Riely Hunsaker

P Myrtle Beach Pelicans

Age 24 RHP 6'4" / 235 lbs A

Overview

APROSPECT

ETA2028MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2026	23	ACHC	26	8	85	5.08	3.63	23.5%	7.9%	—	K 17.4% · BB 9.3% · FIP 4.77
2027PROJ	24	MLBCHC	57	0	60	4.76	4.76	18.9%	9.3%	-0.1
2028PROJ43% MLB	25	MLBCHC	31	0	33	4.66	4.62	20.0%	9.0%	-0.0
2029PROJ66% MLB	26	MLBCHC	49	0	51	4.59	4.56	20.6%	9.0%	-0.0

Next 3 projected WAR -0.2Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 98%

CompsDanny Kirwin (age 24) · Shohei Tomioka (age 25) · Dakota Hawkins (age 24)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 124115vR 107

ERA4.76

FIP4.76

K%18.9%

BB%9.3%

K-BB%9.6%

Proj IP60

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 60 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†4550

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2026	23	A MLE	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	26	8	85	366	86	29	10	31%	3.3	17.4%	9.3%	8.0%	3.6%	5.08	4.77	—
2026	23	A MLE	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	26	8	85	366	86	29	10	31%	3.3	17.4%	9.3%	8.0%	3.6%	5.08	4.77	—
2026	23	A RAW	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	26	8	85	366	86	29	10	31%	3.3	23.5%	7.9%	15.6%	2.7%	5.08	3.63	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	24	MLB	CHC	57	0	60	253	48	24	8	0%	1.1	18.9%	9.3%	9.6%	3.1%	4.76	4.76	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	25	MLB MLE	CHC	74	0	78	327	66	30	10	0%	1.0	20.0%	9.0%	11.0%	3.1%	4.66	4.62	-0.1
2029	26	MLB MLE	CHC	74	0	78	327	67	29	10	0%	1.0	20.6%	9.0%	11.6%	3.1%	4.59	4.56	-0.0
2030	27	MLB MLE	CHC	73	0	76	322	67	29	10	0%	1.0	20.8%	9.1%	11.7%	3.1%	4.59	4.59	-0.0
2031	28	MLB MLE	CHC	70	0	74	312	65	29	10	0%	1.1	20.7%	9.2%	11.5%	3.2%	4.63	4.67	-0.1
2032	29	MLB MLE	CHC	67	0	71	299	61	28	10	0%	1.1	20.4%	9.5%	11.0%	3.4%	4.73	4.80	-0.2
2033	30	MLB MLE	CHC	63	0	66	281	56	27	10	0%	1.1	20.1%	9.8%	10.3%	3.6%	4.88	4.97	-0.3
2028	25	MLB CTX	CHC	31	0	33	139	28	13	4	0%	1.1	20.0%	9.0%	11.0%	3.1%	4.66	4.62	-0.0
2029	26	MLB CTX	CHC	49	0	51	215	44	19	7	0%	1.0	20.6%	9.0%	11.6%	3.1%	4.59	4.56	-0.0
2030	27	MLB CTX	CHC	56	0	59	249	52	23	8	0%	1.1	20.8%	9.1%	11.7%	3.1%	4.59	4.59	-0.0
2031	28	MLB CTX	CHC	59	0	62	262	54	24	8	0%	1.1	20.7%	9.2%	11.5%	3.2%	4.63	4.67	-0.1
2032	29	MLB CTX	CHC	59	0	62	262	54	25	9	0%	1.1	20.4%	9.5%	11.0%	3.4%	4.73	4.80	-0.2
2033	30	MLB CTX	CHC	57	0	60	253	51	25	9	0%	1.1	20.1%	9.8%	10.3%	3.6%	4.88	4.97	-0.3
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		312	0	327	1382	283	128	45	0%	1.0	20.5%	9.3%	11.2%	3.2%	4.68	4.33	+0.8
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	173	78	28	0%	1.0	20.5%	9.3%	11.2%	3.2%	4.68	4.33	+0.5
Career	—	MLE		26	8	85	366	64	34	13	31%	3.3	17.4%	9.3%	8.0%	3.6%	5.08	4.77	-0.7
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		61	19	200	861	150	81	31	31%	3.3	17.4%	9.3%	8.0%	3.6%	5.08	4.77	-0.3

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Riely Hunsaker (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.76	18.9%	9.3%	3.1%	—	4.59	20.5%	11.4%	231	-0.17	—	—	—
Danny Kirwin R 2024 · 4.19 FIP	24	SW	4.19	17.9%	9.9%	2.4%	.262	5.33	16.8%	4.6%	91	+1.14	4.16	161	91
Shohei Tomioka R 2021 · 4.00 FIP	25	SW	4.00	18.9%	9.0%	2.5%	.311	4.39	17.2%	4.0%	141	+0.39	3.65	301	90
Dakota Hawkins R 2024 · 4.31 FIP	24	SW	4.31	16.3%	8.9%	2.7%	.277	4.32	19.4%	10.4%	102	+0.01	3.50	186	88
Paulshawn Pasqualotto R 2024 · 4.84 FIP	23	SW	4.84	15.6%	9.5%	3.4%	.354	3.77	20.2%	10.8%	111	-1.07	3.73	186	85
Ryan Tapani R 2019 · 3.86 FIP	25	SW	3.86	19.0%	7.3%	2.6%	.331	5.56	20.8%	10.6%	47	+1.70	3.86	141	85
Brad Deppermann R 2021 · 4.51 FIP	25	SW	4.51	17.1%	9.6%	3.0%	.289	3.52	20.0%	7.8%	45	-0.99	1.94	143	84
Daniel Blair R 2023 · 4.10 FIP	24	SW	4.10	16.6%	10.0%	2.1%	.284	4.39	17.0%	7.8%	78	+0.29	4.10	171	84
Kyle Zimmer R 2015 · 3.74 FIP	23	SW	3.74	21.8%	8.6%	2.5%	.293	4.55	20.4%	9.0%	33	+0.81	2.08	276	84
Yaisel Sierra R 2016 · 4.32 FIP	25	SW	4.32	16.9%	8.6%	2.8%	.338	3.04	22.4%	12.3%	71	-1.28	3.04	176	84
Nick Hull R 2024 · 4.62 FIP	24	SW	4.62	19.0%	12.2%	2.9%	.296	5.00	16.8%	6.2%	111	+0.38	4.26	292	84
Jeff Niemann R 2008 · 5.04 FIP	25	SW	5.04	18.4%	10.5%	4.0%	.294	4.16	17.4%	10.3%	490	-0.88	2.96	544	82
T.J. Weir R 2016 · 3.97 FIP	24	SW	3.97	20.0%	9.1%	2.5%	.319	3.43	19.0%	9.6%	190	-0.54	3.15	349	82
Tristan Stevens R 2023 · 4.14 FIP	25	SW	4.14	17.3%	8.2%	2.7%	.411	3.68	15.0%	7.7%	91	-0.46	3.68	126	81
Orlando Ortiz-Mayr R 2022 · 4.61 FIP	24	SU	4.61	21.0%	13.2%	2.9%	.341	4.74	15.7%	4.0%	343	+0.13	3.65	492	81
Jake Lyons R 2023 · 4.13 FIP	24	SW	4.13	20.1%	8.5%	3.0%	.337	—	—	—	—	—	4.13	174	81
Thomas Ponticelli R 2021 · 4.50 FIP	24	SW	4.50	17.2%	9.7%	3.0%	.264	5.25	15.1%	3.8%	163	+0.75	2.59	367	81
Hunter Adkins R 2016 · 4.64 FIP	25	SW	4.64	16.2%	10.3%	2.9%	.290	4.82	11.8%	0.5%	58	+0.18	4.64	160	81
Peyton Pallette R 2024 · 4.38 FIP	23	SW	4.38	20.7%	10.9%	3.0%	.309	3.59	25.9%	13.5%	119	-0.79	3.54	273	81
Matt Marsh R 2015 · 4.14 FIP	24	SW	4.14	15.5%	10.7%	1.8%	.275	3.65	20.5%	11.4%	70	-0.49	3.13	143	80
Scott Burke R 2018 · 4.55 FIP	24	SW	4.55	14.2%	7.7%	3.0%	.316	5.27	14.9%	6.7%	61	+0.72	4.55	119	80

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,474 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 720 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	2.5	72	20.3%	9.3%	1.24	4.68
Luis Vizcaino ('09)	2.7	68	21.0%	10.1%	1.30	4.33
Josias Manzanillo ('04)	1.7	57	20.0%	10.2%	1.21	4.71
J. C. Gutierrez ('07-'14, -0 WAR*)	1.4	57	19.8%*	8.5%*	1.19*	4.72*
Bill Scherrer ('82-'88, 1 WAR*)	1.6	62	20.7%*	10.2%*	1.19*	4.44*
Bob Macdonald ('90-'96, 1 WAR*)	1.2	59	18.3%*	9.8%*	1.20*	4.32*
Steve Wilson ('88-'93, 0 WAR*)	1.7	69	21.6%*	8.8%*	1.25*	4.84*