Player 837822 — OGILVIE

Player 8378221B DSL LAD Bautista

Age — —/— ROK HR +8%BB -8% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 89 proj PA

wRC+†78

AVG/OBP/SLG.211 / .310 / .297

PA89

HR1

K%25

BB%11

ISO87

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$3M ctrl surplus

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2032	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	—	—	—
2035	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	—	—	—
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2038	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2026	—	ROK	DSL LAD Bautista	—	123	84	15	2	2	1	34	14	3	11	2	179	430	286	715	107	200	11	28	348	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2026	—	ROK MLE	DSL LAD Bautista	—	123	94	11	1	1	1	24	17	3	11	2	117	314	181	495	64	134	14	20	246	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	—	ROK MLE	DSL LAD Bautista	—	123	94	11	1	1	1	24	17	3	11	2	117	314	181	495	64	130	14	20	246	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	—	ROK RAW	DSL LAD Bautista	—	123	84	15	2	2	1	34	14	3	11	2	179	430	286	715	107	200	11	28	348	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	25	ROK MLE	DSL LAD Bautista	—	123	95	11	1	1	1	24	17	3	11	2	116	314	179	493	63	134	14	20	246	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2026	25	ROK MLE	DSL LAD Bautista	—	123	95	11	1	1	1	24	17	3	11	2	116	314	179	493	63	134	14	20	246	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	25	MLB MLE	LAD	0%	200	173	36	6	2	1	23	50	2	7	1	213	313	300	613	87	288	25	12	283	78	-5	+1	+0	-4	+4	0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	25	MLB MLE	LAD	0%	153	133	28	4	2	1	17	38	2	6	1	215	314	308	622	93	288	25	11	287	80	-4	+1	+0	-3	+3	-0.2
2029	25	MLB MLE	LAD	0%	255	222	49	8	3	3	28	63	3	9	1	217	314	316	630	99	287	25	11	289	82	-5	+1	+0	-5	+6	-0.3
2030	25	MLB MLE	LAD	0%	331	288	63	10	4	4	36	82	4	12	2	219	315	323	638	104	287	25	11	292	84	-6	+2	+0	-6	+7	-0.4
2031	25	MLB MLE	LAD	0%	386	337	75	12	4	6	42	95	4	15	2	220	315	329	645	109	287	25	11	294	85	-7	+2	+0	-7	+8	-0.3
2032	25	MLB MLE	LAD	0%	425	371	82	13	4	7	46	104	5	16	2	222	316	335	651	113	287	24	11	297	87	-7	+2	+0	-8	+9	-0.3
2033	25	MLB MLE	LAD	0%	454	397	88	14	5	7	49	111	5	17	3	222	316	337	653	115	287	24	11	297	87	-7	+2	+0	-8	+10	-0.3
2034	25	MLB MLE	LAD	0%	475	416	93	15	5	8	51	116	5	18	3	222	316	339	654	116	286	24	11	298	88	-7	+2	+0	-8	+10	-0.3
2035	25	MLB MLE	LAD	0%	491	430	95	15	5	8	53	120	5	19	3	222	316	340	656	118	286	24	11	298	88	-7	+3	+0	-9	+11	-0.3
2028	25	MLB CTX	LAD	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	210	309	298	607	88	280	—	—	281	80	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
2029	25	MLB CTX	LAD	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	212	310	306	616	94	280	—	—	284	82	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
2030	25	MLB CTX	LAD	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	214	310	314	624	100	280	—	—	287	84	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
2031	25	MLB CTX	LAD	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	216	311	321	632	105	280	—	—	289	85	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
2032	25	MLB CTX	LAD	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	217	311	327	638	110	280	—	—	292	87	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
2033	25	MLB CTX	LAD	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	217	312	329	640	111	279	—	—	292	87	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
2034	25	MLB CTX	LAD	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	218	312	330	642	113	279	—	—	293	88	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
2035	25	MLB CTX	LAD	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	218	312	332	644	114	279	—	—	294	88	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
▸ Career Totals
Career	—	MLE		—	3182	2766	601	95	34	46	356	768	37	126	19	217	315	326	641	109	282	24	11	293	84	-52	+16	+0	-55	+66	-2.5
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	565	122	19	7	9	73	157	8	26	4	216	315	322	637	106	281	24	11	293	84	-11	+3	+0	-12	+14	-0.5

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Willie Harrislast yr '11 career totals — 10 seasons, 2,743 PA	4.1	2,743	39	106	241	331	351	-11	-2	5.3	6.2
/162	664	9	26	-2.7	-0.5	1.3	pk7: 7
#2Jace Petersonlast yr '23 career totals — 10 seasons, 2,753 PA	4.1	2,753	42	77	228	318	337	+4	+5	5.3	6.0
/162	664	10	19	+1.0	+1.3	1.3	pk7: 7
#3Tony Kemplast yr '23 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,198 PA	3.3	2,198	35	52	238	326	354	-4	-3	4.3	4.3
/162	664	11	16	-1.3	-0.8	1.3	pk7: 4
#4Travis Jankowskilast yr '25 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,718 PA	2.6	1,718	11	100	238	321	309	-9	+11	2.1	2.5
/162	664	4	39	-3.6	+4.2	0.8	pk7: 3
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 9 projected seasons	4.6	3,059	45	115	222	313	332	-33	+0	1.8	1.8
/162	664	10	25	-7.3	+0.0	0.4	pk7: 2
#5Eric Young Jr.last yr '18 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,925 PA	2.9	1,925	13	161	245	312	332	-11	-8	1.2	1.6
/162	664	4	56	-3.9	-2.7	0.4	pk7: 2
#6Dylan Carlsonlast yr '25 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,987 PA	3.0	1,987	43	16	233	312	372	-9	-22	0.8	0.8
/162	664	14	5	-3.0	-7.4	0.3	pk7: 1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Player 837822 (OGILVIE)	25	—	—	—	—	211/310/297	86	288	1	3	25%	11%	78	-0.0	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Nick Podkul 2021 · A	24	44	38→50	53→50	48	207/283/291	84	275	5	14	25%	9%	65	-1.2	204/289/333	129	276	14	8	29%	9%	78	-0.3	202/300/344	142	280	17	3	32%	10%	81	-0.0
✕Allen Córdoba 2021 · A	25	47→51	40→45	53→55	40	226/275/318	92	294	7	20	25%	5%	68	-1.0	228/297/335	107	282	9	16	21%	6%	81	-0.1	225/300/334	109	273	9	18	20%	6%	81	-0.0
✕Shawn Payne 2014 · A	25	47→57	40	56→55	48	223/293/318	95	283	6	24	23%	8%	75	-0.5	211/279/311	100	290	7	16	28%	8%	68	-1.0	198/272/299	101	278	7	17	29%	8%	59	-1.1
✕Chris Rotondo 2024 · A	25	44→40	41→45	57→50	45	204/294/311	108	309	7	12	33%	9%	75	-0.5	207/276/301	94	329	8	13	37%	7%	65	-1.2	194/256/265	71	324	7	16	40%	6%	46	-1.6
✕Ryan LaMarre 2014 · AA	25	47→52	39→45	52→60	45	226/287/314	88	289	7	23	24%	6%	72	-0.7	221/274/325	104	297	10	17	28%	6%	70	-0.9	228/296/354	126	321	12	23	31%	6%	81	-0.0
✕Hunter Stovall 2022 · A	25	51→50	39→45	54→50	46	239/297/327	87	315	6	19	25%	7%	78	-0.3	235/282/335	100	295	8	15	22%	6%	74	-0.6	234/277/328	95	281	8	14	19%	5%	67	-0.8
✕Nate Eaton 2022 · A	25	40→49	40→45	55→60	43	194/260/285	90	269	7	19	29%	7%	55	-1.9	215/270/336	121	283	13	28	28%	6%	70	-0.8	210/267/331	121	274	12	27	27%	6%	67	-0.8
✕Anthony Granato 2006 · A	25	49→50	39→40	53→55	50	230/306/315	86	310	5	17	26%	10%	79	-0.2	219/298/312	93	307	7	17	28%	9%	76	-0.4	175/283/245	70	255	5	31	30%	12%	55	-0.4
✕Jake Snider 2024 · A	26	47	40→45	60→55	46	222/297/327	105	312	6	14	29%	8%	78	-0.3	215/307/309	94	303	6	20	28%	10%	79	-0.2	210/319/300	89	289	6	25	26%	11%	80	-0.1
✕Otto Kemp 2024 · A	24	41→49	40→50	51→50	44	196/281/291	94	288	7	14	32%	8%	65	-1.2	221/302/364	143	294	14	14	29%	6%	90	+0.6	216/301/368	151	282	17	14	28%	6%	90	+0.5
✕Daniel Lyons 2010 · A	25	43→47	40	51→50	49	206/289/302	96	264	7	15	23%	8%	70	-0.8	196/279/271	75	271	4	12	27%	9%	60	-1.6	170/265/220	50	242	2	11	27%	9%	42	-1.7
✕Jon Matthews 2015 · A	24	51	37→40	55→60	43	239/298/315	76	321	4	22	26%	6%	76	-0.4	218/288/287	69	298	4	12	26%	8%	66	-1.1	168/261/193	25	233	0	6	25%	10%	34	-1.1
✕Dairon Blanco 2019 · A	26	50	37→45	61→70	41	233/275/316	84	317	3	20	27%	5%	66	-1.1	213/262/321	108	307	8	27	31%	6%	63	-1.3	263/323/391	128	344	13	90	26%	6%	101	+0.7
✕Michael Gigliotti 2021 · A	25	48	37→40	54→55	43	224/285/302	78	301	4	22	25%	6%	68	-1.0	209/299/322	113	291	10	21	29%	9%	79	-0.2	196/303/305	109	266	10	24	27%	11%	76	-0.2
✕Jack Dunn 2022 · A	25	49→48	38→40	53→55	47	232/294/310	78	296	6	15	23%	7%	73	-0.6	222/304/296	74	290	6	18	23%	9%	74	-0.5	213/306/284	71	274	6	21	22%	10%	71	-0.6
✕Taylor Motter 2014 · A	24	48→49	41→50	53→55	50	228/294/330	102	281	7	24	21%	8%	78	-0.3	233/283/358	125	273	13	18	19%	6%	80	-0.1	198/274/355	157	245	19	5	27%	9%	76	-0.3
✕Connor Kokx 2024 · AA	24	44	39→40	54→60	48	209/298/296	87	286	6	23	27%	9%	73	-0.6	216/293/300	84	304	6	22	29%	7%	72	-0.7	199/279/224	26	297	0	37	30%	5%	46	-0.5
✕Tyler Saladino 2014 · AAA	25	44→47	40→45	55	48	212/283/302	90	273	7	23	24%	8%	68	-1.0	242/294/350	108	295	10	23	20%	6%	82	+0.0	258/304/376	118	306	11	25	19%	5%	91	+0.4
✕Jimmy Herron 2021 · A	25	40→48	41→45	48→55	47	196/269/292	95	251	8	14	25%	8%	60	-1.6	217/293/338	121	276	12	18	24%	8%	80	-0.2	228/301/359	131	273	14	24	21%	8%	85	+0.2
✕Ed Lucas 2007 · A	25	50→55	38→45	51→50	45	237/285/317	79	296	5	16	21%	6%	71	-0.8	238/291/334	96	299	8	15	22%	7%	77	-0.3	243/308/354	112	299	11	15	22%	8%	86	+0.2

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps