José Geraldo — OGILVIE

José Geraldo P San Antonio Missions

Age 27 RHP 6'3" / 200 lbs AA

2026 ROS PROJECTION0 act + 5 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 137129vR 121

ERA5.48

FIP5.48

K%19.1%

BB%16.6%

K-BB%2.5%

ROS IP5

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 5 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF4545

CTRL3030

CMD3535

K†4545

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2018	19	ROK MLE	DSL Padres	16	0	19	80	18	7	1	0%	1.2	15.3%	10.9%	4.4%	1.7%	4.74	4.15	—
2018	19	ROK RAW	DSL Padres	16	0	19	80	18	7	1	0%	1.2	22.5%	8.8%	13.8%	1.2%	4.74	2.99	—
2019	20	ROK MLE	AZL Padres 2	17	0	23	103	27	8	1	0%	1.4	17.8%	9.7%	8.1%	1.4%	3.09	3.57	—
2019	20	ROK RAW	AZL Padres 2	17	0	23	103	27	8	1	0%	1.4	26.2%	7.8%	18.4%	1.0%	3.09	2.37	—
2021	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	23	0	32	138	34	11	3	0%	1.4	18.3%	10.9%	7.4%	3.3%	2.53	4.75	—
2021	22	MIX RAW	2 levels	23	0	32	138	34	11	3	0%	1.4	24.6%	8.0%	16.7%	2.2%	2.53	3.23	—
2023	24	A+ MLE	Fort Wayne TinCaps	28	0	34	146	33	15	4	0%	1.2	17.4%	11.8%	5.6%	4.0%	4.19	5.34	—
2023	24	A+ MLE	Fort Wayne TinCaps	28	0	34	146	33	15	4	0%	1.2	17.4%	11.8%	5.6%	4.0%	4.19	5.34	—
2023	24	A+ RAW	Fort Wayne TinCaps	28	0	34	146	33	15	4	0%	1.2	22.6%	10.3%	12.3%	2.7%	4.19	4.00	—
2024	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	35	0	45	197	59	22	2	0%	1.3	23.4%	12.8%	10.7%	1.4%	4.57	3.50	—
2024	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	35	0	45	197	59	22	2	0%	1.3	23.4%	12.8%	10.7%	1.4%	4.57	3.50	—
2024	25	MIX RAW	2 levels	35	0	45	197	59	22	2	0%	1.3	29.9%	11.2%	18.8%	1.0%	4.57	2.53	—
2025	26	AA MLE	San Antonio Missions	38	0	48	225	50	33	4	0%	1.3	18.0%	16.1%	1.9%	2.2%	3.75	4.86	—
2025	26	AA MLE	San Antonio Missions	38	0	48	225	50	33	4	0%	1.3	18.0%	16.1%	1.9%	2.2%	3.75	4.86	—
2025	26	AA RAW	San Antonio Missions	38	0	48	225	50	33	4	0%	1.3	22.2%	14.7%	7.6%	1.8%	3.75	4.16	—
▸ 2026 season — projected remainder (no 2026 stats recorded)
2026	27	MLB	SD	5	0	5	21	4	4	1	0%	1.0	19.1%	16.6%	2.5%	2.7%	5.48	5.48	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	28	MLB MLE	SD	55	0	58	244	47	39	7	0%	1.0	19.4%	16.0%	3.4%	2.9%	5.41	5.45	-0.6
2028	29	MLB MLE	SD	52	0	55	233	45	37	7	0%	1.1	19.4%	15.7%	3.7%	3.0%	5.42	5.49	-0.6
2027	28	MLB CTX	SD	21	0	22	93	18	15	3	0%	1.0	19.4%	16.0%	3.4%	2.9%	5.41	5.45	-0.2
2028	29	MLB CTX	SD	30	0	31	131	25	21	4	0%	1.0	19.4%	15.7%	3.7%	3.0%	5.42	5.49	-0.3
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		50	0	52	221	43	35	7	0%	1.0	19.4%	15.9%	3.6%	3.0%	5.42	5.09	-0.3
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	164	134	27	0%	1.1	19.4%	15.9%	3.6%	3.0%	5.42	5.09	-1.3
Career	—	MLE		157	0	202	889	168	113	21	0%	1.3	18.9%	12.7%	6.2%	2.4%	3.83	4.41	-1.2
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		155	0	200	880	166	111	21	0%	1.3	18.9%	12.7%	6.2%	2.4%	3.83	4.41	-2.1

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
José Geraldo (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.48	19.1%	16.6%	2.7%	—	5.47	19.4%	3.5%	113	-0.01	—	—	—
Gregory Infante R 2015 · 4.54 FIP	28	SU	4.54	16.9%	15.7%	1.6%	.290	3.78	21.3%	12.7%	181	-0.76	2.97	230	86
Armando Rivero R 2015 · 4.29 FIP	27	SU	4.29	18.7%	13.5%	1.9%	.256	2.70	32.9%	19.8%	68	-1.59	2.70	125	86
Julian Arballo R 2015 · 5.13 FIP	27	SU	5.13	15.1%	13.8%	2.8%	.335	4.46	12.6%	0.6%	116	-0.67	4.45	214	84
Spencer Bivens R 2022 · 4.86 FIP	28	SU	4.86	19.8%	13.5%	3.1%	.265	3.86	18.0%	10.2%	272	-1.00	3.52	390	84
Derek Eitel R 2015 · 4.35 FIP	27	SU	4.35	18.1%	13.9%	1.8%	.338	4.26	19.7%	5.0%	113	-0.09	3.96	138	83
Ray Gaither R 2023 · 4.89 FIP	25	SU	4.89	18.1%	16.4%	2.3%	.278	4.19	17.7%	6.6%	90	-0.70	3.90	164	83
Brad Goldberg R 2017 · 4.38 FIP	27	SU	4.38	18.4%	15.4%	1.6%	.331	3.14	30.3%	13.3%	36	-1.24	3.14	197	83
Jake Gilbert R 2022 · 4.65 FIP	25	SU	4.65	18.2%	16.2%	1.9%	.331	—	—	—	—	—	4.14	103	83
Grayson Thurman R 2023 · 4.63 FIP	24	SU	4.63	19.5%	14.1%	2.5%	.319	4.85	19.9%	10.5%	87	+0.22	4.58	132	82
Nolan Riggs R 2018 · 4.49 FIP	25	SU	4.49	20.7%	14.0%	2.5%	.300	—	—	—	—	—	2.36	132	82
Cody Scroggins R 2022 · 4.50 FIP	25	SU	4.50	20.5%	16.2%	2.0%	.351	3.78	14.2%	4.6%	18	-0.72	3.78	108	82
Trey Haley R 2016 · 4.98 FIP	26	SU	4.98	14.0%	16.5%	1.8%	.282	—	—	—	—	—	3.14	111	82
Nick Ernst R 2022 · 5.05 FIP	25	SU	5.05	21.9%	14.6%	3.5%	.275	—	—	—	—	—	3.56	117	81
Matt Lollis R 2016 · 4.95 FIP	25	SU	4.95	19.2%	14.5%	3.0%	.221	—	—	—	—	—	4.56	120	81
Mitchell Stumpo R 2023 · 6.35 FIP	27	SU	6.35	20.6%	20.8%	4.3%	.368	4.77	22.6%	15.5%	34	-1.58	3.97	158	80
David Goforth R 2016 · 4.68 FIP	27	SU	4.68	14.5%	12.8%	2.1%	.333	4.52	13.9%	4.6%	122	-0.16	3.98	256	80
Ronald Peña R 2019 · 4.55 FIP	27	SU	4.55	20.5%	12.6%	2.9%	.355	4.49	16.5%	6.1%	39	-0.06	3.72	187	80
Javy Guerra R 2016 · 4.29 FIP	30	SU	4.29	21.3%	13.9%	2.3%	.303	3.95	19.5%	13.0%	193	-0.34	2.95	260	79
Grant Black R 2021 · 4.46 FIP	27	SW	4.46	19.0%	13.9%	2.2%	.327	5.37	14.7%	3.6%	156	+0.91	4.46	215	79
Jose De La Torre R 2015 · 4.40 FIP	29	SU	4.40	14.5%	13.1%	1.6%	.256	2.98	21.6%	14.2%	65	-1.42	2.64	130	79

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.9	57	19.3%	16.1%	1.11	5.44
Amir Garrett ('23)	1.5	51	25.8%	13.4%	1.50	5.10
Touki Toussaint ('24)	1.4	40	23.1%	14.1%	1.25	5.39
Daniel Bard ('23)	1.0	50	25.1%	13.5%	0.81	3.82
Tyler Chatwood ('21)	2.6	104	19.2%	13.3%	0.94	4.48
John Gant ('21)	1.7	85	20.1%	12.5%	0.79	3.91
Miguel Castro ('23)	2.1	59	20.8%	12.0%	1.04	3.99