Jack Collins — OGILVIE

Jack CollinsC Hickory Crawdads

Age 23 R/R 6'0" / 180 lbs A HR +15%BB +5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 59 proj PA

wRC+†68

AVG/OBP/SLG.215 / .276 / .311

PA5

HR0

K%27

BB%6

ISO98

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$6M ctrl surplus

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.2	$0.5M	+$0.0M
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.2	$0.5M	+$0.0M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.1	$0.2M	+$0.0M (cut)
2034	Arb-1	$0.2M	—	—	—
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$2M		$1M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2025	22	A	Hickory Crawdads	—	32	28	5	2	0	0	3	5	1	0	1	179	281	250	531	71	217	16	9	253	58	-2	-0	—	—	+1	-0.1
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2025	22	A MLE	Hickory Crawdads	—	32	29	4	1	0	0	2	7	1	0	1	138	219	172	391	34	187	22	6	188	13	-3	-0	—	—	+1	-0.3
2025	22	A MLE	Hickory Crawdads	—	32	29	4	1	0	0	2	7	1	0	1	138	219	172	391	34	182	22	6	188	13	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A RAW	Hickory Crawdads	—	32	28	5	2	0	0	3	5	1	0	1	179	281	250	531	71	217	16	9	253	13	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A MLE	Hickory Crawdads	—	32	29	4	1	0	0	2	7	1	0	1	138	219	172	391	34	187	22	6	188	13	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2025	22	A MLE	Hickory Crawdads	—	32	29	4	1	0	0	2	7	1	0	1	138	219	172	391	34	187	22	6	188	13	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 season
2026	23	MLB MLE	TEX	0%	5	5	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	200	200	200	400		291	20	0	268	68	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	0.1
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	24	MLB MLE	TEX	30%	153	140	31	7	1	2	10	40	2	2	1	221	283	329	611	107	292	26	7	275	73	-5	+0	+0	+3	+3	0.1
2028	25	MLB MLE	TEX	44%	256	233	51	11	1	4	17	67	4	3	1	219	283	326	610	107	292	26	7	280	76	-7	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.3
2029	26	MLB MLE	TEX	51%	328	298	66	14	2	5	22	85	5	4	1	221	286	332	618	111	292	26	7	282	77	-9	+0	+0	+6	+7	0.5
2030	27	MLB MLE	TEX	52%	367	333	75	16	2	6	26	95	5	4	2	225	291	339	631	114	291	26	7	283	78	-10	+0	+0	+7	+8	0.5
2031	28	MLB MLE	TEX	53%	390	353	78	17	2	6	28	101	6	4	2	221	289	331	621	110	291	26	7	282	77	-11	+0	-1	+7	+8	0.4
2032	29	MLB MLE	TEX	53%	397	360	79	17	2	6	28	104	6	4	1	219	287	328	615	108	290	26	7	281	76	-11	+0	-1	+7	+9	0.3
2033	30	MLB MLE	TEX	52%	400	362	79	17	2	6	29	105	6	3	1	218	287	326	613	108	289	26	7	278	74	-12	+0	-2	+7	+9	0.2
2034	31	MLB MLE	TEX	52%	379	344	74	16	2	5	27	101	5	3	1	215	282	317	599	102	286	27	7	274	71	-13	+0	-3	+7	+8	-0.1
2027	24	MLB CTX	TEX	30%	46	42	9	2	0	1	3	12	1	0	0	214	283	333	616	119	294	26	7	267	73	-2	+0	+0	+1	+1	0.0
2028	25	MLB CTX	TEX	44%	113	102	24	5	1	2	8	29	2	1	0	235	304	363	666	127	294	26	7	272	76	-3	+0	+0	+2	+2	0.1
2029	26	MLB CTX	TEX	51%	166	152	34	7	1	3	11	43	2	2	1	224	285	342	627	118	294	26	7	275	77	-5	+0	+0	+3	+4	0.2
2030	27	MLB CTX	TEX	52%	192	174	39	8	1	3	13	50	3	2	1	224	289	333	623	109	293	26	7	276	78	-5	+0	+0	+3	+4	0.3
2031	28	MLB CTX	TEX	53%	208	188	43	9	1	4	15	54	3	2	1	229	296	351	647	122	293	26	7	275	77	-6	+0	-0	+4	+5	0.2
2032	29	MLB CTX	TEX	53%	209	189	43	9	1	4	15	55	3	2	1	228	295	349	644	122	292	26	7	273	76	-6	+0	-1	+4	+5	0.2
2033	30	MLB CTX	TEX	52%	208	188	41	9	1	3	15	55	3	2	1	218	286	324	611	106	291	26	7	270	74	-6	+0	-1	+4	+5	0.1
2034	31	MLB CTX	TEX	52%	196	177	39	8	1	3	14	52	3	1	1	220	289	328	616	107	288	27	7	266	71	-7	-0	-1	+4	+4	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	1338	1212	272	57	7	23	94	350	20	12	6	224	291	340	631	116	294	26	7	272	75	-39	+0	-4	+24	+29	1.0
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	589	132	28	3	11	46	170	10	6	3	224	291	338	629	114	294	26	7	272	75	-19	+0	-2	+12	+14	0.5
Career	—	MLE		—	2707	2457	538	116	14	40	189	706	40	27	11	219	286	326	612	107	289	26	7	279	75	-78	+1	-7	+48	+58	2.2
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	590	129	28	3	10	45	170	10	6	3	219	285	327	612	108	288	26	7	279	75	-19	+0	-2	+12	+14	0.5

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	2.5	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
/162	664	12	0	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#2Ronny Cedenolast yr '13 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,783 PA	4.2	2,783	40	39	246	289	354	+28	+19	5.5	5.6
/162	664	10	9	+6.7	+4.5	1.3	pk7: 6
#3Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	2.3	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.1	4.1
/162	664	13	20	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#4Guillermo Heredialast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,530 PA	2.3	1,530	25	6	231	311	345	+3	+17	3.5	3.5
/162	664	11	3	+1.2	+7.6	1.5	pk7: 3
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 5 projected seasons	2.1	1,398	22	13	222	285	332	+25	+20	2.3	2.2
/162	664	10	6	+11.9	+9.5	1.1	pk7: 2
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	2.5	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
/162	664	9	2	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	2.9	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
/162	664	7	14	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Jack Collins (OGILVIE)	23	—	—	—	—	215/276/311	97	291	1	1	27%	6%	68	-0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Jhoneiker Betancourt 2023 · A	23	43	40→50	50→40	42	206/280/300	94	283	7	6	28%	6%	67	-1.1	205/276/339	134	277	16	4	31%	6%	74	-0.5	180/260/332	152	234	22	0	33%	7%	72	-0.3
✕Aaron McKeithan 2023 · A	23	45	40	45→40	44	215/292/306	91	293	8	4	28%	7%	73	-0.6	217/295/297	80	271	8	4	22%	7%	72	-0.7	216/302/271	55	271	5	1	21%	8%	67	-0.3
✕Bryan Holaday 2011 · A	23	42	42→45	47→40	42	201/282/303	102	295	9	5	33%	8%	69	-0.9	209/262/295	86	270	7	6	24%	5%	58	-1.7	220/288/344	124	255	13	2	19%	7%	76	-0.1
✕Chris Denove 2006 · A	23	44	40	46→40	46	211/286/303	92	280	7	5	26%	8%	70	-0.9	200/259/270	70	271	4	4	26%	6%	51	-2.2	245/303/334	88	297	6	3	18%	6%	79	-0.1
✕Dustin Garneau 2011 · A	23	45→39	41→50	47→45	44	218/280/324	106	288	8	6	26%	7%	72	-0.7	198/268/331	133	235	13	5	21%	8%	70	-0.9	171/262/344	173	215	21	1	31%	8%	70	-0.3
✕Vito Friscia 2021 · A	24	43	40→45	49→40	42	208/266/303	94	290	7	5	30%	7%	61	-1.5	209/292/323	114	317	11	4	34%	10%	76	-0.4	198/289/313	115	298	12	2	34%	10%	72	-0.4
✕Riley Adams 2019 · A	23	44→42	39→50	49→40	44	205/284/297	92	310	5	5	33%	8%	68	-1.0	211/300/341	130	322	13	5	35%	8%	84	+0.2	209/297/371	162	301	16	0	33%	8%	88	+0.2
✕Abrahan Gutierrez 2023 · A	23	47→43	42→45	45→40	45	224/297/329	105	313	9	4	30%	8%	79	-0.2	215/274/302	87	280	7	5	24%	6%	64	-1.3	222/258/285	63	282	4	2	22%	4%	50	-0.5
✕Andrew Susac 2013 · A	23	42→38	43→50	45→30	45	204/279/315	111	288	11	4	31%	9%	70	-0.9	217/292/358	141	289	16	3	29%	9%	84	+0.2	217/296/371	154	282	18	1	28%	9%	86	+0.1
✕Francisco Acuna 2023 · A	23	41→48	41→45	47→50	42	198/274/300	102	281	8	11	31%	7%	65	-1.2	216/287/309	93	288	7	13	26%	7%	71	-0.8	203/287/297	95	268	8	17	26%	8%	67	-0.6
✕Marco Hernandez 2021 · A	23	46	39→40	49→45	47	220/285/308	87	282	6	8	23%	7%	70	-0.9	203/293/301	98	281	9	4	28%	9%	72	-0.7	159/264/242	83	213	9	0	28%	10%	47	-0.7
✕Pedro Pagés 2022 · A	23	43→45	43→50	42→40	42	211/278/315	104	301	11	4	32%	7%	69	-0.9	213/277/334	121	292	13	4	30%	7%	73	-0.6	227/286/364	137	285	17	2	26%	7%	81	-0.0
✕Matt Inouye 2007 · A	23	42	40→45	45	44	203/273/294	91	251	8	6	22%	6%	63	-1.4	218/279/336	118	263	11	7	21%	5%	74	-0.5	227/283/361	134	264	14	7	19%	5%	79	-0.1
✕Trent Woodward 2015 · A	23	43	41→45	47→30	47	207/286/310	103	278	7	6	27%	8%	72	-0.7	220/287/309	89	313	7	4	29%	8%	71	-0.8	220/290/306	86	311	8	1	30%	8%	68	-0.3
✕Jake Rogers 2018 · A	23	41→40	44→55	47→45	42	204/268/326	123	280	11	10	30%	7%	68	-1.0	194/266/335	141	268	16	7	32%	8%	70	-0.9	216/279/422	206	274	28	2	32%	7%	93	+0.4
✕Wynston Sawyer 2015 · A	23	44	41→45	47→45	47	212/271/307	95	259	8	3	21%	7%	64	-1.3	220/289/323	103	283	8	6	24%	8%	74	-0.5	228/314/342	113	289	10	2	23%	9%	86	+0.1
✕Alexander Campos 2022 · A	22	42	42→40	46→45	48	206/291/311	105	278	9	6	28%	9%	73	-0.6	220/302/308	88	316	7	6	30%	9%	76	-0.4	234/327/306	73	330	7	6	28%	11%	84	+0.1
✕Robert Mullen 2019 · A	23	44	39→50	50→45	43	209/266/301	92	290	6	6	29%	7%	61	-1.5	219/265/342	123	304	14	4	32%	4%	70	-0.8	212/252/342	130	286	17	0	32%	3%	64	-0.6
✕Juan Aponte 2010 · A	22	43	39→45	47→40	42	205/270/296	91	272	6	5	26%	6%	61	-1.5	208/257/272	64	306	3	5	31%	5%	50	-2.3	199/234/217	18	292	0	0	30%	3%	29	-0.8
✕Chase Strumpf 2021 · A	23	44→37	41→50	49→45	42	208/284/313	105	305	8	7	32%	7%	71	-0.8	197/291/331	134	305	14	5	37%	10%	79	-0.2	181/287/328	147	281	17	4	38%	11%	74	-0.4

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps