Jack Collins — OGILVIE

Jack CollinsC Hickory Crawdads

Age 23 R/R 6'0" / 180 lbs A Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 59 proj PA

wRC+†63

AVG/OBP/SLG.214 / .275 / .309

PA59

HR1

K%27

BB%6

ISO96

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.6	$2M	+$1M
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.5	$1M	+$0.8M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.3	$0.7M	+$0.2M
2034	Arb-1	$3M	+0.1	$0.2M	+$0.0M (cut)
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$3M		$4M	+$2M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	22	A	Hickory Crawdads	—	32	29	4	1	0	0	2	7	1	0	1	138	219	172	391	34	182	22	6	180	-4	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A	Hickory Crawdads	—	32	28	5	2	0	0	3	5	1	0	1	179	281	250	531	71	217	16	9	253	52	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season
2026	23	MLB	TEX	—	59	54	12	3	0	1	4	16	1	1	0	222	288	333	621	111	291	27	7	267	63	-2	+0	+0	+1	+2	0.0
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	24	MLB	TEX	30%	153	140	31	7	1	2	10	41	2	2	1	221	283	329	611	107	292	27	7	274	68	-6	+0	+0	+3	+4	0.2
2028	25	MLB	TEX	44%	256	233	52	11	1	4	17	67	4	3	1	223	287	330	618	107	292	26	7	279	71	-8	+0	+0	+5	+7	0.4
2029	26	MLB	TEX	51%	328	298	67	14	2	5	22	85	5	4	1	225	289	336	625	111	292	26	7	281	73	-10	+0	+0	+6	+9	0.6
2030	27	MLB	TEX	52%	367	334	75	16	2	6	25	95	5	4	2	225	288	338	627	114	292	26	7	282	74	-11	+0	+0	+7	+10	0.6
2031	28	MLB	TEX	53%	390	354	79	17	2	6	27	102	6	4	2	223	289	333	623	110	291	26	7	281	73	-12	+0	-1	+7	+11	0.6
2032	29	MLB	TEX	53%	397	360	80	17	2	6	28	105	6	4	1	222	289	331	620	108	290	26	7	279	72	-13	+0	-1	+7	+11	0.5
2033	30	MLB	TEX	52%	400	363	80	17	2	6	28	106	6	3	1	220	287	328	615	107	289	26	7	277	70	-14	+0	-2	+7	+11	0.3
2034	31	MLB	TEX	52%	379	344	73	15	2	5	27	102	5	3	1	212	279	311	590	99	287	27	7	272	67	-14	+0	-3	+7	+11	0.1
2027	24	MLB	TEX	30%	46	42	9	2	0	1	3	12	1	0	0	214	283	333	616	119	293	26	7	264	60	-2	+0	+0	+1	+1	0.0
2028	25	MLB	TEX	44%	113	102	24	5	1	2	8	30	2	1	0	235	304	363	666	127	294	27	7	269	64	-5	+0	+0	+2	+3	0.1
2029	26	MLB	TEX	51%	166	152	34	7	1	3	11	43	2	2	1	224	285	342	627	118	294	26	7	272	66	-6	+0	+0	+3	+5	0.1
2030	27	MLB	TEX	52%	192	174	39	8	1	3	13	50	3	2	1	224	289	333	623	109	293	26	7	273	67	-7	+0	+0	+3	+5	0.2
2031	28	MLB	TEX	53%	208	188	42	9	1	3	15	54	3	2	1	223	291	330	621	106	293	26	7	272	66	-8	+0	-0	+4	+6	0.1
2032	29	MLB	TEX	53%	209	189	42	9	1	3	15	55	3	2	1	222	290	328	618	106	292	26	7	270	65	-8	+0	-1	+4	+6	0.1
2033	30	MLB	TEX	52%	208	188	42	9	1	3	15	55	3	2	1	223	291	330	621	106	291	26	7	267	63	-9	+0	-1	+4	+6	-0.0
2034	31	MLB	TEX	52%	196	177	39	8	1	3	14	53	3	1	1	220	289	328	616	107	288	27	7	263	60	-9	-0	-1	+4	+6	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	1338	1212	271	57	7	21	94	352	20	12	6	224	290	334	625	111	296	26	7	269	64	-54	+0	-4	+24	+38	0.4
/ 162G	—			—	650	589	131	28	3	10	46	171	10	6	3	222	290	331	621	109	294	26	7	269	64	-26	+0	-2	+12	+18	0.2
Career	—			—	2761	2509	553	118	14	41	190	726	41	28	11	220	286	328	614	107	292	26	7	277	70	-93	+1	-7	+49	+78	3.0
/ 162G	—			—	650	591	130	28	3	10	45	171	10	7	3	220	287	328	615	108	291	26	7	277	70	-22	+0	-2	+12	+18	0.7

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	22	A	Hickory Crawdads	—	32	28	5	2	0	0	3	5	1	0	1	179	281	250	531	71	217	16	9	253	52	-2	-0	—	—	+1	-0.1

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	9	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
#1Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	/162	664	12	0	209	276	313	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#2Paul Bakolast yr '09 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,844 PA	9	1,844	19	2	219	297	308	+17	+52	5.6	5.8
#2Paul Bakolast yr '09 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,844 PA	/162	664	7	1	219	297	308	+6.1	+18.7	2.0	pk7: 6
#3Ronny Cedenolast yr '13 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,783 PA	9	2,783	40	39	246	289	354	+28	+19	5.5	5.6
	/162	664	10	9	246	289	354	+6.7	+4.5	1.3	pk7: 6
#4Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	6	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.2	4.2
#4Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	/162	664	13	20	225	280	350	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#5Gary Bennettlast yr '07 career totals — 8 seasons, 1,703 PA	8	1,703	20	6	239	301	327	+17	+6	2.6	2.6
	/162	664	8	2	239	301	327	+6.7	+2.4	1.0	pk7: 3
#6Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	7	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
#6Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	/162	664	9	2	230	279	335	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 5 projected seasons	5	1,398	22	13	222	284	331	+25	+20	1.8	1.8
	/162	664	10	6	222	284	331	+11.9	+9.5	0.9	pk7: 2

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Jack Collins (OGILVIE)	23	—	—	—	—	214/275/309	95	291	1	1	27%	6%	63	-0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Aaron McKeithan 2023 · A	23	45	41→40	45→40	44	215/291/309	94	292	8	4	28%	7%	69	-0.4	213/291/294	81	270	8	4	23%	7%	66	-0.6	205/291/269	63	262	7	0	23%	8%	57	-0.3
✕Chris Denove 2006 · A	23	44	40	46→40	46	211/286/303	92	280	7	5	26%	8%	66	-0.6	199/259/270	71	270	4	4	26%	6%	44	-2.1	244/302/337	93	298	7	3	19%	6%	78	+0.1
✕Andrew Susac 2013 · A	23	42→40	44→50	46→30	45	208/280/323	115	292	11	4	31%	8%	68	-0.5	218/291/365	147	292	17	3	30%	8%	84	+0.6	217/295/377	160	283	19	1	29%	9%	86	+0.4
✕Dustin Garneau 2011 · A	23	45→37	41→50	47→45	44	218/280/325	107	288	8	6	26%	7%	68	-0.5	191/261/316	125	230	12	5	22%	7%	59	-1.1	171/262/347	177	214	22	1	31%	8%	67	-0.2
✕Bryan Holaday 2011 · A	23	41	44→45	47→40	42	201/283/317	116	296	12	5	34%	8%	69	-0.4	206/259/296	90	269	8	6	25%	5%	51	-1.7	223/289/353	130	256	14	2	19%	7%	76	+0.0
✕Marco Hernandez 2021 · A	23	46	39→40	49→45	47	220/285/308	87	282	6	8	23%	7%	66	-0.6	203/292/299	96	283	8	4	29%	9%	68	-0.5	162/268/244	82	214	10	0	27%	10%	41	-0.6
✕Sam Praytor 2022 · A	23	45	39→50	49→55	45	208/292/298	90	319	6	7	34%	9%	67	-0.5	204/279/314	110	289	10	5	31%	8%	66	-0.6	177/251/295	118	237	13	7	30%	8%	46	-0.6
✕Pedro Pagés 2022 · A	23	44	42→50	42→40	42	213/280/315	102	304	10	4	32%	7%	66	-0.6	212/275/335	123	294	14	4	31%	7%	69	-0.4	225/284/360	135	285	17	2	26%	7%	77	+0.1
✕Abrahan Gutierrez 2023 · A	23	48→45	41→40	45→40	44	227/295/326	99	320	8	4	30%	8%	75	-0.0	213/270/297	84	281	7	5	25%	6%	56	-1.3	202/254/268	66	254	5	3	22%	5%	39	-0.7
✕Bryan Lavastida 2021 · A	22	47→44	38→45	46→55	46	221/291/303	81	299	5	8	26%	8%	66	-0.6	220/287/340	120	289	12	13	26%	7%	75	-0.0	219/292/337	118	281	12	27	25%	8%	74	-0.1
✕Nick Hutchins 2019 · A	23	43	45→50	47→40	39	213/270/345	132	297	12	3	31%	6%	69	-0.4	207/248/306	99	290	8	5	30%	4%	49	-1.8	193/221/277	84	268	7	4	30%	2%	27	-1.6
✕Zach Wright 2013 · A	23	45	42→45	44→40	47	219/298/322	103	297	10	5	28%	8%	76	+0.0	211/277/329	118	297	13	6	32%	7%	69	-0.4	198/266/317	119	277	14	5	32%	7%	58	-0.6
✕Gunnar Troutwine 2019 · A	23	48	39→45	48→30	48	230/291/315	84	294	6	4	23%	8%	69	-0.4	204/270/293	89	337	7	4	38%	8%	56	-1.3	187/259/279	92	318	9	1	41%	8%	44	-0.8
✕Alex Isola 2021 · A	23	46→45	45→50	49→40	44	227/279/348	122	288	12	8	26%	6%	74	-0.1	217/284/369	152	276	20	4	28%	8%	82	+0.5	213/284/361	148	267	20	2	27%	8%	77	+0.1
✕Stephen McGee 2014 · A	23	45	39→40	46→30	51	215/302/299	83	279	6	7	24%	9%	72	-0.2	196/276/266	70	278	4	3	28%	9%	52	-1.6	196/283/297	101	281	10	1	31%	10%	60	-0.4
✕Trent Woodward 2015 · A	23	43	41→40	47→30	47	207/286/310	103	278	7	6	27%	8%	68	-0.5	218/284/304	86	315	7	4	30%	8%	64	-0.8	215/283/297	82	312	8	1	31%	8%	59	-0.3
✕Michael Barash 2018 · A	23	43	44→45	42→45	44	213/275/328	115	284	12	3	28%	7%	67	-0.5	212/285/335	123	285	13	6	28%	9%	73	-0.1	182/276/313	131	231	16	4	27%	11%	62	-0.3
✕Brent Diaz 2019 · A	23	43	41→45	49→45	44	205/281/301	95	303	8	7	33%	8%	63	-0.9	198/280/296	98	301	9	8	34%	8%	62	-0.9	177/258/279	103	264	12	8	36%	7%	47	-0.7
✕Alexander Campos 2022 · A	22	43	41→40	46→45	48	206/290/308	102	278	8	6	27%	9%	69	-0.4	221/302/309	88	318	7	6	30%	9%	74	-0.1	242/332/316	74	335	8	6	27%	10%	86	+0.3
✕Ricardo Valencia 2016 · A	23	44	41→40	49→30	45	211/278/313	103	291	8	6	29%	8%	64	-0.8	211/268/304	93	309	8	3	32%	6%	57	-1.2	200/254/285	85	299	8	0	34%	6%	45	-0.7