Matt Lanzendorfer
P
Great Lakes Loons
Age 24
LHP
6'1" / 180 lbs
A+
peak 0.1 · 2026
2026 ROS PROJECTION33 act + 23 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 100109vR 118
ERA4.37
FIP4.37
K%23.4%
BB%9.6%
K-BB%13.8%
ROS IP23
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 57 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 24 | A+ | Great Lakes Loons | 26 | 0 | 33 | 149 | 44 | 22 | 3 | 0% | 1.3 | 22.5% | 17.0% | 5.5% | 2.5% | 6.21 | 4.74 | -0.1 |
| ROS | 24 | MLB | LAD | 22 | 0 | 23 | 98 | 23 | 9 | 3 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.4% | 9.6% | 13.8% | 3.0% | 4.37 | 4.37 | +0.0 |
| ROS | 24 | MLB | LAD | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 23.4% | 9.6% | 13.8% | 3.0% | 4.37 | 4.37 | — |
| 2026 TOT | 24 | MLB | LAD | — | — | 57 | 247 | 67 | 31 | 6 | — | — | 27.1% | 12.7% | 14.4% | 2.4% | 5.45 | 4.59 | -0.0 |
| 2026 FULL | 24 | MLB | LAD | — | — | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | 23.4% | 9.6% | 13.8% | 3.0% | 4.37 | 3.99 | +0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 25 | MLB | LAD | 22 | 0 | 24 | 100 | 24 | 9 | 3 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.7% | 9.2% | 14.5% | 3.0% | 4.31 | 4.28 | +0.1 |
| 2027 | 25 | MLB | LAD | 10 | 0 | 10 | 42 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 23.7% | 9.2% | 14.5% | 3.0% | 4.31 | 4.28 | +0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 10 | 0 | 10 | 43 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 23.7% | 9.2% | 14.5% | 3.0% | 4.31 | 3.90 | +0.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 195 | 78 | 19 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.7% | 9.2% | 14.5% | 3.0% | 4.31 | 3.90 | +3.5 | ||
| Career | — | 26 | 0 | 33 | 149 | 34 | 25 | 4 | 0% | 1.3 | 22.5% | 17.0% | 5.5% | 2.5% | 6.21 | 4.74 | -0.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 156 | 0 | 200 | 894 | 201 | 152 | 22 | 0% | 1.3 | 22.5% | 17.0% | 5.5% | 2.5% | 6.21 | 4.74 | +1.6 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Matt Lanzendorfer (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.37 | 23.4% | 9.6% | 3.0% | — | 4.28 | 23.7% | 14.5% | 24 | -0.09 | — | — | — |
| Brian Marconi L 2026 · 3.61 FIP | 24 | SU | 3.61 | 25.3% | 12.3% | 2.0% | .265 | 4.96 | 20.3% | 2.1% | 57 | +1.35 | 3.61 | 101 | 85 |
| Easton Lucas L 2026 · 4.21 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.21 | 23.6% | 9.2% | 3.5% | .316 | 4.00 | 21.8% | 11.4% | 184 | -0.21 | 3.49 | 311 | 85 |
| Thomas Burrows L 2026 · 4.17 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.17 | 22.0% | 10.5% | 2.9% | .276 | 3.94 | 26.5% | 12.9% | 82 | -0.23 | 2.83 | 271 | 84 |
| Brandon Hughes L 2027 · 3.62 FIP | 25 | SU | 3.62 | 27.0% | 11.1% | 2.5% | .300 | 4.49 | 24.4% | 14.8% | 149 | +0.87 | 3.62 | 206 | 83 |
| Graeme Stinson L 2026 · 3.54 FIP | 24 | SU | 3.54 | 23.0% | 10.5% | 1.9% | .275 | 4.75 | 19.5% | 3.9% | 45 | +1.21 | 3.54 | 146 | 83 |
| Andrew Walling L 2026 · 4.10 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.10 | 23.4% | 13.2% | 2.4% | .281 | 3.81 | 20.9% | 6.8% | 52 | -0.29 | 3.12 | 161 | 82 |
| Sean Mellen L 2026 · 3.97 FIP | 24 | SU | 3.97 | 21.3% | 10.4% | 2.5% | .285 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.97 | 101 | 82 |
| Michael Johnson L 2026 · 4.09 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.09 | 20.6% | 9.4% | 2.8% | .260 | 4.51 | 17.6% | 7.7% | 185 | +0.42 | 3.88 | 256 | 82 |
| Chris Cotton L 2026 · 3.66 FIP | 24 | SU | 3.66 | 20.7% | 7.0% | 2.6% | .288 | 4.13 | 9.7% | 3.3% | 61 | +0.47 | 3.66 | 128 | 82 |
| Colton Johnson L 2028 · 4.04 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.04 | 20.8% | 11.0% | 2.4% | .309 | 4.49 | 12.2% | -0.4% | 48 | +0.45 | 4.04 | 106 | 82 |
| Robert Garcia L 2025 · 4.63 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.63 | 24.0% | 11.4% | 3.8% | .342 | 4.41 | 22.0% | 10.4% | 106 | -0.22 | 2.21 | 452 | 81 |
| Kirby Snead L 2026 · 4.03 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.03 | 20.7% | 8.7% | 2.9% | .318 | 3.05 | 24.6% | 15.6% | 98 | -0.98 | 2.09 | 365 | 81 |
| Brendon Little L 2026 · 3.69 FIP | 24 | SU | 3.69 | 24.7% | 11.4% | 2.2% | .333 | 4.14 | 20.4% | 8.4% | 187 | +0.45 | 2.63 | 478 | 81 |
| Greg Nappo L 2028 · 3.40 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.40 | 22.7% | 7.5% | 2.3% | .267 | 5.45 | 16.5% | 5.9% | 79 | +2.05 | 3.40 | 144 | 81 |
| Robbie Ross Jr. L 2028 · 3.72 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.72 | 20.5% | 6.9% | 2.7% | .287 | 3.19 | 22.3% | 9.6% | 66 | -0.53 | 2.79 | 159 | 81 |
| Harry Gustin L 2026 · 5.25 FIP | 24 | SU | 5.25 | 21.7% | 10.2% | 4.9% | .311 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.77 | 132 | 80 |
| Darien Núñez L 2027 · 3.18 FIP | 25 | SU | 3.18 | 26.4% | 11.0% | 1.7% | .377 | 2.59 | 34.2% | 23.5% | 78 | -0.59 | 2.50 | 122 | 80 |
| Hayden Harris L 2026 · 3.23 FIP | 24 | SU | 3.23 | 29.1% | 11.2% | 2.1% | .315 | 3.21 | 30.2% | 16.2% | 129 | -0.02 | 1.86 | 180 | 80 |
| Wesley Moore L 2026 · 3.99 FIP | 24 | SU | 3.99 | 22.0% | 9.4% | 2.8% | .292 | 4.28 | 15.0% | -0.7% | 30 | +0.29 | 3.83 | 111 | 80 |
| Kade Bragg L 2026 · 4.40 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.40 | 23.3% | 13.0% | 3.0% | .255 | 4.15 | 23.7% | 2.3% | 45 | -0.25 | 4.15 | 112 | 80 |