José Geraldo
P
San Antonio Missions
Age 27
RHP
6'3" / 200 lbs
AA
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 59 proj IP
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 142133vR 124
ERA5.47
FIP5.47
K%19.1%
BB%16.4%
K-BB%2.7%
ROS IP60
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 59 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018 | 19 | ROK | DSL Padres | 16 | 0 | 19 | 80 | 18 | 7 | 1 | 0% | 1.2 | 15.3% | 10.9% | 4.4% | 1.7% | 4.74 | 4.15 | — |
| 2018 | 19 | ROK | DSL Padres | 16 | 0 | 19 | 80 | 18 | 7 | 1 | 0% | 1.2 | 22.5% | 8.8% | 13.8% | 1.2% | 4.74 | 2.99 | — |
| 2019 | 20 | ROK | AZL Padres 2 | 17 | 0 | 23 | 103 | 27 | 8 | 1 | 0% | 1.4 | 17.8% | 9.7% | 8.1% | 1.4% | 3.09 | 3.57 | — |
| 2019 | 20 | ROK | AZL Padres 2 | 17 | 0 | 23 | 103 | 27 | 8 | 1 | 0% | 1.4 | 26.2% | 7.8% | 18.4% | 1.0% | 3.09 | 2.37 | — |
| 2021 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 23 | 0 | 32 | 138 | 34 | 11 | 3 | 0% | 1.4 | 18.3% | 10.9% | 7.4% | 4.3% | 2.53 | 5.28 | — |
| 2021 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 23 | 0 | 32 | 138 | 34 | 11 | 3 | 0% | 1.4 | 24.6% | 8.0% | 16.7% | 2.2% | 2.53 | 3.23 | — |
| 2023 | 24 | A+ | Fort Wayne TinCaps | 28 | 0 | 34 | 146 | 33 | 15 | 4 | 0% | 1.2 | 17.4% | 11.8% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 4.19 | 5.83 | — |
| 2023 | 24 | A+ | Fort Wayne TinCaps | 28 | 0 | 34 | 146 | 33 | 15 | 4 | 0% | 1.2 | 22.6% | 10.3% | 12.3% | 2.7% | 4.19 | 4.00 | — |
| 2024 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 35 | 0 | 45 | 197 | 59 | 22 | 2 | 0% | 1.3 | 23.4% | 12.8% | 10.7% | 1.5% | 4.57 | 3.57 | — |
| 2024 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 35 | 0 | 45 | 197 | 59 | 22 | 2 | 0% | 1.3 | 29.9% | 11.2% | 18.8% | 1.0% | 4.57 | 2.53 | — |
| 2025 | 26 | AA | San Antonio Missions | 38 | 0 | 48 | 225 | 50 | 33 | 4 | 0% | 1.3 | 18.0% | 16.1% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 3.75 | 4.92 | — |
| 2025 | 26 | AA | San Antonio Missions | 38 | 0 | 48 | 225 | 50 | 33 | 4 | 0% | 1.3 | 22.2% | 14.7% | 7.6% | 1.8% | 3.75 | 4.16 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 27 | MLB | SD | 57 | 0 | 60 | 251 | 48 | 41 | 7 | 0% | 1.0 | 19.1% | 16.4% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 5.47 | 5.47 | -0.6 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 28 | MLB | SD | 55 | 0 | 58 | 244 | 47 | 39 | 7 | 0% | 1.0 | 19.4% | 15.8% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 5.41 | 5.44 | -0.6 |
| 2028 | 29 | MLB | SD | 52 | 0 | 55 | 233 | 45 | 36 | 7 | 0% | 1.1 | 19.4% | 15.5% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 5.42 | 5.49 | -0.6 |
| 2027 | 28 | MLB | SD | 21 | 0 | 22 | 93 | 18 | 15 | 3 | 0% | 1.0 | 19.4% | 15.8% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 5.41 | 5.44 | -0.2 |
| 2028 | 29 | MLB | SD | 30 | 0 | 31 | 131 | 25 | 20 | 4 | 0% | 1.0 | 19.4% | 15.5% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 5.42 | 5.49 | -0.3 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 50 | 0 | 52 | 221 | 43 | 35 | 7 | 0% | 1.0 | 19.4% | 15.7% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 5.42 | 5.09 | -0.3 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 164 | 134 | 27 | 0% | 1.1 | 19.4% | 15.7% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 5.42 | 5.09 | +0.7 | ||
| Career | — | 157 | 0 | 202 | 889 | 168 | 113 | 24 | 0% | 1.3 | 18.9% | 12.7% | 6.2% | 2.7% | 3.83 | 4.60 | +1.9 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 155 | 0 | 200 | 880 | 166 | 111 | 24 | 0% | 1.3 | 18.9% | 12.7% | 6.2% | 2.7% | 3.83 | 4.60 | +1.9 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| José Geraldo (OGILVIE) | — | — | 5.47 | 19.1% | 16.4% | 2.8% | — | 5.46 | 19.4% | 3.7% | 113 | -0.01 | — | — | — |
| Armando Rivero R 2026 · 4.39 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.39 | 18.7% | 13.5% | 2.1% | .256 | 2.81 | 32.9% | 19.8% | 68 | -1.58 | 2.81 | 125 | 87 |
| Gregory Infante R 2027 · 4.57 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.57 | 16.9% | 15.7% | 1.7% | .290 | 3.63 | 21.3% | 12.7% | 181 | -0.94 | 2.96 | 230 | 86 |
| Theo Denlinger R 2026 · 4.32 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.32 | 20.2% | 16.4% | 1.6% | .266 | 4.20 | 15.3% | 9.9% | 41 | -0.12 | 3.03 | 140 | 85 |
| Spencer Bivens R 2027 · 4.81 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.81 | 19.8% | 13.5% | 3.0% | .265 | 3.88 | 18.2% | 10.2% | 272 | -0.93 | 3.53 | 365 | 85 |
| Julian Arballo R 2026 · 5.47 FIP | 27 | SU | 5.47 | 15.1% | 13.8% | 3.5% | .335 | 4.38 | 12.6% | 0.6% | 116 | -1.09 | 4.28 | 214 | 84 |
| Derek Eitel R 2026 · 4.32 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.32 | 18.1% | 13.9% | 1.8% | .338 | 4.21 | 19.7% | 5.0% | 113 | -0.11 | 3.85 | 138 | 83 |
| Chris Jefferson R 2026 · 5.37 FIP | 27 | SU | 5.37 | 16.4% | 13.6% | 3.5% | .308 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.74 | 140 | 83 |
| Antonio Menendez R 2026 · 4.85 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.85 | 19.1% | 16.2% | 2.4% | .288 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.97 | 231 | 83 |
| Nolan Riggs R 2024 · 4.61 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.61 | 20.7% | 14.0% | 2.7% | .300 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.36 | 132 | 83 |
| Haden Erbe R 2025 · 5.49 FIP | 26 | SU | 5.49 | 17.8% | 17.3% | 3.1% | .240 | — | — | — | — | — | 5.17 | 116 | 83 |
| Brad Goldberg R 2026 · 4.32 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.32 | 18.4% | 15.4% | 1.5% | .331 | 3.17 | 30.3% | 13.3% | 36 | -1.15 | 3.17 | 197 | 82 |
| Jake Gilbert R 2024 · 4.59 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.59 | 18.2% | 16.2% | 1.8% | .331 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.18 | 103 | 82 |
| Mitchell Stumpo R 2026 · 6.16 FIP | 27 | SU | 6.16 | 20.6% | 21.8% | 3.7% | .368 | 4.35 | 22.6% | 15.5% | 34 | -1.81 | 3.88 | 158 | 82 |
| Trey Haley R 2025 · 5.03 FIP | 26 | SU | 5.03 | 14.0% | 16.5% | 1.9% | .282 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.14 | 111 | 82 |
| Nick Ernst R 2024 · 4.99 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.99 | 21.9% | 14.6% | 3.4% | .275 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.54 | 117 | 81 |
| Ryan Sublette R 2025 · 4.77 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.77 | 19.0% | 15.8% | 2.3% | .346 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.73 | 203 | 81 |
| Cole McDonald R 2026 · 5.38 FIP | 27 | SU | 5.38 | 21.1% | 13.8% | 4.2% | .281 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.72 | 153 | 81 |
| Matt Lollis R 2024 · 5.05 FIP | 25 | SU | 5.05 | 19.2% | 14.5% | 3.2% | .221 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.59 | 120 | 81 |
| Sean Harney R 2026 · 4.28 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.28 | 16.9% | 14.8% | 1.3% | .271 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.51 | 123 | 81 |
| David Goforth R 2026 · 4.74 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.74 | 14.5% | 12.8% | 2.3% | .333 | 4.50 | 13.9% | 4.6% | 122 | -0.24 | 3.92 | 256 | 80 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 3 | 57 | 19.3% | 15.9% | 1.13 | 5.43 |
| Touki Toussaint ('24) | 7 | 40 | 23.1% | 14.1% | 1.25 | 5.39 |
| Amir Garrett ('23) | 6 | 51 | 25.8% | 13.4% | 1.50 | 5.10 |
| Tyler Chatwood ('21) | 5 | 104 | 19.2% | 13.3% | 0.94 | 4.48 |
| Daniel Bard ('23) | 4 | 50 | 25.1% | 13.5% | 0.81 | 3.82 |
| John Gant ('21) | 4 | 85 | 20.1% | 12.5% | 0.79 | 3.91 |
| Fernando Rodney ('19) | 5 | 59 | 24.6% | 11.8% | 0.88 | 4.21 |