Chase Chaney
P
Somerset Patriots
Age 26
RHP
6'1" / 199 lbs
AA
peak 0.7 · 2026
2026 ROS PROJECTION63 act + 87 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 135126vR 117
ERA5.15
FIP5.15
K%12.2%
BB%8.0%
K-BB%4.2%
ROS IP87
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 150 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019 | 19 | ROK | AZL Angels | 11 | 2 | 39 | 196 | 27 | 35 | 3 | 18% | 3.5 | 9.4% | 22.3% | -13.0% | 2.1% | 6.28 | 6.31 | — |
| 2019 | 19 | ROK | AZL Angels | 11 | 2 | 39 | 196 | 27 | 35 | 3 | 18% | 3.5 | 13.8% | 17.9% | -4.1% | 1.5% | 6.28 | 5.43 | — |
| 2021 | 21 | MIX | 3 levels | 15 | 3 | 41 | 198 | 54 | 12 | 2 | 20% | 2.8 | 20.1% | 7.4% | 12.7% | 0.7% | 4.57 | 2.72 | — |
| 2021 | 21 | MIX | 3 levels | 15 | 3 | 41 | 198 | 54 | 12 | 2 | 20% | 2.8 | 27.3% | 6.1% | 21.2% | 1.0% | 4.57 | 1.99 | — |
| 2022 | 22 | A | Inland Empire 66ers | 30 | 11 | 91 | 386 | 81 | 17 | 3 | 37% | 3.0 | 15.5% | 5.2% | 10.3% | 1.3% | 2.77 | 3.16 | — |
| 2022 | 22 | A | Inland Empire 66ers | 30 | 11 | 91 | 386 | 81 | 17 | 3 | 37% | 3.0 | 21.0% | 4.4% | 16.6% | 0.8% | 2.77 | 2.31 | — |
| 2023 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 25 | 20 | 114 | 493 | 85 | 36 | 6 | 80% | 4.5 | 13.4% | 8.1% | 5.3% | 1.6% | 3.80 | 3.87 | — |
| 2023 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 25 | 20 | 114 | 493 | 85 | 36 | 6 | 80% | 4.5 | 17.2% | 7.3% | 9.9% | 1.2% | 3.80 | 3.24 | — |
| 2024 | 24 | AA | Rocket City Trash Pandas | 26 | 25 | 138 | 603 | 103 | 42 | 19 | 96% | 5.3 | 13.8% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 4.30 | 5.08 | — |
| 2024 | 24 | AA | Rocket City Trash Pandas | 26 | 25 | 138 | 603 | 103 | 42 | 19 | 96% | 5.3 | 17.1% | 7.0% | 10.1% | 3.2% | 4.30 | 4.31 | — |
| 2025 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 26 | 21 | 119 | 504 | 91 | 30 | 10 | 81% | 4.6 | 13.9% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 2.7% | 3.77 | 4.25 | — |
| 2025 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 26 | 21 | 119 | 504 | 91 | 30 | 10 | 81% | 4.6 | 18.1% | 6.0% | 12.1% | 2.0% | 3.77 | 3.42 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 26 | AA | Somerset Patriots | 16 | 7 | 63 | 283 | 48 | 24 | 11 | 44% | 4.0 | 13.7% | 9.3% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.55 | 5.68 | -0.8 |
| ROS | 26 | MLB | NYY | 83 | 0 | 87 | 367 | 45 | 29 | 11 | 0% | 1.0 | 12.2% | 8.0% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 5.15 | 5.15 | -0.0 |
| ROS | 26 | MLB | NYY | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0% | 1.0 | 12.2% | 8.0% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 5.15 | 5.15 | -0.0 |
| 2026 TOT | 26 | MLB | NYY | — | — | 150 | 650 | 93 | 53 | 22 | — | — | 14.3% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 3.4% | 4.90 | 5.37 | +0.0 |
| 2026 FULL | 26 | MLB | NYY | — | — | 2 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | — | — | 12.2% | 8.0% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 5.15 | 4.77 | -0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 27 | MLB | NYY | 12 | 12 | 86 | 361 | 48 | 29 | 11 | 100% | 7.1 | 13.2% | 8.1% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 5.08 | 5.10 | -0.0 |
| 2028 | 28 | MLB | NYY | 12 | 12 | 83 | 350 | 48 | 29 | 11 | 100% | 6.9 | 13.7% | 8.2% | 5.5% | 3.2% | 5.08 | 5.12 | -0.1 |
| 2029 | 29 | MLB | NYY | 12 | 12 | 79 | 335 | 53 | 25 | 11 | 100% | 6.6 | 15.9% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 3.3% | 4.97 | 4.93 | +0.0 |
| 2030 | 30 | MLB | NYY | 11 | 11 | 74 | 315 | 49 | 25 | 11 | 100% | 6.8 | 15.7% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 3.5% | 5.04 | 5.10 | -0.2 |
| 2027 | 27 | MLB | NYY | 5 | 5 | 32 | 135 | 18 | 11 | 4 | 100% | 6.4 | 13.2% | 8.1% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 5.08 | 5.10 | -0.2 |
| 2028 | 28 | MLB | NYY | 7 | 7 | 49 | 207 | 28 | 17 | 7 | 100% | 7.0 | 13.7% | 8.2% | 5.5% | 3.2% | 5.08 | 5.12 | -0.3 |
| 2029 | 29 | MLB | NYY | 8 | 8 | 56 | 236 | 38 | 18 | 8 | 100% | 7.0 | 15.9% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 3.3% | 4.97 | 4.93 | -0.2 |
| 2030 | 30 | MLB | NYY | 8 | 8 | 58 | 245 | 38 | 19 | 9 | 100% | 7.2 | 15.7% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 3.5% | 5.04 | 5.10 | -0.4 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 30 | 29 | 198 | 835 | 124 | 66 | 28 | 97% | 6.6 | 14.8% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 3.3% | 5.04 | 4.68 | +1.7 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 31 | 29 | 200 | 844 | 125 | 67 | 28 | 95% | 6.5 | 14.8% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 3.3% | 5.04 | 4.68 | +1.7 | ||
| Career | — | 149 | 89 | 605 | 2663 | 377 | 225 | 69 | 60% | 4.1 | 14.1% | 8.5% | 5.7% | 2.6% | 4.04 | 4.40 | +7.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 49 | 29 | 200 | 880 | 124 | 74 | 23 | 60% | 4.1 | 14.1% | 8.5% | 5.7% | 2.6% | 4.04 | 4.40 | +2.3 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Chase Chaney (OGILVIE) | — | — | 5.15 | 12.2% | 8.0% | 3.1% | — | 5.05 | 14.2% | 6.2% | 248 | -0.10 | — | — | — |
| Bryce Morrow R 2027 · 4.48 FIP | 27 | SP- | 4.48 | 12.8% | 7.9% | 2.7% | .316 | 5.59 | 10.1% | -0.2% | 50 | +1.11 | 4.48 | 125 | 92 |
| Edgar Alberto Garcia R 2027 · 5.13 FIP | 27 | SP- | 5.13 | 11.6% | 9.8% | 3.2% | .263 | 4.14 | 15.3% | 5.2% | 167 | -0.99 | 3.84 | 272 | 89 |
| Colin Bates R 2027 · 4.59 FIP | 27 | SP- | 4.59 | 10.5% | 6.5% | 2.9% | .301 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.59 | 111 | 88 |
| Scott McGregor R 2028 · 4.19 FIP | 28 | SP- | 4.19 | 11.8% | 7.6% | 2.1% | .293 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.19 | 107 | 87 |
| Tony Bucciferro R 2025 · 4.96 FIP | 25 | SP- | 4.96 | 6.8% | 6.2% | 3.0% | .324 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.96 | 107 | 86 |
| Frank Batista R 2026 · 4.33 FIP | 26 | SP- | 4.33 | 12.1% | 8.2% | 2.2% | .280 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.33 | 118 | 86 |
| Terance Marin R 2026 · 5.01 FIP | 26 | SP- | 5.01 | 11.2% | 7.7% | 3.4% | .294 | 4.18 | 12.4% | 7.5% | 88 | -0.83 | 3.39 | 322 | 86 |
| Mike Augliera R 2025 · 4.28 FIP | 25 | SP- | 4.28 | 12.0% | 7.2% | 2.3% | .350 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.28 | 114 | 86 |
| Alex Sanabia R 2026 · 4.47 FIP | 26 | SP- | 4.47 | 11.4% | 7.9% | 2.4% | .358 | 3.56 | 11.1% | 6.2% | 161 | -0.91 | 3.51 | 378 | 86 |
| Mike McCarthy R 2027 · 4.79 FIP | 27 | SP- | 4.79 | 9.4% | 9.1% | 2.4% | .280 | 4.77 | 6.2% | -3.5% | 37 | -0.02 | 4.77 | 153 | 85 |
| Ivan Zavala R 2028 · 4.50 FIP | 28 | SP- | 4.50 | 7.0% | 4.7% | 2.6% | .312 | 4.84 | 12.2% | 4.3% | 50 | +0.34 | 4.31 | 209 | 82 |
| Mike Connolly R 2026 · 5.26 FIP | 26 | SW | 5.26 | 13.2% | 9.4% | 3.8% | .321 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.24 | 328 | 82 |
| Forrest Snow R 2026 · 4.80 FIP | 26 | SP- | 4.80 | 16.1% | 8.2% | 3.7% | .263 | 4.19 | 21.8% | 14.2% | 256 | -0.61 | 3.14 | 406 | 82 |
| Adam Panayotovich R 2025 · 5.45 FIP | 25 | SP- | 5.45 | 9.6% | 9.0% | 3.7% | .375 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.50 | 121 | 81 |
| Braden Olthoff R 2023 · 4.57 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.57 | 12.5% | 8.0% | 2.8% | .280 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.57 | 108 | 81 |
| Luke Irvine R 2027 · 4.17 FIP | 27 | SP- | 4.17 | 13.4% | 9.8% | 1.8% | .302 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.17 | 104 | 80 |
| Joel De La Cruz R 2026 · 4.28 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.28 | 10.3% | 6.7% | 2.2% | .276 | 4.47 | 14.4% | 5.8% | 120 | +0.19 | 4.28 | 205 | 80 |
| Ryan Doran R 2024 · 4.80 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.80 | 10.0% | 4.2% | 3.7% | .279 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.80 | 114 | 80 |
| Nolan Sanburn R 2026 · 4.25 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.25 | 15.0% | 10.4% | 2.0% | .310 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.91 | 169 | 80 |
| Chase Mallard R 2023 · 4.41 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.41 | 11.6% | 8.0% | 2.3% | .347 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.41 | 123 | 80 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 5 | 82 | 14.0% | 8.0% | 1.25 | 5.07 |
| Josh Fleming ('24) | 5 | 51 | 14.6% | 7.5% | 1.17 | 4.77 |
| Luis Perdomo ('22) | 5 | 90 | 16.6% | 7.8% | 1.08 | 5.09 |
| Ty Blach ('24) | 6 | 84 | 12.8% | 6.9% | 1.23 | 5.56 |
| Vance Worley ('17) | 3 | 77 | 15.4% | 8.5% | 1.02 | 4.73 |
| Odrisamer Despaigne ('18) | 4 | 63 | 13.5% | 8.1% | 0.96 | 5.54 |
| JC Ramírez ('17) | 3 | 83 | 17.0% | 7.7% | 1.30 | 4.33 |