Antonio Morales

P DSL Astros Orange

Age 20 RHP 6'1" / 194 lbs ROK

Overview

ROKPROSPECT

ETA2028MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2025	18	ROKDSL Astros Or…	11	4	37	5.54	4.04	12.0%	7.2%	—	K 8.1% · BB 9.0% · FIP 4.48
2026	19	ROKDSL Astros Or…	12	5	45	2.38	2.90	17.2%	7.5%	—	K 11.7% · BB 9.4% · FIP 3.72
2027PROJ	20	MLB—	24	0	25	4.81	4.81	16.8%	9.3%	-0.1
2028PROJ49% MLB	21	MLB—	20	0	21	4.66	4.59	18.5%	8.9%	-0.0

Next 2 projected WAR -0.1Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 1% · didn't stick 98%

CompsGeno Encina (age 21) · Eccel Correa (age 20) · Ricardo Brizuela (age 20)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 125116vR 108

ERA4.81

FIP4.81

K%16.8%

BB%9.3%

K-BB%7.5%

Proj IP25

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 25 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†4045

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Astros Orange	11	4	37	167	20	12	3	36%	3.4	8.1%	9.0%	-0.8%	1.7%	5.54	4.48	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Astros Orange	11	4	37	167	20	12	3	36%	3.4	8.1%	9.0%	-0.8%	1.7%	5.54	4.48	—
2025	18	ROK RAW	DSL Astros Orange	11	4	37	167	20	12	3	36%	3.4	12.0%	7.2%	4.8%	1.8%	5.54	4.04	—
2026	19	ROK MLE	DSL Astros Orange	12	5	45	186	32	14	1	42%	3.8	11.7%	9.4%	2.3%	0.8%	2.38	3.72	—
2026	19	ROK MLE	DSL Astros Orange	12	5	45	186	32	14	1	42%	3.8	11.7%	9.4%	2.3%	0.8%	2.38	3.72	—
2026	19	ROK RAW	DSL Astros Orange	12	5	45	186	32	14	1	42%	3.8	17.2%	7.5%	9.7%	0.5%	2.38	2.90	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	20	MLB	—	24	0	25	106	18	10	3	0%	1.0	16.8%	9.3%	7.5%	2.9%	4.81	4.81	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	21	MLB MLE	—	41	0	43	181	33	16	5	0%	1.0	18.5%	8.9%	9.6%	2.8%	4.66	4.59	-0.0
2028	21	MLB CTX	—	20	0	21	89	16	8	2	0%	1.1	18.5%	8.9%	9.6%	2.8%	4.66	4.59	-0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		20	0	21	89	16	8	3	0%	1.1	18.5%	8.9%	9.6%	2.8%	4.66	4.21	+0.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	152	76	29	0%	1.1	18.5%	8.9%	9.6%	2.8%	4.66	4.21	+0.8
Career	—	MLE		23	9	83	353	35	32	4	39%	3.6	10.0%	9.2%	0.8%	1.2%	3.81	4.08	-0.0
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		56	22	200	854	86	79	10	39%	3.6	10.0%	9.2%	0.8%	1.2%	3.81	4.08	-0.1

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Antonio Morales (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.81	16.8%	9.3%	2.9%	—	4.59	18.5%	9.6%	43	-0.22	—	—	—
Geno Encina R 2015 · 4.22 FIP	21	SW	4.22	16.5%	6.8%	3.0%	.325	7.09	12.0%	2.3%	76	+2.87	4.22	200	87
Eccel Correa R 2023 · 4.39 FIP	20	SW	4.39	19.4%	11.9%	2.6%	.316	4.41	14.0%	2.2%	154	+0.02	3.96	189	87
Ricardo Brizuela R 2023 · 4.09 FIP	20	SW	4.09	17.0%	9.1%	2.3%	.305	4.49	15.6%	6.9%	157	+0.40	3.20	246	86
Kyle Weatherly R 2016 · 3.78 FIP	21	SP-	3.78	14.2%	7.1%	1.8%	.307	4.37	13.3%	1.6%	169	+0.59	3.78	207	85
Simon Mathews R 2017 · 4.09 FIP	21	SW	4.09	17.7%	7.5%	2.8%	.326	4.42	16.0%	5.9%	167	+0.33	4.09	215	84
Adolfo Oviedo R 2024 · 3.74 FIP	19	SP-	3.74	17.2%	8.1%	1.9%	.272	4.90	12.6%	5.2%	124	+1.16	3.74	235	84
Wellington Caceres R 2016 · 4.16 FIP	20	SP-	4.16	13.9%	6.4%	2.6%	.306	5.82	13.1%	2.1%	68	+1.66	4.16	121	84
Julio Goff R 2019 · 4.80 FIP	19	SW	4.80	16.1%	11.9%	2.8%	.364	4.70	16.4%	5.9%	207	-0.10	4.46	251	84
Felix Arronde R 2023 · 4.42 FIP	20	SW	4.42	20.2%	12.1%	2.7%	.275	4.98	15.8%	5.8%	344	+0.56	4.16	442	83
David McKay R 2016 · 4.37 FIP	21	SW	4.37	15.2%	10.2%	2.3%	.282	4.50	22.9%	12.4%	211	+0.13	3.20	288	83
Henry Valencio R 2019 · 4.15 FIP	20	SP-	4.15	16.4%	10.6%	2.0%	.293	5.11	11.9%	-11.9%	14	+0.96	3.48	136	83
Delvis Alegre R 2021 · 4.45 FIP	20	SW	4.45	15.8%	8.1%	3.0%	.302	3.57	15.0%	5.3%	36	-0.88	3.55	185	83
Ruben Galindo R 2021 · 4.68 FIP	20	SW	4.68	15.9%	11.1%	2.8%	.345	3.51	19.0%	7.7%	149	-1.17	2.84	239	83
Joshua Quezada R 2024 · 4.46 FIP	20	SP-	4.46	18.3%	11.7%	2.6%	.293	4.03	19.6%	10.8%	80	-0.43	3.61	161	82
Saul Gonzalez R 2021 · 3.66 FIP	21	SP-	3.66	16.1%	8.4%	1.6%	.320	3.24	19.8%	9.6%	70	-0.42	2.94	110	82
Luis Florentino R 2019 · 3.74 FIP	19	SP-	3.74	14.5%	8.7%	1.4%	.254	6.16	16.4%	3.8%	60	+2.42	3.74	110	82
Sabier Marte R 2024 · 4.41 FIP	20	SW	4.41	14.5%	9.7%	2.4%	.239	7.05	15.3%	2.4%	61	+2.64	2.89	181	82
Carlos Gutierrez R 2019 · 4.71 FIP	19	SW	4.71	15.1%	7.1%	3.6%	.326	3.08	18.3%	6.2%	47	-1.63	3.08	122	82
Connor Mayes R 2017 · 3.68 FIP	21	SP-	3.68	13.4%	6.8%	1.5%	.274	5.29	12.2%	1.4%	62	+1.61	3.68	105	82
Williander Moreno R 2018 · 4.21 FIP	19	SW	4.21	13.7%	7.5%	2.4%	.302	5.16	20.2%	10.1%	57	+0.95	3.20	246	82

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,474 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 720 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.3	34	17.8%	9.0%	1.10	4.72
Randy Flores ('10)	1.2	42	17.7%	9.3%	1.04	4.61
Vic Darensbourg ('05)	1.5	50	17.0%	9.3%	1.01	4.96
Sam Long ('25)	1.1	42	19.5%	9.7%	1.28	4.65
Kevin Hickey ('81-'91, 0 WAR*)	1.2	47	17.7%*	10.2%*	1.10*	4.27*
Dave Leiper ('84-'96, 0 WAR*)	1.4	46	15.6%*	9.1%*	0.94*	4.28*
Bob Macdonald ('90-'96, 1 WAR*)	1.2	59	18.3%*	9.8%*	1.20*	4.32*