Rony Calderon — OGILVIE

Rony Calderon P FCL Red Sox

Age 18 LHP 5'10" / 188 lbs ROK

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 14 proj IP

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 113121vR 129

ERA5.07

FIP5.07

K%23.1%

BB%15.0%

K-BB%8.1%

ROS IP14

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 14 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5555

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Red Sox Blue	4	1	9	36	10	3	0	25%	2.2	27.8%	8.3%	19.4%	0.0%	2.00	1.81	—
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Red Sox Blue	4	1	9	36	10	3	0	25%	2.2	27.8%	8.3%	19.4%	0.0%	2.00	1.81	—
2025	17	ROK RAW	DSL Red Sox Blue	4	1	9	36	10	3	0	25%	2.2	27.8%	8.3%	19.4%	0.0%	2.00	1.88	—
▸ 2026 season
YTD	18	ROK MLE	FCL Red Sox	14	0	20	99	26	25	2	0%	1.5	17.9%	31.6%	-13.7%	2.8%	4.43	7.14	—
YTD	18	ROK MLE	FCL Red Sox	14	0	20	99	26	25	2	0%	1.5	17.9%	31.6%	-13.7%	2.8%	4.43	7.14	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	18	ROK RAW	BOS	14	0	20	99	26	25	2	0%	1.4	26.3%	25.3%	1.0%	2.0%	4.43	5.19	—
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	19	MLB MLE	BOS	20	0	21	88	21	12	3	0%	1.0	23.5%	13.1%	10.4%	2.9%	4.86	4.77	-0.1
2027	19	MLB CTX	BOS	10	0	10	42	10	6	1	0%	1.0	23.5%	13.1%	10.4%	2.9%	4.86	4.77	-0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		10	0	10	43	10	6	1	0%	1.0	23.5%	13.1%	10.4%	2.9%	4.86	4.39	+0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	195	117	19	0%	1.0	23.5%	13.1%	10.4%	2.9%	4.86	4.39	+0.4
Career	—	MLE		18	1	29	135	28	34	3	6%	1.6	20.5%	25.4%	-4.9%	2.1%	3.68	5.72	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		123	7	200	920	189	234	19	6%	1.6	20.5%	25.4%	-4.9%	2.1%	3.68	5.72	-0.5

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Rony Calderon (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.07	23.1%	15.0%	3.0%	—	4.77	23.5%	10.4%	21	-0.30	—	—	—
Daniel Juarez L 2019 · 4.45 FIP	18	SU	4.45	24.9%	14.7%	2.9%	.389	4.24	26.5%	9.0%	68	-0.21	3.68	221	83
Gregori Louis L 2022 · 5.03 FIP	19	SU	5.03	25.4%	13.1%	4.4%	.364	4.96	19.1%	2.9%	89	-0.07	3.58	149	80
Denny Bentley L 2018 · 4.85 FIP	20	SU	4.85	19.6%	10.3%	3.8%	.318	2.88	25.4%	10.3%	58	-1.97	2.88	175	78
Yenfri Sosa L 2022 · 4.27 FIP	18	SU	4.27	17.5%	14.3%	1.5%	.354	4.38	22.5%	6.3%	91	+0.11	2.49	128	77
CD Pelham L 2015 · 4.77 FIP	20	SU	4.77	18.8%	18.7%	1.6%	.286	4.00	20.4%	7.8%	109	-0.77	3.39	284	75
Adam Macko L 2019 · 3.88 FIP	18	SW	3.88	22.4%	14.6%	1.5%	.353	3.64	27.2%	12.4%	72	-0.24	3.40	403	74
Nicolo Pinazzi L 2021 · 4.55 FIP	21	SU	4.55	25.7%	21.3%	1.7%	.389	5.41	22.7%	0.2%	76	+0.86	2.58	155	74
Peter Bonilla L 2023 · 4.27 FIP	18	SU	4.27	19.3%	18.7%	0.8%	.267	5.81	19.9%	-3.2%	70	+1.54	4.27	134	74
Yordy Herrera L 2023 · 4.98 FIP	18	SU	4.98	20.6%	23.1%	1.3%	.283	4.88	21.2%	1.8%	117	-0.10	3.87	163	73
Vance Tatum L 2016 · 5.04 FIP	21	SU	5.04	17.2%	9.7%	3.9%	.319	5.06	15.6%	2.3%	85	+0.02	4.90	116	72
Denny Martinez L 2015 · 4.06 FIP	18	SU	4.06	15.0%	12.8%	1.1%	.294	2.86	19.0%	11.2%	94	-1.20	2.21	124	71
Miguel Jerez L 2016 · 4.53 FIP	18	SU	4.53	15.0%	9.6%	2.7%	.268	3.46	14.8%	8.9%	129	-1.07	3.39	151	71
Ben Bowden L 2016 · 3.93 FIP	21	SU	3.93	20.6%	15.9%	1.0%	.367	3.52	28.5%	17.9%	104	-0.41	2.83	391	71
Stanly Sabino L 2016 · 3.97 FIP	18	SU	3.97	15.2%	12.6%	1.0%	.247	4.24	17.8%	2.3%	80	+0.27	3.30	114	70
Drew Harrington L 2016 · 4.18 FIP	21	SU	4.18	15.7%	9.6%	2.1%	.295	4.14	12.5%	5.4%	175	-0.04	3.17	190	70
Zach Matson L 2016 · 4.39 FIP	20	SU	4.39	14.4%	10.9%	2.0%	.319	4.72	25.2%	10.0%	68	+0.33	4.39	187	70
Angel Padron L 2016 · 4.56 FIP	18	SU	4.56	16.4%	17.9%	1.1%	.247	4.14	17.0%	7.0%	222	-0.42	3.05	293	69
Sandro Bargallo L 2019 · 4.16 FIP	17	SU	4.16	24.9%	25.0%	0.0%	.333	5.36	18.3%	-5.0%	110	+1.20	4.16	129	69
Gabriel Moya L 2015 · 3.90 FIP	20	SU	3.90	26.6%	10.9%	3.0%	.283	2.71	26.4%	18.8%	201	-1.19	1.95	270	69
Felix Carvallo L 2015 · 4.56 FIP	21	SU	4.56	17.1%	9.8%	3.0%	.323	4.60	17.7%	4.7%	67	+0.04	4.56	132	69