh R 2026 · 3.72 FIP | 25 | SU | 3.72 | 28.1% | 11.7% | 2.8% | .282 | 4.81 | 20.3% | 2.9% | 127 | +1.09 | 3.72 | 197 | 85 |
| Peyton Gray R 2027 · 4.31 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.31 | 29.2% | 14.1% | 3.5% | .307 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.87 | 138 | 85 |
| Zach Franklin R 2026 · 3.53 FIP | 25 | SU | 3.53 | 26.4% | 10.9% | 2.3% | .301 | 4.31 | 28.4% | 19.1% | 97 | +0.78 | 3.48 | 138 | 84 |
| Zach Greene R 2026 · 4.38 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.38 | 29.3% | 11.7% | 4.2% | .268 | 5.27 | 16.6% | -0.8% | 28 | +0.89 | 2.10 | 172 | 83 |
| Jon Edwards R 2028 · 3.54 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.54 | 31.7% | 13.1% | 2.7% | .264 | 2.30 | 30.3% | 22.6% | 30 | -1.24 | 2.30 | 132 | 83 |
| Trent Harris R 2026 · 3.45 FIP | 25 | SU | 3.45 | 26.9% | 9.5% | 2.6% | .258 | 4.07 | 22.8% | 13.3% | 87 | +0.62 | 3.45 | 163 | 82 |
| Argenis Angulo R 2026 · 4.12 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.12 | 27.6% | 13.4% | 3.0% | .263 | 6.61 | 21.0% | 5.6% | 58 | +2.49 | 3.07 | 245 | 82 |
| Eduard Santos R 2026 · 3.49 FIP | 25 | SU | 3.49 | 28.1% | 15.2% | 1.5% | .265 | 3.62 | 24.0% | 10.0% | 79 | +0.13 | 2.04 | 138 | 81 |
| Brad Boxberger R 2028 · 3.99 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.99 | 27.3% | 10.0% | 3.5% | .280 | 4.01 | 28.5% | 17.2% | 107 | +0.02 | 3.07 | 363 | 81 |
| Brooks Kriske R 2026 · 3.52 FIP | 25 | SU | 3.52 | 26.1% | 12.2% | 2.0% | .245 | 5.01 | 28.6% | 16.5% | 41 | +1.49 | 3.00 | 246 | 80 |
| Maikel Cleto R 2027 · 3.54 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.54 | 25.8% | 12.1% | 2.0% | .214 | 3.04 | 25.0% | 15.3% | 55 | -0.50 | 2.59 | 156 | 79 |
| Jesus Pirela R 2027 · 3.91 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.91 | 23.7% | 11.6% | 2.5% | .305 | 3.92 | 17.1% | 13.9% | 45 | +0.01 | 3.21 | 161 | 79 |
| Jordan Gore R 2027 · 3.24 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.24 | 25.8% | 11.9% | 1.5% | .223 | 5.47 | 15.2% | -3.3% | 46 | +2.23 | 3.24 | 113 | 79 |
| Emilio Pagán R 2026 · 4.28 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.28 | 26.2% | 11.5% | 3.5% | .267 | 3.48 | 29.2% | 23.8% | 214 | -0.80 | 2.70 | 698 | 79 |
| Randall Delgado R 2026 · 3.57 FIP | 25 | SU | 3.57 | 23.7% | 10.1% | 2.2% | .284 | 3.71 | 20.3% | 12.4% | 167 | +0.14 | 3.05 | 290 | 78 |
| J.B. Wendelken R 2026 · 3.38 FIP | 25 | SU | 3.38 | 29.5% | 9.5% | 2.8% | .286 | 3.66 | 23.3% | 14.1% | 140 | +0.28 | 3.03 | 393 | 78 |
| Tyler Schimpf R 2026 · 4.74 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.74 | 28.1% | 13.4% | 4.2% | .253 | 8.29 | 11.8% | -16.6% | 14 | +3.55 | 3.35 | 126 | 78 |
| Paul Gervase R 2026 · 4.55 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.55 | 28.4% | 11.1% | 4.4% | .244 | 4.84 | 27.4% | 11.0% | 28 | +0.29 | 3.38 | 190 | 78 |
| Matt Jachec R 2026 · 3.94 FIP | 25 | SU | 3.94 | 28.3% | 9.9% | 3.6% | .245 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.29 | 120 | 78 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 3 | 70 | 29.5% | 12.4% | 1.22 | 4.29 |
| Lucas Sims ('24) | 6 | 47 | 27.6% | 11.6% | 1.24 | 4.22 |
| Michael Kopech ('24) | 4 | 96 | 26.1% | 12.5% | 1.45 | 4.15 |
| Fernando Rodney ('19) | 5 | 59 | 24.6% | 11.8% | 0.88 | 4.21 |
| Cody Allen ('19) | 5 | 59 | 31.3% | 10.2% | 1.19 | 3.51 |
| José Cisnero ('23) | 5 | 42 | 24.8% | 11.3% | 0.94 | 3.84 |
| Daniel Bard ('23) | 4 | 50 | 25.1% | 13.5% | 0.81 | 3.82 |