Luke LaCourse

P ACL Angels

Age 20 RHP ROK

Overview

ROKPROSPECT

Scout OFP40ETA2028MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2026	19	ROKLAA	12	4	41	7.24	2.95	22.2%	9.3%	—	K 15.1% · BB 11.6% · FIP 4.09
2027PROJ	20	MLBLAA	26	0	27	4.95	4.95	18.2%	11.1%	-0.1
2028PROJ49% MLB	21	MLBLAA	18	0	19	4.78	4.71	19.5%	10.3%	-0.0

Next 2 projected WAR -0.2Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Scouting grades · 20-80

Stuff50Control50FB velo50

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 2% · didn't stick 96%

CompsEccel Correa (age 20) · Julio Goff (age 19) · Felix Arronde (age 20)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 127119vR 111

ERA4.95

FIP4.95

K%18.2%

BB%11.1%

K-BB%7.1%

Proj IP27

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 27 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

OFP—40

STUF—50

CTRL—50

K†4545

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2026	19	ROK MLE	ACL Angels	12	4	41	194	43	18	2	33%	3.4	15.1%	11.6%	3.5%	1.4%	7.24	4.09	—
2026	19	ROK MLE	ACL Angels	12	4	41	194	43	18	2	33%	3.4	15.1%	11.6%	3.5%	1.4%	7.24	4.09	—
2026	19	ROK RAW	ACL Angels	12	4	41	194	43	18	2	33%	3.4	22.2%	9.3%	12.9%	1.0%	7.24	2.95	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	20	MLB	LAA	26	0	27	114	21	13	3	0%	1.0	18.2%	11.1%	7.1%	2.9%	4.95	4.95	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	21	MLB MLE	LAA	37	0	39	163	32	17	5	0%	1.0	19.5%	10.3%	9.2%	2.9%	4.78	4.71	-0.1
2028	21	MLB CTX	LAA	18	0	19	80	16	8	2	0%	1.1	19.5%	10.3%	9.2%	2.9%	4.78	4.71	-0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		18	0	19	80	16	8	2	0%	1.1	19.5%	10.3%	9.2%	2.9%	4.78	4.33	+0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	168	84	21	0%	1.1	19.5%	10.3%	9.2%	2.9%	4.78	4.33	+0.5
Career	—	MLE		12	4	41	194	29	22	3	33%	3.4	15.1%	11.6%	3.5%	1.4%	7.24	4.09	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		59	20	200	946	143	110	14	33%	3.4	15.1%	11.6%	3.5%	1.4%	7.24	4.09	-0.4

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Luke LaCourse (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.95	18.2%	11.1%	2.9%	—	4.71	19.5%	9.2%	39	-0.24	—	—	—
Eccel Correa R 2023 · 4.39 FIP	20	SW	4.39	19.4%	11.9%	2.6%	.316	4.41	14.0%	2.2%	154	+0.02	3.96	189	92
Julio Goff R 2019 · 4.80 FIP	19	SW	4.80	16.1%	11.9%	2.8%	.364	4.70	16.4%	5.9%	207	-0.10	4.46	251	86
Felix Arronde R 2023 · 4.42 FIP	20	SW	4.42	20.2%	12.1%	2.7%	.275	4.98	15.8%	5.8%	344	+0.56	4.16	442	85
Brandon Komar R 2019 · 4.77 FIP	20	SW	4.77	17.7%	11.6%	3.1%	.327	4.93	16.7%	5.7%	198	+0.16	3.00	538	85
Ricardo Brizuela R 2023 · 4.09 FIP	20	SW	4.09	17.0%	9.1%	2.3%	.305	4.49	15.6%	6.9%	157	+0.40	3.20	246	84
Tyler Gray R 2018 · 4.49 FIP	21	SW	4.49	18.2%	11.7%	2.6%	.333	4.41	11.9%	3.6%	72	-0.08	4.41	119	84
Ruben Galindo R 2021 · 4.68 FIP	20	SW	4.68	15.9%	11.1%	2.8%	.345	3.51	19.0%	7.7%	149	-1.17	2.84	239	83
Darwin Ramos R 2016 · 4.03 FIP	20	SW	4.03	16.0%	11.2%	1.6%	.353	3.66	15.7%	5.9%	177	-0.37	3.34	262	82
David McKay R 2016 · 4.37 FIP	21	SW	4.37	15.2%	10.2%	2.3%	.282	4.50	22.9%	12.4%	211	+0.13	3.20	288	81
Kobe Robinson R 2022 · 4.49 FIP	21	SW	4.49	23.2%	14.3%	2.8%	.296	3.44	18.8%	4.9%	84	-1.05	2.98	107	81
Kristian Cardozo R 2023 · 4.89 FIP	20	SW	4.89	16.3%	13.5%	2.7%	.358	6.76	13.6%	-4.3%	15	+1.87	3.49	138	81
Engel Daniel Peralta R 2024 · 5.28 FIP	20	SW	5.28	17.7%	15.0%	3.2%	.300	5.89	16.6%	1.2%	33	+0.61	3.34	129	81
Joshua Quezada R 2024 · 4.46 FIP	20	SP-	4.46	18.3%	11.7%	2.6%	.293	4.03	19.6%	10.8%	80	-0.43	3.61	161	81
Geno Encina R 2015 · 4.22 FIP	21	SW	4.22	16.5%	6.8%	3.0%	.325	7.09	12.0%	2.3%	76	+2.87	4.22	200	81
Simon Mathews R 2017 · 4.09 FIP	21	SW	4.09	17.7%	7.5%	2.8%	.326	4.42	16.0%	5.9%	167	+0.33	4.09	215	81
Anderson Cardenas R 2024 · 4.90 FIP	18	SW	4.90	19.5%	11.9%	3.5%	.235	3.52	22.2%	8.8%	58	-1.38	3.52	129	80
Kenlly Montas R 2016 · 4.03 FIP	20	SW	4.03	15.1%	11.9%	1.3%	.264	4.84	12.3%	3.8%	90	+0.81	4.03	166	80
Yunior Montero R 2015 · 4.82 FIP	22	SW	4.82	16.9%	14.1%	2.5%	.276	4.58	21.5%	6.2%	91	-0.24	3.65	127	80
Delvis Alegre R 2021 · 4.45 FIP	20	SW	4.45	15.8%	8.1%	3.0%	.302	3.57	15.0%	5.3%	36	-0.88	3.55	185	80
Deretd Parra R 2019 · 5.29 FIP	19	SP-	5.29	16.8%	10.9%	4.1%	.295	3.85	15.7%	2.3%	83	-1.44	2.79	161	80

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,474 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 720 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.3	33	19.0%	10.6%	1.12	4.85
Sam Long ('25)	1.1	42	19.5%	9.7%	1.28	4.65
Pedro Borbón ('03)	1.4	45	18.5%	11.1%	1.10	4.68
Kevin Hickey ('81-'91, 0 WAR*)	1.2	47	17.7%*	10.2%*	1.10*	4.27*
Bill Wilson ('69-'73, -0 WAR*)	1.3	52	20.3%*	11.5%*	1.13*	4.84*
Valerio De Los Santos ('08)	1.3	51	18.7%	11.5%	1.30	4.57
Fred Lasher ('63-'71, -1 WAR*)	1.0	50	21.5%*	11.9%*	1.05*	4.68*