Noah Edders

P Myrtle Beach Pelicans

Age 24 RHP 6'4" / 232 lbs A Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036 peak 0.7 · 2029

Overview

APROSPECTMiLBFA 2037

ETA2028MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2025	22	ACHC	3	0	5	1.80	0.70	50.0%	11.1%	—	K 50.0% · BB 11.1% · FIP 0.29
2026	23	MIX2 levels	21	15	70	4.78	3.29	24.9%	9.5%	—	K 18.6% · BB 10.6% · FIP 4.22
2027PROJ	24	MLBCHC	8	8	44	4.70	4.70	20.2%	10.4%	0.1
2028PROJ43% MLB	25	MLBCHC	5	5	27	4.54	4.50	20.9%	9.8%	0.1
2029PROJ66% MLB	26	MLBCHC	7	7	42	4.49	4.46	21.3%	9.8%	0.2

Next 3 projected WAR 0.4Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2036Service0.0First FA2037

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031Ext$0.9M2032Ext$0.9M2033Ext$0.9M2034Ext$3M+2

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 -0 / P90 1, comp-based) · star 1% · didn't stick 94%

CompsRay Gaither (age 24) · Tanner Hall (age 22) · Andrew Quezada (age 24)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 122114vR 106

ERA4.70

FIP4.70

K%20.2%

BB%10.4%

K-BB%9.7%

Proj IP44

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 44 IP

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$4M ctrl surplus

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5050

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2025	22	A MLE	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	3	0	5	18	9	2	0	0%	1.7	50.0%	11.1%	38.9%	0.0%	1.80	0.29	—
2025	22	A MLE	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	3	0	5	18	9	2	0	0%	1.7	50.0%	11.1%	38.9%	0.0%	1.80	0.29	—
2025	22	A RAW	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	3	0	5	18	9	2	0	0%	1.7	50.0%	11.1%	38.9%	0.0%	1.80	0.70	—
2026	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	21	15	70	305	76	29	6	71%	3.3	18.6%	10.6%	8.0%	2.4%	4.78	4.22	—
2026	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	21	15	70	305	76	29	6	71%	3.3	18.6%	10.6%	8.0%	2.4%	4.78	4.22	—
2026	23	MIX RAW	2 levels	21	15	70	305	76	29	6	71%	3.3	24.9%	9.5%	15.4%	2.0%	4.78	3.29	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	24	MLB	CHC	8	8	44	186	37	19	5	100%	5.5	20.2%	10.4%	9.7%	2.9%	4.70	4.70	+0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	25	MLB MLE	CHC	11	11	64	268	56	26	8	100%	5.8	20.9%	9.8%	11.1%	2.9%	4.60	4.56	+0.3
2029	26	MLB MLE	CHC	11	11	64	268	57	26	8	100%	5.8	21.3%	9.8%	11.6%	2.9%	4.55	4.52	+0.3
2030	27	MLB MLE	CHC	10	10	62	264	57	26	8	100%	6.2	21.4%	9.8%	11.6%	3.0%	4.55	4.55	+0.3
2028	25	MLB CTX	CHC	5	5	27	114	24	11	3	100%	5.4	20.9%	9.8%	11.1%	2.8%	4.54	4.50	+0.1
2029	26	MLB CTX	CHC	7	7	42	177	38	17	5	100%	6.0	21.3%	9.8%	11.6%	2.8%	4.49	4.46	+0.2
2030	27	MLB CTX	CHC	8	8	48	203	43	20	6	100%	6.0	21.4%	9.8%	11.6%	2.9%	4.49	4.49	+0.2
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		20	20	118	496	106	49	14	100%	5.9	21.3%	9.8%	11.5%	2.8%	4.50	4.10	+1.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		34	34	200	844	180	83	24	100%	6.0	21.3%	9.8%	11.5%	2.8%	4.50	4.10	+1.9
Career	—	MLE		24	15	75	323	66	34	7	62%	3.1	20.4%	10.7%	9.7%	2.3%	4.58	4.00	+0.8
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		64	40	200	865	176	92	20	62%	3.1	20.4%	10.7%	9.7%	2.3%	4.58	4.00	+0.8

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Noah Edders (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.70	20.2%	10.4%	2.9%	—	4.54	21.2%	11.4%	190	-0.16	—	—	—
Ray Gaither R 2022 · 4.85 FIP	24	SP-	4.85	21.9%	13.2%	3.5%	.314	4.34	18.3%	5.8%	123	-0.51	3.84	164	88
Tanner Hall R 2024 · 4.67 FIP	22	SP-	4.67	18.8%	11.2%	3.2%	.295	5.33	10.1%	-4.6%	72	+0.66	4.67	137	87
Andrew Quezada R 2021 · 4.40 FIP	24	SP-	4.40	18.1%	8.1%	3.3%	.312	4.86	14.6%	6.1%	291	+0.46	4.40	412	86
Casey Legumina R 2021 · 4.08 FIP	24	SP-	4.08	23.3%	9.3%	3.2%	.260	4.33	20.2%	11.3%	189	+0.25	3.54	355	85
Sean Harney R 2023 · 3.55 FIP	25	SP-	3.55	18.2%	9.8%	1.4%	.285	4.74	16.5%	5.1%	59	+1.19	3.55	123	84
Ricky Castro R 2024 · 3.99 FIP	24	SP-	3.99	20.4%	8.6%	2.8%	.287	5.11	19.0%	10.6%	178	+1.12	3.99	241	84
Angel Guzman R 2006 · 4.73 FIP	24	SP-	4.73	22.1%	13.2%	3.3%	.353	3.88	19.6%	12.0%	91	-0.85	3.13	147	82
Alfredo Figaro R 2009 · 4.98 FIP	25	SP-	4.98	19.3%	12.0%	3.6%	.370	4.42	7.2%	-1.5%	15	-0.56	3.75	143	82
Carlos Torres R 2009 · 5.24 FIP	26	SP-	5.24	16.9%	11.5%	3.9%	.284	3.59	18.2%	7.3%	67	-1.65	2.89	604	81
Cooper Chandler R 2023 · 4.33 FIP	24	SP-	4.33	17.8%	9.3%	2.9%	.300	3.78	23.5%	17.1%	18	-0.55	3.78	107	80
Daniel Corcino R 2014 · 4.37 FIP	23	SP-	4.37	18.8%	12.5%	2.3%	.208	4.14	19.6%	10.0%	76	-0.23	3.84	318	80
Blair Henley R 2021 · 5.02 FIP	24	SP-	5.02	20.8%	12.2%	3.9%	.450	4.51	17.7%	5.4%	170	-0.51	3.97	187	79
Mitch Neunborn R 2023 · 3.65 FIP	26	SP-	3.65	24.5%	9.5%	2.6%	.232	5.11	17.6%	6.7%	206	+1.46	3.65	248	78
Sean Mooney R 2022 · 4.70 FIP	24	SP-	4.70	24.7%	13.5%	3.6%	.277	—	—	—	—	—	3.36	102	78
TJ Nichols R 2024 · 3.71 FIP	22	SP-	3.71	17.0%	9.0%	1.6%	.310	5.34	20.9%	12.4%	223	+1.63	3.71	295	78
Jake Lee R 2019 · 4.65 FIP	24	SP-	4.65	25.7%	12.4%	3.9%	.296	3.52	18.7%	10.3%	40	-1.13	2.78	181	78
Drew Rasmussen R 2019 · 3.64 FIP	24	SP-	3.64	24.6%	12.6%	1.9%	.312	3.21	22.7%	16.2%	237	-0.43	1.21	694	78
Greyfer Eregua R 2017 · 4.87 FIP	23	SP-	4.87	18.3%	9.3%	3.9%	.317	—	—	—	—	—	3.73	126	78
Jeff Niemann R 2008 · 5.04 FIP	25	SW	5.04	18.4%	10.5%	4.0%	.294	4.16	17.4%	10.3%	490	-0.88	2.96	544	78
Keith Rogalla R 2019 · 3.52 FIP	23	SP-	3.52	21.2%	11.7%	1.3%	.344	3.68	18.0%	5.9%	65	+0.16	3.10	113	77

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,474 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 720 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	1.2	58	21.0%	9.9%	1.14	4.59
Bill Scherrer ('82-'88, 1 WAR*)	1.6	62	20.7%*	10.2%*	1.19*	4.44*
Kevin Quackenbush ('21)	1.0	52	21.0%	9.2%	1.04	4.41
Josias Manzanillo ('04)	1.7	57	20.0%	10.2%	1.21	4.71
Yency Almonte ('24)	1.1	45	22.5%	9.9%	1.13	4.44
Bob Macdonald ('90-'96, 1 WAR*)	1.2	59	18.3%*	9.8%*	1.20*	4.32*
Bill Pleis ('61-'66, -0 WAR*)	1.4	56	19.7%*	9.8%*	1.15*	4.53*