Christian Colon — OGILVIE

Christian ColonIF DSL Astros Blue

Age 19 R/R 6'2" / 170 lbs ROK HR -6% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 103 proj PA

wRC+†50

AVG/OBP/SLG.193 / .262 / .256

PA103

HR1

K%29

BB%7

ISO64

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 37 / POW 34

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT37

scouting grade only

POWER34

scouting grade only

EYE56

scouting grade only

SPEED52

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2038	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2025	17	ROK	DSL Astros Orange	—	103	91	16	2	0	0	10	27	1	2	0	176	265	198	463	22	246	26	10	223	-13	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK	DSL Astros Blue	—	122	100	20	2	0	1	17	31	4	4	1	200	339	250	589	50	275	25	14	286	14	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Astros Orange	—	103	94	11	1	0	0	7	33	1	2	0	117	186	128	314	11	169	32	7	149	-13	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL Astros Blue	—	122	105	13	1	0	0	12	38	4	4	1	124	240	133	373	10	182	31	10	189	14	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Astros Orange	—	103	94	11	1	0	0	7	33	1	2	0	117	186	128	314	11	177	32	7	149	-13	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK RAW	DSL Astros Orange	—	103	91	16	2	0	0	10	27	1	2	0	176	265	198	463	22	246	26	10	223	-13	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL Astros Blue	—	122	105	13	1	0	0	12	38	4	4	1	124	240	133	373	10	191	31	10	189	14	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK RAW	DSL Astros Blue	—	122	100	20	2	0	1	17	31	4	4	1	200	339	250	589	50	275	25	14	286	14	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Astros Orange	—	103	94	11	1	0	0	7	33	1	2	0	117	186	128	314	11	169	32	7	149	-13	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL Astros Blue	—	122	105	13	1	0	0	12	38	4	4	1	124	240	133	373	10	182	31	10	189	14	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Astros Orange	—	103	94	11	1	0	0	7	33	1	2	0	117	186	128	314	11	169	32	7	149	-13	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL Astros Blue	—	122	105	13	1	0	0	12	38	4	4	1	124	240	133	373	10	182	31	10	189	14	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	19	MLB MLE	HOU	0%	232	210	41	6	1	2	17	67	3	4	1	195	264	258	522	64	273	29	7	242	50	-14	+0	+0	+0	+5	-0.3
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	20	MLB MLE	HOU	34%	192	174	35	5	1	2	14	54	2	4	1	200	270	273	543	73	276	28	7	250	55	-10	+0	+0	+0	+4	-0.6
2028	20	MLB CTX	HOU	34%	66	60	12	2	0	1	5	19	1	1	0	202	272	276	549	74	280	29	8	252	55	-3	+0	+0	+0	+1	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	66	60	12	2	0	1	5	19	1	1	0	200	273	283	556	83	275	29	8	252	31	-3	+0	+0	+0	+1	-0.2
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	591	119	20	0	10	49	187	10	10	0	201	274	286	560	85	277	29	8	252	31	-34	+2	+0	+0	+14	-1.9
Career	—	MLE		—	520	466	78	10	2	3	41	155	8	12	2	167	247	217	463	49	240	30	8	214	31	-16	+1	+0	+0	+6	-0.9
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	582	97	12	2	4	51	194	10	15	2	167	245	215	460	48	239	30	8	214	31	-36	+2	+0	+0	+14	-2.1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Christian Colon (OGILVIE)	19	32→37	29→34	47→52	56	193/262/256	63	273	1	2	29%	7%	50	-0.4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Dennys Riera 2024 · A	19	31	36→40	48→50	42	157/222/222	65	212	4	6	27%	6%	27	-4.0	171/249/237	66	229	3	7	25%	6%	41	-3.0	156/245/214	58	204	3	7	23%	6%	36	-0.9
✕Miguel Alfonzo 2007 · A	19	35	35→40	46→50	44	169/241/227	58	243	3	9	30%	8%	35	-3.4	198/272/274	76	309	6	10	35%	7%	58	-1.7	196/275/270	74	322	7	9	38%	7%	56	-0.8
✕Wilfredo Lara 2023 · A	19	37→43	37→45	49→50	41	177/245/254	77	258	4	10	31%	7%	42	-2.9	196/268/297	101	275	9	13	30%	8%	61	-1.5	186/266/282	96	258	8	18	29%	9%	55	-1.1
✕Romer Cuadrado 2017 · A	19	37→36	38→40	45	43	180/251/257	77	267	6	8	33%	8%	46	-2.6	202/259/294	92	320	8	7	37%	6%	57	-1.8	197/253/289	92	311	8	5	37%	6%	51	-1.5
✕Roni Cabrera 2024 · A	19	39	38→45	54→55	47	186/265/271	85	255	5	11	27%	8%	55	-2.0	182/254/288	106	286	10	14	37%	7%	54	-2.0	162/238/271	109	264	12	18	41%	8%	43	-1.2
✕Jean Joseph 2024 · A	19	37	35→45	43→45	46	177/255/231	54	249	3	10	28%	8%	41	-3.0	196/263/289	93	270	8	6	29%	6%	57	-1.8	190/257/293	103	252	10	4	27%	6%	56	-0.8
✕Robinson Medrano 2015 · A	19	38	35→40	47→45	43	183/246/244	60	251	3	7	27%	7%	40	-3.0	192/251/269	77	251	4	7	24%	7%	48	-2.5	179/238/256	77	224	5	6	22%	7%	37	-1.0
✕Luis Andujar 2019 · A	19	40	36→30	53→50	41	189/245/254	65	270	3	9	30%	6%	42	-2.9	201/270/270	69	272	3	10	25%	8%	55	-1.9	192/273/252	60	253	1	12	22%	9%	53	-0.9
✕Victor Tademo 2018 · A	19	37	37→40	52→55	39	182/236/252	70	264	4	14	31%	6%	38	-3.2	194/241/254	60	283	3	7	31%	5%	40	-3.1	183/218/203	20	254	0	3	27%	4%	17	-1.3
✕Esteban Mejia 2024 · A	19	39	36→40	55→50	41	188/242/257	68	263	3	15	28%	6%	41	-3.0	199/263/280	81	297	6	14	32%	7%	55	-1.9	196/265/273	77	287	7	15	32%	7%	52	-1.1
✕Victor Cardoza 2024 · A	18	40	37→40	50	41	188/264/265	77	274	3	11	31%	7%	53	-2.1	195/247/286	91	301	7	13	36%	5%	51	-2.3	191/238/278	88	304	8	14	38%	5%	43	-1.0
✕Jose Meza 2022 · A	19	39→42	37→40	46→50	43	187/268/261	74	272	4	9	30%	7%	54	-2.0	196/281/287	91	276	8	7	29%	9%	64	-1.3	191/284/291	101	272	10	5	31%	10%	65	-0.5
✕Franklin Correa 2015 · A	19	37	38→40	48→50	43	179/253/258	79	261	5	10	32%	8%	47	-2.6	184/236/265	81	288	6	7	36%	5%	41	-3.0	155/195/226	71	251	6	4	39%	3%	15	-1.2
✕Adonis Paula 2013 · A	19	36	36→40	48→40	38	174/232/240	66	253	3	8	31%	5%	34	-3.5	184/249/254	70	260	3	5	28%	6%	44	-2.8	164/227/230	66	246	3	2	33%	6%	29	-1.3
✕Richard Rodriguez 2012 · A	19	38	35→30	48→50	47	182/254/242	60	245	3	12	26%	8%	43	-2.8	189/250/229	40	228	1	14	16%	7%	38	-3.2	191/256/205	14	227	0	12	15%	8%	33	-1.1
✕Hector Martinez 2017 · A	19	36	37→40	49→50	45	175/256/245	70	256	5	11	31%	8%	46	-2.6	175/256/244	69	314	5	8	42%	8%	45	-2.7	139/228/191	53	278	5	7	47%	8%	22	-1.2
✕Yohairo Cuevas 2023 · A	19	38	36→40	49→50	48	179/264/246	67	265	3	9	31%	10%	49	-2.4	191/274/274	83	295	5	14	33%	9%	59	-1.7	189/281/265	77	291	4	18	33%	10%	58	-1.0
✕Andres Martinez 2014 · A	19	41	36→30	47→45	45	193/264/262	68	274	3	8	29%	8%	51	-2.2	198/268/259	61	263	2	9	24%	7%	53	-2.1	183/260/230	47	240	1	10	22%	7%	40	-0.9
✕Ronny Brito 2018 · A	19	36	38→45	50	39	174/236/254	80	268	5	10	35%	7%	39	-3.1	201/250/308	107	346	11	5	42%	6%	57	-1.8	161/214/283	122	296	17	1	49%	6%	37	-1.2
✕Ismael Alcantara 2018 · A	19	41→30	35→45	51→50	46	190/266/254	63	262	2	14	26%	8%	51	-2.3	188/258/264	76	289	5	16	34%	8%	50	-2.3	199/264/331	132	310	13	17	38%	7%	64	-0.4