Juan García
P
DSL Cardinals
Age 18
RHP
6'2" / 187 lbs
ROK
peak 0.5 · 2027
2026 ROS PROJECTION25 act + 28 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 125116vR 107
ERA4.68
FIP4.68
K%13.9%
BB%6.4%
K-BB%7.5%
ROS IP28
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 53 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 17 | ROK | DSL Cardinals | 12 | 10 | 48 | 192 | 38 | 4 | 0 | 83% | 4.0 | 13.5% | 2.6% | 10.9% | 0.0% | 3.40 | 2.29 | — |
| 2025 | 17 | ROK | DSL Cardinals | 12 | 10 | 48 | 192 | 38 | 4 | 0 | 83% | 4.0 | 19.8% | 2.1% | 17.7% | 0.0% | 3.40 | 1.76 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 18 | ROK | DSL Cardinals | 7 | 7 | 25 | 116 | 22 | 5 | 2 | 100% | 3.6 | 12.9% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 2.4% | 4.68 | 4.02 | +0.2 |
| ROS | 18 | MLB | STL | 5 | 5 | 28 | 120 | 17 | 8 | 3 | 100% | 5.7 | 13.9% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 2.8% | 4.68 | 4.68 | -0.0 |
| ROS | 18 | MLB | STL | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 13.9% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 2.8% | 4.68 | 4.68 | — |
| 2026 TOT | 18 | MLB | STL | — | — | 53 | 236 | 39 | 13 | 5 | — | — | 16.4% | 5.4% | 11.0% | 2.3% | 4.68 | 4.37 | +0.1 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 19 | MLB | STL | 7 | 7 | 30 | 126 | 20 | 8 | 4 | 100% | 4.3 | 15.8% | 6.5% | 9.3% | 2.8% | 4.56 | 4.50 | +0.0 |
| 2027 | 19 | MLB | STL | 3 | 3 | 15 | 63 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 100% | 5.0 | 15.8% | 6.5% | 9.3% | 2.8% | 4.56 | 4.50 | +0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 3 | 3 | 15 | 62 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 100% | 4.9 | 15.8% | 6.5% | 9.3% | 2.8% | 4.56 | 4.12 | +0.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 46 | 46 | 200 | 844 | 137 | 55 | 27 | 100% | 4.3 | 15.8% | 6.5% | 9.3% | 2.8% | 4.56 | 4.12 | +3.0 | ||
| Career | — | 19 | 17 | 73 | 308 | 41 | 11 | 3 | 89% | 3.8 | 13.2% | 3.7% | 9.6% | 0.9% | 3.84 | 2.94 | +1.6 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 52 | 47 | 200 | 848 | 112 | 31 | 8 | 89% | 3.8 | 13.2% | 3.7% | 9.6% | 0.9% | 3.84 | 2.94 | +5.7 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Juan García (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.68 | 13.9% | 6.4% | 2.8% | — | 4.50 | 15.8% | 9.3% | 30 | -0.18 | — | — | — |
| Brayan Narvaez R 2026 · 4.38 FIP | 18 | SP | 4.38 | 13.2% | 5.1% | 3.2% | .315 | 3.70 | 15.9% | 8.5% | 124 | -0.68 | 3.27 | 148 | 91 |
| Jonatan Bernal R 2025 · 4.52 FIP | 17 | SP | 4.52 | 10.7% | 4.7% | 3.2% | .260 | 4.67 | 13.3% | 4.8% | 134 | +0.15 | 4.33 | 344 | 88 |
| Anderson Bido R 2026 · 3.52 FIP | 18 | SP | 3.52 | 15.4% | 6.5% | 1.6% | .320 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.92 | 292 | 87 |
| Trey Supak R 2027 · 3.91 FIP | 19 | SP | 3.91 | 12.6% | 5.0% | 2.3% | .351 | 3.94 | 17.4% | 8.5% | 309 | +0.03 | 3.28 | 858 | 87 |
| Randy Berigüete R 2026 · 4.13 FIP | 18 | SP | 4.13 | 13.3% | 8.3% | 2.0% | .316 | 5.32 | 13.1% | -4.9% | 98 | +1.19 | 4.13 | 144 | 85 |
| Inohan Paniagua R 2026 · 3.82 FIP | 18 | SP | 3.82 | 14.2% | 7.7% | 1.7% | .284 | 3.92 | 18.6% | 8.8% | 96 | +0.10 | 3.78 | 473 | 85 |
| Juan Bello R 2026 · 3.83 FIP | 18 | SP | 3.83 | 18.3% | 6.9% | 2.5% | .256 | 3.93 | 18.2% | 7.6% | 155 | +0.10 | 3.83 | 187 | 85 |
| Andy Hernandez R 2026 · 3.55 FIP | 18 | SP | 3.55 | 14.6% | 7.8% | 1.2% | .287 | 4.05 | 9.8% | 0.0% | 65 | +0.50 | 3.55 | 120 | 84 |
| Jordany Ventura R 2027 · 4.08 FIP | 19 | SP | 4.08 | 16.8% | 8.9% | 2.3% | .264 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.08 | 219 | 84 |
| Jeifry Nunez R 2026 · 3.88 FIP | 18 | SP | 3.88 | 14.2% | 7.4% | 1.9% | .270 | 4.81 | 17.9% | 12.4% | 43 | +0.93 | 3.54 | 138 | 84 |
| Enniel Cortez R 2026 · 4.65 FIP | 18 | SP | 4.65 | 17.0% | 7.3% | 3.8% | .366 | 6.26 | 14.6% | 0.8% | 35 | +1.61 | 2.37 | 128 | 84 |
| Jack Perkins R 2029 · 4.44 FIP | 21 | SP- | 4.44 | 13.6% | 5.4% | 3.3% | .312 | 4.73 | 16.4% | 7.5% | 156 | +0.29 | 4.29 | 176 | 83 |
| John Swanda R 2027 · 5.08 FIP | 19 | SP | 5.08 | 13.0% | 6.4% | 4.1% | .333 | 4.75 | 14.6% | 5.8% | 116 | -0.33 | 3.56 | 262 | 83 |
| Pedro González R 2026 · 4.40 FIP | 18 | SP- | 4.40 | 17.0% | 7.5% | 3.2% | .292 | 4.96 | 13.0% | -2.7% | 71 | +0.56 | 4.06 | 285 | 83 |
| Tyler Driver R 2026 · 5.31 FIP | 18 | SP- | 5.31 | 14.3% | 8.3% | 4.3% | .281 | 5.42 | 15.0% | 2.0% | 100 | +0.11 | 5.29 | 180 | 83 |
| Michael Santos R 2028 · 4.16 FIP | 20 | SP | 4.16 | 11.1% | 7.7% | 1.9% | .303 | 3.40 | 14.0% | 8.5% | 191 | -0.76 | 2.26 | 276 | 82 |
| Denny Lima R 2026 · 4.04 FIP | 18 | SP | 4.04 | 13.3% | 8.9% | 1.7% | .267 | 5.04 | 14.4% | 2.2% | 52 | +1.00 | 4.04 | 107 | 82 |
| Jorge Garcia R 2025 · 3.58 FIP | 17 | SP- | 3.58 | 12.7% | 4.0% | 1.9% | .320 | 4.95 | 21.3% | 13.7% | 25 | +1.37 | 3.58 | 131 | 82 |
| Reidis Sena R 2026 · 4.17 FIP | 18 | SP | 4.17 | 13.3% | 9.9% | 1.7% | .282 | 5.31 | 18.7% | 3.2% | 44 | +1.14 | 3.09 | 254 | 82 |
| Luis Tejeda R 2026 · 3.54 FIP | 18 | SP- | 3.54 | 14.3% | 6.1% | 1.6% | .295 | 6.09 | 11.9% | -4.6% | 45 | +2.55 | 3.54 | 131 | 82 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 2 | 29 | 14.9% | 6.5% | 1.09 | 4.62 |
| Austin Pruitt ('23) | 5 | 61 | 16.9% | 5.6% | 1.22 | 4.45 |
| JC Ramírez ('17) | 3 | 83 | 17.0% | 7.7% | 1.30 | 4.33 |
| Blaine Hardy ('19) | 5 | 50 | 18.6% | 7.7% | 1.11 | 3.91 |
| Josh Winckowski ('24) | 3 | 77 | 18.3% | 8.2% | 1.13 | 4.21 |
| Chris Rusin ('18) | 4 | 89 | 17.9% | 7.1% | 1.01 | 4.43 |
| Robert Gsellman ('21) | 5 | 67 | 18.4% | 7.8% | 0.96 | 4.38 |