Player 836594 — OGILVIE

Player 8365941B DSL Marlins

Age — —/— ROK HR -10%H -3% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 ROS PROJECTION209 act + 27 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†74

AVG/OBP/SLG.208 / .296 / .375

PA27

HR0

K%33

BB%7

BABIP283

ISO167

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$3M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 20 / POW 50

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT20

scouting grade only

POWER50

scouting grade only

EYE49

scouting grade only

SPEED79

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	—	—	—
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	—	—	—
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
YTD	—	ROK MLE	MIA	—	209	184	42	7	1	7	17	79	8	42	10	228	321	391	712	163	357	38	8	309	95	-1	+4	+0	-4	+5	0.4
▸ 2026 season
YTD	—	ROK RAW	MIA	—	209	174	59	11	2	10	27	55	8	42	10	339	450	598	1.047	259	450	26	13	457	95	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	—	ROK MLE	MIA	0%	27	24	5	1	0	1	2	9	1	3	1	208	296	375	671	167	291	33	7	277	74	-1	+0	+0	-0	+1	-0.1
TOT	—	ROK MLE	MIA	—	236	208	47	8	1	8	19	88	9	45	11	226	318	389	707	163	348	37	8	305	93	-2	+5	+0	-4	+5	0.4
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	25	MLB MLE	MIA	0%	332	296	60	10	2	8	27	111	6	15	3	203	283	331	614	128	290	33	8	280	76	-10	+2	+0	-6	+7	-0.7
2028	25	MLB MLE	MIA	0%	419	374	77	13	2	11	34	137	8	17	3	206	286	340	626	134	290	33	8	284	78	-11	+2	+0	-7	+9	-0.7
2029	25	MLB MLE	MIA	0%	478	427	89	15	3	13	39	153	9	19	3	208	288	349	637	141	290	32	8	287	80	-11	+3	+0	-9	+10	-0.7
2030	25	MLB MLE	MIA	0%	518	462	97	17	3	14	42	165	9	19	3	210	288	351	639	141	289	32	8	288	81	-12	+3	+0	-9	+11	-0.7
2031	25	MLB MLE	MIA	0%	546	486	103	18	3	15	45	174	10	20	4	212	292	354	646	142	289	32	8	288	81	-12	+2	+0	-10	+12	-0.8
2032	25	MLB MLE	MIA	0%	566	505	106	18	3	16	46	180	10	20	4	210	289	352	641	143	289	32	8	289	81	-12	+2	+0	-10	+12	-0.8
2033	25	MLB MLE	MIA	0%	581	517	109	19	3	16	48	185	11	21	4	211	292	352	644	141	288	32	8	289	82	-13	+3	+0	-10	+13	-0.8
2034	25	MLB MLE	MIA	0%	593	528	111	19	3	17	49	189	11	21	4	210	291	354	645	144	288	32	8	289	82	-13	+3	+0	-11	+13	-0.8
2027	25	MLB CTX	MIA	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	—	—	—	—	—	282	—	—	259	76	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
2028	25	MLB CTX	MIA	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	—	—	—	—	—	282	—	—	263	78	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
2029	25	MLB CTX	MIA	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	—	—	—	—	—	282	—	—	266	80	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
2030	25	MLB CTX	MIA	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	—	—	—	—	—	281	—	—	267	81	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
2031	25	MLB CTX	MIA	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	—	—	—	—	—	281	—	—	268	81	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
2032	25	MLB CTX	MIA	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	—	—	—	—	—	281	—	—	268	81	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
2033	25	MLB CTX	MIA	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	—	—	—	—	—	280	—	—	268	82	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
2034	25	MLB CTX	MIA	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	—	—	—	—	—	280	—	—	268	82	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
▸ Career Totals
Career	—	MLE		—	4060	3619	757	130	22	111	332	1303	75	155	29	209	289	349	638	140	290	32	8	287	80	-94	+19	+0	-72	+88	-6.1
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	579	122	21	4	18	53	209	12	25	5	211	290	354	644	143	293	32	8	287	80	-15	+3	+0	-12	+14	-1.0

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Michael Saunderslast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,711 PA	4.1	2,711	81	55	233	305	399	-12	-13	4.1	4.5
/162	664	20	13	-2.9	-3.2	1.0	pk7: 5
#2Gregory Polancolast yr '21 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,220 PA	4.8	3,220	96	98	241	309	409	-34	-28	3.8	4.4
/162	664	20	20	-7.1	-5.8	0.8	pk7: 5
#3Dustin Ackleylast yr '16 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,347 PA	3.5	2,347	46	31	241	304	367	-5	+7	3.8	3.8
/162	664	13	9	-1.3	+1.9	1.1	pk7: 4
#4Eric Young Jr.last yr '18 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,925 PA	2.9	1,925	13	161	245	312	332	-11	-8	1.2	1.6
/162	664	4	56	-3.9	-2.7	0.4	pk7: 2
#5Jake Cavelast yr '24 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,564 PA	2.4	1,564	45	13	236	292	400	-11	-6	1.3	1.3
/162	664	19	6	-4.5	-2.5	0.6	pk7: 1
#6Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	2.5	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
/162	664	16	13	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 9 projected seasons	6.6	4,353	115	165	208	285	347	-49	+0	-1.2	-0.6
/162	664	18	25	-7.5	+0.0	-0.2	pk7: 0

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Player 836594 (OGILVIE)	25	20	50	79	49	198/280/324	127	291	8	30	35%	8%	74	-0.3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Tyler Tolbert 2023 · A	25	39→49	39→45	70→65	42	185/254/277	92	281	5	40	34%	8%	51	-2.2	217/272/314	97	302	7	40	29%	6%	65	-1.2	227/289/306	79	310	6	60	27%	6%	68	-0.5
✕David Hamilton 2022 · AA	24	43→42	42→50	65→70	46	209/270/321	112	273	8	36	26%	8%	67	-1.1	209/277/330	121	275	12	50	27%	8%	72	-0.7	226/287/352	126	279	13	56	23%	8%	79	-0.1
✕Mike Antico 2023 · AA	25	41→43	44→45	62→60	44	204/273/323	120	275	11	36	29%	8%	69	-0.9	216/278/333	117	291	12	34	28%	7%	73	-0.6	217/280/331	115	292	12	35	28%	7%	70	-0.7
✕Adam Engel 2016 · A	24	43→48	39→50	61→60	39	206/259/291	85	296	6	33	31%	6%	55	-1.9	204/263/313	109	290	8	25	31%	6%	62	-1.4	223/283/355	132	299	13	23	29%	5%	77	-0.2
✕Jorge Mateo 2019 · AAA	24	39→48	41→50	61→65	36	194/237/304	110	283	7	27	33%	5%	50	-2.3	210/250/334	124	301	10	22	32%	4%	62	-1.4	213/255/343	130	274	13	52	27%	5%	65	-0.4
✕Steward Berroa 2023 · AA	24	39→49	43→45	68→65	44	192/265/310	118	278	10	46	33%	9%	63	-1.4	217/291/323	106	319	9	46	32%	9%	75	-0.5	221/299/315	94	323	7	52	31%	9%	75	-0.3
✕Marland Williams 2006 · AA	25	42→40	41→45	62→60	39	205/250/307	102	286	8	32	31%	6%	55	-1.9	186/245/300	114	318	11	30	42%	7%	53	-2.1	160/225/274	114	291	12	34	47%	7%	37	-1.8
✕Cam Eden 2023 · AA	25	41→49	45→40	61→65	38	201/269/320	119	309	13	38	37%	7%	68	-1.0	202/271/289	87	299	7	42	32%	7%	61	-1.5	194/265/267	73	285	5	49	31%	7%	51	-1.2
✕Ryan Strausborger 2013 · AA	25	46→47	40→45	61→55	40	220/267/322	102	287	6	21	25%	5%	65	-1.2	218/259/320	102	276	8	24	23%	4%	62	-1.4	204/257/296	92	271	9	28	27%	5%	53	-1.0
✕Eli Iorg 2008 · A	25	45→50	47→50	59→55	37	226/266/369	143	303	14	24	30%	4%	76	-0.4	229/264/344	115	313	10	17	29%	4%	69	-0.9	240/270/352	112	320	10	19	28%	3%	70	-0.7
✕Tanner Kirwer 2022 · AA	26	43	44→40	61→60	47	212/300/327	115	295	13	36	30%	9%	80	-0.1	208/281/298	90	298	9	31	31%	8%	67	-1.1	196/267/262	66	284	7	35	31%	7%	51	-1.1
✕Max Schuemann 2022 · AAA	25	46→48	40→45	59→60	44	218/292/312	94	289	7	32	26%	7%	74	-0.5	225/316/336	111	307	10	25	28%	9%	88	+0.5	221/319/328	107	303	11	22	28%	10%	86	+0.2
✕Brewer Hicklen 2022 · AA	26	44→52	48→50	60	41	214/285/355	141	322	17	33	37%	8%	81	-0.1	197/277/351	154	302	18	33	38%	8%	78	-0.3	212/288/361	150	295	19	38	33%	7%	82	-0.0
✕Andrew Cain 2015 · A	25	41→37	45→50	57→50	39	207/258/333	126	286	12	14	31%	6%	65	-1.2	190/248/312	122	317	13	9	41%	7%	57	-1.8	153/216/273	120	258	13	8	44%	7%	34	-2.2
✕Billy Cook 2023 · A	24	36→42	47→50	57→55	33	182/239/318	135	298	14	20	42%	5%	55	-1.9	203/262/336	133	286	15	22	33%	6%	68	-1.0	207/271/333	126	286	14	25	31%	7%	68	-0.6
✕Cooper Bowman 2023 · A	23	38→43	43→45	59→60	43	188/270/295	107	285	11	31	36%	8%	62	-1.4	205/277/320	115	284	11	35	30%	8%	70	-0.9	202/274/318	116	272	11	40	28%	8%	66	-0.7
✕Greg Jones 2023 · AA	25	46→43	46→45	63→65	35	213/279/343	130	351	14	38	41%	6%	76	-0.4	203/265/324	121	364	13	41	45%	6%	66	-1.1	194/263/295	100	353	11	53	44%	7%	56	-1.0
✕Justin Dean 2022 · AA	25	45→49	43→45	58→65	40	213/287/325	111	324	10	27	35%	7%	75	-0.5	201/281/291	90	318	7	33	36%	8%	65	-1.2	212/292/295	83	324	7	47	34%	9%	67	-0.7
✕Lane Adams 2015 · AA	25	46	43→45	57→60	43	224/279/338	114	287	10	27	25%	6%	74	-0.5	228/281/349	121	306	12	31	28%	6%	77	-0.3	227/280/350	123	310	14	36	30%	6%	74	-0.4
✕Anthony Jackson 2008 · A	24	43→53	41→40	61→55	42	209/264/315	106	286	6	19	28%	6%	63	-1.4	228/283/306	78	291	4	25	21%	6%	68	-1.0	250/318/323	72	306	4	28	18%	7%	83	+0.0

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps