Justin Stransky — OGILVIE

Justin StranskyC South Bend Cubs

Age 23 R/R 6'1" / 180 lbs A+ BB +5%HR -4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035 peak 1.2 · 2030

wRC+†48

AVG/OBP/SLG.209 / .272 / .316

PA70

HR1

K%30

BB%7

MLB%0%

trajectory · 10 yrs

1.2peak

2030

Contract

ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2030

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2035

First FA Year 2036

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2030	Arb-2	$0.9M	+1.2	$11M	+$10M
2031	Arb-3	$0.9M	+1.2	$11M	+$10M
2032	Ext / FA-deal	$0.9M	+1.0	$10M	+$9M
2033	Ext / FA-deal	$2M	+0.8	$4M	+$2M
2034	Ext / FA-deal	$2M	+0.6	$3M	+$1M
2035	Ext / FA-deal	$1.0M	+0.3	$2M	+$0.6M
Totals		$7M		$40M	+$33M

Career Projections (MLE)

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	22	A	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	51	46	6	1	0	0	3	18	0	2	0	.130	.184	.152	.336	.022	.200	35	6	.167	-14	-7	+0	+0	+1	+1	-0.4
▸ 2026 Season (actual · ROS · total)
2026	23	A+	South Bend Cubs	25	22	4	0	0	1	1	8	1	0	0	.182	.250	.318	.568	.136	.214	32	4	.212	20	-2	+0	+0	+0	+1	-0.1
ROS	23	MLB	CHC	45	42	9	2	0	1	3	13	0	1	0	.214	.267	.333	.600	.119	.290	29	7	.268	63	-2	+0	+0	+1	+1	0.0
TOT	23	MLB	CHC	70	64	13	2	0	2	4	21	1	1	0	.203	.261	.328	.589	.125	.262	30	6	.248	48	-4	+0	+0	+1	+2	-0.1
▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve
2027	24	MLB 10%	CHC	162	147	32	6	1	3	12	47	2	3	1	.218	.286	.333	.619	.116	.292	29	7	.282	74	-5	+0	+0	+3	+5	0.3
2028	25	MLB 25%	CHC	262	237	53	9	2	6	20	74	3	5	1	.224	.292	.354	.647	.131	.293	28	8	.291	81	-6	+1	+0	+5	+7	0.7
2029	26	MLB 43%	CHC	333	301	68	12	2	9	26	93	3	6	1	.226	.294	.369	.663	.143	.294	28	8	.296	85	-6	+1	+0	+6	+9	1.1
2030	27	MLB 58%	CHC	370	333	75	13	2	10	30	103	4	6	1	.225	.297	.366	.663	.141	.294	28	8	.297	85	-6	+1	+0	+7	+10	1.2
2031	28	MLB 68%	CHC	392	353	79	14	2	10	32	110	4	6	1	.224	.296	.360	.655	.136	.294	28	8	.296	84	-7	+1	-1	+7	+11	1.2
2032	29	MLB 77%	CHC	398	358	79	14	2	10	33	113	4	5	1	.221	.294	.355	.648	.134	.293	28	8	.293	83	-8	+1	-1	+7	+11	1.0
2033	30	MLB 84%	CHC	400	360	79	14	2	10	33	115	4	5	1	.219	.292	.353	.645	.133	.292	29	8	.290	80	-9	+1	-2	+7	+11	0.8
2034	31	MLB 91%	CHC	380	342	74	13	2	9	31	111	4	3	0	.216	.289	.345	.634	.129	.290	29	8	.287	77	-10	+1	-3	+7	+11	0.6
2035	32	MLB	CHC	354	319	68	12	2	8	29	105	3	1	0	.213	.285	.339	.623	.125	.289	30	8	.282	74	-10	+0	-4	+6	+10	0.3
2036	33	MLB	CHC	318	286	60	10	2	7	26	96	3	0	0	.210	.283	.332	.615	.122	.287	30	8	.276	70	-11	+0	-4	+6	+9	-0.0
2037	34	MLB	CHC	271	245	51	9	1	6	22	85	2	0	0	.208	.279	.327	.605	.118	.285	31	8	.270	65	-11	+0	-5	+5	+8	-0.3
▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections)
Career	—			3736	3369	733	129	20	89	300	1083	36	43	7	.218	.289	.347	.636	.129	.290	29	8	.286	77	-96	+6	-20	+67	+106	6.4
/ 162G	—			650	586	126	22	3	15	52	188	6	7	1	.215	.286	.340	.625	.125	.287	29	8	.286	77	-17	+1	-3	+12	+18	1.1

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	22	A	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	51	43	7	1	0	0	6	12	0	2	0	.163	.265	.186	.451	.023	.212	24	12	.214	22	-5	+0	—	—	+1	-0.3

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Justin Stransky (OGILVIE)	23	—	—	—	—	.209/.272/.316	.107	.290	1	1	30%	7%	63	-0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Jake Rogers 2018 · A	23	41→40	44→55	47→45	42	.205/.269/.327	.122	.280	11	10	30%	7%	65	-0.7	.196/.267/.342	.146	.271	17	7	33%	8%	69	-0.4	.206/.283/.412	.206	.265	29	1	33%	8%	91	+0.6
✕Jeferson Morales 2023 · A	24	39→46	46→45	49→50	44	.197/.277/.329	.131	.260	14	9	29%	7%	69	-0.4	.215/.289/.346	.131	.275	13	9	25%	7%	78	+0.2	.223/.298/.355	.132	.277	12	8	23%	7%	81	+0.2
✕John Hester 2007 · A	23	42	43→55	50	41	.206/.271/.327	.122	.299	10	7	33%	7%	65	-0.7	.224/.267/.365	.141	.298	14	7	29%	5%	72	-0.2	.249/.292/.416	.167	.322	15	10	27%	5%	94	+0.7
✕Miguel Amaya 2022 · AA	23	42	44→50	49→40	49	.210/.296/.330	.120	.268	12	7	25%	9%	78	+0.2	.225/.309/.364	.139	.303	15	5	29%	8%	92	+1.2	.233/.304/.378	.146	.278	16	1	22%	7%	91	+0.5
✕Blaze Alexander 2021 · A	22	45→48	42→50	51→50	43	.218/.284/.328	.110	.300	9	11	29%	7%	71	-0.3	.204/.275/.332	.128	.317	14	12	38%	7%	69	-0.4	.220/.308/.345	.126	.328	13	10	34%	8%	84	+0.4
✕Alex Isola 2021 · A	23	46→43	45→50	49→40	44	.228/.280/.350	.122	.284	12	8	24%	6%	74	-0.1	.216/.283/.365	.149	.274	20	4	28%	8%	81	+0.4	.212/.282/.359	.148	.263	20	2	27%	8%	76	+0.0
✕Ramon Santana 2009 · A	23	43→53	44→45	49→45	39	.208/.278/.329	.120	.301	12	9	33%	6%	69	-0.4	.217/.280/.327	.110	.323	9	7	33%	6%	69	-0.4	.212/.276/.321	.109	.318	8	4	33%	6%	62	-0.4
●Eduardo Valencia 2023 · A	23	44→54	42→50	49→30	45	.215/.282/.315	.100	.276	10	5	25%	7%	67	-0.5	.222/.280/.345	.123	.283	14	4	26%	7%	73	-0.1	.250/.305/.416	.166	.304	22	0	25%	6%	100	+1.0
✕Jhoneiker Betancourt 2023 · A	23	43	40→50	50→40	43	.207/.281/.298	.092	.283	7	6	28%	7%	63	-0.9	.204/.276/.336	.132	.276	16	3	31%	7%	70	-0.3	.179/.260/.330	.151	.234	22	0	33%	7%	67	-0.2
✕Andrew Susac 2013 · A	23	42→39	43→50	46→30	45	.207/.280/.320	.113	.292	11	4	31%	8%	67	-0.5	.217/.291/.360	.143	.291	16	3	29%	9%	82	+0.5	.217/.295/.373	.156	.282	19	1	29%	9%	85	+0.3
✕Pedro Pagés 2022 · A	23	44→43	43→50	43→40	42	.213/.279/.319	.107	.302	11	5	32%	7%	66	-0.6	.210/.275/.334	.124	.293	14	4	31%	8%	69	-0.4	.224/.283/.362	.138	.282	18	2	26%	7%	78	+0.1
✕Bryan Holaday 2011 · A	23	43	42→45	47→40	42	.204/.284/.305	.101	.299	9	6	33%	8%	66	-0.6	.210/.264/.299	.089	.275	7	6	25%	6%	54	-1.4	.217/.286/.341	.124	.252	13	2	19%	7%	71	-0.1
✕Nick Hutchins 2019 · A	23	43	45→50	48→40	38	.213/.269/.344	.131	.299	12	3	32%	6%	69	-0.4	.204/.245/.307	.103	.286	9	5	31%	4%	49	-1.8	.187/.215/.275	.087	.261	8	4	31%	2%	23	-1.8
✕Paul Vasquez 2008 · A	23	47	43→45	52→30	39	.231/.271/.342	.111	.307	10	9	28%	5%	68	-0.5	.234/.273/.339	.105	.293	8	5	22%	3%	68	-0.5	.235/.269/.339	.104	.292	8	2	22%	2%	63	-0.3
✕Sicnarf Loopstok 2017 · A	24	43→37	43→50	50	38	.211/.270/.324	.114	.293	10	12	30%	5%	64	-0.8	.213/.281/.365	.152	.300	18	9	34%	7%	80	+0.4	.204/.280/.377	.174	.281	22	7	34%	7%	84	+0.4
✕Patrick Bailey 2022 · A	23	44→49	45	50→45	43	.213/.278/.336	.122	.306	12	8	33%	8%	70	-0.3	.213/.279/.336	.123	.289	13	5	29%	8%	71	-0.3	.229/.288/.338	.110	.303	11	4	27%	7%	75	-0.0
✕Taylor Featherston 2013 · A	23	45	45→50	51→50	43	.223/.284/.349	.126	.295	12	11	28%	7%	76	+0.1	.222/.268/.364	.142	.290	15	12	28%	5%	73	-0.1	.212/.256/.355	.143	.273	15	12	28%	4%	63	-0.6
✕Cooper Johnson 2021 · A	23	43	43→45	51→40	45	.209/.287/.322	.113	.302	11	9	32%	8%	71	-0.3	.175/.261/.262	.087	.300	7	5	40%	9%	46	-2.0	.157/.246/.286	.129	.241	16	3	39%	9%	42	-0.7
✕Chuckie Robinson 2018 · A	23	45→54	46→45	50→45	40	.224/.267/.354	.130	.282	13	7	26%	5%	69	-0.4	.198/.241/.306	.108	.279	11	7	32%	5%	46	-2.0	.236/.288/.362	.127	.293	16	7	24%	5%	78	+0.1
✕Alexander Campos 2022 · A	22	43	42→40	46→45	48	.209/.289/.317	.108	.281	9	6	28%	9%	70	-0.3	.221/.304/.311	.090	.312	8	6	29%	9%	75	-0.0	.236/.329/.308	.072	.330	7	6	28%	11%	83	+0.2

Contract

Career Projections (MLE) Show advanced cols

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Career Path Comps

Career Projections (MLE)