Wilmer Duarte

P DSL Brewers Blue

Age 19 RHP ROK

Overview

ROKPROSPECT

ETA2028MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2026	18	ROKDSL Brewers B…	11	1	29	11.17	6.48	8.1%	24.3%	—	K 5.5% · BB 30.3% · FIP 6.48
2027PROJ	19	MLBMIL	16	0	17	6.22	6.22	16.1%	20.0%	-0.3
2028PROJ49% MLB	20	MLBMIL	12	0	13	5.80	5.64	18.0%	16.8%	-0.2

Next 2 projected WAR -0.5Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 100%

CompsElvis Jerez (age 19) · Juan Soto (age 19) · Anthony Cruz (age 19)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 151143vR 135

ERA6.22

FIP6.22

K%16.1%

BB%20.0%

K-BB%-3.9%

Proj IP17

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 17 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†4040

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL Brewers Blue	11	1	29	173	14	42	0	9%	2.6	5.5%	30.3%	-24.8%	0.0%	11.17	6.48	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL Brewers Blue	11	1	29	173	14	42	0	9%	2.6	5.5%	30.3%	-24.8%	0.0%	11.17	6.48	—
2026	18	ROK RAW	DSL Brewers Blue	11	1	29	173	14	42	0	9%	2.6	8.1%	24.3%	-16.2%	0.0%	11.17	6.48	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	19	MLB	MIL	16	0	17	72	12	14	2	0%	1.1	16.1%	20.0%	-3.9%	2.9%	6.22	6.22	-0.3
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	20	MLB MLE	MIL	26	0	27	116	21	19	3	0%	1.1	18.0%	16.8%	1.1%	2.8%	5.80	5.64	-0.3
2028	20	MLB CTX	MIL	12	0	13	55	10	9	2	0%	1.1	18.0%	16.8%	1.1%	2.8%	5.80	5.64	-0.2
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		13	0	13	57	10	10	2	0%	1.0	18.0%	16.8%	1.1%	2.8%	5.80	5.26	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	148	148	30	0%	1.1	18.0%	16.8%	1.1%	2.8%	5.80	5.26	-1.7
Career	—	MLE		11	1	29	173	10	52	0	9%	2.6	5.5%	30.3%	-24.8%	0.0%	11.17	6.48	-0.3
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		76	7	200	1193	66	362	0	9%	2.6	5.5%	30.3%	-24.8%	0.0%	11.17	6.48	-2.5

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Wilmer Duarte (OGILVIE)	—	—	6.22	16.1%	20.0%	2.9%	—	5.64	18.0%	1.1%	27	-0.58	—	—	—
Elvis Jerez R 2019 · 6.39 FIP	19	SU	6.39	14.2%	22.8%	2.9%	.292	3.52	27.9%	8.0%	50	-2.87	3.13	109	89
Juan Soto R 2022 · 5.88 FIP	19	SW	5.88	16.4%	21.4%	2.7%	.274	6.68	8.9%	-15.1%	26	+0.80	5.06	102	85
Anthony Cruz R 2022 · 5.38 FIP	19	SW	5.38	16.7%	16.6%	2.9%	.237	4.19	18.2%	5.6%	180	-1.19	3.32	272	81
Jonny Cuevas R 2022 · 5.83 FIP	21	SU	5.83	12.3%	18.2%	2.7%	.281	4.58	13.6%	2.6%	225	-1.25	4.37	334	81
Edgar Sanchez R 2019 · 6.49 FIP	18	SW	6.49	14.3%	28.1%	1.9%	.198	3.85	17.3%	5.8%	114	-2.64	2.53	257	81
Alexis Paulino R 2022 · 5.30 FIP	19	SU	5.30	16.9%	21.2%	1.7%	.384	4.94	17.6%	-5.1%	73	-0.36	4.39	102	80
Alexis Liebano R 2023 · 6.15 FIP	20	SU	6.15	11.8%	24.2%	1.8%	.312	6.00	17.7%	3.8%	112	-0.15	4.80	142	80
Bryant Salgado R 2021 · 5.65 FIP	21	SW	5.65	14.2%	20.4%	2.1%	.219	4.83	15.9%	3.5%	89	-0.82	4.83	110	80
Emmanuel Duran R 2019 · 5.97 FIP	18	SW	5.97	14.8%	29.2%	0.8%	.330	3.80	18.8%	5.2%	56	-2.17	3.46	132	80
Junior Pina R 2022 · 5.93 FIP	19	SW	5.93	15.7%	22.4%	2.4%	.263	6.65	9.7%	-20.4%	26	+0.72	4.72	115	80
Ismael Maldonado R 2016 · 5.87 FIP	20	SU	5.87	9.8%	16.4%	2.8%	.280	6.60	13.5%	-3.6%	89	+0.73	5.87	119	79
Geison Urbaez R 2021 · 5.03 FIP	21	SW	5.03	14.1%	18.2%	1.5%	.322	4.71	15.5%	4.7%	112	-0.32	4.04	241	79
Eury Ramos R 2017 · 5.40 FIP	19	SW	5.40	13.0%	14.8%	2.8%	.343	7.19	14.1%	0.6%	29	+1.79	3.33	176	79
Moises Nolasco R 2016 · 5.49 FIP	19	SW	5.49	12.4%	18.2%	2.0%	.356	3.81	15.5%	4.3%	124	-1.68	3.13	154	79
Chase Chaney R 2019 · 6.31 FIP	19	SW	6.31	9.4%	22.3%	2.1%	.282	2.97	16.8%	11.0%	128	-3.34	2.72	599	79
Juan Arnaud R 2022 · 6.33 FIP	19	SU	6.33	14.6%	23.7%	2.7%	.330	4.40	18.8%	1.6%	102	-1.93	3.43	184	79
Cristofer Melendez R 2017 · 5.27 FIP	19	SW	5.27	11.9%	18.4%	1.5%	.287	3.44	24.2%	10.9%	118	-1.83	3.05	276	79
Alan Mundo R 2018 · 6.34 FIP	18	SW	6.34	12.2%	18.6%	3.5%	.317	3.90	19.2%	0.1%	17	-2.44	2.49	126	78
Randel Clemente R 2021 · 5.99 FIP	19	SW	5.99	14.3%	21.7%	2.4%	.270	4.60	21.8%	-1.8%	88	-1.39	3.74	214	78
Leudy Martinez R 2019 · 5.99 FIP	19	SW	5.99	15.2%	22.0%	2.5%	.292	—	—	—	—	—	3.40	116	78