Hayden Friese — OGILVIE

Hayden FrieseOF Augusta GreenJackets

Age 21 L/R 6'1" / 220 lbs A Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

2026 ROS PROJECTION110 act + 73 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†45

AVG/OBP/SLG.181 / .259 / .256

PA73

HR1

K%35

BB%8

BABIP280

ISO75

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	20	A	Augusta GreenJackets	—	91	77	15	0	0	0	12	35	1	1	0	195	311	195	506		349	38	13	239	41	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A	Augusta GreenJackets	—	91	71	17	0	0	0	18	24	1	1	0	239	400	239	639		354	26	20	315	99	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	21	A	ATL	—	110	97	11	1	0	1	10	52	3	2	1	113	218	155	373	41	227	47	9	179	-5	-13	+0	+0	-1	+3	-1.1
YTD	21	A	ATL	—	110	91	14	2	0	1	16	37	3	2	1	154	300	209	509	55	245	34	15	254	53	-6	+0	+0	-1	+3	-0.3
ROS	21	A	ATL	0%	73	66	12	2	0	1	6	26	1	1	0	181	259	256	515	75	280	35	8	245	45	-5	+0	+0	-0	+2	-0.3
ROS	21	MLB	ATL	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		280	—	—	234	37	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
FULL	21	A	ATL	—	110	98	11	1	0	1	10	52	3	2	1	112	218	153	371	41	222	47	9	179	-5	-13	+0	+0	-1	+3	-1.1
TOT	21	A	ATL	—	183	163	23	3	0	2	16	78	4	3	1	141	235	196	430	55	252	43	9	205	15	-18	+0	+0	-1	+5	-1.4
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	22	MLB	ATL	34%	239	214	40	6	1	4	20	82	3	3	1	187	266	280	546	93	284	34	8	257	55	-12	+0	+0	-1	+7	-0.7
2028	23	MLB	ATL	48%	342	305	62	10	2	7	29	114	5	4	1	203	283	318	601	115	285	33	8	265	61	-15	+0	+0	-2	+10	-0.7
2027	22	MLB	ATL	34%	82	74	13	2	0	1	7	28	1	1	0	176	256	243	499	68	284	34	9	247	47	-5	+0	+0	-0	+2	-0.3
2028	23	MLB	ATL	48%	166	149	30	5	1	3	14	55	2	2	1	201	279	309	588	107	285	33	8	255	54	-9	+0	+0	-1	+5	-0.5
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	248	224	43	7	1	4	21	83	3	3	1	192	271	286	557	94	283	33	8	253	52	-14	+0	+0	-1	+7	-0.8
/ 162G	—			—	650	587	112	18	3	10	55	218	8	8	3	191	270	283	553	92	282	34	8	253	52	-36	+0	+0	-4	+18	-2.1
Career	—			—	745	662	129	18	3	12	67	257	10	9	2	195	279	285	564	91	294	34	9	257	55	-38	+1	+0	-4	+21	-2.0
/ 162G	—			—	650	578	113	16	3	10	58	224	9	8	2	196	279	285	565	90	297	34	9	257	55	-33	+1	+0	-4	+18	-1.8

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	20	A	Augusta GreenJackets	—	91	71	17	0	0	0	18	24	1	1	0	239	400	239	639		354	26	20	315	99	-0	+0	—	—	+3	0.3

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Chad Moellerlast yr '09 career totals — 10 seasons, 1,524 PA	10	1,524	29	2	226	288	351	+19	+14	3.8	4.3
	/162	664	13	1	226	288	351	+8.5	+6.2	1.6	pk7: 5
#2Adam Rosaleslast yr '17 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,756 PA	9	1,756	47	16	227	293	367	+6	+8	3.0	3.5
	/162	664	18	6	227	293	367	+2.4	+3.0	1.1	pk7: 4
#3Guillermo Heredialast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,530 PA	6	1,530	25	6	231	311	345	+3	+17	3.5	3.5
	/162	664	11	3	231	311	345	+1.2	+7.6	1.5	pk7: 3
#4Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	7	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
#4Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	/162	664	9	2	230	279	335	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
#5Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	6	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
	/162	664	16	13	232	299	363	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 2 projected seasons	2	365	6	4	198	272	299	-2	+0	-0.9	-0.4
	/162	664	12	7	198	272	299	-4.0	+0.0	-1.6	pk7: 0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	7	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
	/162	664	7	14	231	275	323	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Hayden Friese (OGILVIE)	21	—	—	—	—	141/235/196	55	252	2	3	43%	9%	15	-1.4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Cole Roederer 2021 · A	21	38→31	43→45	51→50	41	190/257/298	109	284	11	12	35%	8%	52	-1.6	205/269/317	112	309	11	12	35%	7%	62	-0.9	180/254/293	113	270	13	11	36%	8%	49	-1.0
✕Leandro Pineda 2023 · A	21	36→39	39→45	47→45	42	172/250/266	95	272	5	6	36%	8%	41	-2.3	201/268/322	121	279	12	6	31%	7%	63	-0.9	202/271/322	120	261	12	6	26%	7%	62	-0.5
✕Nathan Mikolas 2015 · A	21	40	40	48→45	40	192/263/284	91	288	8	7	34%	7%	51	-1.7	209/269/302	93	304	9	6	32%	6%	58	-1.2	199/260/285	86	285	10	4	32%	6%	46	-0.6
✕Brenden Webb 2011 · A	21	38→42	41→45	53→50	43	184/261/289	104	283	8	7	35%	8%	51	-1.7	187/272/290	103	314	9	10	39%	10%	56	-1.3	173/263/277	104	295	10	10	41%	10%	47	-1.4
✕Andry Arias 2021 · A	21	40	40	52→40	41	192/259/281	89	288	7	8	34%	7%	48	-1.9	189/254/288	99	297	8	6	37%	7%	48	-1.9	161/231/261	100	250	9	3	37%	7%	29	-1.0
✕Travis Swaggerty 2019 · A	21	39→44	41→45	50→55	39	190/249/286	95	278	8	7	33%	6%	45	-2.1	210/274/308	98	300	9	15	31%	8%	61	-1.0	203/269/303	100	297	8	19	32%	8%	54	-0.9
✕Jared Walker 2017 · A	21	37→31	40→55	44→45	37	179/240/268	89	302	8	7	42%	7%	37	-2.7	185/254/339	154	308	18	5	44%	7%	63	-0.9	167/248/330	163	274	21	5	45%	7%	55	-0.9
✕Estee Harris 2006 · A	21	36→31	43→50	50	37	187/233/300	113	268	11	14	34%	5%	41	-2.3	188/238/287	99	315	9	13	41%	6%	40	-2.4	172/224/263	91	318	8	13	46%	6%	25	-1.1
✕Johnny Woodard 2006 · A	21	40→36	44→45	49→30	40	202/259/318	116	294	13	4	35%	7%	57	-1.2	195/267/316	121	306	13	3	38%	8%	62	-0.9	186/274/315	130	283	14	1	37%	9%	62	-0.5
✕Aaron Bracho 2022 · A	21	33→37	42→50	43→40	40	168/236/266	98	260	10	5	37%	8%	35	-2.8	181/248/304	123	261	14	4	35%	7%	50	-1.7	193/255/337	144	244	19	4	29%	7%	59	-0.6
✕Agustin Ruiz 2021 · A	21	39→33	37→50	46→40	39	183/245/258	75	293	4	4	37%	7%	36	-2.7	188/254/331	143	272	18	4	37%	7%	59	-1.1	172/243/327	155	240	22	2	37%	6%	53	-1.0
✕Je'Von Ward 2021 · A	21	42→35	36→45	47→50	43	196/259/266	70	298	4	8	34%	8%	43	-2.2	198/247/286	88	325	7	10	39%	6%	43	-2.2	189/272/316	127	289	15	8	37%	10%	63	-0.4
✕Rixon Wingrove 2021 · A	21	43→35	42→55	44→40	42	210/265/319	109	287	9	4	29%	7%	59	-1.1	185/250/320	135	298	16	4	41%	6%	55	-1.4	184/257/346	162	273	22	3	39%	7%	61	-0.5
✕Misael Urbina 2023 · A	21	38→29	42→45	49→50	44	189/258/299	110	261	8	12	30%	8%	53	-1.5	172/250/256	84	262	6	9	34%	9%	38	-2.6	154/242/228	74	235	5	8	33%	9%	26	-2.0
✕Izzy Wilson 2019 · A	21	38→33	42→45	51→55	35	182/239/283	101	310	10	13	43%	7%	40	-2.4	189/256/299	110	324	12	18	42%	8%	51	-1.7	177/246/305	129	273	16	23	39%	8%	46	-1.1
✕Josh Sale 2012 · A	21	37	40→45	46→40	43	186/236/281	95	239	7	6	25%	6%	37	-2.6	204/274/310	106	303	9	6	33%	9%	62	-0.9	192/271/308	116	304	12	4	38%	9%	60	-0.5
✕Izaac Pacheco 2023 · A	20	40→39	42→55	47→45	41	197/258/304	107	294	9	8	35%	7%	53	-1.5	182/243/308	126	303	14	5	42%	7%	49	-1.8	175/248/341	166	298	20	3	46%	8%	58	-0.6
✕Gage Canning 2019 · A	22	42→36	44→40	50	37	206/259/329	123	314	11	8	37%	6%	60	-1.0	195/245/283	88	323	7	9	39%	5%	42	-2.3	191/241/271	80	315	6	8	39%	5%	33	-1.9
✕Jacob Wetzel 2022 · A	22	42→35	42→45	48→50	41	201/278/302	101	315	11	8	37%	8%	62	-0.9	191/267/301	110	282	11	12	34%	8%	57	-1.2	178/257/294	116	258	11	14	33%	8%	48	-1.0
✕Henrry Rosario 2014 · A	21	37	38→45	47→45	44	180/249/266	85	257	5	8	30%	8%	40	-2.4	199/253/304	105	256	8	7	24%	6%	50	-1.7	205/253/337	132	255	14	9	25%	5%	57	-0.4