Erickson Ayena — OGILVIE

Erickson AyenaOF DSL Arizona Black

Age 20 R/R 6'1" / 180 lbs ROK HR +4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 51 proj PA

wRC+†51

AVG/OBP/SLG.181 / .285 / .239

PA51

HR0

K%35

BB%10

ISO59

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	19	ROK	DSL Arizona Black	—	42	32	7	1	0	0	6	19	3	4	4	219	390	250	640	31	500	45	14	289	79	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK	DSL Arizona Black	—	42	28	8	1	0	0	10	13	3	4	4	286	512	321	834	36	500	31	24	400	164	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season
2026	20	MLB	ARI	—	51	45	7	1	0	0	5	18	1	1	0	156	255	178	433	22	291	35	10	252	51	-3	+0	+0	-0	+1	-0.2
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	21	MLB	ARI	34%	139	121	24	4	1	1	14	46	3	3	0	198	297	273	570	74	292	33	10	261	58	-7	+1	+0	-1	+4	-0.3
2027	21	MLB	ARI	34%	48	42	7	1	0	0	5	16	1	1	0	167	271	190	461	24	294	33	10	245	46	-3	+0	+0	-0	+1	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	48	42	7	1	0	0	5	16	1	1	0	167	271	190	461	24	269	33	10	245	46	-3	+0	+0	-0	+1	-0.2
/ 162G	—			—	650	569	95	14	0	0	68	217	14	14	0	167	272	192	464	25	270	33	10	245	46	-40	+3	+0	-4	+18	-2.3
Career	—			—	232	198	38	6	1	1	25	83	7	8	4	192	304	247	552	56	319	36	11	264	60	-10	+0	+0	-1	+7	-0.5
/ 162G	—			—	650	555	107	17	3	3	70	233	20	22	11	193	306	250	556	58	320	36	11	264	60	-29	+0	+0	-4	+18	-1.5

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	19	ROK	DSL Arizona Black	—	42	28	8	1	0	0	10	13	3	4	4	286	512	321	834	36	500	31	24	400	164	+3	-1	—	—	+1	0.4

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Erickson Ayena (OGILVIE)	20	—	—	—	—	181/285/239	58	291	0	1	35%	10%	51	-0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Ismael Alcantara 2019 · A	20	39→28	38→45	51→50	41	185/255/266	81	281	5	13	34%	7%	43	-2.2	211/277/317	106	330	9	15	36%	7%	64	-0.8	193/256/311	118	287	12	16	35%	6%	52	-0.7
✕Frankeny Fernandez 2017 · A	20	36	38→40	53→60	42	174/248/255	81	275	5	19	36%	8%	37	-2.6	193/258/268	75	281	5	10	31%	7%	44	-2.1	172/238/215	43	239	3	6	27%	7%	20	-1.1
✕Trenton Kemp 2016 · A	20	39	38→50	49→45	42	185/260/266	81	282	4	10	34%	8%	45	-2.1	197/254/326	129	337	12	8	42%	6%	57	-1.2	179/234/325	146	312	16	7	46%	6%	45	-0.8
✕Gilbert Gomez 2012 · A	20	39→35	40	52→50	40	193/252/284	91	274	7	14	31%	6%	46	-2.0	201/271/278	77	305	4	8	32%	8%	53	-1.5	191/271/264	74	296	3	7	33%	9%	45	-1.3
✕George Feliz 2023 · A	20	36	40→50	54→45	36	177/234/268	91	293	8	13	40%	6%	33	-2.9	180/242/287	107	318	12	11	44%	6%	43	-2.2	173/237/300	127	283	16	9	43%	6%	41	-0.8
✕Jase Bowen 2021 · A	20	41→38	36→50	50→55	39	192/247/263	71	293	3	8	34%	6%	37	-2.6	188/245/287	99	290	10	14	37%	5%	43	-2.2	200/250/342	142	290	17	24	36%	5%	57	-0.7
✕Ricardo Rosario 2023 · A	20	40	37→40	50→55	42	191/251/266	76	262	4	12	28%	6%	40	-2.4	205/277/292	87	289	8	19	29%	8%	59	-1.1	203/290/292	89	267	11	29	26%	9%	63	-0.4
✕Nelson Medina 2022 · A	21	39	38→45	53→50	47	187/270/270	84	274	5	15	31%	9%	51	-1.7	185/255/279	94	336	7	13	43%	8%	46	-2.0	134/194/209	75	291	5	16	52%	6%	-1	-1.8
✕Juan Batista 2021 · A	20	40	36→40	51→55	45	190/261/264	74	271	3	16	29%	8%	44	-2.1	183/243/264	81	368	5	13	48%	6%	37	-2.7	91/156/145	54	282	2	18	64%	5%	-32	-1.9
✕Wander Ramos 2010 · A	20	42	38→50	51→45	44	191/286/271	80	312	5	16	36%	9%	59	-1.1	204/268/322	118	311	12	10	36%	7%	63	-0.9	197/259/367	170	284	20	7	37%	7%	68	-0.2
✕Neyfy Castillo 2021 · A	20	40→29	37→50	54→55	38	188/244/263	75	289	4	11	34%	6%	37	-2.7	181/253/315	134	327	17	16	46%	7%	56	-1.3	164/239/293	129	288	17	19	46%	7%	40	-1.6
✕Hans Montero 2023 · A	19	35	34→45	52→55	42	157/254/208	51	292	2	18	42%	10%	29	-3.2	170/258/258	88	293	8	16	41%	9%	43	-2.2	164/251/285	121	279	13	20	43%	9%	44	-1.3
✕Markus Brisker 2011 · A	20	39→35	36→40	50→55	39	186/240/244	58	286	4	18	35%	6%	29	-3.2	177/254/257	80	296	6	19	39%	8%	40	-2.4	153/237/225	72	260	5	23	39%	8%	23	-1.8
✕Victor Tademo 2018 · A	19	39	37→40	52→55	37	189/240/263	74	277	4	14	32%	5%	34	-2.8	195/241/256	61	285	3	7	31%	5%	33	-2.9	181/217/201	20	252	0	3	27%	4%	6	-1.4
✕Ameilis Carvajal 2009 · A	20	41	39→40	50	48	191/281/275	84	291	6	12	33%	10%	56	-1.3	194/264/268	74	320	4	9	37%	8%	46	-2.0	140/204/175	34	267	0	8	44%	7%	-3	-1.2
✕Lamar Sparks 2019 · A	20	44	36→45	51→50	47	202/281/271	69	301	2	11	31%	10%	55	-1.4	199/266/270	71	315	4	15	35%	8%	47	-1.9	205/270/310	104	362	9	16	42%	8%	56	-0.8
✕Ranfy Adon 2018 · A	20	38	39→45	52→50	38	185/244/270	85	282	6	12	35%	6%	38	-2.6	208/252/318	110	358	9	11	42%	5%	53	-1.5	173/231/277	105	327	9	25	47%	5%	33	-0.6
✕Ronald Castillo 2012 · A	20	41	38→45	51→40	38	194/249/278	84	300	4	8	35%	6%	43	-2.2	218/256/297	79	295	3	5	26%	4%	50	-1.8	208/241/287	79	273	3	1	24%	4%	38	-1.1
✕Troy Stokes Jr. 2016 · A	20	42→38	38→50	54→55	43	198/270/278	80	278	6	20	29%	7%	53	-1.5	204/274/319	115	276	10	18	28%	7%	65	-0.7	194/270/326	132	268	13	19	31%	8%	62	-0.7
✕Yonki Hernandez 2011 · A	20	40	37→40	49→55	47	184/285/247	64	286	5	13	34%	10%	53	-1.5	192/272/262	70	296	4	18	33%	8%	49	-1.8	184/265/243	59	280	2	24	32%	8%	39	-0.8