José Rodríguez
P
Oklahoma City Comets
+0.5
WAR
Age 25
RHP
6'6" / 200 lbs
AAA
Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2033
peak 0.4 · 2026
ERA4.43
FIP4.43
xFIP—
SIERA—
K%26.2%
BB%11.7%
K-BB%14.5%
IP62
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.4peak
2026
K†6060
Career (MLE) + Projections
Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.3 (SP) / 4.95 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | K% | BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 20 | ROK | DSL LAD Bautista | 15 | 0 | 18 | 86 | 18 | 8 | 2 | 14.2% | 11.6% | 2.4% | 5.40 | 4.69 | +0.1 |
| 2022 | 21 | ROK | DSL LAD Mega | 17 | 0 | 19 | 68 | 30 | 5 | 1 | 30.0% | 9.2% | 2.2% | 0.47 | 2.92 | +0.4 |
| 2023 | 22 | A | Rancho Cucamonga Quakes | 20 | 0 | 25 | 106 | 33 | 3 | 2 | 21.5% | 3.8% | 1.4% | 5.11 | 2.55 | +0.7 |
| 2024 | 23 | A+ | Great Lakes Loons | 25 | 8 | 91 | 383 | 126 | 32 | 3 | 24.9% | 9.7% | 1.0% | 3.38 | 2.75 | +2.5 |
| 2025 | 24 | AAA | Oklahoma City Comets | 45 | 2 | 54 | 246 | 84 | 34 | 8 | 29.5% | 14.7% | 3.8% | 5.50 | 4.55 | +0.2 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 25 | MLB | LAD | 11 | 11 | 62 | 261 | 69 | 31 | 8 | 26.2% | 11.7% | 3.1% | 4.43 | 4.43 | +0.4 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging | ||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 26 | MLB | LAD | 11 | 11 | 62 | 261 | 68 | 30 | 8 | 26.2% | 11.4% | 3.1% | 4.41 | 4.40 | +0.4 |
| 2028 | 27 | MLB | LAD | 11 | 11 | 61 | 259 | 67 | 29 | 8 | 26.0% | 11.2% | 3.1% | 4.40 | 4.40 | +0.4 |
| 2029 | 28 | MLB | LAD | 11 | 11 | 60 | 255 | 66 | 29 | 8 | 25.8% | 11.2% | 3.1% | 4.41 | 4.43 | +0.4 |
| 2030 | 29 | MLB | LAD | 59 | — | 59 | 250 | 64 | 28 | 8 | 25.6% | 11.2% | 3.1% | 4.44 | 4.47 | +0.3 |
| 2031 | 30 | MLB | LAD | 57 | — | 57 | 242 | 61 | 27 | 8 | 25.4% | 11.3% | 3.2% | 4.49 | 4.53 | +0.3 |
| 2032 | 31 | MLB | LAD | 55 | — | 55 | 233 | 59 | 27 | 8 | 25.2% | 11.5% | 3.3% | 4.56 | 4.60 | +0.2 |
| 2033 | 32 | MLB | LAD | 53 | — | 53 | 224 | 56 | 26 | 8 | 24.9% | 11.6% | 3.4% | 4.64 | 4.69 | +0.2 |
| 2034 | 33 | MLB | LAD | 51 | — | 51 | 214 | 53 | 25 | 7 | 24.6% | 11.8% | 3.4% | 4.73 | 4.79 | +0.1 |
| 2035 | 34 | MLB | LAD | 48 | — | 48 | 204 | 49 | 24 | 7 | 24.2% | 12.0% | 3.5% | 4.83 | 4.90 | +0.0 |
| 2036 | 35 | MLB | LAD | 45 | — | 45 | 192 | 46 | 23 | 7 | 23.8% | 12.2% | 3.7% | 4.94 | 5.02 | -0.0 |
| 2037 | 36 | MLB | LAD | 42 | — | 42 | 179 | 42 | 22 | 7 | 23.4% | 12.5% | 3.8% | 5.07 | 5.15 | -0.1 |
| ▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected) | ||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 122 | 10 | 207 | 889 | 223 | 94 | 18 | 25.1% | 10.5% | 2.0% | 4.05 | 3.43 | +4.4 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 118 | 10 | 200 | 860 | 216 | 91 | 17 | 25.1% | 10.5% | 2.0% | 4.05 | 3.43 | +4.2 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| José Rodríguez (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.43 | 26.2% | 11.7% | 3.1% | — | 4.41 | 26.0% | 14.7% | 184 | -0.02 | — | — | — |
| Steven Wilson R 2025 · 4.02 FIP | 24 | SW | 4.02 | 27.2% | 10.7% | 3.4% | .271 | 3.68 | 29.3% | 19.9% | 92 | -0.34 | 3.61 | 311 | 91 |
| Trent Harris R 2026 · 3.46 FIP | 25 | SW | 3.46 | 26.9% | 9.5% | 2.6% | .258 | 3.75 | 23.1% | 14.7% | 57 | +0.29 | 3.46 | 134 | 89 |
| Brad Boxberger R 2028 · 3.86 FIP | 27 | SW | 3.86 | 27.3% | 10.0% | 3.3% | .280 | 4.05 | 28.5% | 17.2% | 107 | +0.19 | 3.02 | 363 | 88 |
| Randall Delgado R 2026 · 3.73 FIP | 25 | SW | 3.73 | 23.7% | 10.1% | 2.5% | .284 | 3.72 | 20.3% | 12.4% | 167 | -0.01 | 3.05 | 290 | 86 |
| Zac Leigh R 2026 · 3.82 FIP | 25 | SU | 3.82 | 28.1% | 11.7% | 2.9% | .282 | 4.76 | 19.3% | 1.3% | 95 | +0.94 | 3.72 | 164 | 85 |
| Jesus Pirela R 2027 · 3.85 FIP | 26 | SW | 3.85 | 23.7% | 11.6% | 2.3% | .305 | 3.92 | 17.1% | 13.9% | 45 | +0.07 | 3.23 | 161 | 85 |
| Maikel Cleto R 2027 · 3.89 FIP | 26 | SW | 3.89 | 25.8% | 12.1% | 2.6% | .214 | 3.12 | 25.0% | 15.3% | 55 | -0.77 | 2.59 | 156 | 85 |
| Jon Edwards R 2028 · 3.39 FIP | 27 | SW | 3.39 | 31.7% | 13.1% | 2.4% | .264 | 2.39 | 30.3% | 22.6% | 30 | -1.00 | 2.39 | 132 | 84 |
| Peyton Gray R 2027 · 4.26 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.26 | 29.2% | 14.1% | 3.4% | .307 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.26 | 104 | 83 |
| Simon Castro R 2028 · 3.26 FIP | 27 | SW | 3.26 | 26.4% | 8.5% | 2.4% | .320 | 3.48 | 26.0% | 17.6% | 128 | +0.22 | 3.07 | 185 | 83 |
| Zach Greene R 2026 · 4.39 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.39 | 29.3% | 11.7% | 4.2% | .268 | 5.30 | 16.6% | -0.8% | 28 | +0.91 | 2.10 | 172 | 83 |
| Argenis Angulo R 2026 · 4.10 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.10 | 27.6% | 13.4% | 3.0% | .263 | 6.45 | 21.0% | 5.6% | 58 | +2.35 | 3.04 | 245 | 83 |
| Dylan King R 2026 · 3.87 FIP | 25 | SW | 3.87 | 26.7% | 9.8% | 3.2% | .266 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.87 | 121 | 83 |
| Spencer Patton R 2028 · 3.49 FIP | 27 | SW | 3.49 | 26.8% | 9.6% | 2.6% | .295 | 2.83 | 30.3% | 18.1% | 57 | -0.66 | 2.83 | 239 | 83 |
| Brandon Johnson R 2026 · 3.38 FIP | 25 | SW | 3.38 | 25.0% | 9.5% | 2.2% | .375 | 5.68 | 20.2% | 9.5% | 72 | +2.30 | 3.38 | 188 | 82 |
| Shohei Ohtani R 2025 · 3.46 FIP | 24 | SW | 3.46 | 29.9% | 10.4% | 2.9% | .267 | 3.11 | 29.3% | 21.4% | 130 | -0.35 | 1.69 | 545 | 82 |
| Isaiah Campbell R 2026 · 3.34 FIP | 25 | SW | 3.34 | 25.5% | 9.2% | 2.2% | .273 | 4.11 | 17.7% | 9.7% | 74 | +0.77 | 3.29 | 192 | 82 |
| Luis Ramirez R 2025 · 3.73 FIP | 24 | SW | 3.73 | 24.0% | 12.6% | 1.9% | .286 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.73 | 104 | 82 |
| Emilio Pagán R 2026 · 4.10 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.10 | 26.2% | 11.5% | 3.2% | .267 | 3.49 | 29.2% | 23.8% | 214 | -0.61 | 2.59 | 682 | 82 |
| Eduard Santos R 2026 · 3.50 FIP | 25 | SW | 3.50 | 28.1% | 15.2% | 1.6% | .265 | 3.49 | 24.0% | 10.0% | 79 | -0.01 | 2.04 | 138 | 82 |
Contract
ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status MiLB
MLB Debut 2028
Service 0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through 2033
First FA Year 2034
| Year | Status | Salary | Proj WAR | Value | Surplus |
| 2026 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2028 | |||
| 2027 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2028 | |||
| 2028 | Pre-Arb | $0.8M | +0.4 | $2M | +$0.9M |
| 2029 | Arb-1 | $0.8M | +0.4 | $2M | +$0.9M |
| 2030 | Arb-2 | $0.9M | +0.3 | $1M | +$0.5M |
| 2031 | Arb-3 | $0.8M | +0.3 | $1M | +$0.6M |
| 2032 | Ext / FA-deal | $1M | +0.2 | $1.0M | -$0.1M |
| 2033 | Ext / FA-deal | $1.0M | +0.2 | $1.0M | -$0.0M |
| Totals | $5M | $8M | +$3M | ||