Ezequiel Melburne

SS DSL LAD Bautista

Age 18 S/R ROK HR +8%BB -8% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

Overview

ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039

ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2026	17	ROKDSL LAD Bauti…	197	.222/.369/.323	2	9	28	—	.137/.256/.196
2027PROJ0% MLB	18	MLBLAD	307	.213/.289/.294	2	6	67	0.0
2028PROJ34% MLB	19	MLBLAD	86	.213/.291/.301	1	2	73	0.0
2029PROJ48% MLB	20	MLBLAD	183	.217/.296/.314	3	4	78	0.2

Next 3 projected WAR 0.2Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032MiLB2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+4

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 Rk

K%60

BB%56

Z-Con%43

ISO42

Whiff%37

Chase%36

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 1% · didn't stick 99%

CompsWelbyn Francisca (age 18) · Wilder Dalis (age 18) · Yolmer Sánchez (age 18)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 167 proj PA

wRC+†67

AVG/OBP/SLG.211 / .286 / .291

PA167

HR1

K%26

BB%8

ISO81

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$28M ctrl surplus

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2032	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.8	$2M	+$2M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.8	$2M	+$1M
2035	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.8	$2M	+$1M
2036	Arb-1	$4M	+0.7	$1M	+$0.0M
2037	Arb-2	$5M	+0.6	$1M	+$0.0M (cut)
2038	Arb-3	$6M	+0.4	$0.7M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$6M		$9M	+$4M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2026	17	ROK	DSL LAD Bautista	—	197	158	35	8	1	2	32	38	5	9	5	222	369	323	692	101	275	19	16	324	28	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2026	17	ROK MLE	DSL LAD Bautista	—	197	168	23	5	1	1	22	46	5	9	5	137	256	196	453	60	171	23	11	210	28	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	17	ROK MLE	DSL LAD Bautista	—	197	168	23	5	1	1	22	46	5	9	5	137	256	196	453	60	179	23	11	210	28	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	17	ROK RAW	DSL LAD Bautista	—	197	158	35	8	1	2	32	38	5	9	5	222	369	323	692	101	275	19	16	324	28	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	17	ROK MLE	DSL LAD Bautista	—	197	168	23	5	1	1	22	46	5	9	5	137	256	196	453	60	171	23	11	210	28	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2026	17	ROK MLE	DSL LAD Bautista	—	197	168	23	5	1	1	22	46	5	9	5	137	256	196	453	60	171	23	11	210	28	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	18	MLB MLE	LAD	0%	307	274	58	11	2	2	26	79	4	6	1	213	289	294	583	81	286	26	8	267	67	-12	+1	+0	+3	+7	0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	19	MLB MLE	LAD	34%	250	223	49	9	2	3	21	63	4	5	1	218	295	309	604	91	288	25	8	276	73	-8	+1	+0	+3	+5	0.1
2029	20	MLB MLE	LAD	48%	377	336	75	13	3	5	32	94	6	8	3	222	300	322	622	100	290	25	8	283	78	-10	+0	+0	+4	+8	0.3
2030	21	MLB MLE	LAD	54%	471	421	94	17	3	7	40	116	7	10	3	225	304	333	637	108	291	25	8	289	82	-10	+1	+0	+5	+10	0.6
2031	22	MLB MLE	LAD	57%	538	479	109	19	4	9	46	132	8	11	4	228	306	343	649	115	292	25	9	294	85	-10	+1	+0	+6	+12	0.9
2032	23	MLB MLE	LAD	58%	583	519	119	21	4	11	50	142	9	12	4	231	309	351	660	120	293	24	9	298	88	-9	+1	+0	+6	+13	1.1
2033	24	MLB MLE	LAD	57%	613	546	126	22	4	12	53	149	9	12	4	232	310	355	665	123	294	24	9	300	89	-8	+1	+0	+7	+13	1.3
2034	25	MLB MLE	LAD	57%	626	558	130	23	4	13	54	152	9	13	4	233	311	358	669	125	294	24	9	301	90	-7	+1	+0	+7	+14	1.4
2035	26	MLB MLE	LAD	57%	633	565	131	23	4	13	54	153	9	13	5	233	311	360	671	127	294	24	9	302	91	-7	+1	+0	+7	+14	1.4
2036	27	MLB MLE	LAD	55%	634	565	131	23	4	13	55	155	9	13	5	232	310	357	667	125	293	24	9	301	90	-8	+1	+0	+7	+14	1.4
2037	28	MLB MLE	LAD	55%	629	561	130	23	4	13	54	155	9	12	5	230	308	353	661	123	293	25	9	298	88	-9	+0	-1	+7	+14	1.1
2038	29	MLB MLE	LAD	53%	619	552	126	22	4	12	53	154	9	11	5	228	305	347	652	119	291	25	9	295	86	-11	+0	-1	+7	+13	0.8
2039	30	MLB MLE	LAD	53%	609	544	122	21	4	11	52	154	8	11	6	225	302	339	641	114	290	25	9	290	83	-13	-0	-2	+7	+13	0.5
2040	31	MLB MLE	LAD	52%	594	531	117	20	4	10	50	152	8	10	8	221	297	330	627	109	287	26	8	285	79	-15	-1	-3	+6	+13	0.0
2041	32	MLB MLE	LAD	52%	576	516	111	19	3	9	48	150	7	9	11	216	291	318	610	102	284	26	8	277	74	-18	-3	-4	+6	+12	-0.6
2028	19	MLB CTX	LAD	34%	86	78	17	3	1	1	7	22	1	2	1	213	291	301	592	88	281	26	8	271	73	-3	+0	+0	+1	+2	0.0
2029	20	MLB CTX	LAD	48%	183	163	36	6	1	3	15	46	3	4	1	217	296	314	610	97	283	25	8	279	78	-5	+0	+0	+2	+4	0.2
2030	21	MLB CTX	LAD	54%	255	227	51	9	2	4	22	63	4	5	2	221	300	326	626	105	284	25	9	285	82	-6	+0	+0	+3	+6	0.3
2031	22	MLB CTX	LAD	57%	305	271	60	10	2	5	26	75	5	6	2	224	303	336	639	112	285	25	9	290	85	-5	+0	+0	+3	+7	0.5
2032	23	MLB CTX	LAD	58%	336	299	69	12	2	7	29	82	5	7	2	226	305	345	649	118	286	24	9	294	88	-5	+1	+0	+4	+7	0.7
2033	24	MLB CTX	LAD	57%	349	311	71	12	2	7	30	85	5	7	2	228	306	349	655	121	287	24	9	296	89	-4	+1	+0	+4	+8	0.8
2034	25	MLB CTX	LAD	57%	355	317	72	12	2	8	30	86	5	7	3	229	307	352	659	123	287	24	8	297	90	-4	+0	+0	+4	+8	0.8
2035	26	MLB CTX	LAD	57%	358	319	73	12	2	8	31	87	5	7	3	229	307	354	661	125	287	24	9	298	91	-4	+0	+0	+4	+8	0.8
2036	27	MLB CTX	LAD	55%	352	314	72	12	2	8	30	86	5	7	3	228	306	351	658	123	287	24	9	297	90	-4	+0	+0	+4	+8	0.7
2037	28	MLB CTX	LAD	55%	345	307	70	12	2	7	30	85	5	7	3	226	304	347	651	121	286	25	9	294	88	-5	+0	-0	+4	+7	0.6
2038	29	MLB CTX	LAD	53%	331	295	67	11	2	7	28	82	5	6	3	224	302	341	643	117	285	25	8	291	86	-6	+0	-1	+4	+7	0.4
2039	30	MLB CTX	LAD	53%	321	287	64	11	2	6	27	81	4	6	3	221	298	334	632	112	283	25	8	287	83	-7	+0	-1	+3	+7	0.3
2040	31	MLB CTX	LAD	52%	310	277	60	10	2	5	26	79	4	5	4	217	294	324	618	107	281	25	8	281	79	-8	-1	-1	+3	+7	0.0
2041	32	MLB CTX	LAD	52%	299	268	56	9	1	5	25	78	4	5	6	212	288	312	600	100	277	26	8	274	74	-9	-1	-2	+3	+6	-0.3
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	4185	3733	838	141	25	81	356	1037	60	81	38	224	302	341	643	116	287	25	9	290	83	-75	+1	-6	+45	+91	5.7
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	580	131	22	4	13	55	161	9	13	6	226	303	345	648	119	288	25	8	290	83	-12	+0	-1	+7	+14	0.9
Career	—	MLE		—	8116	7233	1625	286	53	143	698	2010	118	162	74	225	303	338	641	114	289	25	9	291	83	-148	+3	-10	+85	+172	10.3
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	579	130	23	4	11	56	161	9	13	6	225	302	335	637	111	290	25	9	291	83	-12	+0	-1	+7	+14	0.8

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Chico Carrasquel'50-'59 * career totals — 10 seasons, 5,259 PA	7.9	5,259	55	31	251*	317*	361*	+54	+31	14.2	15.5
/162	664	7	4	+6.9	+3.9	1.8	pk7: 17
#2Bobby Crosbylast yr '10 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA	4.3	2,832	62	34	238	305	374	+28	+33	11.6	11.6
/162	664	15	8	+6.7	+7.7	2.7	pk7: 12
#3Danny Espinosalast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA	4.9	3,267	98	64	221	297	378	+16	+36	11.0	11.4
/162	664	20	13	+3.2	+7.3	2.2	pk7: 12
#4Dick Schofield'83-'96 * career totals — 12 seasons, 4,928 PA	7.4	4,928	56	120	227*	307*	330*	+52	+19	9.4	10.0
/162	664	8	16	+7.1	+2.5	1.3	pk7: 11
#5Cliff Penningtonlast yr '17 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,108 PA	4.7	3,108	36	84	243	310	341	+28	+29	9.2	9.5
/162	664	8	18	+5.9	+6.2	2.0	pk7: 10
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 8 projected seasons	6.6	4,351	78	83	228	302	344	+47	+24	8.7	7.6
/162	664	12	13	+7.1	+3.7	1.3	pk7: 7
#6Billy Urbanski'31-'37 * career totals — 6 seasons, 3,345 PA	5.0	3,345	19	24	237*	300*	353*	+32	+2	7.1	7.1
/162	664	4	5	+6.5	+0.4	1.4	pk7: 7

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Ezequiel Melburne (OGILVIE)	18	—	—	—	—	211/286/291	80	286	1	3	26%	8%	67	-0.3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Welbyn Francisca 2024 · A	18	44→41	39→45	50→55	48	208/283/300	92	277	5	12	25%	8%	68	-1.0	228/294/332	104	296	9	20	24%	8%	78	-0.3	225/294/339	114	289	12	24	25%	9%	78	-0.2
✕Wilder Dalis 2024 · A	18	42→51	35→45	51→55	44	199/258/257	57	266	2	15	25%	6%	47	-2.5	225/298/325	100	294	8	17	24%	9%	78	-0.3	235/311/365	130	312	13	19	27%	9%	91	+0.4
✕Yolmer Sánchez 2010 · A	18	43→53	36→50	50	46	200/279/270	70	293	4	8	30%	9%	59	-1.6	232/306/293	61	296	2	10	20%	8%	74	-0.6	247/308/360	113	308	7	9	21%	7%	90	+0.6
✕Riley Unroe 2014 · A	18	43→47	37→45	51→55	47	198/278/272	73	293	3	9	31%	9%	59	-1.7	199/262/264	65	278	4	9	28%	7%	51	-2.3	218/301/329	112	292	11	26	27%	10%	78	-0.1
✕Eddys Leonard 2019 · A	18	39→47	39→50	48→50	51	188/277/271	84	242	6	14	24%	10%	59	-1.6	207/281/319	112	295	10	8	31%	8%	72	-0.7	227/295/375	148	296	16	4	28%	6%	86	+0.3
✕Carlos Jimenez 2022 · A	19	36→44	39→50	53→55	48	177/265/262	85	249	7	11	30%	9%	53	-2.1	194/283/299	105	299	9	16	34%	10%	68	-1.0	223/303/376	153	308	17	18	31%	10%	89	+0.4
✕Leo Bernal 2022 · A	18	36→46	40→45	48→50	47	177/240/266	89	212	7	6	20%	7%	43	-2.8	216/280/326	110	279	11	5	25%	8%	72	-0.7	235/299/362	127	292	15	9	24%	8%	85	+0.2
✕Jonathan Martinez 2024 · A	17	40	36→40	54→65	49	184/282/254	70	267	3	16	29%	10%	58	-1.7	199/294/275	76	309	3	22	33%	10%	66	-1.1	201/317/288	87	345	4	40	37%	13%	76	-0.1
✕Thayron Liranzo 2022 · A	19	43	37→50	49→30	47	202/280/280	77	287	4	8	29%	9%	62	-1.4	208/291/366	158	303	18	3	35%	10%	86	+0.3	203/298/375	172	290	20	1	35%	11%	87	+0.2
✕Juan Villavicencio 2023 · A	18	41→44	37→50	55	45	194/259/272	77	267	4	14	28%	8%	51	-2.2	178/254/255	77	256	5	12	30%	8%	47	-2.6	193/266/307	113	285	10	20	34%	8%	61	-0.6
✕Leo Rivas 2016 · A	18	41→51	36→40	51→65	48	192/286/264	72	258	2	16	24%	8%	61	-1.5	206/297/278	72	286	3	17	26%	10%	68	-1.0	244/357/336	92	322	8	44	24%	14%	103	+1.0
✕Enrique Jimenez 2024 · A	18	42	37→55	48→45	48	198/271/282	84	258	3	6	23%	8%	59	-1.7	199/279/318	119	281	12	6	31%	10%	70	-0.8	186/279/321	135	256	16	4	32%	11%	69	-0.3
●Ronny Simon 2019 · A	19	40→50	36→50	47→60	46	190/268/261	71	256	3	11	25%	8%	53	-2.1	201/265/313	112	253	8	14	23%	7%	63	-1.3	273/337/383	110	340	8	30	21%	8%	103	+1.3
✕Javier Herrera 2024 · A	19	38	39→40	51→55	45	184/262/268	84	272	6	10	32%	9%	53	-2.1	204/298/290	86	279	5	15	26%	11%	71	-0.8	210/307/297	87	289	5	18	26%	11%	74	-0.2
✕Harold Garcia 2006 · A	19	42→52	37→45	49→55	43	197/267/273	76	272	3	10	27%	6%	55	-1.9	203/285/289	86	252	5	11	20%	7%	67	-1.1	253/305/360	108	338	8	26	26%	4%	87	+0.3
✕Kleiver Chauran 2024 · A	18	41	35→40	46→60	49	191/269/253	61	261	3	9	26%	9%	52	-2.2	186/297/254	68	260	3	17	26%	12%	63	-1.3	172/307/237	65	243	3	26	26%	14%	63	-0.5
✕Rosell Herrera 2012 · A	19	40→50	38→45	48→55	44	196/254/277	80	254	6	9	24%	6%	51	-2.3	225/276/310	85	304	7	10	27%	6%	65	-1.2	253/308/344	91	321	4	24	21%	7%	84	+0.1
✕Eliezer Álvarez 2013 · A	18	36→46	36→45	46→55	50	172/250/236	63	219	4	11	22%	8%	40	-3.0	203/255/297	94	259	5	11	22%	6%	55	-1.9	254/307/364	110	341	6	19	26%	6%	88	+0.3
✕Manuel Pena 2022 · A	18	38→48	38→50	50	45	187/249/259	72	249	5	15	26%	7%	45	-2.7	204/254/287	83	304	5	9	32%	6%	53	-2.1	238/273/365	128	316	15	5	29%	4%	76	-0.4
✕Angel Guzman 2024 · A	18	39	39→45	51→55	51	190/275/281	91	246	6	9	24%	9%	61	-1.5	193/294/290	97	272	8	10	29%	11%	70	-0.8	182/294/282	100	260	9	9	30%	12%	65	-0.4

Ezequiel Melburne

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps