Wilfred Paca

P DSL Padres Gold

Age 21 RHP 5'11" / 155 lbs ROK

Overview

ROKPROSPECT

ETA2028MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2025	19	ROKDSL Padres Br…	14	7	37	5.79	4.92	12.9%	14.0%	—	K 8.8% · BB 17.6% · FIP 6.05
2026	20	ROKDSL Padres Go…	10	4	17	6.88	5.81	16.0%	13.6%	—	K 10.9% · BB 17.0% · FIP 7.17
2027PROJ	21	MLBSD	13	0	14	5.60	5.60	17.9%	15.5%	-0.2
2028PROJ49% MLB	22	MLBSD	16	0	17	5.27	5.13	19.8%	13.3%	-0.1

Next 2 projected WAR -0.3Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 100%

CompsJuan Mendez (age 22) · Tanner Cooper (age 21) · Trayson Kubo (age 21)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 140131vR 123

ERA5.60

FIP5.60

K%17.9%

BB%15.5%

K-BB%2.4%

Proj IP14

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 14 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†4045

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2025	19	ROK MLE	DSL Padres Brown	14	7	37	178	23	25	3	50%	2.7	8.8%	17.6%	-8.8%	2.7%	5.79	6.05	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	DSL Padres Brown	14	7	37	178	23	25	3	50%	2.7	8.8%	17.6%	-8.8%	2.7%	5.79	6.05	—
2025	19	ROK RAW	DSL Padres Brown	14	7	37	178	23	25	3	50%	2.7	12.9%	14.0%	-1.1%	1.7%	5.79	4.92	—
2026	20	ROK MLE	DSL Padres Gold	10	4	17	81	13	11	3	40%	1.7	10.9%	17.0%	-6.1%	5.2%	6.88	7.17	—
2026	20	ROK MLE	DSL Padres Gold	10	4	17	81	13	11	3	40%	1.7	10.9%	17.0%	-6.1%	5.2%	6.88	7.17	—
2026	20	ROK RAW	DSL Padres Gold	10	4	17	81	13	11	3	40%	1.7	16.0%	13.6%	2.5%	3.7%	6.88	5.81	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	21	MLB	SD	13	0	14	59	11	9	2	0%	1.1	17.9%	15.5%	2.4%	3.0%	5.60	5.60	-0.2
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	22	MLB MLE	SD	34	0	35	149	30	20	4	0%	1.0	19.8%	13.3%	6.5%	3.0%	5.27	5.13	-0.2
2028	22	MLB CTX	SD	16	0	17	72	14	10	2	0%	1.1	19.8%	13.3%	6.5%	3.0%	5.27	5.13	-0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		17	0	17	73	15	10	2	0%	1.0	19.8%	13.3%	6.5%	3.0%	5.27	4.75	-0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	173	115	23	0%	1.1	19.8%	13.3%	6.5%	3.0%	5.27	4.75	-0.5
Career	—	MLE		24	11	54	259	24	45	9	46%	2.3	9.5%	17.4%	-7.9%	3.5%	6.13	6.40	-0.2
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		88	40	200	953	90	166	33	46%	2.3	9.5%	17.4%	-7.9%	3.5%	6.13	6.40	-1.3

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Wilfred Paca (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.60	17.9%	15.5%	3.0%	—	5.13	19.8%	6.5%	35	-0.47	—	—	—
Juan Mendez R 2021 · 4.45 FIP	22	SW	4.45	20.5%	14.2%	2.3%	.271	5.07	21.9%	6.1%	128	+0.62	3.69	156	87
Tanner Cooper R 2021 · 4.71 FIP	21	SW	4.71	17.1%	14.1%	2.3%	.338	5.15	14.4%	6.7%	121	+0.44	4.51	148	84
Trayson Kubo R 2019 · 5.01 FIP	21	SW	5.01	19.8%	15.6%	2.9%	.450	4.82	17.7%	1.4%	66	-0.19	4.48	107	83
Radhames Liz R 2007 · 5.07 FIP	23	SW	5.07	19.7%	18.0%	2.5%	.301	5.66	14.5%	2.3%	84	+0.59	2.81	219	82
Nestor Lorant R 2023 · 5.53 FIP	21	SW	5.53	18.7%	18.2%	3.1%	.280	3.86	20.5%	11.3%	249	-1.67	2.73	373	81
Juan Perez R 2016 · 5.39 FIP	21	SW	5.39	15.4%	14.1%	3.3%	.321	4.52	10.8%	0.0%	56	-0.87	4.52	113	81
Trent Fennell R 2018 · 4.48 FIP	22	SP-	4.48	14.5%	12.5%	1.9%	.317	4.46	20.9%	7.5%	89	-0.02	4.08	163	81
Jhoster Baez R 2024 · 4.57 FIP	19	SP-	4.57	17.3%	14.8%	1.9%	.283	5.93	15.9%	-5.0%	73	+1.36	4.57	110	81
Keegan Zinn R 2024 · 6.40 FIP	19	SP-	6.40	19.1%	19.5%	4.4%	.318	5.80	19.0%	-1.9%	112	-0.60	4.88	145	80
Reynardo Cruz R 2022 · 5.44 FIP	20	SW	5.44	16.1%	18.2%	2.5%	.252	4.85	16.3%	-1.2%	66	-0.59	3.96	216	80
Jordan Brink R 2016 · 5.96 FIP	23	SW	5.96	18.3%	19.2%	3.6%	.233	—	—	—	—	—	3.99	132	80
Chris Viall R 2016 · 5.86 FIP	20	SP-	5.86	18.9%	21.9%	2.9%	.314	5.06	21.3%	5.8%	88	-0.80	4.89	108	80
Yunior Montero R 2015 · 4.82 FIP	22	SW	4.82	16.9%	14.1%	2.5%	.276	4.58	21.5%	6.2%	91	-0.24	3.65	127	79
Lisandro Almonte R 2023 · 5.54 FIP	21	SP-	5.54	20.4%	20.7%	2.8%	.274	3.81	20.7%	12.2%	15	-1.73	3.81	128	79
Michael Martinez R 2019 · 4.50 FIP	20	SW	4.50	15.7%	16.5%	1.2%	.303	5.67	20.7%	7.0%	18	+1.17	3.69	146	79
Seth McClung R 2003 · 5.63 FIP	22	SW	5.63	15.0%	14.4%	3.6%	.241	5.29	15.3%	2.8%	212	-0.34	2.52	430	79
Wilian Bormie R 2023 · 5.84 FIP	22	SP-	5.84	21.6%	20.4%	3.6%	.275	4.13	23.2%	9.3%	203	-1.71	3.51	226	79
Josh White R 2023 · 5.12 FIP	22	SW	5.12	17.7%	13.9%	3.2%	.244	3.15	27.7%	17.2%	182	-1.97	1.84	247	78
Luis Rujano R 2024 · 4.54 FIP	21	SW	4.54	17.0%	12.3%	2.4%	.361	4.80	17.9%	-0.8%	97	+0.26	4.54	203	78
Jace Beck R 2021 · 5.13 FIP	21	SP-	5.13	21.1%	23.7%	1.5%	.347	5.32	25.7%	2.8%	50	+0.19	4.03	216	78