Kenry Alvear

P DSL LAD Bautista

Age 19 LHP ROK

Overview

ROKPROSPECT

ETA2028MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2026	18	ROKDSL LAD Bauti…	14	18	11.78	7.08	13.6%	24.3%	—	K 9.2% · BB 30.3% · FIP 7.65
2027PROJ	19	MLBLAD	10	11	6.03	6.03	19.3%	20.0%	-0.2
2028PROJ49% MLB	20	MLBLAD	10	10	5.65	5.51	20.3%	16.8%	-0.1

Next 2 projected WAR -0.3Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 100%

CompsYensy Bello (age 19) · Daniel Gonzalez (age 19) · Develson Aria (age 18)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 131140vR 148

ERA6.03

FIP6.03

K%19.3%

BB%20.0%

K-BB%-0.7%

Proj IP11

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 11 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†4550

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL LAD Bautista	14	0	18	103	14	25	2	0%	1.3	9.2%	30.3%	-21.1%	2.7%	11.78	7.65	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL LAD Bautista	14	0	18	103	14	25	2	0%	1.3	9.2%	30.3%	-21.1%	2.7%	11.78	7.65	—
2026	18	ROK RAW	DSL LAD Bautista	14	0	18	103	14	25	2	0%	1.3	13.6%	24.3%	-10.7%	1.9%	11.78	7.08	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	19	MLB	LAD	10	0	11	46	9	9	1	0%	1.1	19.3%	20.0%	-0.7%	3.0%	6.03	6.03	-0.2
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	20	MLB MLE	LAD	19	0	20	84	17	14	2	0%	1.1	20.3%	16.8%	3.5%	2.9%	5.65	5.51	-0.2
2028	20	MLB CTX	LAD	10	0	10	42	9	7	1	0%	1.0	20.3%	16.8%	3.5%	2.9%	5.65	5.51	-0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		9	0	10	42	8	7	1	0%	1.1	20.3%	16.8%	3.5%	2.9%	5.65	5.13	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	163	142	20	0%	1.1	20.3%	16.8%	3.5%	2.9%	5.65	5.13	-1.4
Career	—	MLE		14	0	18	103	10	31	3	0%	1.3	9.2%	30.3%	-21.1%	2.7%	11.78	7.65	-0.2
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		153	0	200	1124	104	341	31	0%	1.3	9.2%	30.3%	-21.1%	2.7%	11.78	7.65	-2.2

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Kenry Alvear (OGILVIE)	—	—	6.03	19.3%	20.0%	3.0%	—	5.51	20.3%	3.5%	20	-0.52	—	—	—
Yensy Bello L 2022 · 6.82 FIP	19	SU	6.82	19.9%	32.3%	2.4%	.240	3.76	17.4%	4.1%	91	-3.06	2.65	103	87
Daniel Gonzalez L 2021 · 5.55 FIP	19	SU	5.55	13.6%	19.1%	2.1%	.318	4.98	20.1%	2.0%	100	-0.57	4.34	136	80
Develson Aria L 2019 · 5.19 FIP	18	SU	5.19	15.5%	19.7%	1.6%	.311	4.33	21.7%	3.1%	54	-0.86	4.32	137	79
Edison Suriel L 2018 · 6.39 FIP	19	SU	6.39	16.8%	20.5%	3.8%	.341	2.16	21.4%	14.6%	17	-4.23	2.16	159	78
Jayvien Sandridge L 2018 · 5.17 FIP	19	SU	5.17	15.5%	19.0%	1.8%	.188	6.78	19.0%	-4.9%	13	+1.61	3.25	223	77
Roberto Medina L 2024 · 5.29 FIP	19	SW	5.29	18.5%	19.6%	2.3%	.254	5.91	15.1%	-2.7%	45	+0.62	3.87	109	77
Zhiorman Imbriano L 2022 · 5.72 FIP	19	SU	5.72	12.3%	21.1%	1.8%	.283	4.79	13.2%	-5.0%	65	-0.93	3.82	100	76
Gabriel Cotto L 2019 · 5.98 FIP	19	SW	5.98	11.3%	18.4%	2.8%	.309	5.15	18.5%	2.4%	113	-0.83	5.02	236	74
Ignacio Briceno L 2021 · 5.16 FIP	20	SU	5.16	12.7%	12.9%	2.7%	.230	3.33	17.0%	7.2%	82	-1.83	2.39	156	74
Anfernny Reyes L 2023 · 4.98 FIP	19	SU	4.98	21.6%	13.6%	3.6%	.282	4.34	21.0%	1.8%	99	-0.64	2.89	175	73
Max Green L 2018 · 4.87 FIP	22	SU	4.87	15.7%	13.3%	2.6%	.352	4.41	13.9%	6.6%	86	-0.46	4.19	169	73
Alex Robinson L 2015 · 5.75 FIP	20	SU	5.75	16.2%	31.7%	0.0%	.312	4.45	23.4%	5.2%	123	-1.30	3.69	135	73
Andre Davis L 2015 · 6.34 FIP	21	SU	6.34	13.6%	16.7%	4.2%	.384	4.43	17.5%	9.9%	127	-1.91	4.14	154	72
Felix Cabrera L 2021 · 6.37 FIP	19	SW	6.37	11.0%	22.5%	2.5%	.324	4.96	15.3%	-2.3%	92	-1.41	3.96	132	71
Carlos Sarmiento L 2023 · 6.86 FIP	19	SU	6.86	15.4%	25.3%	3.4%	.450	—	—	—	—	—	4.76	100	71
Riger Fernandez L 2017 · 5.21 FIP	19	SW	5.21	17.5%	24.7%	0.8%	.278	4.61	17.2%	-2.3%	35	-0.60	4.61	164	70
Adrian Almeida L 2015 · 5.36 FIP	20	SU	5.36	13.9%	27.1%	0.0%	.271	5.06	18.9%	-1.8%	113	-0.30	4.27	188	70
Izaak Martinez L 2024 · 6.26 FIP	22	SU	6.26	21.5%	15.0%	5.6%	.300	4.03	20.0%	10.6%	125	-2.23	3.77	138	70
Jose Cabrera L 2018 · 5.41 FIP	19	SU	5.41	10.0%	13.8%	2.6%	.253	—	—	—	—	—	4.21	104	70
Enrique Perez L 2017 · 5.13 FIP	19	SU	5.13	16.0%	26.7%	0.0%	.333	4.81	16.2%	1.9%	27	-0.32	3.76	133	70