Cam Lee — OGILVIE

Cam LeeOF FCL Orioles

Age 21 R/R ROK HR +9% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 109 proj PA

wRC+†71

AVG/OBP/SLG.225 / .293 / .301

PA109

HR1

K%22

BB%8

ISO77

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$1M ctrl surplus

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2032	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.1	$0.3M	+$0.0M (cut)
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	—	—	—
2035	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	—	—	—
2036	Arb-1	$0.2M	—	—	—
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2038	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$-0.6M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2026	20	ROK	FCL Orioles	—	130	102	29	5	1	0	20	10	3	30	2	284	416	353	769	69	312	8	15	346	71	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2026	20	ROK MLE	FCL Orioles	—	130	110	26	4	1	0	12	14	3	30	2	236	328	291	619	55	258	11	9	273	71	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	ROK MLE	FCL Orioles	—	130	110	26	4	1	0	12	14	3	30	2	236	328	291	619	55	268	11	9	273	71	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	ROK RAW	FCL Orioles	—	130	102	29	5	1	0	20	10	3	30	2	284	416	353	769	69	312	8	15	346	71	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	ROK MLE	FCL Orioles	—	130	114	26	4	1	0	12	14	3	30	2	228	328	281	609	53	258	11	9	273	71	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2026	20	ROK MLE	FCL Orioles	—	130	114	26	4	1	0	12	14	3	30	2	228	328	281	609	53	258	11	9	273	71	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	21	MLB MLE	BAL	0%	240	217	50	8	2	2	18	52	3	10	1	227	296	304	599	77	289	22	8	274	71	-8	+2	+0	-1	+5	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	22	MLB MLE	BAL	34%	189	170	39	6	1	2	15	41	2	7	1	230	299	315	614	85	290	22	8	280	75	-6	+1	+0	-1	+4	-0.2
2029	23	MLB MLE	BAL	48%	306	275	64	11	2	3	24	66	4	12	1	233	302	325	627	93	291	22	8	285	79	-8	+2	+0	-2	+7	-0.1
2030	24	MLB MLE	BAL	53%	388	351	82	14	3	5	30	84	4	15	1	235	304	334	638	99	292	22	8	289	82	-8	+3	+0	-2	+8	0.0
2031	25	MLB MLE	BAL	55%	435	393	92	16	3	6	34	94	5	17	1	236	306	341	646	105	292	22	8	292	84	-8	+3	+0	-3	+9	0.1
2032	26	MLB MLE	BAL	56%	464	419	99	17	3	7	37	101	5	18	1	237	307	346	653	109	292	22	8	294	85	-8	+3	+0	-3	+10	0.2
2033	27	MLB MLE	BAL	55%	477	431	101	17	3	8	38	104	5	18	1	236	306	343	649	108	291	22	8	293	84	-9	+3	+0	-3	+10	0.2
2034	28	MLB MLE	BAL	55%	480	434	101	17	3	7	38	106	5	18	1	234	303	339	642	105	290	22	8	290	83	-10	+3	-1	-3	+10	0.0
2035	29	MLB MLE	BAL	53%	476	430	100	17	3	7	38	106	5	17	1	231	301	332	633	101	289	22	8	286	80	-11	+3	-1	-3	+10	-0.2
2036	30	MLB MLE	BAL	57%	469	424	96	16	3	6	37	106	5	17	1	228	297	324	621	96	287	23	8	282	77	-13	+3	-2	-3	+10	-0.5
2028	22	MLB CTX	BAL	34%	65	59	14	2	1	1	5	14	1	3	0	233	302	321	623	88	294	22	8	283	75	-2	+1	+0	-0	+1	-0.0
2029	23	MLB CTX	BAL	48%	148	133	31	5	1	2	12	32	2	6	0	236	305	332	636	96	295	22	8	288	79	-4	+1	+0	-1	+3	-0.0
2030	24	MLB CTX	BAL	53%	205	185	44	7	2	3	16	44	2	8	1	238	307	341	648	102	296	21	8	293	82	-4	+1	+0	-1	+4	-0.0
2031	25	MLB CTX	BAL	55%	238	214	52	9	2	4	19	52	3	9	1	240	309	348	657	108	296	22	8	296	84	-5	+1	+0	-1	+5	0.1
2032	26	MLB CTX	BAL	56%	258	232	56	10	2	4	21	56	3	10	1	240	310	353	663	113	296	22	8	299	85	-4	+2	+0	-2	+6	0.1
2033	27	MLB CTX	BAL	55%	262	236	57	10	2	4	21	57	3	10	1	239	309	350	659	111	295	22	8	297	84	-5	+2	+0	-2	+6	0.1
2034	28	MLB CTX	BAL	55%	262	236	57	10	2	4	21	58	3	10	1	237	307	345	652	108	294	22	8	294	83	-5	+2	-0	-2	+6	-0.0
2035	29	MLB CTX	BAL	53%	254	229	54	9	2	4	20	57	3	9	1	235	304	339	643	104	293	22	8	290	80	-6	+1	-1	-2	+6	-0.1
2036	30	MLB CTX	BAL	57%	267	241	56	9	2	4	21	60	3	9	1	231	300	331	631	99	291	22	8	286	77	-7	+1	-1	-2	+6	-0.3
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	1959	1765	421	71	16	30	156	430	23	74	7	239	309	348	657	109	298	22	8	293	81	-43	+12	-2	-12	+42	-0.3
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	586	140	24	5	10	52	143	8	25	2	239	310	348	658	109	298	22	8	293	81	-14	+4	-1	-4	+14	-0.1
Career	—	MLE		—	3923	3536	823	139	26	52	311	846	44	173	11	233	303	331	634	98	290	22	8	288	81	-85	+25	-4	-23	+82	-0.5
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	586	136	23	4	9	52	140	7	29	2	232	302	331	633	99	289	22	8	288	81	-15	+4	-1	-4	+14	-0.1

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Tony Kemplast yr '23 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,198 PA	3.3	2,198	35	52	238	326	354	-4	-3	4.3	4.3
/162	664	11	16	-1.3	-0.8	1.3	pk7: 4
#2Garrett Hampsonlast yr '25 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,805 PA	2.7	1,805	29	65	234	296	352	+10	+10	3.9	3.9
/162	664	11	24	+3.6	+3.7	1.4	pk7: 4
#3Dustin Ackleylast yr '16 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,347 PA	3.5	2,347	46	31	241	304	367	-5	+7	3.8	3.8
/162	664	13	9	-1.3	+1.9	1.1	pk7: 4
#4Alexi Casillalast yr '13 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,883 PA	2.8	1,883	12	80	248	302	332	+8	+3	2.7	2.7
/162	664	4	28	+2.8	+0.9	1.0	pk7: 3
#5Eric Young Jr.last yr '18 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,925 PA	2.9	1,925	13	161	245	312	332	-11	-8	1.2	1.6
/162	664	4	56	-3.9	-2.7	0.4	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 6 projected seasons	3.1	2,069	29	77	234	300	335	-12	+0	1.0	1.1
/162	664	9	25	-4.0	+0.0	0.3	pk7: 1
#6Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	2.5	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
/162	664	16	13	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Cam Lee (OGILVIE)	21	—	—	—	—	225/293/301	76	289	1	4	22%	8%	71	-0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Troy Stokes Jr. 2017 · A	21	44→40	39→50	55	45	212/283/303	91	280	6	19	25%	7%	68	-1.0	207/280/342	135	279	13	18	29%	8%	76	-0.4	195/275/337	142	264	15	19	30%	8%	71	-0.6
✕Adrian Pinto 2024 · A	21	48	38→45	56→65	53	222/315/303	82	283	4	25	21%	10%	81	-0.1	237/306/380	143	292	14	11	23%	8%	95	+0.9	237/306/381	144	288	10	4	20%	8%	90	+0.2
✕Tito Polo 2016 · A	21	44→54	38→45	56→60	41	208/264/293	85	276	5	26	26%	5%	58	-1.7	231/284/340	109	306	10	27	27%	5%	77	-0.3	235/290/350	114	311	11	32	27%	5%	78	-0.2
✕Juan Mora 2021 · A	21	40	39→45	53→55	52	192/277/280	88	229	6	14	19%	8%	61	-1.5	221/287/329	108	296	9	10	27%	6%	75	-0.5	218/275/319	102	286	9	8	26%	5%	67	-0.5
✕Jay Allen II 2024 · A	21	41→47	39→45	58→55	42	193/283/280	87	299	7	32	35%	8%	64	-1.3	200/286/296	96	279	9	24	30%	8%	69	-0.9	202/286/304	103	275	11	24	29%	7%	68	-0.8
✕Oswald Peraza 2021 · A	21	46→54	38→50	52→60	43	219/277/295	75	286	6	17	25%	6%	63	-1.3	241/295/375	134	309	15	28	26%	6%	89	+0.5	235/294/370	135	296	16	30	26%	6%	85	+0.2
✕Noel Cuevas 2013 · A	21	45→52	39→45	55	41	216/259/307	91	271	6	19	22%	4%	59	-1.6	226/267/331	105	293	8	20	25%	5%	68	-1.0	254/287/363	108	316	8	12	22%	3%	80	-0.1
✕Tyler Goeddel 2014 · A	21	44→52	41→45	59→55	40	211/262/313	103	297	7	20	30%	6%	61	-1.5	227/284/341	114	305	9	18	27%	7%	76	-0.4	229/290/345	116	300	9	18	25%	7%	78	-0.2
✕Jared Serna 2023 · A	21	40→48	42→45	54→50	51	196/289/300	104	251	9	21	24%	9%	71	-0.8	219/276/335	116	269	11	15	22%	6%	72	-0.7	216/271/322	106	262	11	16	21%	6%	65	-1.1
✕Samad Taylor 2019 · A	21	39→49	41→50	54→65	45	193/258/302	109	254	8	22	26%	7%	58	-1.7	195/272/314	119	297	11	25	35%	8%	67	-1.1	242/320/377	134	335	14	46	29%	9%	98	+0.7
✕Cayden Wallace 2023 · A	21	46→49	42→50	57→50	43	224/279/341	116	300	8	15	27%	6%	74	-0.5	220/277/337	117	289	10	12	26%	6%	73	-0.6	232/281/372	140	285	16	15	24%	5%	80	-0.1
✕Trey Amburgey 2016 · A	21	48→45	36→50	55→50	44	223/277/293	70	284	2	16	21%	6%	63	-1.4	211/254/311	100	286	8	12	28%	4%	58	-1.7	224/264/367	142	289	15	7	28%	4%	73	-0.5
✕Adam Engel 2014 · A	22	46→48	38→50	55→60	44	220/277/302	81	268	5	22	19%	5%	65	-1.2	210/263/302	92	299	6	30	30%	6%	59	-1.6	223/282/358	135	299	13	23	29%	5%	79	-0.1
✕Maximo Rivera 2014 · A	21	42	37→40	53→60	44	203/260/274	71	255	5	21	22%	6%	52	-2.2	209/259/277	68	293	4	10	28%	6%	52	-2.2	200/243/246	47	278	3	7	28%	5%	35	-0.9
✕Johan Mieses 2015 · A	20	39→33	39→55	59→50	45	191/248/281	90	242	5	22	23%	6%	49	-2.4	195/243/347	152	271	18	8	34%	5%	63	-1.3	192/268/358	166	237	23	7	30%	7%	73	-0.4
✕Lolo Sanchez 2021 · A	22	45	39→45	54→55	45	215/279/308	93	262	6	21	20%	6%	68	-1.0	214/290/322	108	258	12	18	21%	8%	76	-0.4	204/284/298	95	242	11	17	20%	9%	66	-0.7
✕Albertson Asigen 2023 · A	21	43	35→40	56→55	50	201/277/262	60	263	2	12	23%	9%	56	-1.9	215/296/295	80	325	5	20	32%	9%	71	-0.8	209/299/294	85	336	7	27	36%	9%	69	-0.3
✕Derrik Gibson 2011 · A	21	44→54	35→40	55	46	205/269/266	61	272	2	21	24%	7%	53	-2.1	213/271/270	57	291	2	17	25%	7%	55	-2.0	246/312/318	73	319	3	11	22%	8%	79	-0.1
✕Jorge Mateo 2015 · A	20	40→50	38→50	60→65	46	194/261/276	83	257	5	30	26%	8%	53	-2.1	213/260/315	102	302	6	37	30%	6%	61	-1.5	217/266/353	136	277	13	42	26%	5%	73	-0.4
✕Anthony Jimenez 2017 · A	21	44	37→45	55	42	207/258/286	79	262	3	20	22%	5%	54	-2.0	216/260/316	100	323	8	18	34%	4%	62	-1.4	207/253/310	103	316	9	19	36%	4%	55	-1.0

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps