Brady Ballinger — OGILVIE

Brady Ballinger1B Lakeland Flying Tigers

Age 22 L/L A HR -8% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 65 proj PA

wRC+†71

AVG/OBP/SLG.207 / .284 / .310

PA65

HR1

K%29

BB%9

ISO104

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2026	21	A	Lakeland Flying Tigers	—	42	34	6	3	0	0	8	9	0	0	0	176	333	265	598	88	240	21	19	289	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2026	21	A MLE	Lakeland Flying Tigers	—	42	36	5	2	0	0	6	12	0	0	0	139	262	194	456	56	213	29	14	221	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	A MLE	Lakeland Flying Tigers	—	42	36	5	2	0	0	6	12	0	0	0	139	262	194	456	56	208	29	14	221	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	A RAW	Lakeland Flying Tigers	—	42	34	6	3	0	0	8	9	0	0	0	176	333	265	598	88	240	21	19	289	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	A MLE	Lakeland Flying Tigers	—	42	36	5	2	0	0	6	12	0	0	0	139	262	194	456	56	213	29	14	221	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2026	21	A MLE	Lakeland Flying Tigers	—	42	36	5	2	0	0	6	12	0	0	0	139	262	194	456	56	213	29	14	221	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	22	MLB MLE	DET	0%	152	136	29	7	1	2	14	44	1	2	1	209	286	313	599	104	291	29	9	273	71	-5	+0	+0	-3	+3	-0.2
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	23	MLB MLE	DET	34%	161	144	31	8	1	2	15	46	1	2	1	212	289	321	610	109	292	29	9	277	73	-5	+0	+0	-3	+3	-0.5
2028	23	MLB CTX	DET	34%	55	50	11	3	0	1	5	16	0	1	0	208	286	314	600	106	287	29	9	273	73	-2	+0	+0	-1	+1	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	55	50	11	3	0	1	5	16	0	1	0	220	291	340	631	120	303	29	9	273	67	-2	+0	+0	-1	+1	-0.1
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	591	130	35	0	12	59	189	0	12	0	220	291	340	631	120	303	29	9	273	67	-20	+2	+0	-12	+14	-1.6
Career	—	MLE		—	268	239	48	13	1	3	27	77	1	3	1	201	285	301	586	100	281	29	10	267	67	-7	+0	+0	-4	+5	-0.6
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	580	116	32	2	7	65	187	2	7	2	200	282	298	581	98	281	29	10	267	67	-21	+1	+0	-12	+14	-1.8

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Brady Ballinger (OGILVIE)	22	—	—	—	—	207/284/310	103	291	1	1	29%	9%	71	-0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Gabriel Moncada 2023 · A	21	42→41	41→45	43→40	46	202/284/303	100	289	8	5	31%	9%	69	-0.9	190/262/290	100	292	9	3	35%	8%	57	-1.8	172/243/262	90	267	8	1	36%	8%	42	-1.5
✕Grant Lavigne 2022 · A	22	44→50	40→45	46→45	44	204/283/294	90	313	7	7	34%	9%	66	-1.1	216/295/330	114	320	11	5	33%	9%	79	-0.2	208/293/328	119	302	12	5	32%	9%	76	-0.4
✕Mike Papi 2015 · A	22	38→48	41→45	50→45	49	188/265/282	94	249	9	7	27%	9%	57	-1.8	200/279/308	108	281	9	5	30%	9%	68	-1.0	213/297/336	123	282	13	4	27%	10%	80	-0.1
✕Leandro Pineda 2024 · A	22	39→49	42→50	48→45	42	191/259/302	111	275	9	6	33%	7%	59	-1.6	213/280/341	128	279	13	6	27%	7%	76	-0.4	218/291/356	137	276	14	5	25%	7%	81	-0.0
✕Nick Maton 2019 · A	22	43→42	42→50	47→45	40	211/264/322	111	295	9	5	30%	6%	65	-1.2	211/278/312	101	291	8	8	28%	8%	68	-1.0	210/302/353	143	263	16	4	25%	10%	86	+0.2
✕Josh Lester 2016 · A	22	46→44	42→55	49→40	43	221/278/335	114	294	9	7	27%	6%	74	-0.6	205/247/314	109	284	10	4	30%	5%	57	-1.8	201/255/359	158	258	20	1	30%	6%	70	-0.7
✕Luis González 2018 · A	22	42→51	39→45	45→50	49	201/275/291	90	266	5	5	25%	9%	62	-1.4	226/279/341	115	290	10	9	24%	6%	74	-0.5	233/309/345	112	298	11	22	24%	9%	86	+0.1
✕Lance Ray 2012 · A	22	42→37	43→45	44→45	43	208/268/320	112	284	10	7	30%	7%	66	-1.1	195/262/316	121	266	12	6	30%	8%	63	-1.3	169/246/286	117	219	13	5	29%	9%	49	-1.1
✕Donald Lutz 2011 · A	22	40→49	43→50	50→45	40	202/253/312	110	269	10	8	28%	6%	59	-1.7	224/267/358	134	308	14	6	31%	5%	74	-0.5	217/262/369	152	289	16	8	30%	4%	73	-0.4
✕Spencer Nivens 2024 · A	22	41→49	41→45	48→50	52	199/280/294	96	255	8	14	24%	10%	65	-1.2	208/277/334	126	276	13	11	28%	9%	73	-0.6	211/281/333	122	272	12	12	26%	9%	73	-0.5
✕Logan Wyatt 2021 · A	23	47→38	40→45	47→40	46	223/293/316	92	306	7	7	28%	8%	74	-0.5	204/291/283	79	279	7	4	26%	11%	67	-1.1	193/281/282	89	257	10	1	27%	10%	61	-0.8
✕Ryan Rieger 2013 · A	22	42→43	39→40	47→40	48	199/279/286	87	290	6	4	31%	10%	63	-1.4	208/270/300	92	280	6	5	26%	7%	62	-1.4	207/265/301	94	272	5	4	24%	7%	58	-0.9
✕Travis Swaggerty 2019 · A	21	39→46	41→45	50→55	40	192/251/290	98	279	8	7	33%	7%	53	-2.1	211/277/311	100	301	9	15	31%	8%	68	-1.0	209/278/308	99	307	7	19	32%	8%	63	-0.8
✕JT Schwartz 2023 · A	23	43→47	40→45	45	44	208/266/302	94	270	7	5	25%	6%	61	-1.5	226/292/333	107	281	9	7	21%	7%	78	-0.3	223/296/332	109	270	9	6	20%	8%	77	-0.2
✕Dariel Gomez 2018 · A	22	38→43	37→50	45→30	48	183/262/255	72	253	4	3	27%	9%	49	-2.4	207/280/312	105	303	10	5	32%	8%	70	-0.9	167/244/306	139	290	16	0	45%	8%	52	-1.3
✕Travis Blankenhorn 2019 · A	22	40→45	44→50	50	38	198/259/324	126	291	11	7	34%	6%	64	-1.3	217/266/355	138	298	15	9	31%	5%	74	-0.6	208/282/359	151	278	18	6	31%	8%	78	-0.2
✕Cody Keefer 2013 · A	22	46	40	51→30	46	217/284/313	96	301	7	7	29%	8%	70	-0.8	217/265/302	85	284	5	3	24%	6%	60	-1.6	219/264/302	83	280	5	1	23%	5%	58	-1.1
✕Branden Boissiere 2022 · A	22	43→44	40→45	50→40	39	204/265/297	94	309	7	8	35%	7%	60	-1.6	197/271/280	83	295	7	4	33%	9%	59	-1.7	206/260/330	124	298	12	2	34%	6%	63	-0.8
✕Ryan Aguilar 2017 · A	22	43→40	38→45	50	47	202/272/284	81	282	5	10	28%	9%	59	-1.6	181/248/257	76	283	6	7	35%	8%	45	-2.7	181/274/286	106	291	12	12	39%	10%	59	-1.1
✕Brian Pointer 2014 · A	22	39→41	42→45	51→50	40	189/265/296	107	289	9	13	36%	7%	61	-1.5	210/285/338	128	315	13	12	35%	8%	77	-0.3	209/287/345	136	311	14	12	35%	9%	76	-0.3